MINT Overview
Projection Methodology
Some of our research papers use the Modeling Income in the Near Term (MINT) microsimulation model to make future projections about 21st century retirement income, marital trends, Social Security benefits, income, and poverty. These projections allow researchers and policy analysts to study future retirement conditions such as income and poverty, as well as the effects of policy changes.
More information on MINT model development is in the following papers:
RAND report
Near Term Model Development, Part II, August 15, 1999
Social Security Administration
Methods in Modeling Income in the Near Term (MINT 1), ORES Working Paper 91, June 2001
Urban Institute reports
- Modeling Income in the Near Term—Projections of Retirement Income Through 2020 for the 1931–60 Birth Cohorts, September 1, 1999
- Modeling Income in the Near Term: Revised Projections of Retirement Income Through 2020 for the 1931–1960 Birth Cohorts, June 1, 2002
- Modeling Income in the Near Term 4, April 19, 2005
- Modeling Income in the Near Term 5, November 5, 2007
- Comparisons of MINT 2003 and 2004 Projections with Survey Data, December 1, 2008
- Modeling Income in the Near Term 6, January 12, 2012