2012 OASDI Trustees Report
2012 Trustees Report
The following table presents the plot points for Figure
V.C3
 — DI Disabled Worker
Incidence Rates.
Historical rates
Calendar
year
Gross rates
Age-sex-adjusted rates
1970
4.82
4.39
1971
5.56
5.11
1972
5.97
5.52
1973
6.31
5.92
1974
6.67
6.44
1975
7.13
7.04
1976
6.52
6.49
1977
6.60
6.64
1978
5.51
5.80
1979
4.73
5.11
1980
4.36
4.80
1981
3.87
4.18
1982
3.35
3.70
1983
4.22
4.71
1984
3.98
4.34
1985
3.96
4.34
1986
3.96
4.30
1987
3.84
4.21
1988
3.73
4.12
1989
3.79
4.21
1990
4.09
4.53
1991
4.62
5.09
1992
5.44
5.91
1993
5.35
5.76
1994
5.25
5.60
1995
5.29
5.61
1996
5.04
5.30
1997
4.68
4.87
1998
4.77
4.90
1999
4.78
4.85
2000
4.71
4.71
2001
5.16
5.08
2002
5.55
5.36
2003
5.71
5.40
2004
5.80
5.38
2005
6.00
5.47
2006
5.76
5.19
2007
5.80
5.16
2008
6.27
5.52
2009
6.95
6.05
2010
7.39
6.36
2011
7.13
6.03
Projected rates
Calendar
year
Gross rates
Age-sex-adjusted rates
I
II
III
I
II
III
2012
6.53
7.14
7.77
5.50
6.02
6.54
2013
6.10
6.89
7.83
5.13
5.79
6.58
2014
5.83
6.77
7.87
4.89
5.68
6.60
2015
5.65
6.65
7.90
4.74
5.58
6.62
2016
5.40
6.40
7.68
4.52
5.36
6.42
2017
5.23
6.18
7.42
4.38
5.18
6.20
2018
5.25
6.12
7.28
4.39
5.12
6.08
2019
5.32
6.15
7.18
4.45
5.14
5.99
2020
5.38
6.23
7.13
4.50
5.21
5.95
2021
5.39
6.30
7.15
4.52
5.28
5.97
2022
5.35
6.34
7.19
4.50
5.31
6.01
2023
5.35
6.38
7.26
4.49
5.35
6.07
2024
5.35
6.41
7.33
4.47
5.38
6.13
2025
5.33
6.43
7.40
4.46
5.39
6.18
2026
5.31
6.44
7.45
4.45
5.40
6.24
2027
5.25
6.40
7.45
4.44
5.41
6.29
2028
5.19
6.38
7.46
4.42
5.42
6.34
2029
5.14
6.34
7.48
4.41
5.44
6.39
2030
5.10
6.32
7.50
4.39
5.44
6.45
2031
5.07
6.30
7.53
4.38
5.45
6.50
2032
5.04
6.29
7.52
4.37
5.45
6.52
2033
5.03
6.27
7.50
4.37
5.45
6.52
2034
5.01
6.25
7.48
4.36
5.45
6.52
2035
5.00
6.24
7.47
4.37
5.45
6.52
2036
4.99
6.23
7.46
4.36
5.45
6.52
2037
4.99
6.22
7.46
4.36
5.44
6.52
2038
4.99
6.23
7.48
4.36
5.44
6.52
2039
5.00
6.25
7.50
4.36
5.44
6.52
2040
5.01
6.27
7.53
4.36
5.44
6.52
2041
5.02
6.29
7.56
4.36
5.44
6.52
2042
5.03
6.30
7.59
4.36
5.44
6.52
2043
5.04
6.32
7.62
4.36
5.44
6.52
2044
5.04
6.33
7.64
4.36
5.44
6.52
2045
5.04
6.34
7.66
4.36
5.44
6.52
2046
5.03
6.34
7.67
4.36
5.44
6.52
2047
5.03
6.34
7.69
4.36
5.44
6.52
2048
5.02
6.34
7.70
4.36
5.44
6.52
2049
5.01
6.34
7.72
4.36
5.44
6.52
2050
5.00
6.35
7.73
4.36
5.44
6.52
2051
4.99
6.34
7.75
4.36
5.44
6.51
2052
4.98
6.34
7.76
4.36
5.44
6.51
2053
4.97
6.34
7.77
4.36
5.44
6.51
2054
4.95
6.33
7.77
4.36
5.44
6.51
2055
4.93
6.32
7.77
4.36
5.44
6.51
2056
4.91
6.30
7.78
4.36
5.44
6.51
2057
4.90
6.29
7.78
4.36
5.43
6.51
2058
4.88
6.29
7.79
4.36
5.43
6.51
2059
4.87
6.29
7.80
4.36
5.43
6.51
2060
4.87
6.29
7.82
4.36
5.43
6.51
2061
4.86
6.29
7.84
4.36
5.43
6.51
2062
4.86
6.30
7.86
4.36
5.43
6.51
2063
4.85
6.30
7.88
4.36
5.43
6.51
2064
4.85
6.31
7.90
4.36
5.43
6.51
2065
4.84
6.31
7.92
4.36
5.43
6.51
2066
4.84
6.32
7.93
4.36
5.43
6.51
2067
4.84
6.32
7.95
4.36
5.43
6.51
2068
4.84
6.33
7.97
4.36
5.43
6.51
2069
4.84
6.33
7.98
4.36
5.43
6.51
2070
4.84
6.33
8.00
4.36
5.43
6.51
2071
4.84
6.33
8.00
4.36
5.43
6.51
2072
4.83
6.33
8.01
4.36
5.43
6.51
2073
4.84
6.34
8.02
4.36
5.43
6.51
2074
4.84
6.34
8.03
4.36
5.43
6.51
2075
4.85
6.35
8.04
4.36
5.43
6.50
2076
4.86
6.36
8.04
4.36
5.43
6.50
2077
4.86
6.37
8.05
4.36
5.43
6.50
2078
4.87
6.37
8.05
4.36
5.43
6.50
2079
4.87
6.37
8.04
4.36
5.43
6.50
2080
4.87
6.38
8.04
4.36
5.43
6.50
2081
4.87
6.38
8.04
4.36
5.43
6.50
2082
4.88
6.38
8.04
4.36
5.43
6.50
2083
4.88
6.38
8.03
4.36
5.43
6.50
2084
4.88
6.38
8.03
4.36
5.43
6.50
2085
4.88
6.37
8.02
4.36
5.43
6.50
2086
4.88
6.37
8.02
4.36
5.43
6.50
2087
4.88
6.37
8.01
4.36
5.43
6.50
2088
4.88
6.37
8.01
4.36
5.43
6.50
2089
4.88
6.37
8.01
4.36
5.43
6.50
2090
4.88
6.37
8.01
4.36
5.43
6.50
RETURN TO TRUSTEES REPORT.
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Actuarial Publications
April 19, 2012