ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 117
The following table presents the plot points for Figure IV.7--
Legal Emigration, Calendar Years 1980-2078
Plot points--Historical
Year
Actual
1980
136,783
1981
148,996
1982
146,384
1983
138,949
1984
137,608
1985
144,483
1986
150,416
1987
152,974
1988
158,824
1989
155,778
1990
167,022
1991
182,667
1992
206,995
1993
214,899
1994
194,463
1995
191,240
1996
220,761
1997
190,600
1998
163,120
1999
174,346
2000
225,860
2001
266,042
2002
265,934
Plot points--Projected
Year
Expected
Alternative II
95%
Confidence Interval
for annual values
95%
Confidence Interval
for cumulative average
Lower bound
Upper bound
Lower bound
Upper bound
2003
187,500
2004
258,333
216,302
299,824
216,302
299,824
2005
250,000
206,345
295,374
218,935
290,109
2006
241,667
197,774
285,893
220,223
280,209
2007
233,333
188,170
277,525
218,495
273,493
2008
225,000
179,166
269,373
215,957
266,433
2009
216,667
171,990
261,997
213,707
260,544
2010
208,333
162,691
253,999
211,397
254,953
2011
200,000
154,155
244,569
207,829
249,257
2012
200,000
156,428
245,262
206,016
244,883
2013
200,000
154,472
245,888
204,317
241,582
2014
200,000
154,872
244,256
203,341
238,872
2015
200,000
154,355
244,257
202,210
236,571
2016
200,000
155,107
244,360
201,263
234,426
2017
200,000
153,224
244,601
200,645
232,271
2018
200,000
155,458
244,778
200,064
230,816
2019
200,000
155,570
243,115
199,608
229,542
2020
200,000
153,728
243,711
199,018
228,312
2021
200,000
155,310
244,696
198,760
227,224
2022
200,000
154,403
246,089
198,387
225,782
2023
200,000
153,907
244,485
198,148
224,947
2024
200,000
155,157
244,151
197,993
224,133
2025
200,000
154,318
243,280
197,701
223,370
2026
200,000
154,896
245,057
197,629
222,740
2027
200,000
154,909
244,149
197,427
222,063
2028
200,000
155,009
245,001
197,144
221,469
2029
200,000
154,259
246,917
197,064
220,524
2030
200,000
154,609
245,874
197,082
220,131
2031
200,000
153,254
244,479
196,961
219,686
2032
200,000
154,601
244,485
196,855
219,231
2033
200,000
155,003
245,404
196,692
218,915
2034
200,000
154,225
244,609
196,595
218,482
2035
200,000
155,368
245,594
196,676
218,151
2036
200,000
155,553
244,662
196,397
217,731
2037
200,000
154,704
245,716
196,384
217,415
2038
200,000
154,891
244,155
196,333
216,951
2039
200,000
154,116
244,550
196,159
216,561
2040
200,000
155,138
245,141
196,014
216,102
2041
200,000
154,076
244,595
195,990
215,838
2042
200,000
154,772
243,969
196,060
215,401
2043
200,000
155,164
244,445
196,028
215,237
2044
200,000
153,491
245,594
196,170
214,981
2045
200,000
156,085
244,728
196,299
214,628
2046
200,000
154,703
245,024
196,053
214,451
2047
200,000
155,380
245,215
196,073
214,327
2048
200,000
155,300
244,531
196,089
213,997
2049
200,000
153,440
245,398
196,045
213,878
2050
200,000
155,057
246,369
196,082
213,698
2051
200,000
154,694
244,837
196,033
213,346
2052
200,000
153,922
244,542
196,033
213,140
2053
200,000
154,933
244,139
196,191
213,047
2054
200,000
155,486
244,538
196,269
212,896
2055
200,000
154,008
244,307
196,197
212,747
2056
200,000
155,102
243,527
196,179
212,510
2057
200,000
155,501
245,953
196,162
212,468
2058
200,000
155,543
243,955
196,107
212,357
2059
200,000
155,590
244,869
196,102
212,092
2060
200,000
154,592
244,441
196,092
212,014
2061
200,000
155,985
244,666
196,098
211,890
2062
200,000
154,444
244,104
196,089
211,708
2063
200,000
154,962
245,672
196,062
211,512
2064
200,000
155,796
245,437
196,051
211,494
2065
200,000
155,139
244,354
195,997
211,395
2066
200,000
155,514
245,174
195,998
211,254
2067
200,000
155,986
245,853
195,977
211,127
2068
200,000
155,162
245,937
195,906
211,058
2069
200,000
154,974
243,581
195,941
211,025
2070
200,000
155,182
244,278
196,015
210,929
2071
200,000
154,498
245,144
195,994
210,754
2072
200,000
155,411
245,204
195,937
210,662
2073
200,000
153,919
245,693
195,921
210,577
2074
200,000
154,775
245,797
196,005
210,474
2075
200,000
154,310
244,162
195,998
210,412
2076
200,000
154,558
243,372
196,089
210,300
2077
200,000
154,094
244,151
195,975
210,180
2078
200,000
153,724
245,624
195,941
210,069