ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 117
The following table presents the plot points for Figure IV.9--
Unemployment Rate, Calendar Years 1960-2078
Plot points--Historical
Year
Actual
1960
5.542
1961
6.692
1962
5.567
1963
5.642
1964
5.158
1965
4.508
1966
3.792
1967
3.842
1968
3.558
1969
3.492
1970
4.983
1971
5.950
1972
5.600
1973
4.858
1974
5.642
1975
8.475
1976
7.700
1977
7.050
1978
6.067
1979
5.850
1980
7.175
1981
7.617
1982
9.708
1983
9.600
1984
7.508
1985
7.192
1986
7.000
1987
6.175
1988
5.492
1989
5.258
1990
5.617
1991
6.850
1992
7.492
1993
6.908
1994
6.100
1995
5.592
1996
5.408
1997
4.942
1998
4.508
1999
4.217
2000
4.000
2001
4.767
2002
5.783
Plot points--Projected
Year
Expected
Alternative II
95%
Confidence Interval
for annual values
95%
Confidence Interval
for cumulative average
Lower bound
Upper bound
Lower bound
Upper bound
2003
6.006
—
—
—
—
2004
5.659
4.601
6.941
4.601
6.941
2005
5.544
4.187
7.334
4.541
6.962
2006
5.554
4.048
7.663
4.552
6.922
2007
5.549
3.880
7.924
4.601
6.889
2008
5.541
3.752
8.253
4.634
6.829
2009
5.541
3.636
8.376
4.636
6.896
2010
5.536
3.541
8.629
4.602
6.888
2011
5.530
3.421
8.775
4.594
6.913
2012
5.525
3.365
8.930
4.567
6.966
2013
5.520
3.286
9.001
4.519
7.018
2014
5.512
3.302
9.027
4.508
7.059
2015
5.505
3.257
9.134
4.476
7.061
2016
5.500
3.308
9.148
4.460
7.115
2017
5.501
3.282
9.233
4.446
7.135
2018
5.508
3.217
9.343
4.437
7.197
2019
5.504
3.180
9.386
4.420
7.218
2020
5.500
3.172
9.350
4.418
7.262
2021
5.495
3.124
9.346
4.409
7.263
2022
5.489
3.188
9.193
4.411
7.265
2023
5.489
3.159
9.246
4.401
7.265
2024
5.488
3.142
9.091
4.397
7.260
2025
5.487
3.111
9.105
4.407
7.254
2026
5.484
3.165
9.199
4.407
7.232
2027
5.481
3.217
9.170
4.400
7.232
2028
5.483
3.246
9.240
4.406
7.195
2029
5.484
3.226
9.299
4.419
7.200
2030
5.485
3.224
9.224
4.424
7.194
2031
5.485
3.187
9.153
4.433
7.164
2032
5.484
3.202
9.098
4.443
7.150
2033
5.485
3.189
8.999
4.450
7.120
2034
5.485
3.169
9.174
4.464
7.104
2035
5.486
3.166
9.114
4.464
7.100
2036
5.486
3.155
9.202
4.478
7.093
2037
5.485
3.175
9.199
4.483
7.077
2038
5.485
3.180
9.204
4.486
7.068
2039
5.484
3.240
9.238
4.495
7.053
2040
5.482
3.162
9.306
4.507
7.032
2041
5.480
3.194
9.318
4.516
7.028
2042
5.478
3.179
9.272
4.523
7.040
2043
5.476
3.199
9.215
4.532
7.017
2044
5.474
3.217
9.269
4.537
7.002
2045
5.472
3.204
9.115
4.541
6.991
2046
5.470
3.192
9.138
4.559
6.983
2047
5.467
3.189
9.106
4.567
6.974
2048
5.465
3.197
9.161
4.576
6.957
2049
5.463
3.200
9.166
4.577
6.930
2050
5.461
3.222
9.119
4.586
6.925
2051
5.459
3.206
9.170
4.596
6.911
2052
5.458
3.180
9.226
4.598
6.892
2053
5.457
3.133
9.088
4.596
6.888
2054
5.456
3.141
9.023
4.598
6.884
2055
5.455
3.180
9.127
4.602
6.878
2056
5.456
3.221
9.037
4.613
6.865
2057
5.456
3.189
9.055
4.620
6.853
2058
5.456
3.197
9.055
4.624
6.853
2059
5.456
3.200
9.078
4.628
6.846
2060
5.456
3.184
9.191
4.628
6.847
2061
5.455
3.191
9.191
4.624
6.832
2062
5.455
3.135
9.177
4.634
6.823
2063
5.455
3.153
9.036
4.639
6.808
2064
5.455
3.152
9.156
4.640
6.797
2065
5.455
3.131
9.031
4.652
6.797
2066
5.455
3.112
9.160
4.661
6.779
2067
5.456
3.179
9.173
4.667
6.765
2068
5.455
3.179
9.126
4.678
6.759
2069
5.455
3.183
9.238
4.695
6.748
2070
5.455
3.125
9.208
4.701
6.740
2071
5.454
3.164
9.141
4.704
6.738
2072
5.453
3.155
9.048
4.715
6.733
2073
5.453
3.231
9.040
4.715
6.712
2074
5.452
3.272
9.027
4.717
6.704
2075
5.451
3.152
9.007
4.732
6.696
2076
5.451
3.110
9.166
4.738
6.692
2077
5.450
3.159
9.211
4.741
6.691
2078
5.450
3.179
9.128
4.740
6.677