Single-Year Tables Historical Data Intermediate Assumptions Low-Cost Assumptions High-Cost Assumptions


Table V.A2.- Social Security Area Population as of July 1 and Dependency Ratios,
Calendar Years 1941-2090


Calendar year   Population (in thousands)   Dependency ratio
Under 20   20-64   65 and
over
  Total Aged a   Total b

Historical data:
1941   48,423   83,776   9,825   142,024   0.117   0.695
1942   48,489   84,899   10,092   143,480   .119   .690
1943   48,744   86,001   10,346   145,092   .120   .687
1944   48,973   87,076   10,602   146,651   .122   .684
1945   49,121   88,109   10,896   148,126   .124   .681
1946   49,574   89,094   11,224   149,893   .126   .682
1947   50,550   90,026   11,576   152,152   .129   .690
1948   51,673   90,877   11,951   154,501   .132   .700
1949   52,769   91,655   12,353   156,777   .135   .711
1950   53,903   92,382   12,769   159,053   .138   .722
1951   56,504   94,164   13,291   163,959   .141   .741
1952   58,018   94,779   13,722   166,519   .145   .757
1953   59,679   95,257   14,171   169,107   .149   .775
1954   61,458   95,699   14,635   171,793   .153   .795
1955   63,293   96,207   15,075   174,576   .157   .815
1956   65,232   96,725   15,491   177,448   .160   .835
1957   67,418   97,990   15,931   181,338   .163   .851
1958   69,363   98,535   16,392   184,290   .166   .870
1959   71,246   99,127   16,851   187,224   .170   .889
1960   73,074   99,802   17,277   190,153   .173   .905
1961   74,900   100,632   17,675   193,207   .176   .920
1962   76,451   101,621   18,054   196,126   .178   .930
1963   77,731   102,747   18,404   198,882   .179   .936
1964   78,929   103,845   18,745   201,519   .181   .941
1965   80,020   104,885   19,071   203,975   .182   .945
1966   80,670   106,133   19,403   206,206   .183   .943
1967   80,760   107,806   19,763   208,328   .183   .932
1968   80,695   109,595   20,115   210,406   .184   .920
1969   80,801   111,292   20,482   212,575   .184   .910
1970   81,038   112,985   20,898   214,921   .185   .902
1971   81,105   114,716   21,362   217,183   .186   .893
1972   80,826   116,537   21,821   219,184   .187   .881
1973   80,245   118,454   22,288   220,987   .188   .866
1974   79,522   120,498   22,775   222,795   .189   .849
1975   78,714   122,637   23,313   224,664   .190   .832
1976   77,829   124,833   23,910   226,571   .192   .815
1977   76,964   127,147   24,510   228,620   .193   .798
1978   76,151   129,510   25,117   230,778   .194   .782
1979   75,442   131,847   25,723   233,012   .195   .767
1980   74,850   134,107   26,308   235,265   .196   .754
1981   74,340   136,311   26,882   237,533   .197   .743
1982   73,895   138,483   27,478   239,857   .198   .732
1983   73,506   140,612   28,043   242,161   .199   .722
1984   73,181   142,688   28,571   244,440   .200   .713
1985   73,057   144,570   29,145   246,773   .202   .707
1986   73,153   146,241   29,753   249,148   .203   .704
1987   73,399   147,816   30,330   251,545   .205   .702
1988   73,767   149,372   30,859   253,997   .207   .700
1989   74,195   151,021   31,368   256,584   .208   .699
1990   74,805   152,765   31,926   259,495   .209   .699
1991   75,598   154,520   32,512   262,631   .210   .700
1992   76,503   156,170   33,060   265,732   .212   .702
1993   77,514   157,686   33,536   268,736   .213   .704
1994   78,484   159,183   33,947   271,613   .213   .706
1995   79,339   160,710   34,320   274,369   .214   .707
1996   80,088   162,310   34,651   277,049   .213   .707
1997   80,701   164,064   34,930   279,695   .213   .705
1998   81,212   165,971   35,145   282,328   .212   .701
1999   81,618   168,025   35,311   284,954   .210   .696
2000   82,055   170,200   35,512   287,768   .209   .691
2001   82,519   172,395   35,760   290,674   .207   .686
2002   82,888   174,482   36,025   293,395   .206   .682
2003   83,253   176,414   36,348   296,014   .206   .678
2004   83,668   178,303   36,743   298,714   .206   .675
2005   84,074   180,214   37,191   301,479   .206   .673
2006   84,534   182,038   37,726   304,297   .207   .672
2007   85,064   183,645   38,463   307,172   .209   .673
2008   85,526   185,085   39,356   309,966   .213   .675
2009   85,787   186,611   40,246   312,644   .216   .675
2010   85,704   188,291   41,036   315,030   .218   .673
2011   85,421   189,722   42,002   317,144   .221   .672
2012   85,158   190,699   43,397   319,254   .228   .674
2013   85,014   191,543   44,907   321,465   .234   .678
2014 c   85,069   192,436   46,369   323,874   .241   .683

Intermediate:
2015   85,303   193,427   47,855   326,586   .247   .688
2016   85,674   194,455   49,398   329,527   .254   .695
2017   86,137   195,364   51,034   332,535   .261   .702
2018   86,659   196,250   52,728   335,638   .269   .710
2019   87,227   197,110   54,490   338,828   .276   .719
2020   87,794   197,886   56,318   341,998   .285   .728
2021   88,395   198,562   58,180   345,137   .293   .738
2022   89,058   199,070   60,103   348,230   .302   .749
2023   89,686   199,544   62,009   351,240   .311   .760
2024   90,259   200,038   63,886   354,184   .319   .771
2025   90,783   200,485   65,789   357,058   .328   .781
2026   91,221   200,992   67,646   359,859   .337   .790
2027   91,563   201,608   69,414   362,584   .344   .798
2028   91,887   202,257   71,100   365,244   .352   .806
2029   92,320   202,836   72,693   367,849   .358   .814
2030   92,882   203,401   74,110   370,393   .364   .821
2031   93,539   204,040   75,295   372,874   .369   .827
2032   94,255   204,714   76,321   375,290   .373   .833
2033   94,975   205,390   77,274   377,639   .376   .839
2034   95,667   206,027   78,229   379,922   .380   .844
2035   96,298   206,599   79,246   382,142   .384   .850
2036   96,852   207,265   80,185   384,301   .387   .854
2037   97,323   208,205   80,875   386,403   .388   .856
2038   97,713   209,407   81,331   388,451   .388   .855
2039   98,028   210,744   81,679   390,451   .388   .853
2040   98,278   212,126   82,001   392,405   .387   .850
2041   98,475   213,559   82,287   394,320   .385   .846
2042   98,632   214,963   82,604   396,200   .384   .843
2043   98,788   216,305   82,957   398,051   .384   .840
2044   98,975   217,557   83,348   399,880   .383   .838
2045   99,197   218,653   83,842   401,692   .383   .837
2046   99,455   219,687   84,349   403,491   .384   .837
2047   99,756   220,689   84,841   405,285   .384   .836
2048   100,086   221,684   85,313   407,083   .385   .836
2049   100,436   222,713   85,739   408,888   .385   .836
2050   100,809   223,693   86,203   410,705   .385   .836
2051   101,205   224,638   86,697   412,540   .386   .836
2052   101,626   225,566   87,202   414,394   .387   .837
2053   102,068   226,422   87,779   416,269   .388   .838
2054   102,528   227,183   88,454   418,165   .389   .841
2055   103,002   227,842   89,238   420,082   .392   .844
2056   103,485   228,468   90,066   422,018   .394   .847
2057   103,973   229,136   90,866   423,974   .397   .850
2058   104,462   229,866   91,621   425,949   .399   .853
2059   104,948   230,672   92,319   427,939   .400   .855
2060   105,431   231,526   92,988   429,945   .402   .857
2061   105,906   232,407   93,651   431,964   .403   .859
2062   106,373   233,306   94,315   433,994   .404   .860
2063   106,830   234,190   95,013   436,033   .406   .862
2064   107,276   235,052   95,751   438,079   .407   .864
2065   107,710   235,892   96,526   440,129   .409   .866
2066   108,130   236,752   97,298   442,180   .411   .868
2067   108,537   237,663   98,032   444,232   .412   .869
2068   108,930   238,571   98,783   446,283   .414   .871
2069   109,308   239,468   99,555   448,332   .416   .872
2070   109,674   240,364   100,339   450,376   .417   .874
2071   110,027   241,224   101,166   452,417   .419   .876
2072   110,371   242,041   102,041   454,453   .422   .878
2073   110,709   242,875   102,901   456,484   .424   .880
2074   111,043   243,825   103,641   458,508   .425   .880
2075   111,376   244,911   104,240   460,527   .426   .880
2076   111,713   246,101   104,726   462,540   .426   .879
2077   112,056   247,361   105,133   464,549   .425   .878
2078   112,406   248,637   105,513   466,556   .424   .876
2079   112,767   249,893   105,900   468,560   .424   .875
2080   113,139   251,096   106,330   470,565   .423   .874
2081   113,523   252,226   106,822   472,571   .424   .874
2082   113,918   253,277   107,383   474,578   .424   .874
2083   114,323   254,248   108,017   476,588   .425   .875
2084   114,738   255,144   108,719   478,601   .426   .876
2085   115,161   255,974   109,481   480,617   .428   .878
2086   115,591   256,750   110,296   482,636   .430   .880
2087   116,024   257,484   111,151   484,659   .432   .882
2088   116,460   258,212   112,014   486,686   .434   .885
2089   116,896   258,964   112,855   488,715   .436   .887
2090   117,331   259,741   113,675   490,747   .438   .889

Low-cost:
2015   85,351   193,480   47,848   326,679   .247   .688
2016   85,856   194,657   49,372   329,884   .254   .695
2017   86,527   195,790   50,977   333,293   .260   .702
2018   87,308   196,933   52,628   336,869   .267   .711
2019   88,167   198,052   54,339   340,558   .274   .720
2020   89,060   199,088   56,106   344,254   .282   .729
2021   90,024   200,024   57,899   347,947   .289   .740
2022   91,087   200,790   59,746   351,624   .298   .751
2023   92,165   201,524   61,571   355,259   .306   .763
2024   93,232   202,276   63,359   358,867   .313   .774
2025   94,283   202,980   65,166   362,429   .321   .786
2026   95,281   203,743   66,922   365,945   .328   .796
2027   96,215   204,614   68,581   369,411   .335   .805
2028   97,150   205,516   70,154   372,821   .341   .814
2029   98,195   206,346   71,629   376,170   .347   .823
2030   99,372   207,160   72,922   379,454   .352   .832
2031   100,645   208,044   73,980   382,669   .356   .839
2032   101,978   208,961   74,875   385,814   .358   .846
2033   103,317   209,877   75,694   388,888   .361   .853
2034   104,632   210,752   76,511   391,894   .363   .860
2035   105,872   211,576   77,387   394,836   .366   .866
2036   107,007   212,528   78,183   397,718   .368   .871
2037   108,029   213,786   78,731   400,546   .368   .874
2038   108,941   215,339   79,048   403,328   .367   .873
2039   109,748   217,063   79,258   406,070   .365   .871
2040   110,463   218,870   79,445   408,779   .363   .868
2041   111,100   220,764   79,599   411,464   .361   .864
2042   111,675   222,669   79,788   414,133   .358   .860
2043   112,218   224,561   80,018   416,796   .356   .856
2044   112,765   226,407   80,289   419,461   .355   .853
2045   113,338   228,131   80,668   422,137   .354   .850
2046   113,940   229,825   81,067   424,832   .353   .849
2047   114,579   231,517   81,459   427,556   .352   .847
2048   115,261   233,216   81,839   430,316   .351   .845
2049   115,990   234,948   82,180   433,118   .350   .843
2050   116,771   236,629   82,569   435,969   .349   .842
2051   117,606   238,272   82,993   438,871   .348   .842
2052   118,493   239,896   83,437   441,826   .348   .842
2053   119,431   241,448   83,958   444,836   .348   .842
2054   120,412   242,905   84,581   447,899   .348   .844
2055   121,431   244,263   85,318   451,012   .349   .846
2056   122,480   245,591   86,102   454,173   .351   .849
2057   123,550   246,965   86,863   457,378   .352   .852
2058   124,635   248,406   87,582   460,623   .353   .854
2059   125,727   249,930   88,247   463,903   .353   .856
2060   126,819   251,512   88,884   467,216   .353   .858
2061   127,907   253,134   89,515   470,556   .354   .859
2062   128,984   254,790   90,146   473,921   .354   .860
2063   130,046   256,451   90,809   477,306   .354   .861
2064   131,089   258,113   91,507   480,708   .355   .862
2065   132,109   259,778   92,239   484,126   .355   .864
2066   133,105   261,489   92,964   487,558   .356   .865
2067   134,074   263,280   93,648   491,002   .356   .865
2068   135,016   265,097   94,344   494,457   .356   .865
2069   135,932   266,937   95,057   497,925   .356   .865
2070   136,823   268,806   95,776   501,405   .356   .865
2071   137,692   270,672   96,534   504,898   .357   .865
2072   138,544   272,529   97,333   508,406   .357   .866
2073   139,384   274,432   98,115   511,930   .358   .865
2074   140,217   276,478   98,776   515,471   .357   .864
2075   141,050   278,684   99,297   519,030   .356   .862
2076   141,888   281,017   99,707   522,611   .355   .860
2077   142,736   283,441   100,038   526,215   .353   .857
2078   143,600   285,903   100,342   529,845   .351   .853
2079   144,483   288,365   100,653   533,502   .349   .850
2080   145,389   290,777   101,020   537,186   .347   .847
2081   146,319   293,104   101,479   540,901   .346   .845
2082   147,273   295,334   102,039   544,646   .346   .844
2083   148,252   297,465   102,704   548,421   .345   .844
2084   149,253   299,501   103,472   552,226   .345   .844
2085   150,274   301,450   104,335   556,060   .346   .845
2086   151,313   303,324   105,285   559,922   .347   .846
2087   152,365   305,136   106,310   563,812   .348   .848
2088   153,428   306,912   107,387   567,728   .350   .850
2089   154,497   308,685   108,486   571,668   .351   .852
2090   155,569   310,472   109,591   575,631   .353   .854

High-cost:
2015   85,217   193,311   47,861   326,389   .248   .688
2016   85,366   194,036   49,420   328,822   .255   .695
2017   85,523   194,542   51,084   331,148   .263   .702
2018   85,655   194,927   52,815   333,398   .271   .710
2019   85,767   195,220   54,624   335,612   .280   .719
2020   85,885   195,491   56,508   337,884   .289   .728
2021   86,057   195,760   58,436   340,253   .299   .738
2022   86,310   195,960   60,436   342,705   .308   .749
2023   86,542   196,198   62,427   345,167   .318   .759
2024   86,710   196,463   64,397   347,570   .328   .769
2025   86,825   196,686   66,400   349,910   .338   .779
2026   86,848   196,973   68,364   352,185   .347   .788
2027   86,770   197,373   70,246   354,389   .356   .796
2028   86,657   197,810   72,052   356,520   .364   .802
2029   86,619   198,180   73,773   358,571   .372   .809
2030   86,678   198,539   75,322   360,539   .379   .816
2031   86,799   198,976   76,644   362,419   .385   .821
2032   86,946   199,451   77,812   364,209   .390   .826
2033   87,082   199,930   78,910   365,923   .395   .830
2034   87,190   200,372   80,014   367,576   .399   .834
2035   87,251   200,731   81,185   369,168   .404   .839
2036   87,270   201,150   82,281   370,701   .409   .843
2037   87,242   201,807   83,125   372,174   .412   .844
2038   87,167   202,687   83,735   373,589   .413   .843
2039   87,054   203,661   84,234   374,949   .414   .841
2040   86,911   204,639   84,704   376,254   .414   .839
2041   86,746   205,625   85,135   377,506   .414   .836
2042   86,570   206,544   85,594   378,707   .414   .834
2043   86,400   207,379   86,084   379,862   .415   .832
2044   86,250   208,120   86,605   380,975   .416   .831
2045   86,121   208,702   87,225   382,048   .418   .831
2046   86,015   209,219   87,850   383,084   .420   .831
2047   85,933   209,706   88,452   384,092   .422   .832
2048   85,878   210,171   89,025   385,075   .424   .832
2049   85,852   210,644   89,541   386,036   .425   .833
2050   85,856   211,039   90,087   386,983   .427   .834
2051   85,893   211,371   90,653   387,917   .429   .835
2052   85,961   211,660   91,221   388,841   .431   .837
2053   86,043   211,863   91,853   389,759   .434   .840
2054   86,123   211,973   92,575   390,671   .437   .843
2055   86,197   211,981   93,401   391,579   .441   .847
2056   86,265   211,955   94,264   392,483   .445   .852
2057   86,323   211,968   95,093   393,385   .449   .856
2058   86,372   212,040   95,872   394,285   .452   .859
2059   86,411   212,182   96,590   395,183   .455   .862
2060   86,440   212,364   97,276   396,080   .458   .865
2061   86,460   212,561   97,955   396,976   .461   .868
2062   86,470   212,763   98,637   397,870   .464   .870
2063   86,472   212,932   99,355   398,760   .467   .873
2064   86,466   213,063   100,115   399,644   .470   .876
2065   86,451   213,152   100,918   400,522   .473   .879
2066   86,430   213,241   101,721   401,391   .477   .882
2067   86,401   213,361   102,489   402,251   .480   .885
2068   86,367   213,454   103,278   403,099   .484   .888
2069   86,327   213,513   104,094   403,934   .488   .892
2070   86,284   213,545   104,926   404,755   .491   .895
2071   86,238   213,515   105,808   405,561   .496   .899
2072   86,190   213,416   106,743   406,350   .500   .904
2073   86,144   213,310   107,667   407,121   .505   .909
2074   86,099   213,299   108,472   407,871   .509   .912
2075   86,059   213,405   109,137   408,601   .511   .915
2076   86,023   213,598   109,688   409,310   .514   .916
2077   85,994   213,843   110,160   409,997   .515   .917
2078   85,972   214,086   110,605   410,663   .517   .918
2079   85,958   214,293   111,057   411,309   .518   .919
2080   85,953   214,446   111,537   411,935   .520   .921
2081   85,954   214,547   112,044   412,544   .522   .923
2082   85,963   214,591   112,580   413,135   .525   .925
2083   85,978   214,584   113,148   413,710   .527   .928
2084   85,998   214,532   113,738   414,268   .530   .931
2085   86,022   214,445   114,343   414,810   .533   .934
2086   86,047   214,334   114,958   415,339   .536   .938
2087   86,073   214,208   115,573   415,854   .540   .941
2088   86,098   214,083   116,174   416,355   .543   .945
2089   86,121   213,974   116,748   416,843   .546   .948
2090   86,140   213,882   117,295   417,318   .548   .951

a Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over to the population at ages 20-64.
b Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over and the population under age 20 to the population at ages 20-64.
c Estimated.

Notes:
1. Historical data are subject to revision.
2. Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components.