Life Tables for the United States Social Security Area 1900-2100

Actuarial Study No. 116

by : Felicitie C. Bell and Michael L. Miller
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Table 4a - Male Age-Adjusted Central Death Rates (per 100,000) by Cause of Death 1979-2100

Cause of Death

Calendar
Year

Total

Heart
Disease

Cancer

Vascular
Disease

Violence

Respiratory
Disease

Diabetes
Mellitus

Other

1979
1,253.0
489.7
256.6
140.6
112.3
83.7
16.9
153.1
1980
1,270.2
494.1
259.2
138.3
112.0
91.7
17.2
157.7
1981
1,235.1
478.6
257.3
129.0
107.3
91.4
16.7
154.7
1982
1,196.3
463.1
258.3
120.7
100.4
87.2
16.2
150.4
1983
1,208.6
465.1
261.5
118.3
96.7
94.5
16.6
155.9
1984
1,197.0
452.1
262.6
113.9
96.2
96.1
16.7
159.4
1985
1,202.0
446.4
263.1
110.1
95.6
102.6
16.8
167.4
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1986
1,189.0
431.3
263.7
105.5
98.0
102.6
16.6
171.3
1987
1,173.8
418.2
264.0
103.4
96.1
100.4
17.2
174.5
1988
1,190.9
419.1
266.7
104.1
97.2
106.0
17.9
179.9
1989
1,156.7
393.2
268.1
98.7
95.2
102.0
20.4
179.0
1990
1,137.0
379.2
269.5
95.7
94.3
102.3
20.7
175.3
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1991
1,121.5
369.6
268.6
93.1
92.6
101.2
21.0
175.4
1992
1,107.1
361.8
268.0
91.5
89.7
98.9
21.3
175.9
1993
1,127.8
365.5
268.2
93.1
91.7
103.8
22.7
182.8
1994
1,108.8
352.5
264.8
92.2
90.9
101.0
23.5
183.9
1995
1,100.5
347.3
262.1
92.1
89.3
100.1
24.4
185.0
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
1996
1,077.0
339.1
258.4
91.3
87.3
99.6
25.4
175.8
1997
1,053.2
329.5
253.6
89.9
85.7
101.4
25.5
167.5
1998
1,036.7
320.5
249.5
86.2
84.5
102.7
26.3
167.0
1999
1,035.4
317.6
247.1
83.9
81.9
103.6
27.0
174.3
2000
1,029.5
309.7
249.8
84.0
82.4
102.5
27.9
173.2
2001
1,021.9
302.8
249.6
82.0
81.4
103.1
28.5
174.4
2002
1,014.7
296.1
249.5
80.1
80.4
103.8
29.2
175.6
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2005
991.7
278.8
248.0
74.8
77.8
104.9
30.2
177.2
2010
951.0
255.0
243.6
67.0
74.1
104.9
30.5
175.8
2015
910.5
234.5
238.4
60.0
70.8
104.1
30.1
172.5
2020
871.8
216.1
233.0
53.8
67.7
103.0
29.4
168.7
2025
835.3
199.4
227.6
48.2
64.8
101.8
28.7
164.7
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2030
801.1
184.0
222.4
43.3
62.0
100.6
28.0
160.8
2040
738.9
156.8
212.2
34.9
56.8
98.2
26.5
153.5
2050
684.3
133.8
202.5
28.2
52.0
95.9
25.2
146.7
2060
635.9
114.3
193.2
22.8
47.6
93.7
23.9
140.4
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
2070
592.9
97.7
184.4
18.5
43.6
91.6
22.7
134.5
2080
554.5
83.6
176.0
15.0
40.0
89.5
21.6
128.9
2090
520.1
71.6
167.9
12.2
36.7
87.5
20.5
123.8
2100
489.0
61.4
160.3
9.9
33.6
85.5
19.5
118.9

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