Life Tables for the
United States Social Security
Area 1900-2100

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ACTUARIAL STUDY NO. 120
by Felicitie C. Bell
and Michael L. Miller

Table 3 — Historical and Assumed Ultimate Average Annual Percentage
Reductions in Central Death Rates by Sex, Age Group and Cause of Death
 
Male
Female
Under Age 15
1981 to 2001
Assumed Ultimate
1981 to 2001
Assumed Ultimate
Heart Disease
3.16
1.00
2.90
1.00
Cancer
3.00
2.00
2.57
2.00
Vascular Disease
0.59
0.60
0.46
0.60
Violence
2.93
0.90
2.28
0.90
Respiratory Disease
3.27
2.50
3.19
2.50
Diabetes Mellitus
1.69
1.80
3.97
1.80
Other
2.85
1.80
2.69
1.80
Total
2.88
1.50
2.62
1.60
Ages 15 - 49
Heart Disease
2.58
2.30
1.26
2.20
Cancer
1.67
0.50
1.57
0.50
Vascular Disease
1.52
1.80
1.77
1.80
Violence
1.17
0.80
0.70
0.80
Respiratory Disease
0.83
0.50
-0.26
0.50
Diabetes Mellitus
-1.60
0.30
-1.22
0.30
Other
-1.75
0.80
-1.23
0.60
Total
0.85
0.90
0.58
0.70
Ages 50 - 64
Heart Disease
3.43
2.00
2.61
2.20
Cancer
1.43
0.40
1.03
0.40
Vascular Disease
2.19
1.50
1.96
1.60
Violence
1.62
0.80
1.27
0.80
Respiratory Disease
1.33
0.60
-1.08
0.70
Diabetes Mellitus
-3.15
0.30
-2.03
0.30
Other
0.33
0.90
0.06
0.80
Total
1.92
0.80
1.10
0.70
Ages 65 - 84
Heart Disease
2.79
1.70
2.53
1.80
Cancer
0.23
0.50
-0.69
0.50
Vascular Disease
2.47
2.50
1.87
2.60
Violence
1.04
1.20
0.49
1.20
Respiratory Disease
0.02
0.20
-3.32
0.20
Diabetes Mellitus
-3.04
0.60
-1.94
0.60
Other
-0.37
0.30
-1.51
0.30
Total
1.26
0.70
0.42
0.70
Ages 85 and older
Heart Disease
0.89
1.20
1.06
1.20
Cancer
-1.21
0.40
-0.99
0.30
Vascular Disease
1.36
1.90
1.56
1.80
Violence
-0.76
0.90
-0.75
0.90
Respiratory Disease
-2.00
0.20
-3.23
0.20
Diabetes Mellitus
-3.64
0.60
-2.19
0.50
Other
-2.29
0.20
-3.42
0.20
Total
-0.27
0.60
-0.24
0.60

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