Single-Year Tables Historical Data Intermediate Assumptions Low-Cost Assumptions High-Cost Assumptions


Table V.A3.- Social Security Area Population on July 1 and Dependency Ratios,
Calendar Years 1941-2095


Calendar year   Population (in thousands)   Dependency ratio
Under 20   20-64   65 and
over
  Total Aged a   Total b

Historical data:
1941   48,423   83,776   9,826   142,025   0.117   0.695
1942   48,489   84,899   10,095   143,483   .119   .690
1943   48,744   86,001   10,350   145,096   .120   .687
1944   48,973   87,076   10,606   146,655   .122   .684
1945   49,121   88,109   10,900   148,130   .124   .681
1946   49,575   89,094   11,227   149,896   .126   .682
1947   50,550   90,026   11,578   152,154   .129   .690
1948   51,673   90,877   11,952   154,502   .132   .700
1949   52,769   91,655   12,353   156,778   .135   .711
1950   53,903   92,382   12,769   159,053   .138   .722
1951   56,504   94,164   13,291   163,959   .141   .741
1952   58,018   94,779   13,722   166,519   .145   .757
1953   59,679   95,257   14,171   169,107   .149   .775
1954   61,458   95,699   14,635   171,793   .153   .795
1955   63,293   96,207   15,075   174,576   .157   .815
1956   65,232   96,725   15,491   177,448   .160   .835
1957   67,418   97,990   15,931   181,338   .163   .851
1958   69,363   98,535   16,392   184,290   .166   .870
1959   71,246   99,127   16,851   187,224   .170   .889
1960   73,074   99,802   17,277   190,153   .173   .905
1961   74,900   100,632   17,675   193,207   .176   .920
1962   76,451   101,621   18,054   196,126   .178   .930
1963   77,731   102,747   18,404   198,882   .179   .936
1964   78,929   103,845   18,745   201,519   .181   .941
1965   80,020   104,885   19,071   203,975   .182   .945
1966   80,670   106,133   19,403   206,207   .183   .943
1967   80,760   107,805   19,763   208,328   .183   .932
1968   80,695   109,595   20,115   210,406   .184   .920
1969   80,801   111,292   20,482   212,575   .184   .910
1970   81,020   112,991   20,895   214,906   .185   .902
1971   81,055   114,731   21,353   217,139   .186   .893
1972   80,752   116,556   21,810   219,119   .187   .880
1973   80,158   118,473   22,277   220,909   .188   .865
1974   79,431   120,512   22,766   222,709   .189   .848
1975   78,629   122,642   23,307   224,578   .190   .831
1976   77,760   124,831   23,907   226,498   .192   .814
1977   76,913   127,142   24,509   228,564   .193   .798
1978   76,120   129,507   25,117   230,744   .194   .782
1979   75,433   131,847   25,724   233,003   .195   .767
1980   74,835   134,106   26,309   235,250   .196   .754
1981   74,294   136,311   26,884   237,489   .197   .742
1982   73,823   138,485   27,482   239,790   .198   .732
1983   73,413   140,614   28,048   242,076   .199   .722
1984   73,076   142,692   28,577   244,345   .200   .712
1985   72,948   144,577   29,151   246,676   .202   .706
1986   73,054   146,247   29,759   249,061   .203   .703
1987   73,326   147,821   30,335   251,482   .205   .701
1988   73,727   149,376   30,862   253,965   .207   .700
1989   74,184   151,022   31,369   256,576   .208   .699
1990   74,797   152,768   31,925   259,491   .209   .699
1991   75,575   154,529   32,512   262,616   .210   .699
1992   76,465   156,181   33,059   265,705   .212   .701
1993   77,465   157,700   33,534   268,699   .213   .704
1994   78,425   159,199   33,945   271,569   .213   .706
1995   79,278   160,729   34,318   274,325   .214   .707
1996   80,031   162,329   34,649   277,009   .213   .706
1997   80,653   164,082   34,929   279,664   .213   .704
1998   81,176   165,984   35,144   282,304   .212   .701
1999   81,603   168,029   35,311   284,943   .210   .696
2000   82,003   170,181   35,503   287,687   .209   .690
2001   82,389   172,416   35,736   290,541   .207   .685
2002   82,724   174,665   35,994   293,383   .206   .680
2003   83,073   176,752   36,311   296,135   .205   .675
2004   83,489   178,785   36,698   298,971   .205   .672
2005   83,982   181,066   37,156   302,204   .205   .669
2006   84,572   183,341   37,722   305,635   .206   .667
2007   85,152   184,971   38,477   308,600   .208   .668
2008   85,548   185,798   39,363   310,709   .212   .672
2009   85,775   186,734   40,243   312,752   .216   .675
2010   85,717   188,355   41,050   315,122   .218   .673
2011   85,417   189,850   42,041   317,308   .221   .671
2012   85,100   190,655   43,446   319,200   .228   .674
2013   84,826   191,268   44,926   321,020   .235   .678
2014   84,717   192,142   46,335   323,194   .241   .682
2015   84,714   193,126   47,773   325,613   .247   .686
2016 c   84,826   194,181   49,273   328,279   .254   .691
2017 c   85,040   195,210   50,867   331,117   .261   .696

Intermediate:
2018   85,249   196,163   52,508   333,920   .268   .702
2019   85,459   197,073   54,207   336,739   .275   .709
2020   85,645   197,892   55,961   339,497   .283   .716
2021   85,875   198,610   57,747   342,232   .291   .723
2022   86,207   199,165   59,594   344,966   .299   .732
2023   86,587   199,696   61,423   347,706   .308   .741
2024   87,012   200,253   63,224   350,489   .316   .750
2025   87,466   200,771   65,052   353,288   .324   .760
2026   87,890   201,355   66,835   356,080   .332   .768
2027   88,262   202,054   68,531   358,848   .339   .776
2028   88,635   202,790   70,150   361,575   .346   .783
2029   89,116   203,458   71,680   364,254   .352   .790
2030   89,727   204,114   73,039   366,880   .358   .797
2031   90,428   204,849   74,172   369,449   .362   .804
2032   91,177   205,632   75,150   371,959   .365   .809
2033   91,936   206,416   76,057   374,409   .368   .814
2034   92,680   207,149   76,969   376,798   .372   .819
2035   93,414   207,761   77,950   379,125   .375   .825
2036   94,179   208,351   78,860   381,390   .378   .831
2037   94,961   209,100   79,532   383,592   .380   .834
2038   95,721   210,033   79,980   385,734   .381   .837
2039   96,429   211,060   80,327   387,816   .381   .837
2040   97,077   212,111   80,654   389,841   .380   .838
2041   97,645   213,219   80,949   391,813   .380   .838
2042   98,117   214,339   81,279   393,735   .379   .837
2043   98,487   215,481   81,648   395,616   .379   .836
2044   98,771   216,638   82,054   397,462   .379   .835
2045   98,995   217,721   82,565   399,282   .379   .834
2046   99,186   218,801   83,092   401,080   .380   .833
2047   99,364   219,900   83,604   402,869   .380   .832
2048   99,545   221,013   84,097   404,655   .381   .831
2049   99,739   222,160   84,549   406,448   .381   .830
2050   99,955   223,258   85,043   408,256   .381   .829
2051   100,196   224,322   85,568   410,086   .381   .828
2052   100,467   225,374   86,104   411,944   .382   .828
2053   100,771   226,354   86,712   413,837   .383   .828
2054   101,108   227,232   87,426   415,766   .385   .830
2055   101,479   227,993   88,261   417,733   .387   .832
2056   101,884   228,707   89,147   419,739   .390   .835
2057   102,323   229,453   90,006   421,782   .392   .838
2058   102,793   230,249   90,818   423,861   .394   .841
2059   103,293   231,101   91,578   425,972   .396   .843
2060   103,819   231,979   92,313   428,111   .398   .845
2061   104,368   232,870   93,037   430,274   .400   .848
2062   104,934   233,772   93,749   432,456   .401   .850
2063   105,514   234,651   94,485   434,649   .403   .852
2064   106,100   235,496   95,254   436,850   .404   .855
2065   106,687   236,306   96,061   439,053   .407   .858
2066   107,269   237,121   96,864   441,254   .409   .861
2067   107,841   237,976   97,630   443,448   .410   .863
2068   108,400   238,818   98,416   445,634   .412   .866
2069   108,939   239,641   99,228   447,808   .414   .869
2070   109,457   240,455   100,056   449,968   .416   .871
2071   109,949   241,234   100,933   452,116   .418   .874
2072   110,415   241,974   101,860   454,250   .421   .877
2073   110,854   242,737   102,777   456,369   .423   .880
2074   111,267   243,627   103,580   458,473   .425   .882
2075   111,654   244,664   104,246   460,565   .426   .882
2076   112,021   245,816   104,809   462,646   .426   .882
2077   112,370   247,044   105,305   464,718   .426   .881
2078   112,707   248,310   105,768   466,785   .426   .880
2079   113,037   249,591   106,222   468,849   .426   .878
2080   113,364   250,886   106,663   470,913   .425   .877
2081   113,694   252,228   107,060   472,982   .424   .875
2082   114,032   253,602   107,424   475,057   .424   .873
2083   114,381   254,965   107,795   477,141   .423   .871
2084   114,744   256,290   108,202   479,236   .422   .870
2085   115,124   257,567   108,651   481,342   .422   .869
2086   115,522   258,779   109,161   483,462   .422   .868
2087   115,939   259,906   109,750   485,595   .422   .868
2088   116,374   260,942   110,424   487,740   .423   .869
2089   116,826   261,899   111,173   489,898   .424   .871
2090   117,293   262,799   111,975   492,066   .426   .872
2091   117,774   263,662   112,809   494,245   .428   .875
2092   118,265   264,506   113,660   496,431   .430   .877
2093   118,765   265,342   114,518   498,625   .432   .879
2094   119,269   266,179   115,377   500,824   .433   .882
2095   119,775   267,020   116,234   503,029   .435   .884

Low-cost:
2018   85,574   196,594   52,462   334,630   .267   .702
2019   86,016   197,750   54,129   337,895   .274   .709
2020   86,477   198,828   55,844   341,149   .281   .716
2021   87,025   199,805   57,584   344,414   .288   .724
2022   87,719   200,621   59,376   347,715   .296   .733
2023   88,505   201,411   61,144   351,060   .304   .743
2024   89,381   202,230   62,875   354,486   .311   .753
2025   90,332   203,010   64,627   357,969   .318   .763
2026   91,301   203,856   66,327   361,484   .325   .773
2027   92,263   204,818   67,933   365,014   .332   .782
2028   93,252   205,817   69,455   368,524   .337   .791
2029   94,352   206,747   70,882   371,981   .343   .799
2030   95,585   207,665   72,132   375,381   .347   .808
2031   96,910   208,661   73,152   378,722   .351   .815
2032   98,287   209,703   74,011   382,001   .353   .822
2033   99,674   210,745   74,797   385,216   .355   .828
2034   101,049   211,736   75,582   388,366   .357   .834
2035   102,416   212,606   76,431   391,453   .359   .841
2036   103,815   213,454   77,207   394,476   .362   .848
2037   105,214   214,478   77,745   397,437   .362   .853
2038   106,551   215,725   78,060   400,337   .362   .856
2039   107,798   217,108   78,275   403,180   .361   .857
2040   108,946   218,557   78,470   405,972   .359   .858
2041   109,977   220,107   78,636   408,719   .357   .857
2042   110,874   221,714   78,839   411,427   .356   .856
2043   111,636   223,388   79,083   414,108   .354   .854
2044   112,279   225,123   79,369   416,772   .353   .851
2045   112,834   226,833   79,763   419,430   .352   .849
2046   113,329   228,584   80,179   422,092   .351   .847
2047   113,789   230,398   80,585   424,772   .350   .844
2048   114,253   232,249   80,979   427,481   .349   .841
2049   114,758   234,133   81,339   430,230   .347   .838
2050   115,312   235,969   81,748   433,029   .346   .835
2051   115,923   237,771   82,194   435,888   .346   .833
2052   116,596   239,557   82,658   438,812   .345   .832
2053   117,335   241,272   83,201   441,808   .345   .831
2054   118,142   242,883   83,853   444,878   .345   .832
2055   119,015   244,377   84,630   448,022   .346   .833
2056   119,953   245,823   85,464   451,240   .348   .836
2057   120,953   247,299   86,275   454,527   .349   .838
2058   122,010   248,825   87,043   457,878   .350   .840
2059   123,118   250,405   87,763   461,286   .350   .842
2060   124,269   252,015   88,460   464,743   .351   .844
2061   125,455   253,642   89,146   468,243   .351   .846
2062   126,666   255,288   89,821   471,775   .352   .848
2063   127,893   256,922   90,518   475,332   .352   .850
2064   129,124   258,536   91,247   478,906   .353   .852
2065   130,349   260,133   92,010   482,492   .354   .855
2066   131,560   261,755   92,769   486,083   .354   .857
2067   132,747   263,441   93,488   489,676   .355   .859
2068   133,904   265,141   94,224   493,268   .355   .860
2069   135,024   266,852   94,981   496,857   .356   .862
2070   136,102   268,588   95,752   500,442   .357   .863
2071   137,137   270,323   96,566   504,026   .357   .865
2072   138,127   272,056   97,426   507,608   .358   .866
2073   139,072   273,847   98,272   511,191   .359   .867
2074   139,976   275,799   99,004   514,778   .359   .866
2075   140,843   277,929   99,602   518,373   .358   .865
2076   141,679   280,202   100,098   521,979   .357   .863
2077   142,494   282,581   100,527   525,602   .356   .860
2078   143,296   285,026   100,924   529,245   .354   .857
2079   144,093   287,509   101,312   532,914   .352   .854
2080   144,896   290,029   101,687   536,613   .351   .850
2081   145,714   292,613   102,019   540,347   .349   .847
2082   146,553   295,224   102,339   544,117   .347   .843
2083   147,421   297,800   102,706   547,927   .345   .840
2084   148,322   300,311   103,146   551,778   .343   .837
2085   149,260   302,744   103,668   555,671   .342   .835
2086   150,235   305,081   104,290   559,607   .342   .834
2087   151,249   307,304   105,031   563,584   .342   .834
2088   152,300   309,406   105,895   567,602   .342   .834
2089   153,384   311,399   106,874   571,656   .343   .836
2090   154,497   313,305   107,944   575,746   .345   .838
2091   155,635   315,147   109,085   579,868   .346   .840
2092   156,792   316,943   110,283   584,018   .348   .843
2093   157,963   318,725   111,506   588,194   .350   .845
2094   159,140   320,525   112,729   592,393   .352   .848
2095   160,318   322,347   113,948   596,613   .353   .851

High-cost:
2018   84,617   195,186   52,545   332,349   .269   .703
2019   84,427   195,528   54,270   334,225   .278   .709
2020   84,214   195,839   56,061   336,114   .286   .716
2021   84,061   196,147   57,895   338,103   .295   .724
2022   84,021   196,389   59,799   340,209   .304   .732
2023   84,002   196,673   61,697   342,373   .314   .741
2024   83,956   196,988   63,575   344,518   .323   .749
2025   83,880   197,264   65,488   346,632   .332   .757
2026   83,740   197,607   67,364   348,712   .341   .765
2027   83,527   198,066   69,162   350,755   .349   .771
2028   83,308   198,563   70,890   352,761   .357   .777
2029   83,193   198,993   72,537   354,723   .365   .783
2030   83,205   199,415   74,020   356,639   .371   .788
2031   83,306   199,918   75,282   358,505   .377   .793
2032   83,453   200,471   76,394   360,318   .381   .797
2033   83,610   201,026   77,441   362,077   .385   .801
2034   83,753   201,528   78,497   363,778   .390   .805
2035   83,886   201,910   79,627   365,422   .394   .810
2036   84,049   202,269   80,690   367,007   .399   .814
2037   84,251   202,766   81,514   368,532   .402   .818
2038   84,475   203,407   82,115   369,996   .404   .819
2039   84,690   204,097   82,612   371,399   .405   .820
2040   84,888   204,765   83,088   372,740   .406   .820
2041   85,049   205,444   83,529   374,022   .407   .821
2042   85,153   206,089   84,003   375,244   .408   .821
2043   85,205   206,697   84,512   376,413   .409   .821
2044   85,227   207,250   85,053   377,530   .410   .822
2045   85,231   207,675   85,695   378,601   .413   .823
2046   85,218   208,064   86,346   379,628   .415   .825
2047   85,189   208,455   86,974   380,618   .417   .826
2048   85,148   208,856   87,575   381,579   .419   .827
2049   85,097   209,293   88,124   382,515   .421   .828
2050   85,042   209,685   88,707   383,433   .423   .829
2051   84,984   210,045   89,312   384,341   .425   .830
2052   84,927   210,398   89,918   385,243   .427   .831
2053   84,874   210,683   90,588   386,145   .430   .833
2054   84,825   210,867   91,356   387,048   .433   .836
2055   84,783   210,937   92,238   387,958   .437   .839
2056   84,748   210,962   93,164   388,874   .442   .843
2057   84,723   211,023   94,055   389,801   .446   .847
2058   84,709   211,136   94,893   390,738   .449   .851
2059   84,708   211,305   95,672   391,686   .453   .854
2060   84,721   211,499   96,424   392,644   .456   .856
2061   84,748   211,700   97,163   393,611   .459   .859
2062   84,790   211,905   97,890   394,584   .462   .862
2063   84,843   212,077   98,641   395,561   .465   .865
2064   84,909   212,202   99,427   396,538   .469   .869
2065   84,983   212,274   100,254   397,511   .472   .873
2066   85,065   212,332   101,079   398,477   .476   .877
2067   85,151   212,410   101,870   399,432   .480   .880
2068   85,240   212,449   102,684   400,373   .483   .885
2069   85,329   212,441   103,529   401,298   .487   .889
2070   85,414   212,396   104,395   402,204   .492   .894
2071   85,494   212,284   105,314   403,091   .496   .899
2072   85,566   212,100   106,289   403,955   .501   .905
2073   85,629   211,908   107,258   404,794   .506   .910
2074   85,681   211,814   108,112   405,608   .510   .915
2075   85,723   211,842   108,830   406,395   .514   .918
2076   85,754   211,957   109,445   407,156   .516   .921
2077   85,775   212,125   109,991   407,891   .519   .923
2078   85,788   212,309   110,505   408,602   .520   .925
2079   85,792   212,488   111,009   409,289   .522   .926
2080   85,791   212,665   111,500   409,956   .524   .928
2081   85,786   212,877   111,943   410,606   .526   .929
2082   85,778   213,132   112,329   411,239   .527   .930
2083   85,770   213,412   112,676   411,858   .528   .930
2084   85,763   213,693   113,010   412,466   .529   .930
2085   85,758   213,965   113,339   413,062   .530   .931
2086   85,757   214,211   113,682   413,651   .531   .931
2087   85,760   214,411   114,059   414,231   .532   .932
2088   85,769   214,569   114,466   414,804   .533   .933
2089   85,784   214,705   114,882   415,371   .535   .935
2090   85,805   214,827   115,298   415,931   .537   .936
2091   85,833   214,936   115,716   416,485   .538   .938
2092   85,866   215,033   116,134   417,033   .540   .939
2093   85,904   215,117   116,552   417,574   .542   .941
2094   85,948   215,191   116,971   418,110   .544   .943
2095   85,995   215,256   117,390   418,641   .545   .945

a Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over to the population at ages 20-64.
b Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over and the population under age 20 to the population at ages 20-64.
c Estimated, intermediate alternative.

Notes:
1. Historical data are subject to revision.
2. Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components.