ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 117
The following table presents the plot points for Figure IV.16--
Female Disability Recovery Rate, Calendar Years 1986-2078
Plot points--Historical
Year
Actual
1986
7.744
1987
12.365
1988
12.803
1989
9.308
1990
8.869
1991
7.341
1992
7.506
1993
6.607
1994
7.223
1995
9.045
1996
9.220
1997
14.194
1998
10.231
1999
10.530
2000
12.026
2001
11.146
2002
10.706
2003
10.003
Plot points--Projected
Year
Expected
Alternative II
95%
Confidence Interval
for annual values
95%
Confidence Interval
for cumulative average
Lower bound
Upper bound
Lower bound
Upper bound
2004
11.790
8.549
14.909
8.549
14.909
2005
12.215
8.567
15.787
9.066
14.879
2006
13.297
9.528
17.069
9.624
15.164
2007
13.262
9.352
17.021
9.888
15.276
2008
14.434
10.637
18.283
10.409
15.540
2009
14.457
10.654
18.340
10.794
15.704
2010
14.486
10.581
18.441
11.058
15.727
2011
15.830
11.936
19.761
11.468
15.984
2012
15.874
12.014
19.773
11.785
16.126
2013
15.943
12.125
19.852
12.073
16.247
2014
15.266
11.464
19.116
12.229
16.256
2015
14.606
10.731
18.490
12.338
16.224
2016
13.945
10.127
17.842
12.426
16.162
2017
13.261
9.479
17.243
12.413
16.049
2018
12.589
8.790
16.316
12.331
15.923
2019
11.940
8.116
15.792
12.238
15.718
2020
11.311
7.499
15.140
12.139
15.503
2021
10.692
6.893
14.624
12.023
15.282
2022
10.050
6.097
13.811
11.873
15.049
2023
9.405
5.485
13.226
11.710
14.818
2024
9.418
5.658
13.198
11.556
14.617
2025
9.442
5.691
13.348
11.423
14.385
2026
9.463
5.652
13.313
11.321
14.215
2027
9.466
5.588
13.296
11.217
14.049
2028
9.458
5.622
13.323
11.115
13.898
2029
9.446
5.582
13.245
11.021
13.750
2030
9.450
5.469
13.369
10.949
13.621
2031
9.443
5.469
13.136
10.856
13.483
2032
9.427
5.525
13.281
10.771
13.370
2033
9.403
5.533
13.241
10.687
13.252
2034
9.388
5.553
13.273
10.628
13.155
2035
9.374
5.458
13.280
10.552
13.066
2036
9.375
5.617
13.166
10.507
12.967
2037
9.365
5.489
13.150
10.441
12.902
2038
9.347
5.519
13.148
10.420
12.810
2039
9.333
5.467
13.154
10.375
12.715
2040
9.328
5.304
13.246
10.339
12.651
2041
9.327
5.495
13.085
10.292
12.577
2042
9.329
5.619
13.106
10.249
12.506
2043
9.313
5.475
13.030
10.205
12.452
2044
9.302
5.519
13.122
10.180
12.386
2045
9.300
5.459
13.115
10.129
12.324
2046
9.296
5.415
13.126
10.096
12.286
2047
9.309
5.587
13.120
10.079
12.229
2048
9.296
5.489
13.140
10.033
12.167
2049
9.290
5.419
13.123
10.005
12.117
2050
9.290
5.461
13.099
9.973
12.071
2051
9.293
5.470
13.080
9.953
12.031
2052
9.302
5.468
13.089
9.917
11.976
2053
9.296
5.392
13.301
9.890
11.927
2054
9.291
5.470
13.089
9.864
11.884
2055
9.286
5.451
13.181
9.846
11.845
2056
9.285
5.420
13.175
9.822
11.798
2057
9.295
5.474
13.140
9.818
11.764
2058
9.292
5.468
13.115
9.801
11.730
2059
9.294
5.442
13.334
9.785
11.702
2060
9.289
5.532
13.213
9.769
11.661
2061
9.289
5.440
13.152
9.737
11.637
2062
9.293
5.358
13.236
9.732
11.601
2063
9.289
5.552
13.125
9.710
11.576
2064
9.287
5.581
13.088
9.691
11.546
2065
9.285
5.406
13.195
9.682
11.520
2066
9.283
5.467
13.266
9.666
11.498
2067
9.286
5.457
13.149
9.657
11.470
2068
9.285
5.334
13.128
9.645
11.449
2069
9.286
5.538
13.232
9.636
11.418
2070
9.285
5.468
13.183
9.626
11.382
2071
9.282
5.474
13.052
9.618
11.360
2072
9.281
5.369
13.068
9.608
11.343
2073
9.284
5.397
13.067
9.598
11.305
2074
9.282
5.473
13.122
9.586
11.277
2075
9.282
5.458
13.080
9.582
11.265
2076
9.280
5.477
13.155
9.570
11.246
2077
9.280
5.439
13.182
9.548
11.232
2078
9.284
5.456
13.065
9.541
11.210