Table ii. -- Selected Demographic Assumptions
Calendar
year
Total
fertility
rate 1
Age-sex-
adjusted
death rate 2
(per 100,000)
Life expectancy 3
At birth
At age 65
Male
Female
Male
Female
Historical data:
1940 2.23 1,672.6 61.4 65.7 11.9 13.4
1945 2.42 1,488.6 62.9 68.4 12.6 14.4
1950 3.03 1,339.9 65.6 71.1 12.8 15.1
1955 3.50 1,243.0 66.7 72.8 13.1 15.6
1960 3.61 1,237.9 66.7 73.2 12.9 15.9
1965 2.88 1,210.8 66.8 73.8 12.9 16.3
1970 2.43 1,138.4 67.1 74.9 13.1 17.1
1975 1.77 1,020.9 68.7 76.6 13.7 18.0
1980 1.85 961.1 69.9 77.5 14.0 18.4
1985 1.84 912.3 71.1 78.2 14.4 18.6
1990 2.07 865.9 71.8 78.9 15.0 19.0
1995 2.02 838.4 72.6 79.0 15.6 19.0

Intermediate alternative:
2000 2.00 804.7 73.2 79.7 15.8 19.3
2005 1.97 771.7 74.1 80.1 16.0 19.5
2010 1.95 746.7 74.7 80.5 16.2 19.6
2015 1.93 725.0 75.1 80.8 16.4 19.8
2020 1.90 704.0 75.5 81.1 16.6 20.0
2025 1.90 684.0 75.8 81.5 16.8 20.2
2030 1.90 665.0 76.2 81.8 17.0 20.4
2035 1.90 646.9 76.5 82.1 17.3 20.7
2040 1.90 629.7 76.8 82.4 17.5 20.9
2050 1.90 597.8 77.5 82.9 17.8 21.3
2060 1.90 568.7 78.1 83.5 18.2 21.7
2070 1.90 542.2 78.6 84.0 18.6 22.1
2080 1.90 518.0 79.2 84.5 19.0 22.5

1 The total fertility rate for any year is the average number of children who would be born to a woman in her lifetime if she were to experience the birthrates by age observed in, or assumed for, the selected year, and if she were to survive the entire child-bearing period. The ultimate total fertility rate is assumed to be reached in 2021.
2 The age-sex-adjusted death rate is the crude death rate that would occur in the enumerated total population as of April 1, 1990, if that population were to experience the death rates by age and sex observed in, or assumed to for, the selected year.
3 The life expectancy for any year is the average number of years of life remaining for a person if that person were to experience the death rates by age observed in, or assumed for, the selected year.