2012 OASDI Trustees Report
2012 Trustees Report
The following table presents the plot points for Figure
V.C4
 — DI Disabled-Worker
Termination Rates.
Historical rates
Calendar
year
Gross rates
Age-sex-adjusted rates
1970
92.51
90.17
1971
88.42
86.19
1972
80.53
78.50
1973
83.41
81.30
1974
74.86
72.97
1975
73.47
71.62
1976
72.58
70.91
1977
74.53
74.36
1978
81.78
86.03
1979
81.23
86.03
1980
77.31
81.14
1981
87.94
95.91
1982
105.59
120.95
1983
97.69
110.58
1984
72.13
72.75
1985
59.94
57.48
1986
57.95
54.74
1987
63.08
60.51
1988
64.36
62.51
1989
59.19
56.37
1990
57.34
55.32
1991
55.77
54.04
1992
54.58
52.89
1993
53.17
51.79
1994
52.78
51.52
1995
53.15
51.82
1996
50.12
49.18
1997
57.82
56.67
1998
45.51
45.30
1999
46.32
46.19
2000
48.04
48.04
2001
45.04
45.17
2002
45.26
45.50
2003
42.44
42.49
2004
41.61
41.53
2005
42.97
42.90
2006
40.02
40.14
2007
38.17
38.08
2008
38.40
38.18
2009
36.90
36.58
2010
36.92
36.82
2011
35.94
35.82
Projected rates
Calendar
year
Gross rates
Age-sex-adjusted rates
I
II
III
I
II
III
2012
37.72
36.60
35.58
38.04
36.80
35.65
2013
38.49
36.70
35.11
39.06
37.11
35.35
2014
38.03
35.76
33.78
38.59
36.15
33.99
2015
37.22
34.59
32.36
37.65
34.88
32.47
2016
36.83
33.83
31.30
37.21
34.06
31.38
2017
36.94
33.52
30.67
37.38
33.82
30.79
2018
37.32
33.48
30.31
37.87
33.90
30.55
2019
37.42
33.22
29.76
37.99
33.66
30.03
2020
37.42
32.86
29.14
37.97
33.31
29.42
2021
37.50
32.59
28.60
38.04
33.04
28.89
2022
37.42
32.41
27.79
37.84
32.76
27.92
2023
37.35
32.19
27.37
37.69
32.50
27.46
2024
37.27
31.93
26.93
37.58
32.22
27.04
2025
37.10
31.63
26.46
37.45
31.95
26.61
2026
36.84
31.25
25.94
37.30
31.68
26.19
2027
36.26
30.60
25.21
37.14
31.39
25.79
2028
36.03
30.28
24.75
36.96
31.11
25.38
2029
35.79
29.94
24.28
36.76
30.82
24.99
2030
35.55
29.59
23.83
36.56
30.52
24.60
2031
35.28
29.25
23.38
36.34
30.23
24.22
2032
35.19
29.03
23.08
36.23
29.99
23.92
2033
35.11
28.82
22.78
36.12
29.77
23.61
2034
35.01
28.60
22.48
36.02
29.55
23.32
2035
34.91
28.36
22.18
35.92
29.33
23.05
2036
34.76
28.11
21.86
35.82
29.12
22.77
2037
34.60
27.85
21.56
35.72
28.92
22.50
2038
34.50
27.64
21.29
35.62
28.71
22.25
2039
34.44
27.47
21.04
35.52
28.52
21.99
2040
34.36
27.28
20.80
35.40
28.32
21.74
2041
34.25
27.07
20.54
35.29
28.11
21.50
2042
34.15
26.87
20.28
35.18
27.91
21.26
2043
34.02
26.66
20.04
35.05
27.71
21.02
2044
33.89
26.45
19.78
34.94
27.53
20.80
2045
33.76
26.23
19.53
34.81
27.33
20.57
2046
33.60
26.01
19.28
34.68
27.13
20.35
2047
33.46
25.79
19.04
34.55
26.94
20.15
2048
33.33
25.59
18.81
34.42
26.76
19.94
2049
33.20
25.40
18.60
34.29
26.58
19.73
2050
33.08
25.22
18.39
34.17
26.39
19.53
2051
32.95
25.02
18.17
34.03
26.21
19.34
2052
32.81
24.82
17.97
33.90
26.04
19.15
2053
32.70
24.65
17.76
33.77
25.86
18.96
2054
32.57
24.47
17.57
33.65
25.69
18.78
2055
32.43
24.28
17.36
33.52
25.52
18.61
2056
32.28
24.08
17.17
33.40
25.36
18.44
2057
32.14
23.90
16.98
33.27
25.20
18.28
2058
32.03
23.74
16.80
33.15
25.04
18.11
2059
31.91
23.58
16.62
33.02
24.88
17.95
2060
31.80
23.41
16.46
32.91
24.72
17.80
2061
31.68
23.25
16.29
32.78
24.58
17.64
2062
31.56
23.10
16.12
32.67
24.42
17.50
2063
31.45
22.94
15.96
32.56
24.28
17.35
2064
31.33
22.78
15.80
32.44
24.13
17.21
2065
31.23
22.63
15.64
32.33
23.99
17.07
2066
31.10
22.47
15.48
32.21
23.86
16.94
2067
30.98
22.31
15.32
32.10
23.71
16.81
2068
30.87
22.16
15.17
31.99
23.58
16.67
2069
30.75
22.01
15.03
31.89
23.44
16.55
2070
30.62
21.86
14.87
31.77
23.31
16.43
2071
30.51
21.71
14.72
31.66
23.18
16.30
2072
30.39
21.57
14.58
31.56
23.05
16.18
2073
30.27
21.41
14.44
31.45
22.93
16.06
2074
30.14
21.27
14.31
31.34
22.80
15.95
2075
30.04
21.14
14.19
31.24
22.67
15.83
2076
29.95
21.02
14.07
31.14
22.55
15.73
2077
29.85
20.90
13.95
31.04
22.44
15.62
2078
29.72
20.74
13.81
30.93
22.31
15.51
2079
29.60
20.61
13.69
30.83
22.20
15.41
2080
29.49
20.47
13.59
30.73
22.08
15.31
2081
29.37
20.34
13.47
30.63
21.97
15.20
2082
29.25
20.22
13.36
30.53
21.85
15.10
2083
29.14
20.10
13.25
30.44
21.74
15.01
2084
29.04
19.97
13.15
30.34
21.64
14.91
2085
28.94
19.86
13.05
30.24
21.53
14.82
2086
28.82
19.73
12.95
30.14
21.42
14.73
2087
28.71
19.62
12.86
30.04
21.31
14.63
2088
28.60
19.51
12.77
29.94
21.20
14.55
2089
28.60
19.51
12.77
29.94
21.20
14.55
2090
28.60
19.51
12.77
29.94
21.20
14.55
RETURN TO TRUSTEES REPORT.
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Actuarial Publications
April 19, 2012