Table 1c--Cash Flow from the OASDI Trust Funds to the General Fund of the Treasury--the Bipartisan Retirement Security Act vs Theoretical OASDI
IA proceeds go to estate if worker dies before entitlement
Ultimate Real Trust Fund Interest Rate 3.00
Ultimate Real IA Yield Rate 4.45 Ultimate Real Annuity Yield Rate 3.00
Year
Estimate for Proposal Net Amount of Cash Flow from the OASDI Trust Funds to the General Fund of the Treasury During the Year
Estimate for Modified Present Law with Borrowing to Pay Scheduled Benefits Net Amount of Cash Flow from the OASDI Trust Funds to the General Fund of the Treasury During the Year
Percent of payroll
Current Dollars
Present Value 1/1/2003 Dollars
Constant 2003 Dollars
Percent of payroll
Current Dollars
Present Value 1/1/2003 Dollars
Constant 2003 Dollars
2003
1.8
79
77
79
1.8
79
77
79
2004
2.0
94
86
92
1.9
87
79
85
2005
2.3
116
100
110
2.0
96
83
91
2006
0.4
20
16
19
2.1
105
86
97
2007
0.6
32
24
29
2.1
111
85
100
2008
0.6
37
27
32
2.0
114
82
99
2009
0.6
35
24
30
1.9
114
77
96
2010
0.5
31
20
26
1.8
112
71
92
2011
0.4
28
17
22
1.6
108
65
86
2012
0.3
20
11
15
1.4
100
57
78
2013
0.1
8
4
6
1.2
88
47
66
2014
-0.1
-5
-3
-4
1.0
74
37
54
2015
-0.3
-21
-10
-15
0.7
56
26
39
2016
-0.5
-41
-18
-28
0.4
33
15
23
2017
-0.7
-62
-26
-42
0.1
7
3
5
2018
-0.9
-86
-34
-56
-0.3
-23
-9
-15
2019
-1.1
-113
-42
-71
-0.6
-55
-21
-35
2020
-1.4
-141
-50
-86
-0.9
-92
-32
-56
2021
-1.6
-172
-57
-102
-1.3
-133
-44
-79
2022
-1.8
-204
-64
-118
-1.6
-176
-55
-101
2023
-2.0
-235
-69
-131
-1.9
-218
-64
-122
2024
-2.2
-267
-74
-145
-2.2
-263
-73
-143
2025
-2.3
-299
-78
-158
-2.5
-310
-81
-163
2026
-2.5
-331
-82
-170
-2.8
-358
-88
-183
2027
-2.6
-363
-85
-181
-3.1
-409
-95
-203
2028
-2.7
-395
-87
-190
-3.3
-461
-101
-222
2029
-2.8
-425
-88
-199
-3.5
-513
-106
-240
2030
-2.8
-452
-88
-206
-3.7
-565
-110
-257
2031
-2.9
-477
-88
-211
-3.9
-617
-113
-272
2032
-2.9
-499
-86
-214
-4.0
-668
-116
-286
2033
-2.9
-519
-85
-216
-4.1
-719
-117
-299
2034
-2.8
-537
-82
-217
-4.2
-769
-118
-311
2035
-2.8
-551
-80
-216
-4.3
-819
-119
-321
2036
-2.7
-564
-77
-215
-4.4
-868
-119
-330
2037
-2.7
-575
-74
-212
-4.4
-917
-118
-339
2038
-2.6
-583
-71
-209
-4.5
-965
-117
-346
2039
-2.5
-588
-67
-205
-4.5
-1,014
-116
-353
2040
-2.4
-592
-64
-200
-4.5
-1,064
-115
-360
2041
-2.3
-594
-60
-195
-4.5
-1,116
-113
-366
2042
-2.2
-595
-57
-190
-4.5
-1,171
-112
-373
2043
-2.1
-595
-54
-184
-4.6
-1,229
-111
-380
2044
-2.0
-594
-51
-179
-4.6
-1,292
-110
-388
2045
-1.9
-594
-48
-173
-4.6
-1,359
-109
-397
2046
-1.9
-594
-45
-168
-4.7
-1,432
-108
-406
2047
-1.8
-594
-42
-163
-4.7
-1,510
-108
-415
2048
-1.7
-594
-40
-159
-4.8
-1,592
-107
-425
2049
-1.6
-594
-38
-154
-4.8
-1,680
-106
-436
2050
-1.6
-595
-36
-150
-4.9
-1,775
-106
-447
2051
-1.5
-600
-34
-147
-5.0
-1,877
-106
-459
2052
-1.5
-608
-32
-144
-5.0
-1,988
-105
-472
2053
-1.4
-617
-31
-142
-5.1
-2,104
-105
-485
2054
-1.4
-629
-30
-141
-5.2
-2,226
-105
-498
2055
-1.4
-642
-29
-139
-5.2
-2,355
-105
-511
2056
-1.3
-657
-27
-138
-5.3
-2,489
-104
-525
2057
-1.3
-672
-27
-138
-5.4
-2,629
-104
-538
2058
-1.3
-688
-26
-137
-5.4
-2,773
-103
-551
2059
-1.3
-704
-25
-136
-5.5
-2,922
-102
-564
2060
-1.2
-721
-24
-135
-5.5
-3,077
-102
-576
2061
-1.2
-737
-23
-134
-5.6
-3,239
-101
-589
2062
-1.2
-756
-22
-133
-5.6
-3,409
-100
-602
2063
-1.2
-778
-22
-133
-5.7
-3,590
-99
-615
2064
-1.2
-803
-21
-134
-5.7
-3,781
-99
-629
2065
-1.2
-831
-20
-134
-5.8
-3,982
-98
-643
2066
-1.1
-863
-20
-135
-5.8
-4,194
-97
-658
2067
-1.1
-900
-20
-137
-5.9
-4,420
-97
-673
2068
-1.1
-939
-19
-139
-6.0
-4,658
-96
-689
2069
-1.2
-984
-19
-141
-6.0
-4,908
-95
-705
2070
-1.2
-1,032
-19
-144
-6.1
-5,173
-95
-721
2071
-1.2
-1,083
-19
-147
-6.1
-5,450
-94
-737
2072
-1.2
-1,139
-19
-150
-6.2
-5,743
-93
-754
2073
-1.2
-1,200
-18
-153
-6.3
-6,049
-93
-771
2074
-1.2
-1,265
-18
-157
-6.3
-6,371
-92
-789
2075
-1.2
-1,334
-18
-160
-6.4
-6,709
-91
-806
2076
-1.2
-1,408
-18
-164
-6.4
-7,063
-91
-824
2077
-1.2
-1,487
-18
-168
-6.5
-7,433
-90
-842
2078
-1.3
-1,569
-18
-173
-6.6
-7,822
-89
-860
Total 2003-2077
-2,407
-4,910
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2003 Trustees Report.
Office of the Chief Actuary Social Security Administration February 11, 2004