Benefit Formula Changes

Credit earnings to caregivers' records: Up to 5 years at one-half average wage when caring for children under age six: 2030 | 2050 | 2070

Increase the computation period from 35 years to 40 years: 2030 | 2050 | 2070

Price index the PIA formula: Reduce the formula factors by the difference in growth rates of wages and prices: 2030 | 2050 | 2070

Price index the PIA formula: Protect the bottom 30% of workers from price indexing: 2030 | 2050 | 2070

Reconfigure the minimum benefit: For workers with 10 to 30 years of coverage (YOC = 4 quarters earned that year) set PIA up to 125% of the monthly poverty level: 2030 | 2050 | 2070

Reduce the 90%, 32%, and 15% PIA factors: To 90%, 21%, and 10% over a 31-year period: 2030 | 2050 | 2070

Reduce the 90%, 32%, and 15% PIA factors: To 69.2%, 24.6%, and 11.5% over a 28-year period: 2030 | 2050 | 2070

Reduce initial benefits: By 5%: 2030 | 2050 | 2070

Cost of Living Adjustment Changes

Covered Worker Changes

Retirement Age Increases

Taxation Changes

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Credit earnings to caregivers' records: Up to 5 years at one-half average wage when caring for children under age six

Projected effects on beneficiaries in 2070

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Individual Benefits
Scheduled | Payable
Distribution of Changes
Scheduled | Payable
Poverty
Scheduled | Payable
Median Monthly Benefit
Scheduled | Payable

Table 1. Individual benefits 2070: Child Credits Five Years Half AWI versus Scheduled
Characteristic	Median Percent Change	Percent With
Characteristic	Median Percent Change	Lower Benefits	Higher Benefits
Total	0%	1%	29%
Sex
Female	0%	1%	36%
Male	0%	0%	21%
Race/Ethnicity
Hispanic	0%	1%	40%
White	0%	1%	22%
Black	0%	0%	35%
Other	0%	1%	36%
Immigration
Immigrant	0%	1%	43%
Native Born	0%	1%	24%
Age
60–69	0%	0%	35%
70–79	0%	1%	29%
80–89	0%	1%	24%
90+	0%	1%	17%
Marital Status
Never Married	0%	0%	22%
Married	0%	1%	33%
Divorced	0%	0%	27%
Widowed	0%	0%	23%
Education
Graduate	0%	1%	20%
Bachelor	0%	1%	19%
Associate	0%	1%	25%
High School	0%	1%	34%
Less than 12 Yrs	1%	1%	52%
Indiv. Income Quintile
$141,869+	0%	1%	11%
$76,273 - $141,869	0%	1%	17%
$47,225 - $76,273	0%	1%	24%
$28,018 - $47,225	0%	1%	34%
$0-$28,018	2%	1%	58%
Hhld. Income Quintile
$234,849+	0%	1%	15%
$125,659 - $234,849	0%	1%	21%
$74,813 - $125,659	0%	1%	26%
$41,558 - $74,813	0%	1%	33%
$0-$41,558	0%	0%	48%
Shared Earn. Quintile
$129,152+	0%	1%	6%
$89,585 - $129,152	0%	1%	12%
$63,685 - $89,585	0%	1%	22%
$39,226 - $63,685	0%	1%	41%
$0-$39,226	4%	1%	62%
Benefit Type
Retired Worker	0%	0%	29%
Spousal & Worker	0%	15%	31%
Spousal Only	1%	2%	52%
Survivor & Worker	0%	0%	13%
Survivor Only	0%	0%	33%
Retired Disabled	0%	0%	34%
Disabled Worker	0%	0%	42%
Claiming Age
62 or younger	0%	1%	33%
63–66	0%	1%	24%
67 or older	0%	0%	29%
Quarters of Coverage
201+	0%	0%	4%
161–200	0%	0%	14%
81–160	0%	1%	45%
0–80	2%	3%	53%
Own AIME Quintile
$11,030+	0%	0%	2%
$7,326 - $11,030	0%	0%	10%
$5,076 - $7,326	0%	0%	24%
$2,910 - $5,076	1%	1%	52%
$0-$2,910	3%	3%	57%
Paying AIME Quintile
$12,519+	0%	1%	3%
$8,545 - $12,519	0%	1%	8%
$6,145 - $8,545	0%	1%	18%
$3,923 - $6,145	0%	0%	44%
$0-$3,923	6%	0%	70%
Hhld. Benefit Quintile
$4,389+	0%	2%	13%
$3,216 - $4,389	0%	1%	23%
$2,435 - $3,216	0%	0%	22%
$1,690 - $2,435	0%	0%	30%
$0-$1,690	2%	0%	56%
Adj. Gross Income
$181,671+	0%	1%	15%
$123,969 - $181,671	0%	1%	20%
$82,014 - $123,969	0%	1%	24%
$1 - $82,014	0%	0%	35%
$0.00	0%	1%	39%
Population: current law beneficiaries aged 60 and older Source: SSA's Office of Retirement Policy, using MINT 6/TR11 Assumptions/SSMBA 4. Run: 04/05/2012
Note: This proposal is based on specifications received from outside the Social Security Administration, unless noted otherwise. It does not represent the views of the agency.

Table 5. Individual benefits 2070: Child Credits Five Years Half AWI versus Payable
Characteristic	Median Percent Change	Percent With
Characteristic	Median Percent Change	Lower Benefits	Higher Benefits
Total	30%	0%	100%
Sex
Female	30%	0%	100%
Male	30%	0%	100%
Race/Ethnicity
Hispanic	30%	0%	100%
White	30%	0%	100%
Black	30%	0%	100%
Other	30%	0%	100%
Immigration
Immigrant	30%	0%	100%
Native Born	30%	0%	100%
Age
60–69	30%	0%	100%
70–79	30%	0%	100%
80–89	30%	0%	100%
90+	30%	0%	100%
Marital Status
Never Married	30%	0%	100%
Married	30%	0%	100%
Divorced	30%	0%	100%
Widowed	30%	0%	100%
Education
Graduate	30%	0%	100%
Bachelor	30%	0%	100%
Associate	30%	0%	100%
High School	30%	0%	100%
Less than 12 Yrs	31%	0%	100%
Indiv. Income Quintile
$141,869+	30%	0%	100%
$76,273 - $141,869	30%	0%	100%
$47,225 - $76,273	30%	0%	100%
$28,018 - $47,225	30%	0%	100%
$0-$28,018	33%	0%	100%
Hhld. Income Quintile
$234,849+	30%	0%	100%
$125,659 - $234,849	30%	0%	100%
$74,813 - $125,659	30%	0%	100%
$41,558 - $74,813	30%	0%	100%
$0-$41,558	30%	0%	100%
Shared Earn. Quintile
$129,152+	30%	0%	100%
$89,585 - $129,152	30%	0%	100%
$63,685 - $89,585	30%	0%	100%
$39,226 - $63,685	30%	0%	100%
$0-$39,226	36%	0%	100%
Benefit Type
Retired Worker	30%	0%	100%
Spousal & Worker	30%	0%	100%
Spousal Only	32%	0%	100%
Survivor & Worker	30%	0%	100%
Survivor Only	30%	0%	100%
Retired Disabled	30%	0%	100%
Disabled Worker	30%	0%	100%
Claiming Age
62 or younger	30%	0%	100%
63–66	30%	0%	100%
67 or older	30%	0%	100%
Quarters of Coverage
201+	30%	0%	100%
161–200	30%	0%	100%
81–160	30%	0%	100%
0–80	32%	0%	100%
Own AIME Quintile
$11,030+	30%	0%	100%
$7,326 - $11,030	30%	0%	100%
$5,076 - $7,326	30%	0%	100%
$2,910 - $5,076	31%	0%	100%
$0-$2,910	34%	0%	100%
Paying AIME Quintile
$12,519+	30%	0%	100%
$8,545 - $12,519	30%	0%	100%
$6,145 - $8,545	30%	0%	100%
$3,923 - $6,145	30%	0%	100%
$0-$3,923	38%	0%	100%
Hhld. Benefit Quintile
$4,389+	30%	0%	100%
$3,216 - $4,389	30%	0%	100%
$2,435 - $3,216	30%	0%	100%
$1,690 - $2,435	30%	0%	100%
$0-$1,690	33%	0%	100%
Adj. Gross Income
$181,671+	30%	0%	100%
$123,969 - $181,671	30%	0%	100%
$82,014 - $123,969	30%	0%	100%
$1 - $82,014	30%	0%	100%
$0.00	30%	0%	100%
Population: current law beneficiaries aged 60 and older Source: SSA's Office of Retirement Policy, using MINT 6/TR11 Assumptions/SSMBA 4. Run: 04/05/2012
Note: This proposal is based on specifications received from outside the Social Security Administration, unless noted otherwise. It does not represent the views of the agency.

Table 2. Distribution of changes 2070: Child Credits Five Years Half AWI versus Scheduled
Characteristic	% of Population With % Change of
Characteristic	-20%+	-10 to -19%	-1 to -9%	No change	+1 to +9%	+10 to +19%	+20%+
Total	0%	0%	1%	71%	22%	3%	3%
Sex
Female	0%	0%	1%	63%	27%	4%	4%
Male	0%	0%	0%	79%	17%	2%	2%
Race/Ethnicity
Hispanic	0%	0%	1%	60%	30%	5%	5%
White	0%	0%	1%	77%	18%	2%	2%
Black	0%	0%	0%	65%	26%	4%	4%
Other	0%	0%	1%	63%	27%	4%	5%
Immigration
Immigrant	0%	0%	1%	56%	31%	6%	6%
Native Born	0%	0%	1%	75%	20%	2%	3%
Age
60–69	0%	0%	0%	65%	26%	4%	5%
70–79	0%	0%	1%	70%	23%	3%	3%
80–89	0%	0%	1%	76%	19%	3%	2%
90+	0%	0%	1%	82%	14%	2%	1%
Marital Status
Never Married	0%	0%	0%	77%	16%	3%	4%
Married	0%	0%	1%	66%	26%	3%	3%
Divorced	0%	0%	0%	73%	20%	3%	3%
Widowed	0%	0%	0%	77%	18%	3%	2%
Education
Graduate	0%	0%	1%	79%	17%	2%	2%
Bachelor	0%	0%	1%	80%	15%	2%	2%
Associate	0%	0%	1%	74%	21%	3%	2%
High School	0%	0%	1%	65%	27%	4%	4%
Less than 12 Yrs	0%	0%	1%	47%	35%	7%	9%
Indiv. Income Quintile
$141,869+	0%	0%	1%	89%	9%	1%	1%
$76,273 - $141,869	0%	0%	1%	82%	15%	1%	1%
$47,225 - $76,273	0%	0%	1%	75%	21%	2%	2%
$28,018 - $47,225	0%	0%	1%	66%	29%	3%	2%
$0-$28,018	0%	0%	1%	41%	38%	9%	11%
Hhld. Income Quintile
$234,849+	0%	0%	1%	83%	13%	1%	1%
$125,659 - $234,849	0%	0%	1%	78%	18%	2%	2%
$74,813 - $125,659	0%	0%	1%	73%	22%	2%	2%
$41,558 - $74,813	0%	0%	1%	66%	28%	3%	2%
$0-$41,558	0%	0%	0%	52%	31%	7%	10%
Shared Earn. Quintile
$129,152+	0%	0%	1%	93%	5%	0%	0%
$89,585 - $129,152	0%	0%	1%	87%	11%	1%	1%
$63,685 - $89,585	0%	0%	1%	77%	21%	1%	1%
$39,226 - $63,685	0%	0%	1%	58%	39%	2%	1%
$0-$39,226	0%	0%	0%	37%	36%	12%	14%
Benefit Type
Retired Worker	0%	0%	0%	71%	23%	3%	3%
Spousal & Worker	0%	0%	14%	55%	22%	4%	5%
Spousal Only	0%	0%	2%	45%	29%	6%	17%
Survivor & Worker	0%	0%	0%	87%	12%	1%	0%
Survivor Only	0%	0%	0%	67%	21%	3%	10%
Retired Disabled	0%	0%	0%	66%	26%	5%	3%
Disabled Worker	0%	0%	0%	58%	28%	8%	6%
Claiming Age
62 or younger	0%	0%	1%	66%	25%	4%	4%
63–66	0%	0%	1%	76%	19%	2%	2%
67 or older	0%	0%	0%	71%	19%	4%	6%
Quarters of Coverage
201+	0%	0%	0%	96%	4%	0%	0%
161–200	0%	0%	0%	86%	14%	0%	0%
81–160	0%	0%	1%	54%	39%	4%	2%
0–80	0%	0%	2%	44%	21%	13%	20%
Own AIME Quintile
$11,030+	0%	0%	0%	98%	2%	0%	0%
$7,326 - $11,030	0%	0%	0%	90%	10%	0%	0%
$5,076 - $7,326	0%	0%	0%	76%	24%	0%	0%
$2,910 - $5,076	0%	0%	1%	48%	50%	1%	0%
$0-$2,910	0%	0%	2%	41%	27%	14%	16%
Paying AIME Quintile
$12,519+	0%	0%	1%	96%	3%	0%	0%
$8,545 - $12,519	0%	0%	1%	90%	8%	0%	0%
$6,145 - $8,545	0%	0%	1%	81%	17%	1%	0%
$3,923 - $6,145	0%	0%	0%	55%	42%	1%	1%
$0-$3,923	0%	0%	0%	29%	41%	14%	15%
Hhld. Benefit Quintile
$4,389+	0%	0%	2%	86%	12%	0%	0%
$3,216 - $4,389	0%	0%	1%	76%	22%	1%	0%
$2,435 - $3,216	0%	0%	0%	77%	19%	2%	1%
$1,690 - $2,435	0%	0%	0%	69%	26%	3%	2%
$0-$1,690	0%	0%	0%	44%	33%	10%	13%
Adj. Gross Income
$181,671+	0%	0%	1%	84%	13%	1%	1%
$123,969 - $181,671	0%	0%	1%	79%	18%	1%	1%
$82,014 - $123,969	0%	0%	1%	75%	20%	2%	2%
$1 - $82,014	0%	0%	0%	65%	25%	4%	6%
$0.00	0%	0%	1%	60%	29%	5%	5%
Population: current law beneficiaries aged 60 and older Source: SSA's Office of Retirement Policy, using MINT 6/TR11 Assumptions/SSMBA 4. Run: 04/05/2012
Note: This proposal is based on specifications received from outside the Social Security Administration, unless noted otherwise. It does not represent the views of the agency.

Table 6. Distribution of changes 2070: Child Credits Five Years Half AWI versus Payable
Characteristic	% of Population With % Change of
Characteristic	-20%+	-10 to -19%	-1 to -9%	No change	+1 to +9%	+10 to +19%	+20%+
Total	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Sex
Female	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Male	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Race/Ethnicity
Hispanic	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
White	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Black	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Other	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Immigration
Immigrant	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Native Born	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Age
60–69	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
70–79	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
80–89	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
90+	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Marital Status
Never Married	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Married	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Divorced	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Widowed	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Education
Graduate	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Bachelor	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Associate	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
High School	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Less than 12 Yrs	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Indiv. Income Quintile
$141,869+	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$76,273 - $141,869	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$47,225 - $76,273	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$28,018 - $47,225	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$0-$28,018	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Hhld. Income Quintile
$234,849+	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$125,659 - $234,849	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$74,813 - $125,659	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$41,558 - $74,813	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$0-$41,558	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Shared Earn. Quintile
$129,152+	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$89,585 - $129,152	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$63,685 - $89,585	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$39,226 - $63,685	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$0-$39,226	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Benefit Type
Retired Worker	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Spousal & Worker	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	1%	99%
Spousal Only	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	99%
Survivor & Worker	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Survivor Only	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Retired Disabled	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Disabled Worker	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Claiming Age
62 or younger	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
63–66	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
67 or older	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Quarters of Coverage
201+	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
161–200	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
81–160	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
0–80	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	99%
Own AIME Quintile
$11,030+	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$7,326 - $11,030	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$5,076 - $7,326	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$2,910 - $5,076	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$0-$2,910	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Paying AIME Quintile
$12,519+	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$8,545 - $12,519	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$6,145 - $8,545	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$3,923 - $6,145	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$0-$3,923	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Hhld. Benefit Quintile
$4,389+	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$3,216 - $4,389	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$2,435 - $3,216	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$1,690 - $2,435	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$0-$1,690	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Adj. Gross Income
$181,671+	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$123,969 - $181,671	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$82,014 - $123,969	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$1 - $82,014	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
$0.00	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	0%	100%
Population: current law beneficiaries aged 60 and older Source: SSA's Office of Retirement Policy, using MINT 6/TR11 Assumptions/SSMBA 4. Run: 04/05/2012
Note: This proposal is based on specifications received from outside the Social Security Administration, unless noted otherwise. It does not represent the views of the agency.

Table 3. Poverty 2070: Child Credits Five Years Half AWI versus Scheduled
Characteristic	Poverty Rate			# of Poor Change
Characteristic	Scheduled	Option	Diff	# of Poor Change
Total	1.2%	0.7%	-0.5%	-465,468
Sex
Female	1.6%	0.9%	-0.7%	-354,374
Male	0.7%	0.4%	-0.3%	-111,094
Race/Ethnicity
Hispanic	1.7%	0.9%	-0.8%	-165,318
White	0.8%	0.5%	-0.3%	-153,604
Black	2.2%	1.3%	-0.9%	-89,636
Other	1.2%	0.6%	-0.6%	-56,908
Immigration
Immigrant	1.5%	0.7%	-0.9%	-186,082
Native Born	1.1%	0.7%	-0.4%	-279,385
Age
60–69	1.5%	0.9%	-0.6%	-181,798
70–79	1.1%	0.7%	-0.5%	-177,430
80–89	0.9%	0.5%	-0.4%	-93,601
90+	0.7%	0.5%	-0.2%	-12,638
Marital Status
Never Married	3.4%	2.3%	-1.1%	-152,751
Married	0.4%	0.2%	-0.2%	-104,451
Divorced	1.5%	0.8%	-0.7%	-133,144
Widowed	1.2%	0.7%	-0.5%	-75,119
Education
Graduate	0.2%	0.1%	-0.1%	-14,530
Bachelor	0.4%	0.3%	-0.1%	-28,949
Associate	0.6%	0.5%	-0.2%	-37,576
High School	1.7%	1.0%	-0.7%	-230,158
Less than 12 Yrs	3.6%	1.9%	-1.7%	-154,252
Indiv. Income Quintile
$141,869+	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$76,273 - $141,869	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$47,225 - $76,273	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$28,018 - $47,225	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$0-$28,018	5.9%	3.4%	-2.5%	-465,468
Hhld. Income Quintile
$234,849+	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$125,659 - $234,849	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$74,813 - $125,659	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$41,558 - $74,813	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$0-$41,558	5.9%	3.4%	-2.5%	-465,468
Shared Earn. Quintile
$129,152+	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$89,585 - $129,152	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$63,685 - $89,585	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$39,226 - $63,685	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%	-4,224
$0-$39,226	5.8%	3.3%	-2.4%	-461,243
Benefit Type
Retired Worker	1.1%	0.7%	-0.4%	-281,997
Spousal & Worker	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0
Spousal Only	2.4%	1.3%	-1.1%	-13,023
Survivor & Worker	0.3%	0.1%	-0.1%	-14,476
Survivor Only	5.0%	2.7%	-2.3%	-17,729
Retired Disabled	2.0%	1.0%	-0.9%	-79,354
Disabled Worker	2.3%	1.1%	-1.2%	-58,887
Claiming Age
62 or younger	1.8%	1.1%	-0.7%	-317,294
63–66	0.5%	0.2%	-0.3%	-121,602
67 or older	0.8%	0.3%	-0.4%	-26,570
Quarters of Coverage
201+	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
161–200	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
81–160	0.7%	0.4%	-0.3%	-106,969
0–80	7.8%	4.6%	-3.2%	-358,498
Own AIME Quintile
$11,030+	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$7,326 - $11,030	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$5,076 - $7,326	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$2,910 - $5,076	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-1,522
$0-$2,910	5.8%	3.4%	-2.5%	-463,945
Paying AIME Quintile
$12,519+	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$8,545 - $12,519	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$6,145 - $8,545	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$3,923 - $6,145	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$0-$3,923	5.8%	3.4%	-2.5%	-465,468
Hhld. Benefit Quintile
$4,389+	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$3,216 - $4,389	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$2,435 - $3,216	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$1,690 - $2,435	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$0-$1,690	5.9%	3.4%	-2.5%	-465,468
Adj. Gross Income
$181,671+	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$123,969 - $181,671	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-1,515
$82,014 - $123,969	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$1 - $82,014	1.0%	0.6%	-0.4%	-64,652
$0.00	3.0%	1.8%	-1.3%	-399,300
Population: current law beneficiaries aged 60 and older Source: SSA's Office of Retirement Policy, using MINT 6/TR11 Assumptions/SSMBA 4. Run: 04/05/2012
Note: This proposal is based on specifications received from outside the Social Security Administration, unless noted otherwise. It does not represent the views of the agency.

Table 7. Poverty 2070: Child Credits Five Years Half AWI versus Payable
Characteristic	Poverty Rate			# of Poor Change
Characteristic	Payable	Option	Diff	# of Poor Change
Total	2.3%	0.7%	-1.6%	-1,530,068
Sex
Female	3.0%	0.9%	-2.1%	-1,070,077
Male	1.5%	0.4%	-1.0%	-459,990
Race/Ethnicity
Hispanic	3.3%	0.9%	-2.4%	-487,726
White	1.5%	0.5%	-1.0%	-566,756
Black	4.6%	1.3%	-3.2%	-324,743
Other	2.1%	0.6%	-1.5%	-150,841
Immigration
Immigrant	3.0%	0.7%	-2.3%	-500,412
Native Born	2.1%	0.7%	-1.4%	-1,029,655
Age
60–69	2.9%	0.9%	-2.0%	-566,741
70–79	2.3%	0.7%	-1.6%	-585,539
80–89	1.9%	0.5%	-1.4%	-320,035
90+	1.4%	0.5%	-0.9%	-57,751
Marital Status
Never Married	6.2%	2.3%	-4.0%	-535,881
Married	0.8%	0.2%	-0.6%	-315,072
Divorced	3.3%	0.8%	-2.5%	-471,884
Widowed	2.2%	0.7%	-1.5%	-207,230
Education
Graduate	0.7%	0.1%	-0.6%	-68,165
Bachelor	0.7%	0.3%	-0.4%	-99,978
Associate	1.7%	0.5%	-1.3%	-270,108
High School	3.3%	1.0%	-2.3%	-714,981
Less than 12 Yrs	6.1%	1.9%	-4.2%	-376,834
Indiv. Income Quintile
$141,869+	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$76,273 - $141,869	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$47,225 - $76,273	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$28,018 - $47,225	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$0-$28,018	11.6%	3.4%	-8.2%	-1,530,068
Hhld. Income Quintile
$234,849+	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$125,659 - $234,849	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$74,813 - $125,659	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$41,558 - $74,813	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$0-$41,558	11.6%	3.4%	-8.2%	-1,530,068
Shared Earn. Quintile
$129,152+	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-2,661
$89,585 - $129,152	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$63,685 - $89,585	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$39,226 - $63,685	0.2%	0.0%	-0.2%	-36,641
$0-$39,226	11.2%	3.3%	-7.9%	-1,490,765
Benefit Type
Retired Worker	2.2%	0.7%	-1.5%	-976,086
Spousal & Worker	0.5%	0.1%	-0.3%	-12,071
Spousal Only	4.0%	1.3%	-2.7%	-32,977
Survivor & Worker	0.8%	0.1%	-0.6%	-62,756
Survivor Only	6.5%	2.7%	-3.8%	-29,651
Retired Disabled	3.7%	1.0%	-2.7%	-233,538
Disabled Worker	4.9%	1.1%	-3.8%	-182,987
Claiming Age
62 or younger	3.5%	1.1%	-2.3%	-1,093,479
63–66	1.1%	0.2%	-0.9%	-361,902
67 or older	1.6%	0.3%	-1.2%	-74,685
Quarters of Coverage
201+	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
161–200	0.1%	0.0%	-0.1%	-24,867
81–160	2.1%	0.4%	-1.7%	-612,018
0–80	12.5%	4.6%	-7.9%	-893,182
Own AIME Quintile
$11,030+	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$7,326 - $11,030	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$5,076 - $7,326	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-1,669
$2,910 - $5,076	0.6%	0.0%	-0.6%	-110,797
$0-$2,910	10.9%	3.4%	-7.5%	-1,417,601
Paying AIME Quintile
$12,519+	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$8,545 - $12,519	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$6,145 - $8,545	0.1%	0.0%	-0.1%	-10,475
$3,923 - $6,145	0.1%	0.0%	-0.1%	-20,940
$0-$3,923	11.3%	3.4%	-7.9%	-1,498,652
Hhld. Benefit Quintile
$4,389+	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$3,216 - $4,389	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$2,435 - $3,216	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$1,690 - $2,435	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$0-$1,690	11.5%	3.4%	-8.1%	-1,530,068
Adj. Gross Income
$181,671+	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$123,969 - $181,671	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	-1,515
$82,014 - $123,969	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	0
$1 - $82,014	1.7%	0.6%	-1.1%	-179,185
$0.00	6.1%	1.8%	-4.3%	-1,349,367
Population: current law beneficiaries aged 60 and older Source: SSA's Office of Retirement Policy, using MINT 6/TR11 Assumptions/SSMBA 4. Run: 04/05/2012
Note: This proposal is based on specifications received from outside the Social Security Administration, unless noted otherwise. It does not represent the views of the agency.

Table 4. Median Monthly Scheduled Benefit, 2070
Characteristic	Wage-Adjusted (2012 $)	Inflation-Adjusted (2012 $)	Nominal (2070 $)
Total	$1,016	$2,062	$9,821
Sex
Female	$920	$1,867	$8,892
Male	$1,131	$2,295	$10,929
Race/Ethnicity
Hispanic	$879	$1,784	$8,495
White	$1,084	$2,200	$10,478
Black	$945	$1,917	$9,129
Other	$1,051	$2,132	$10,156
Immigration
Immigrant	$907	$1,840	$8,765
Native Born	$1,046	$2,122	$10,105
Age
60–69	$966	$1,960	$9,337
70–79	$1,031	$2,093	$9,967
80–89	$1,033	$2,095	$9,979
90+	$1,076	$2,184	$10,401
Marital Status
Never Married	$927	$1,881	$8,961
Married	$991	$2,010	$9,575
Divorced	$1,067	$2,165	$10,312
Widowed	$1,121	$2,276	$10,838
Education
Graduate	$1,297	$2,632	$12,534
Bachelor	$1,231	$2,498	$11,897
Associate	$1,000	$2,030	$9,669
High School	$907	$1,841	$8,768
Less than 12 Yrs	$759	$1,541	$7,339
Indiv. Income Quintile
$141,869+	$1,435	$2,911	$13,865
$76,273 - $141,869	$1,237	$2,510	$11,954
$47,225 - $76,273	$1,090	$2,211	$10,532
$28,018 - $47,225	$942	$1,912	$9,105
$0-$28,018	$625	$1,268	$6,039
Hhld. Income Quintile
$234,849+	$1,354	$2,747	$13,082
$125,659 - $234,849	$1,200	$2,435	$11,599
$74,813 - $125,659	$1,080	$2,192	$10,438
$41,558 - $74,813	$949	$1,926	$9,171
$0-$41,558	$699	$1,419	$6,757
Shared Earn. Quintile
$129,152+	$1,532	$3,109	$14,809
$89,585 - $129,152	$1,265	$2,568	$12,229
$63,685 - $89,585	$1,034	$2,098	$9,993
$39,226 - $63,685	$841	$1,707	$8,130
$0-$39,226	$588	$1,193	$5,682
Benefit Type
Retired Worker	$1,032	$2,095	$9,978
Spousal & Worker	$656	$1,331	$6,341
Spousal Only	$440	$892	$4,251
Survivor & Worker	$1,183	$2,400	$11,429
Survivor Only	$850	$1,725	$8,217
Retired Disabled	$1,010	$2,050	$9,765
Disabled Worker	$1,001	$2,032	$9,678
Claiming Age
62 or younger	$874	$1,773	$8,446
63–66	$1,154	$2,341	$11,148
67 or older	$1,404	$2,849	$13,567
Quarters of Coverage
201+	$1,409	$2,858	$13,612
161–200	$1,167	$2,367	$11,274
81–160	$853	$1,731	$8,247
0–80	$555	$1,126	$5,361
Own AIME Quintile
$11,030+	$1,586	$3,218	$15,327
$7,326 - $11,030	$1,247	$2,531	$12,054
$5,076 - $7,326	$976	$1,979	$9,427
$2,910 - $5,076	$762	$1,545	$7,360
$0-$2,910	$551	$1,117	$5,320
Paying AIME Quintile
$12,519+	$1,590	$3,227	$15,370
$8,545 - $12,519	$1,317	$2,672	$12,728
$6,145 - $8,545	$1,052	$2,135	$10,168
$3,923 - $6,145	$831	$1,685	$8,027
$0-$3,923	$562	$1,141	$5,432
Hhld. Benefit Quintile
$4,389+	$1,390	$2,820	$13,429
$3,216 - $4,389	$1,179	$2,392	$11,392
$2,435 - $3,216	$1,285	$2,606	$12,414
$1,690 - $2,435	$976	$1,981	$9,434
$0-$1,690	$610	$1,237	$5,893
Adj. Gross Income
$181,671+	$1,354	$2,748	$13,087
$123,969 - $181,671	$1,202	$2,440	$11,619
$82,014 - $123,969	$1,112	$2,257	$10,749
$1 - $82,014	$897	$1,819	$8,665
$0.00	$833	$1,690	$8,050
Population: current law beneficiaries aged 60 and older Source: SSA's Office of Retirement Policy, using MINT 6/TR11 Assumptions/SSMBA 4. Run: 04/05/2012
Note: This proposal is based on specifications received from outside the Social Security Administration, unless noted otherwise. It does not represent the views of the agency.

Table 8. Median Monthly Payable Benefit, 2070
Characteristic	Wage-Adjusted (2012 $)	Inflation-Adjusted (2012 $)	Nominal (2070 $)
Total	$780	$1,584	$7,542
Sex
Female	$707	$1,434	$6,829
Male	$868	$1,762	$8,393
Race/Ethnicity
Hispanic	$675	$1,370	$6,524
White	$833	$1,690	$8,047
Black	$725	$1,472	$7,011
Other	$807	$1,638	$7,800
Immigration
Immigrant	$697	$1,413	$6,732
Native Born	$803	$1,629	$7,761
Age
60–69	$742	$1,506	$7,171
70–79	$792	$1,607	$7,654
80–89	$793	$1,609	$7,664
90+	$827	$1,677	$7,988
Marital Status
Never Married	$712	$1,445	$6,882
Married	$761	$1,544	$7,354
Divorced	$819	$1,663	$7,919
Widowed	$861	$1,748	$8,323
Education
Graduate	$996	$2,021	$9,626
Bachelor	$945	$1,918	$9,137
Associate	$768	$1,559	$7,426
High School	$697	$1,414	$6,734
Less than 12 Yrs	$583	$1,183	$5,636
Indiv. Income Quintile
$141,869+	$1,102	$2,236	$10,649
$76,273 - $141,869	$950	$1,928	$9,181
$47,225 - $76,273	$837	$1,698	$8,089
$28,018 - $47,225	$724	$1,468	$6,993
$0-$28,018	$480	$974	$4,638
Hhld. Income Quintile
$234,849+	$1,040	$2,110	$10,047
$125,659 - $234,849	$922	$1,870	$8,908
$74,813 - $125,659	$830	$1,683	$8,017
$41,558 - $74,813	$729	$1,479	$7,043
$0-$41,558	$537	$1,090	$5,189
Shared Earn. Quintile
$129,152+	$1,177	$2,388	$11,373
$89,585 - $129,152	$972	$1,972	$9,392
$63,685 - $89,585	$794	$1,611	$7,675
$39,226 - $63,685	$646	$1,311	$6,244
$0-$39,226	$452	$916	$4,364
Benefit Type
Retired Worker	$793	$1,609	$7,663
Spousal & Worker	$504	$1,022	$4,870
Spousal Only	$338	$685	$3,264
Survivor & Worker	$908	$1,843	$8,777
Survivor Only	$653	$1,325	$6,311
Retired Disabled	$776	$1,575	$7,499
Disabled Worker	$769	$1,561	$7,432
Claiming Age
62 or younger	$671	$1,362	$6,487
63–66	$886	$1,798	$8,562
67 or older	$1,078	$2,188	$10,420
Quarters of Coverage
201+	$1,082	$2,195	$10,454
161–200	$896	$1,818	$8,659
81–160	$655	$1,330	$6,333
0–80	$426	$865	$4,117
Own AIME Quintile
$11,030+	$1,218	$2,471	$11,771
$7,326 - $11,030	$958	$1,944	$9,258
$5,076 - $7,326	$749	$1,520	$7,240
$2,910 - $5,076	$585	$1,187	$5,653
$0-$2,910	$423	$858	$4,086
Paying AIME Quintile
$12,519+	$1,221	$2,478	$11,804
$8,545 - $12,519	$1,011	$2,052	$9,775
$6,145 - $8,545	$808	$1,640	$7,809
$3,923 - $6,145	$638	$1,294	$6,165
$0-$3,923	$432	$876	$4,172
Hhld. Benefit Quintile
$4,389+	$1,067	$2,165	$10,313
$3,216 - $4,389	$905	$1,837	$8,749
$2,435 - $3,216	$987	$2,002	$9,534
$1,690 - $2,435	$750	$1,521	$7,245
$0-$1,690	$468	$950	$4,526
Adj. Gross Income
$181,671+	$1,040	$2,110	$10,051
$123,969 - $181,671	$923	$1,874	$8,924
$82,014 - $123,969	$854	$1,733	$8,255
$1 - $82,014	$689	$1,397	$6,654
$0.00	$640	$1,298	$6,183
Population: current law beneficiaries aged 60 and older Source: SSA's Office of Retirement Policy, using MINT 6/TR11 Assumptions/SSMBA 4. Run: 04/05/2012
Note: This proposal is based on specifications received from outside the Social Security Administration, unless noted otherwise. It does not represent the views of the agency.