Single-Year Tables Historical Data Intermediate Assumptions Low-Cost Assumptions High-Cost Assumptions


Table VI.G6.- Selected Economic Variables,
Calendar Years 1970-2090

[GDP and taxable payroll in billions]

Calendar year   Adjusted
CPI  a
  Average
wage index
  Taxable
payroll  b
  Gross
domestic
product
  Compound
interest-rate
factor  c

Historical:
1970   16.72   $6,186.24   $404   $1,076   0.0546
1971   17.45   6,497.08   415   1,168   .0579
1972   18.05   7,133.80   471   1,282   .0614
1973   19.17   7,580.16   547   1,429   .0655
1974   21.27   8,030.76   621   1,549   .0705
1975   23.20   8,630.92   648   1,689   .0758
1976   24.53   9,226.48   719   1,878   .0814
1977   26.11   9,779.44   796   2,086   .0872
1978   28.13   10,556.03   894   2,357   .0945
1979   31.35   11,479.46   1,047   2,632   .1033
1980   35.55   12,513.46   1,148   2,862   .1150
1981   39.19   13,773.10   1,274   3,211   .1308
1982   41.55   14,531.34   1,337   3,345   .1481
1983   42.79   15,239.24   1,484   3,638   .1649
1984   44.30   16,135.07   1,590   4,041   .1860
1985   45.84   16,822.51   1,713   4,347   .2066
1986   46.57   17,321.82   1,826   4,590   .2234
1987   48.24   18,426.51   1,956   4,870   .2425
1988   50.17   19,334.04   2,090   5,253   .2644
1989   52.57   20,099.55   2,235   5,658   .2878
1990   55.32   21,027.98   2,356   5,980   .3131
1991   57.59   21,811.60   2,420   6,174   .3386
1992   59.26   22,935.42   2,529   6,539   .3630
1993   60.93   23,132.67   2,633   6,879   .3853
1994   62.43   23,753.53   2,780   7,309   .4130
1995   64.23   24,705.66   2,913   7,664   .4418
1996   66.08   25,913.90   3,065   8,100   .4714
1997   67.58   27,426.00   3,276   8,608   .5030
1998   68.48   28,861.44   3,516   9,089   .5317
1999   69.98   30,469.84   3,737   9,661   .5634
2000   72.42   32,154.82   3,992   10,285   .5991
2001   74.40   32,921.92   4,158   10,622   .6308
2002   75.43   33,252.09   4,238   10,978   .6619
2003   77.10   34,064.95   4,343   11,511   .6891
2004   79.11   35,648.55   4,540   12,275   .7189
2005   81.90   36,952.94   4,747   13,094   .7502
2006   84.52   38,651.41   5,023   13,856   .7868
2007   86.95   40,405.48   5,250   14,478   .8239
2008   90.50   41,334.97   5,413   14,719   .8541
2009   89.89   40,711.61   5,255   14,419   .8792
2010   91.75   41,673.83   5,290   14,964   .9036
2011   95.01   42,979.61   5,466   15,518   .9256
2012   97.01   44,321.67   5,688   16,163   .9391
2013   98.33   44,888.16   5,916   16,768   .9568

Intermediate:
2014   99.80   46,289.41   6,140   17,411   .9787
2015   100.00   47,820.21   6,403   18,163   1.0000
2016   102.97   50,388.16   6,776   19,216   1.0342
2017   105.81   52,937.78   7,246   20,311   1.0773
2018   108.67   55,517.91   7,699   21,415   1.1298
2019   111.61   58,106.90   8,151   22,537   1.1885
2020   114.62   60,681.31   8,607   23,687   1.2526
2021   117.71   63,345.67   9,070   24,861   1.3224
2022   120.89   66,028.98   9,531   26,042   1.3961
2023   124.16   68,727.50   9,999   27,234   1.4746
2024   127.51   71,429.77   10,470   28,472   1.5584
2025   130.95   74,191.44   10,933   29,765   1.6469
2026   134.49   77,054.44   11,416   31,129   1.7404
2027   138.12   80,059.70   11,917   32,543   1.8392
2028   141.85   83,211.45   12,432   34,001   1.9436
2029   145.68   86,488.36   12,965   35,512   2.0540
2030   149.61   89,887.89   13,521   37,089   2.1706
2031   153.65   93,419.77   14,099   38,729   2.2939
2032   157.80   97,088.26   14,702   40,439   2.4241
2033   162.06   100,893.81   15,335   42,234   2.5618
2034   166.43   104,831.73   15,999   44,114   2.7073
2035   170.93   108,900.00   16,696   46,085   2.8610
2036   175.54   113,126.11   17,423   48,138   3.0234
2037   180.28   117,522.68   18,190   50,300   3.1951
2038   185.15   122,086.04   18,999   52,582   3.3766
2039   190.15   126,832.66   19,843   54,965   3.5683
2040   195.28   131,777.87   20,728   57,462   3.7709
2041   200.56   136,928.17   21,657   60,079   3.9850
2042   205.97   142,299.40   22,625   62,807   4.2113
2043   211.53   147,894.55   23,642   65,667   4.4504
2044   217.24   153,711.08   24,703   68,654   4.7031
2045   223.11   159,757.58   25,800   71,742   4.9702
2046   229.13   166,023.57   26,951   74,984   5.2524
2047   235.32   172,540.05   28,148   78,360   5.5507
2048   241.67   179,312.41   29,391   81,869   5.8659
2049   248.20   186,351.15   30,688   85,530   6.1989
2050   254.90   193,633.81   32,034   89,342   6.5509
2051   261.78   201,184.66   33,434   93,309   6.9229
2052   268.85   209,025.64   34,894   97,449   7.3160
2053   276.11   217,160.77   36,412   101,758   7.7315
2054   283.56   225,586.33   37,990   106,251   8.1705
2055   291.22   234,316.22   39,633   110,936   8.6344
2056   299.08   243,370.69   41,341   115,818   9.1247
2057   307.16   252,783.62   43,121   120,908   9.6428
2058   315.45   262,551.42   44,972   126,217   10.1904
2059   323.97   272,704.48   46,905   131,762   10.7690
2060   332.72   283,240.49   48,918   137,548   11.3805
2061   341.70   294,181.95   51,017   143,589   12.0267
2062   350.93   305,508.23   53,202   149,901   12.7096
2063   360.40   317,250.03   55,480   156,493   13.4313
2064   370.13   329,411.78   57,856   163,384   14.1940
2065   380.12   342,011.90   60,330   170,579   15.0000
2066   390.39   355,069.71   62,909   178,094   15.8517
2067   400.93   368,612.04   65,599   185,948   16.7518
2068   411.75   382,654.22   68,403   194,147   17.7031
2069   422.87   397,242.61   71,332   202,718   18.7083
2070   434.29   412,399.05   74,393   211,683   19.7706
2071   446.01   428,141.46   77,591   221,049   20.8932
2072   458.06   444,484.63   80,930   230,837   22.0796
2073   470.42   461,472.03   84,417   241,059   23.3334
2074   483.13   479,132.18   88,056   251,738   24.6583
2075   496.17   497,476.37   91,848   262,889   26.0585
2076   509.57   516,512.84   95,799   274,529   27.5382
2077   523.32   536,262.09   99,913   286,679   29.1019
2078   537.45   556,767.86   104,204   299,361   30.7544
2079   551.97   578,079.50   108,685   312,600   32.5007
2080   566.87   600,217.78   113,358   326,408   34.3462
2081   582.17   623,218.74   118,231   340,802   36.2964
2082   597.89   647,112.55   123,315   355,813   38.3575
2083   614.04   671,934.36   128,613   371,456   40.5355
2084   630.61   697,740.94   134,136   387,760   42.8372
2085   647.64   724,578.13   139,899   404,758   45.2697
2086   665.13   752,492.18   145,911   422,482   47.8402
2087   683.09   781,500.89   152,180   440,964   50.5567
2088   701.53   811,644.82   158,714   460,235   53.4275
2089   720.47   842,961.43   165,524   480,337   56.4613
2090   739.92   875,441.99   172,611   501,306   59.6673

Low-cost:
2014   99.66   46,316.67   6,142   17,422   .9736
2015   100.00   48,185.19   6,488   18,376   1.0000
2016   103.39   51,364.52   7,038   19,776   1.0439
2017   106.94   54,732.51   7,621   21,261   1.0992
2018   110.58   58,135.27   8,236   22,749   1.1645
2019   114.34   61,502.48   8,859   24,245   1.2367
2020   118.23   64,848.32   9,481   25,767   1.3156
2021   122.25   68,381.37   10,116   27,333   1.4018
2022   126.40   72,076.04   10,777   28,970   1.4962
2023   130.70   75,981.57   11,478   30,694   1.5989
2024   135.14   79,993.85   12,207   32,504   1.7093
2025   139.74   84,141.10   12,917   34,408   1.8275
2026   144.49   88,519.76   13,672   36,448   1.9539
2027   149.40   93,164.40   14,465   38,592   2.0890
2028   154.48   98,087.61   15,294   40,838   2.2335
2029   159.74   103,272.01   16,167   43,201   2.3879
2030   165.17   108,724.36   17,089   45,697   2.5531
2031   170.78   114,460.97   18,064   48,333   2.7296
2032   176.59   120,489.23   19,094   51,119   2.9184
2033   182.59   126,817.57   20,189   54,079   3.1202
2034   188.80   133,448.22   21,355   57,222   3.3360
2035   195.22   140,388.73   22,596   60,563   3.5667
2036   201.86   147,686.26   23,911   64,098   3.8134
2037   208.72   155,368.73   25,317   67,870   4.0771
2038   215.82   163,443.25   26,821   71,901   4.3591
2039   223.15   171,936.99   28,417   76,178   4.6605
2040   230.74   180,885.19   30,116   80,726   4.9828
2041   238.59   190,318.54   31,927   85,563   5.3274
2042   246.70   200,273.21   33,848   90,688   5.6958
2043   255.09   210,767.55   35,896   96,143   6.0897
2044   263.76   221,819.59   38,070   101,927   6.5109
2045   272.73   233,466.27   40,360   108,017   6.9611
2046   282.00   245,709.12   42,797   114,497   7.4425
2047   291.59   258,611.75   45,376   121,349   7.9572
2048   301.50   272,202.43   48,099   128,583   8.5075
2049   311.75   286,514.23   50,984   136,238   9.0959
2050   322.35   301,532.66   54,029   144,330   9.7249
2051   333.31   317,317.85   57,247   152,877   10.3974
2052   344.65   333,926.53   60,653   161,922   11.1165
2053   356.36   351,387.80   64,253   171,479   11.8853
2054   368.48   369,717.88   68,057   181,588   12.7072
2055   381.01   388,965.90   72,077   192,279   13.5860
2056   393.96   409,192.78   76,327   203,587   14.5255
2057   407.36   430,484.15   80,826   215,553   15.5300
2058   421.21   452,864.39   85,584   228,220   16.6040
2059   435.53   476,416.51   90,626   241,638   17.7523
2060   450.34   501,172.42   95,963   255,850   18.9800
2061   465.65   527,208.81   101,620   270,909   20.2926
2062   481.48   554,526.09   107,607   286,881   21.6959
2063   497.85   583,222.61   113,952   303,813   23.1963
2064   514.78   613,347.62   120,679   321,781   24.8005
2065   532.28   644,977.25   127,805   340,834   26.5156
2066   550.38   678,192.26   135,356   361,040   28.3493
2067   569.09   713,091.78   143,364   382,477   30.3098
2068   588.44   749,756.71   151,853   405,216   32.4059
2069   608.45   788,328.01   160,867   429,352   34.6470
2070   629.13   828,908.54   170,441   454,976   37.0431
2071   650.52   871,595.27   180,602   482,161   39.6048
2072   672.64   916,485.20   191,388   511,010   42.3437
2073   695.51   963,731.91   202,839   541,615   45.2720
2074   719.16   1,013,461.48   214,987   574,080   48.4029
2075   743.61   1,065,770.78   227,861   608,502   51.7502
2076   768.89   1,120,752.31   241,496   644,990   55.3291
2077   795.03   1,178,529.12   255,934   683,659   59.1554
2078   822.07   1,239,288.12   271,229   724,618   63.2463
2079   850.02   1,303,236.52   287,443   768,001   67.6202
2080   878.92   1,370,510.91   304,622   813,923   72.2965
2081   908.80   1,441,289.72   322,814   862,505   77.2963
2082   939.70   1,515,747.14   342,076   913,895   82.6418
2083   971.65   1,594,067.86   362,455   968,222   88.3570
2084   1,004.69   1,676,500.71   384,029   1,025,669   94.4674
2085   1,038.84   1,763,280.53   406,873   1,086,422   101.0004
2086   1,074.17   1,854,650.74   431,061   1,150,662   107.9851
2087   1,110.69   1,950,787.40   456,659   1,218,597   115.4530
2088   1,148.45   2,051,926.34   483,751   1,290,456   123.4372
2089   1,187.50   2,158,313.90   512,426   1,366,498   131.9736
2090   1,227.87   2,270,089.80   542,748   1,446,970   141.1004

High-cost:
2014   99.89   46,245.03   6,136   17,395   .9849
2015   100.00   47,150.51   6,298   17,880   1.0000
2016   102.57   48,817.95   6,516   18,516   1.0224
2017   104.71   50,611.49   6,829   19,246   1.0540
2018   106.80   52,526.83   7,137   20,019   1.0948
2019   108.94   54,437.43   7,445   20,795   1.1408
2020   111.12   56,308.62   7,746   21,575   1.1907
2021   113.34   58,349.32   8,046   22,376   1.2449
2022   115.61   60,320.20   8,348   23,181   1.3015
2023   117.92   62,093.08   8,652   23,979   1.3608
2024   120.28   63,647.09   8,925   24,738   1.4218
2025   122.68   65,272.90   9,200   25,543   1.4851
2026   125.14   66,917.43   9,478   26,377   1.5511
2027   127.64   68,632.25   9,762   27,231   1.6201
2028   130.19   70,415.81   10,049   28,095   1.6922
2029   132.80   72,246.66   10,342   28,978   1.7674
2030   135.45   74,118.72   10,643   29,888   1.8460
2031   138.16   76,039.89   10,951   30,822   1.9282
2032   140.93   78,014.44   11,268   31,781   2.0139
2033   143.74   80,040.12   11,597   32,775   2.1035
2034   146.62   82,110.99   11,937   33,802   2.1971
2035   149.55   84,222.42   12,288   34,863   2.2948
2036   152.54   86,391.37   12,647   35,946   2.3969
2037   155.59   88,625.22   13,020   37,069   2.5035
2038   158.71   90,919.38   13,408   38,239   2.6148
2039   161.88   93,278.58   13,805   39,440   2.7311
2040   165.12   95,704.94   14,214   40,679   2.8526
2041   168.42   98,198.32   14,638   41,959   2.9795
2042   171.79   100,763.85   15,071   43,271   3.1120
2043   175.22   103,398.64   15,520   44,628   3.2505
2044   178.73   106,101.72   15,981   46,024   3.3950
2045   182.30   108,878.19   16,447   47,436   3.5461
2046   185.95   111,716.90   16,928   48,899   3.7038
2047   189.67   114,636.35   17,419   50,395   3.8685
2048   193.46   117,637.22   17,917   51,918   4.0406
2049   197.33   120,717.77   18,428   53,481   4.2203
2050   201.28   123,853.53   18,947   55,079   4.4080
2051   205.30   127,055.81   19,476   56,712   4.6041
2052   209.41   130,334.37   20,019   58,389   4.8089
2053   213.60   133,687.74   20,572   60,106   5.0228
2054   217.87   137,109.43   21,138   61,869   5.2462
2055   222.23   140,602.52   21,716   63,679   5.4796
2056   226.67   144,174.22   22,307   65,536   5.7233
2057   231.20   147,839.67   22,912   67,441   5.9779
2058   235.83   151,592.41   23,530   69,398   6.2438
2059   240.55   155,445.22   24,165   71,410   6.5215
2060   245.36   159,390.45   24,813   73,474   6.8116
2061   250.26   163,434.80   25,478   75,595   7.1145
2062   255.27   167,560.44   26,158   77,777   7.4310
2063   260.37   171,779.52   26,853   80,020   7.7615
2064   265.58   176,088.10   27,567   82,328   8.1068
2065   270.89   180,489.76   28,295   84,697   8.4674
2066   276.31   184,988.67   29,041   87,132   8.8440
2067   281.84   189,592.86   29,805   89,636   9.2374
2068   287.47   194,304.09   30,586   92,204   9.6482
2069   293.22   199,137.32   31,388   94,844   10.0774
2070   299.09   204,095.70   32,212   97,561   10.5256
2071   305.07   209,180.65   33,058   100,355   10.9938
2072   311.17   214,390.25   33,927   103,228   11.4828
2073   317.39   219,738.03   34,819   106,180   11.9936
2074   323.74   225,231.02   35,734   109,216   12.5270
2075   330.22   230,866.87   36,670   112,331   13.0843
2076   336.82   236,641.74   37,627   115,528   13.6662
2077   343.56   242,555.63   38,605   118,813   14.2741
2078   350.43   248,619.03   39,608   122,185   14.9090
2079   357.44   254,843.82   40,639   125,650   15.5722
2080   364.59   261,229.70   41,697   129,209   16.2648
2081   371.88   267,785.26   42,783   132,862   16.9883
2082   379.32   274,514.00   43,898   136,611   17.7439
2083   386.90   281,419.94   45,042   140,459   18.5332
2084   394.64   288,515.74   46,216   144,408   19.3575
2085   402.53   295,809.06   47,423   148,465   20.2186
2086   410.58   303,306.68   48,663   152,632   21.1179
2087   418.79   311,003.85   49,936   156,914   22.0572
2088   427.17   318,902.63   51,243   161,315   23.0383
2089   435.71   327,004.79   52,585   165,842   24.0631
2090   444.43   335,295.17   53,959   170,494   25.1334

a CPI-W indexed to calendar year 2015. Historical values computed using the intermediate assumptions value for 2015.
b Total earnings subject to OASDI contribution rates, adjusted to reflect the lower effective contribution rates (compared to the combined employee-employer rate) that apply to multiple-employer "excess wages."
c Incorporates the average of the assumed annual interest rates for special public-debt obligations issuable to the trust funds in the 12 months of the year, under each alternative.