Single-Year Tables | Historical Data | Intermediate Assumptions | Low-Cost Assumptions | High-Cost Assumptions |
Percentage of GDP | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OASDI | HI | Combined | ||||||||||||||||||
Calendar year |
In- come a |
Cost b | Bal- ance b |
In- come a |
Cost | Bal- ance |
In- come a |
Cost b | Bal- ance b |
GDP in dollars (billions) |
||||||||||
Historical data: |
||||||||||||||||||||
1970 | 3.28 | 3.08 | 0.20 | 0.53 | 0.51 | 0.02 | 3.81 | 3.59 | 0.22 | 1,073 | ||||||||||
1971 | 3.34 | 3.31 | .03 | .47 | .52 | -.05 | 3.81 | 3.83 | -.02 | 1,165 | ||||||||||
1972 | 3.39 | 3.38 | .01 | .47 | .52 | -.05 | 3.86 | 3.90 | -.04 | 1,279 | ||||||||||
1973 | 3.68 | 3.73 | -.05 | .80 | .54 | .26 | 4.47 | 4.27 | .20 | 1,425 | ||||||||||
1974 | 3.84 | 3.92 | -.08 | .75 | .61 | .14 | 4.60 | 4.53 | .06 | 1,545 | ||||||||||
1975 | 3.84 | 4.11 | -.26 | .73 | .69 | .04 | 4.57 | 4.79 | -.22 | 1,685 | ||||||||||
1976 | 3.86 | 4.18 | -.32 | .69 | .74 | -.05 | 4.55 | 4.92 | -.37 | 1,873 | ||||||||||
1977 | 3.82 | 4.19 | -.37 | .72 | .77 | -.05 | 4.54 | 4.96 | -.42 | 2,082 | ||||||||||
1978 | 3.81 | 4.08 | -.27 | .79 | .79 | c | 4.60 | 4.87 | -.27 | 2,352 | ||||||||||
1979 | 3.95 | 4.08 | -.14 | .86 | .82 | .04 | 4.81 | 4.90 | -.09 | 2,627 | ||||||||||
1980 | 4.11 | 4.32 | -.22 | .87 | .91 | -.04 | 4.98 | 5.23 | -.26 | 2,857 | ||||||||||
1981 | 4.37 | 4.50 | -.13 | 1.05 | .97 | .08 | 5.42 | 5.47 | -.05 | 3,207 | ||||||||||
1982 | 4.38 | 4.79 | -.41 | 1.06 | 1.08 | -.02 | 5.44 | 5.87 | -.43 | 3,344 | ||||||||||
1983 | 4.49 | 4.71 | -.23 | 1.13 | 1.11 | .02 | 5.61 | 5.82 | -.21 | 3,634 | ||||||||||
1984 | 4.54 | 4.47 | .07 | 1.10 | 1.12 | -.03 | 5.64 | 5.59 | .04 | 4,038 | ||||||||||
1985 | 4.63 | 4.39 | .23 | 1.14 | 1.11 | .03 | 5.77 | 5.51 | .26 | 4,339 | ||||||||||
1986 | 4.65 | 4.40 | .25 | 1.23 | 1.09 | .14 | 5.88 | 5.49 | .39 | 4,580 | ||||||||||
1987 | 4.65 | 4.31 | .34 | 1.23 | 1.07 | .15 | 5.88 | 5.38 | .50 | 4,855 | ||||||||||
1988 | 4.88 | 4.25 | .63 | 1.22 | 1.02 | .20 | 6.09 | 5.27 | .82 | 5,236 | ||||||||||
1989 | 4.91 | 4.19 | .72 | 1.21 | 1.09 | .12 | 6.11 | 5.28 | .84 | 5,642 | ||||||||||
1990 | 5.00 | 4.24 | .76 | 1.21 | 1.12 | .09 | 6.21 | 5.36 | .84 | 5,963 | ||||||||||
1991 | 5.00 | 4.45 | .55 | 1.30 | 1.19 | .11 | 6.30 | 5.64 | .66 | 6,158 | ||||||||||
1992 | 4.87 | 4.48 | .39 | 1.30 | 1.30 | c | 6.16 | 5.78 | .39 | 6,520 | ||||||||||
1993 | 4.78 | 4.50 | .28 | 1.28 | 1.39 | -.11 | 6.06 | 5.89 | .17 | 6,859 | ||||||||||
1994 | 4.80 | 4.43 | .37 | 1.40 | 1.48 | -.08 | 6.20 | 5.91 | .29 | 7,287 | ||||||||||
1995 | 4.77 | 4.45 | .32 | 1.41 | 1.55 | -.14 | 6.18 | 6.00 | .18 | 7,640 | ||||||||||
1996 | 4.78 | 4.38 | .40 | 1.41 | 1.60 | -.18 | 6.19 | 5.98 | .21 | 8,073 | ||||||||||
1997 | 4.83 | 4.30 | .52 | 1.43 | 1.60 | -.17 | 6.26 | 5.90 | .36 | 8,578 | ||||||||||
1998 | 4.85 | 4.22 | .64 | 1.47 | 1.46 | .02 | 6.33 | 5.68 | .65 | 9,063 | ||||||||||
1999 | 4.89 | 4.08 | .81 | 1.49 | 1.36 | .14 | 6.39 | 5.44 | .95 | 9,631 | ||||||||||
2000 | 4.92 | 4.05 | .87 | 1.52 | 1.30 | .23 | 6.44 | 5.34 | 1.09 | 10,252 | ||||||||||
2001 | 5.00 | 4.15 | .85 | 1.50 | 1.37 | .13 | 6.50 | 5.52 | .98 | 10,582 | ||||||||||
2002 | 5.00 | 4.22 | .78 | 1.46 | 1.41 | .05 | 6.46 | 5.63 | .83 | 10,936 | ||||||||||
2003 | 4.77 | 4.18 | .59 | 1.44 | 1.39 | .04 | 6.21 | 5.58 | .63 | 11,458 | ||||||||||
2004 | 4.66 | 4.11 | .55 | 1.43 | 1.41 | .02 | 6.09 | 5.52 | .57 | 12,214 | ||||||||||
2005 | 4.66 | 4.06 | .60 | 1.41 | 1.44 | -.02 | 6.07 | 5.50 | .57 | 13,037 | ||||||||||
2006 | 4.65 | 4.02 | .63 | 1.42 | 1.43 | -.01 | 6.07 | 5.45 | .62 | 13,815 | ||||||||||
2007 | 4.67 | 4.11 | .56 | 1.44 | 1.45 | -.01 | 6.11 | 5.56 | .54 | 14,452 | ||||||||||
2008 | 4.68 | 4.25 | .43 | 1.44 | 1.53 | -.09 | 6.12 | 5.78 | .34 | 14,713 | ||||||||||
2009 | 4.77 | 4.75 | .02 | 1.42 | 1.66 | -.24 | 6.19 | 6.40 | -.21 | 14,449 | ||||||||||
2010 | 4.43 | 4.75 | -.33 | 1.40 | 1.64 | -.24 | 5.83 | 6.39 | -.57 | 14,992 | ||||||||||
2011 | 4.44 | 4.74 | -.29 | 1.41 | 1.65 | -.24 | 5.85 | 6.38 | -.53 | 15,543 | ||||||||||
2012 | 4.51 | 4.85 | -.34 | 1.43 | 1.62 | -.19 | 5.94 | 6.47 | -.53 | 16,197 | ||||||||||
2013 | 4.48 | 4.90 | -.42 | 1.45 | 1.60 | -.15 | 5.93 | 6.50 | -.57 | 16,785 | ||||||||||
2014 | 4.49 | 4.90 | -.42 | 1.47 | 1.54 | -.07 | 5.96 | 6.45 | -.49 | 17,522 | ||||||||||
2015 | 4.54 | 4.92 | -.39 | 1.49 | 1.53 | -.04 | 6.02 | 6.45 | -.43 | 18,219 | ||||||||||
2016 | 4.65 | 4.93 | -.28 | 1.49 | 1.55 | -.06 | 6.14 | 6.48 | -.34 | 18,707 | ||||||||||
2017 | 4.68 | 4.89 | -.21 | 1.50 | 1.54 | -.05 | 6.17 | 6.43 | -.26 | 19,485 | ||||||||||
2018 | 4.49 | 4.88 | -.39 | 1.47 | 1.52 | -.05 | 5.96 | 6.40 | -.44 | 20,502 | ||||||||||
Intermediate: |
||||||||||||||||||||
2019 | 4.56 | 4.93 | -.38 | 1.49 | 1.54 | -.05 | 6.04 | 6.47 | -.43 | 21,485 | ||||||||||
2020 | 4.57 | 4.94 | -.38 | 1.50 | 1.57 | -.07 | 6.07 | 6.51 | -.45 | 22,523 | ||||||||||
2021 | 4.59 | 5.01 | -.42 | 1.52 | 1.60 | -.09 | 6.10 | 6.61 | -.51 | 23,558 | ||||||||||
2022 | 4.62 | 5.09 | -.47 | 1.53 | 1.65 | -.12 | 6.15 | 6.73 | -.58 | 24,616 | ||||||||||
2023 | 4.64 | 5.16 | -.52 | 1.54 | 1.69 | -.15 | 6.18 | 6.85 | -.67 | 25,735 | ||||||||||
2024 | 4.66 | 5.25 | -.58 | 1.55 | 1.73 | -.17 | 6.22 | 6.97 | -.75 | 26,907 | ||||||||||
2025 | 4.68 | 5.33 | -.65 | 1.57 | 1.76 | -.20 | 6.25 | 7.10 | -.85 | 28,109 | ||||||||||
2026 | 4.74 | 5.42 | -.68 | 1.61 | 1.80 | -.19 | 6.35 | 7.22 | -.87 | 29,349 | ||||||||||
2027 | 4.76 | 5.50 | -.75 | 1.62 | 1.83 | -.21 | 6.38 | 7.34 | -.95 | 30,637 | ||||||||||
2028 | 4.78 | 5.59 | -.82 | 1.64 | 1.92 | -.28 | 6.41 | 7.51 | -1.10 | 31,972 | ||||||||||
2029 | 4.78 | 5.66 | -.88 | 1.65 | 1.95 | -.31 | 6.42 | 7.61 | -1.19 | 33,363 | ||||||||||
2030 | 4.78 | 5.72 | -.94 | 1.65 | 1.98 | -.33 | 6.43 | 7.70 | -1.27 | 34,800 | ||||||||||
2031 | 4.77 | 5.77 | -.99 | 1.66 | 2.01 | -.35 | 6.43 | 7.78 | -1.35 | 36,304 | ||||||||||
2032 | 4.77 | 5.81 | -1.04 | 1.67 | 2.04 | -.37 | 6.44 | 7.85 | -1.41 | 37,873 | ||||||||||
2033 | 4.77 | 5.85 | -1.08 | 1.67 | 2.07 | -.40 | 6.44 | 7.92 | -1.47 | 39,501 | ||||||||||
2034 | 4.77 | 5.87 | -1.11 | 1.68 | 2.09 | -.42 | 6.44 | 7.97 | -1.52 | 41,199 | ||||||||||
2035 | 4.76 | 5.89 | -1.13 | 1.68 | 2.12 | -.43 | 6.44 | 8.01 | -1.56 | 42,963 | ||||||||||
2036 | 4.76 | 5.91 | -1.15 | 1.69 | 2.14 | -.45 | 6.44 | 8.04 | -1.60 | 44,793 | ||||||||||
2037 | 4.75 | 5.92 | -1.17 | 1.69 | 2.16 | -.46 | 6.45 | 8.07 | -1.63 | 46,700 | ||||||||||
2038 | 4.75 | 5.93 | -1.18 | 1.70 | 2.17 | -.47 | 6.44 | 8.10 | -1.65 | 48,689 | ||||||||||
2039 | 4.74 | 5.93 | -1.19 | 1.70 | 2.18 | -.48 | 6.44 | 8.12 | -1.67 | 50,772 | ||||||||||
2040 | 4.74 | 5.93 | -1.19 | 1.71 | 2.19 | -.49 | 6.44 | 8.12 | -1.68 | 52,965 | ||||||||||
2041 | 4.73 | 5.92 | -1.19 | 1.71 | 2.20 | -.49 | 6.44 | 8.12 | -1.68 | 55,249 | ||||||||||
2042 | 4.73 | 5.91 | -1.18 | 1.71 | 2.21 | -.49 | 6.44 | 8.12 | -1.68 | 57,640 | ||||||||||
2043 | 4.72 | 5.89 | -1.17 | 1.72 | 2.21 | -.50 | 6.44 | 8.11 | -1.67 | 60,160 | ||||||||||
2044 | 4.72 | 5.88 | -1.16 | 1.72 | 2.22 | -.50 | 6.44 | 8.10 | -1.65 | 62,794 | ||||||||||
2045 | 4.72 | 5.86 | -1.14 | 1.72 | 2.23 | -.50 | 6.44 | 8.09 | -1.65 | 65,548 | ||||||||||
2046 | 4.71 | 5.85 | -1.13 | 1.73 | 2.23 | -.50 | 6.44 | 8.08 | -1.63 | 68,433 | ||||||||||
2047 | 4.71 | 5.83 | -1.12 | 1.73 | 2.23 | -.50 | 6.45 | 8.07 | -1.62 | 71,444 | ||||||||||
2048 | 4.71 | 5.82 | -1.11 | 1.74 | 2.23 | -.50 | 6.45 | 8.06 | -1.61 | 74,580 | ||||||||||
2049 | 4.71 | 5.81 | -1.11 | 1.74 | 2.24 | -.49 | 6.45 | 8.05 | -1.60 | 77,863 | ||||||||||
2050 | 4.71 | 5.81 | -1.10 | 1.75 | 2.24 | -.49 | 6.45 | 8.04 | -1.59 | 81,297 | ||||||||||
2051 | 4.71 | 5.80 | -1.10 | 1.75 | 2.24 | -.48 | 6.46 | 8.04 | -1.58 | 84,859 | ||||||||||
2052 | 4.71 | 5.80 | -1.10 | 1.76 | 2.23 | -.48 | 6.46 | 8.04 | -1.57 | 88,573 | ||||||||||
2053 | 4.71 | 5.80 | -1.10 | 1.76 | 2.23 | -.47 | 6.47 | 8.04 | -1.57 | 92,459 | ||||||||||
2054 | 4.71 | 5.81 | -1.10 | 1.77 | 2.23 | -.46 | 6.47 | 8.04 | -1.56 | 96,499 | ||||||||||
2055 | 4.71 | 5.82 | -1.11 | 1.77 | 2.23 | -.46 | 6.48 | 8.05 | -1.57 | 100,694 | ||||||||||
2056 | 4.71 | 5.83 | -1.12 | 1.78 | 2.23 | -.45 | 6.49 | 8.06 | -1.57 | 105,057 | ||||||||||
2057 | 4.71 | 5.84 | -1.13 | 1.79 | 2.23 | -.45 | 6.49 | 8.07 | -1.58 | 109,603 | ||||||||||
2058 | 4.71 | 5.85 | -1.15 | 1.79 | 2.23 | -.44 | 6.50 | 8.09 | -1.59 | 114,336 | ||||||||||
2059 | 4.71 | 5.87 | -1.16 | 1.80 | 2.23 | -.43 | 6.51 | 8.10 | -1.60 | 119,258 | ||||||||||
2060 | 4.71 | 5.89 | -1.18 | 1.81 | 2.23 | -.43 | 6.51 | 8.12 | -1.61 | 124,381 | ||||||||||
2061 | 4.71 | 5.90 | -1.20 | 1.81 | 2.24 | -.43 | 6.52 | 8.14 | -1.62 | 129,714 | ||||||||||
2062 | 4.71 | 5.92 | -1.21 | 1.82 | 2.24 | -.42 | 6.52 | 8.16 | -1.64 | 135,263 | ||||||||||
2063 | 4.71 | 5.93 | -1.23 | 1.82 | 2.25 | -.42 | 6.53 | 8.18 | -1.65 | 141,040 | ||||||||||
2064 | 4.70 | 5.95 | -1.25 | 1.83 | 2.25 | -.42 | 6.53 | 8.20 | -1.67 | 147,056 | ||||||||||
2065 | 4.70 | 5.97 | -1.26 | 1.83 | 2.26 | -.42 | 6.54 | 8.22 | -1.69 | 153,328 | ||||||||||
2066 | 4.70 | 5.98 | -1.28 | 1.84 | 2.26 | -.43 | 6.54 | 8.25 | -1.71 | 159,869 | ||||||||||
2067 | 4.70 | 6.00 | -1.30 | 1.84 | 2.27 | -.43 | 6.54 | 8.27 | -1.73 | 166,693 | ||||||||||
2068 | 4.70 | 6.02 | -1.32 | 1.85 | 2.28 | -.43 | 6.55 | 8.30 | -1.75 | 173,816 | ||||||||||
2069 | 4.70 | 6.04 | -1.34 | 1.85 | 2.29 | -.43 | 6.55 | 8.32 | -1.77 | 181,256 | ||||||||||
2070 | 4.70 | 6.05 | -1.36 | 1.86 | 2.29 | -.43 | 6.56 | 8.35 | -1.79 | 189,023 | ||||||||||
2071 | 4.70 | 6.07 | -1.38 | 1.86 | 2.30 | -.44 | 6.56 | 8.37 | -1.81 | 197,138 | ||||||||||
2072 | 4.69 | 6.08 | -1.39 | 1.87 | 2.31 | -.44 | 6.56 | 8.39 | -1.83 | 205,621 | ||||||||||
2073 | 4.69 | 6.10 | -1.41 | 1.87 | 2.31 | -.44 | 6.56 | 8.41 | -1.85 | 214,491 | ||||||||||
2074 | 4.69 | 6.11 | -1.42 | 1.88 | 2.32 | -.44 | 6.57 | 8.43 | -1.86 | 223,773 | ||||||||||
2075 | 4.69 | 6.12 | -1.43 | 1.88 | 2.33 | -.45 | 6.57 | 8.44 | -1.88 | 233,480 | ||||||||||
2076 | 4.68 | 6.12 | -1.44 | 1.88 | 2.33 | -.45 | 6.57 | 8.45 | -1.88 | 243,631 | ||||||||||
2077 | 4.68 | 6.12 | -1.44 | 1.89 | 2.33 | -.45 | 6.57 | 8.46 | -1.89 | 254,245 | ||||||||||
2078 | 4.68 | 6.12 | -1.44 | 1.89 | 2.34 | -.45 | 6.57 | 8.46 | -1.89 | 265,335 | ||||||||||
2079 | 4.67 | 6.11 | -1.44 | 1.89 | 2.34 | -.45 | 6.57 | 8.45 | -1.89 | 276,917 | ||||||||||
2080 | 4.67 | 6.10 | -1.43 | 1.89 | 2.34 | -.44 | 6.56 | 8.44 | -1.88 | 289,008 | ||||||||||
2081 | 4.67 | 6.09 | -1.43 | 1.90 | 2.34 | -.44 | 6.56 | 8.43 | -1.87 | 301,643 | ||||||||||
2082 | 4.66 | 6.08 | -1.42 | 1.90 | 2.34 | -.44 | 6.56 | 8.42 | -1.86 | 314,834 | ||||||||||
2083 | 4.66 | 6.07 | -1.41 | 1.90 | 2.33 | -.44 | 6.56 | 8.40 | -1.85 | 328,601 | ||||||||||
2084 | 4.65 | 6.05 | -1.40 | 1.90 | 2.33 | -.43 | 6.55 | 8.39 | -1.83 | 342,964 | ||||||||||
2085 | 4.65 | 6.04 | -1.39 | 1.90 | 2.33 | -.43 | 6.55 | 8.37 | -1.82 | 357,936 | ||||||||||
2086 | 4.64 | 6.03 | -1.39 | 1.90 | 2.33 | -.42 | 6.55 | 8.36 | -1.81 | 373,534 | ||||||||||
2087 | 4.64 | 6.02 | -1.38 | 1.91 | 2.32 | -.42 | 6.55 | 8.35 | -1.80 | 389,785 | ||||||||||
2088 | 4.64 | 6.02 | -1.38 | 1.91 | 2.32 | -.41 | 6.54 | 8.34 | -1.79 | 406,707 | ||||||||||
2089 | 4.63 | 6.02 | -1.38 | 1.91 | 2.32 | -.41 | 6.54 | 8.34 | -1.79 | 424,320 | ||||||||||
2090 | 4.63 | 6.02 | -1.39 | 1.91 | 2.32 | -.41 | 6.54 | 8.34 | -1.79 | 442,655 | ||||||||||
2091 | 4.63 | 6.03 | -1.40 | 1.91 | 2.32 | -.40 | 6.54 | 8.34 | -1.80 | 461,750 | ||||||||||
2092 | 4.63 | 6.03 | -1.41 | 1.92 | 2.31 | -.40 | 6.54 | 8.35 | -1.81 | 481,628 | ||||||||||
2093 | 4.62 | 6.05 | -1.42 | 1.92 | 2.31 | -.39 | 6.54 | 8.36 | -1.82 | 502,329 | ||||||||||
2094 | 4.62 | 6.06 | -1.44 | 1.92 | 2.31 | -.39 | 6.54 | 8.37 | -1.83 | 523,883 | ||||||||||
2095 | 4.62 | 6.07 | -1.45 | 1.92 | 2.31 | -.39 | 6.54 | 8.38 | -1.84 | 546,331 | ||||||||||
Low-cost: |
||||||||||||||||||||
2019 | 4.53 | 4.85 | -.32 | 1.49 | 1.49 | -.01 | 6.01 | 6.34 | -.33 | 21,807 | ||||||||||
2020 | 4.56 | 4.80 | -.24 | 1.50 | 1.48 | .02 | 6.06 | 6.28 | -.22 | 23,282 | ||||||||||
2021 | 4.59 | 4.80 | -.21 | 1.51 | 1.48 | .03 | 6.10 | 6.28 | -.17 | 24,774 | ||||||||||
2022 | 4.63 | 4.82 | -.19 | 1.53 | 1.49 | .03 | 6.16 | 6.31 | -.16 | 26,239 | ||||||||||
2023 | 4.66 | 4.85 | -.18 | 1.54 | 1.50 | .04 | 6.20 | 6.35 | -.15 | 27,796 | ||||||||||
2024 | 4.70 | 4.88 | -.18 | 1.55 | 1.50 | .04 | 6.25 | 6.39 | -.14 | 29,448 | ||||||||||
2025 | 4.73 | 4.91 | -.19 | 1.56 | 1.51 | .05 | 6.28 | 6.42 | -.14 | 31,188 | ||||||||||
2026 | 4.79 | 4.95 | -.16 | 1.60 | 1.51 | .09 | 6.38 | 6.46 | -.08 | 32,986 | ||||||||||
2027 | 4.82 | 5.00 | -.18 | 1.61 | 1.51 | .10 | 6.43 | 6.50 | -.08 | 34,852 | ||||||||||
2028 | 4.85 | 5.05 | -.20 | 1.62 | 1.55 | .08 | 6.47 | 6.59 | -.12 | 36,806 | ||||||||||
2029 | 4.85 | 5.08 | -.23 | 1.63 | 1.55 | .09 | 6.48 | 6.62 | -.14 | 38,869 | ||||||||||
2030 | 4.85 | 5.10 | -.25 | 1.64 | 1.54 | .10 | 6.49 | 6.64 | -.15 | 41,032 | ||||||||||
2031 | 4.85 | 5.12 | -.27 | 1.65 | 1.53 | .12 | 6.50 | 6.66 | -.16 | 43,321 | ||||||||||
2032 | 4.85 | 5.14 | -.29 | 1.66 | 1.53 | .13 | 6.51 | 6.66 | -.16 | 45,737 | ||||||||||
2033 | 4.85 | 5.14 | -.30 | 1.67 | 1.52 | .15 | 6.51 | 6.66 | -.15 | 48,274 | ||||||||||
2034 | 4.85 | 5.14 | -.30 | 1.67 | 1.51 | .16 | 6.52 | 6.66 | -.14 | 50,955 | ||||||||||
2035 | 4.84 | 5.14 | -.29 | 1.68 | 1.50 | .18 | 6.52 | 6.64 | -.11 | 53,775 | ||||||||||
2036 | 4.84 | 5.13 | -.29 | 1.69 | 1.49 | .20 | 6.53 | 6.62 | -.09 | 56,744 | ||||||||||
2037 | 4.84 | 5.12 | -.28 | 1.69 | 1.47 | .22 | 6.53 | 6.59 | -.06 | 59,881 | ||||||||||
2038 | 4.84 | 5.11 | -.27 | 1.70 | 1.45 | .25 | 6.54 | 6.56 | -.03 | 63,202 | ||||||||||
2039 | 4.83 | 5.09 | -.26 | 1.71 | 1.43 | .27 | 6.54 | 6.53 | .01 | 66,725 | ||||||||||
2040 | 4.83 | 5.07 | -.24 | 1.71 | 1.41 | .30 | 6.54 | 6.49 | .06 | 70,485 | ||||||||||
2041 | 4.83 | 5.05 | -.22 | 1.72 | 1.39 | .33 | 6.55 | 6.44 | .11 | 74,460 | ||||||||||
2042 | 4.83 | 5.02 | -.19 | 1.72 | 1.37 | .36 | 6.55 | 6.38 | .17 | 78,681 | ||||||||||
2043 | 4.83 | 4.98 | -.16 | 1.73 | 1.34 | .38 | 6.56 | 6.33 | .23 | 83,187 | ||||||||||
2044 | 4.83 | 4.95 | -.13 | 1.74 | 1.32 | .41 | 6.56 | 6.28 | .29 | 87,971 | ||||||||||
2045 | 4.83 | 4.92 | -.10 | 1.74 | 1.30 | .44 | 6.57 | 6.23 | .34 | 93,041 | ||||||||||
2046 | 4.83 | 4.90 | -.07 | 1.75 | 1.28 | .46 | 6.58 | 6.18 | .40 | 98,426 | ||||||||||
2047 | 4.83 | 4.87 | -.04 | 1.76 | 1.26 | .49 | 6.58 | 6.14 | .45 | 104,128 | ||||||||||
2048 | 4.83 | 4.85 | -.02 | 1.76 | 1.24 | .52 | 6.59 | 6.10 | .50 | 110,151 | ||||||||||
2049 | 4.83 | 4.83 | c | 1.77 | 1.23 | .54 | 6.60 | 6.06 | .54 | 116,536 | ||||||||||
2050 | 4.83 | 4.82 | .02 | 1.78 | 1.21 | .57 | 6.61 | 6.03 | .59 | 123,297 | ||||||||||
2051 | 4.84 | 4.80 | .03 | 1.78 | 1.19 | .59 | 6.62 | 6.00 | .63 | 130,419 | ||||||||||
2052 | 4.84 | 4.80 | .04 | 1.79 | 1.18 | .62 | 6.63 | 5.97 | .66 | 137,948 | ||||||||||
2053 | 4.84 | 4.79 | .05 | 1.80 | 1.16 | .64 | 6.64 | 5.95 | .69 | 145,917 | ||||||||||
2054 | 4.85 | 4.79 | .06 | 1.81 | 1.15 | .66 | 6.66 | 5.94 | .72 | 154,314 | ||||||||||
2055 | 4.85 | 4.79 | .06 | 1.82 | 1.14 | .68 | 6.67 | 5.92 | .74 | 163,160 | ||||||||||
2056 | 4.86 | 4.79 | .06 | 1.82 | 1.13 | .70 | 6.68 | 5.92 | .76 | 172,488 | ||||||||||
2057 | 4.86 | 4.80 | .06 | 1.83 | 1.12 | .71 | 6.69 | 5.92 | .78 | 182,335 | ||||||||||
2058 | 4.86 | 4.81 | .06 | 1.84 | 1.11 | .73 | 6.71 | 5.92 | .79 | 192,724 | ||||||||||
2059 | 4.87 | 4.81 | .06 | 1.85 | 1.10 | .75 | 6.72 | 5.92 | .80 | 203,672 | ||||||||||
2060 | 4.87 | 4.82 | .05 | 1.86 | 1.10 | .76 | 6.73 | 5.92 | .81 | 215,224 | ||||||||||
2061 | 4.88 | 4.83 | .05 | 1.86 | 1.09 | .77 | 6.74 | 5.92 | .82 | 227,415 | ||||||||||
2062 | 4.88 | 4.84 | .04 | 1.87 | 1.09 | .78 | 6.75 | 5.93 | .82 | 240,277 | ||||||||||
2063 | 4.88 | 4.85 | .04 | 1.88 | 1.09 | .79 | 6.76 | 5.94 | .83 | 253,865 | ||||||||||
2064 | 4.89 | 4.85 | .03 | 1.88 | 1.09 | .80 | 6.77 | 5.94 | .83 | 268,213 | ||||||||||
2065 | 4.89 | 4.86 | .03 | 1.89 | 1.09 | .80 | 6.78 | 5.95 | .83 | 283,386 | ||||||||||
2066 | 4.89 | 4.87 | .03 | 1.90 | 1.09 | .80 | 6.79 | 5.96 | .83 | 299,432 | ||||||||||
2067 | 4.90 | 4.87 | .02 | 1.90 | 1.10 | .81 | 6.80 | 5.97 | .83 | 316,411 | ||||||||||
2068 | 4.90 | 4.88 | .02 | 1.91 | 1.10 | .81 | 6.81 | 5.98 | .83 | 334,393 | ||||||||||
2069 | 4.90 | 4.89 | .01 | 1.92 | 1.11 | .81 | 6.82 | 5.99 | .82 | 353,438 | ||||||||||
2070 | 4.90 | 4.89 | .01 | 1.92 | 1.11 | .81 | 6.82 | 6.00 | .82 | 373,605 | ||||||||||
2071 | 4.91 | 4.90 | .01 | 1.93 | 1.11 | .81 | 6.83 | 6.01 | .82 | 394,982 | ||||||||||
2072 | 4.91 | 4.90 | .01 | 1.93 | 1.12 | .81 | 6.84 | 6.02 | .82 | 417,652 | ||||||||||
2073 | 4.91 | 4.90 | .01 | 1.94 | 1.12 | .81 | 6.85 | 6.02 | .82 | 441,708 | ||||||||||
2074 | 4.91 | 4.90 | .01 | 1.94 | 1.13 | .81 | 6.86 | 6.03 | .83 | 467,219 | ||||||||||
2075 | 4.92 | 4.90 | .02 | 1.95 | 1.13 | .81 | 6.86 | 6.03 | .83 | 494,275 | ||||||||||
2076 | 4.92 | 4.89 | .03 | 1.95 | 1.14 | .82 | 6.87 | 6.03 | .84 | 522,974 | ||||||||||
2077 | 4.92 | 4.88 | .04 | 1.96 | 1.14 | .82 | 6.87 | 6.02 | .85 | 553,388 | ||||||||||
2078 | 4.92 | 4.87 | .05 | 1.96 | 1.14 | .82 | 6.88 | 6.01 | .87 | 585,600 | ||||||||||
2079 | 4.92 | 4.85 | .07 | 1.96 | 1.14 | .82 | 6.88 | 5.99 | .89 | 619,719 | ||||||||||
2080 | 4.92 | 4.83 | .09 | 1.97 | 1.14 | .82 | 6.88 | 5.97 | .91 | 655,836 | ||||||||||
2081 | 4.92 | 4.81 | .11 | 1.97 | 1.15 | .82 | 6.89 | 5.96 | .93 | 694,064 | ||||||||||
2082 | 4.92 | 4.79 | .13 | 1.97 | 1.15 | .82 | 6.89 | 5.94 | .95 | 734,507 | ||||||||||
2083 | 4.92 | 4.77 | .15 | 1.97 | 1.15 | .83 | 6.89 | 5.92 | .98 | 777,264 | ||||||||||
2084 | 4.92 | 4.75 | .17 | 1.98 | 1.15 | .83 | 6.90 | 5.90 | 1.00 | 822,457 | ||||||||||
2085 | 4.92 | 4.74 | .18 | 1.98 | 1.15 | .83 | 6.90 | 5.88 | 1.02 | 870,185 | ||||||||||
2086 | 4.92 | 4.72 | .20 | 1.98 | 1.15 | .84 | 6.90 | 5.87 | 1.03 | 920,560 | ||||||||||
2087 | 4.92 | 4.72 | .20 | 1.99 | 1.15 | .84 | 6.91 | 5.86 | 1.04 | 973,715 | ||||||||||
2088 | 4.92 | 4.71 | .21 | 1.99 | 1.15 | .84 | 6.91 | 5.86 | 1.05 | 1,029,814 | ||||||||||
2089 | 4.92 | 4.72 | .21 | 1.99 | 1.15 | .85 | 6.92 | 5.86 | 1.06 | 1,088,969 | ||||||||||
2090 | 4.93 | 4.72 | .20 | 2.00 | 1.15 | .85 | 6.92 | 5.87 | 1.05 | 1,151,359 | ||||||||||
2091 | 4.93 | 4.74 | .19 | 2.00 | 1.15 | .86 | 6.93 | 5.88 | 1.05 | 1,217,175 | ||||||||||
2092 | 4.93 | 4.75 | .18 | 2.01 | 1.15 | .86 | 6.94 | 5.90 | 1.04 | 1,286,621 | ||||||||||
2093 | 4.94 | 4.77 | .16 | 2.01 | 1.15 | .86 | 6.95 | 5.92 | 1.03 | 1,359,895 | ||||||||||
2094 | 4.94 | 4.80 | .14 | 2.02 | 1.15 | .86 | 6.96 | 5.95 | 1.01 | 1,437,235 | ||||||||||
2095 | 4.94 | 4.82 | .12 | 2.02 | 1.16 | .86 | 6.96 | 5.98 | .98 | 1,518,880 | ||||||||||
High-cost: |
||||||||||||||||||||
2019 | 4.59 | 5.03 | -.44 | 1.49 | 1.59 | -.10 | 6.08 | 6.61 | -.54 | 21,152 | ||||||||||
2020 | 4.59 | 5.20 | -.61 | 1.50 | 1.66 | -.17 | 6.08 | 6.86 | -.78 | 21,450 | ||||||||||
2021 | 4.58 | 5.36 | -.78 | 1.51 | 1.73 | -.22 | 6.09 | 7.09 | -1.00 | 21,982 | ||||||||||
2022 | 4.59 | 5.48 | -.89 | 1.53 | 1.81 | -.28 | 6.11 | 7.29 | -1.17 | 22,731 | ||||||||||
2023 | 4.60 | 5.60 | -1.00 | 1.54 | 1.89 | -.35 | 6.14 | 7.49 | -1.35 | 23,507 | ||||||||||
2024 | 4.62 | 5.74 | -1.12 | 1.56 | 1.97 | -.41 | 6.18 | 7.71 | -1.53 | 24,300 | ||||||||||
2025 | 4.63 | 5.86 | -1.23 | 1.58 | 2.06 | -.48 | 6.21 | 7.92 | -1.71 | 25,146 | ||||||||||
2026 | 4.69 | 5.98 | -1.29 | 1.62 | 2.15 | -.52 | 6.31 | 8.13 | -1.82 | 26,027 | ||||||||||
2027 | 4.70 | 6.11 | -1.41 | 1.64 | 2.23 | -.58 | 6.35 | 8.34 | -1.99 | 26,919 | ||||||||||
2028 | 4.71 | 6.24 | -1.53 | 1.66 | 2.37 | -.71 | 6.37 | 8.61 | -2.24 | 27,813 | ||||||||||
2029 | 4.71 | 6.34 | -1.63 | 1.67 | 2.46 | -.80 | 6.38 | 8.80 | -2.42 | 28,680 | ||||||||||
2030 | 4.71 | 6.43 | -1.72 | 1.67 | 2.55 | -.88 | 6.38 | 8.98 | -2.60 | 29,560 | ||||||||||
2031 | 4.71 | 6.51 | -1.81 | 1.68 | 2.64 | -.96 | 6.39 | 9.15 | -2.76 | 30,474 | ||||||||||
2032 | 4.70 | 6.59 | -1.88 | 1.68 | 2.72 | -1.04 | 6.39 | 9.31 | -2.92 | 31,416 | ||||||||||
2033 | 4.70 | 6.65 | -1.96 | 1.69 | 2.81 | -1.12 | 6.39 | 9.47 | -3.08 | 32,379 | ||||||||||
2034 | 4.69 | 6.71 | -2.01 | 1.69 | 2.90 | -1.21 | 6.39 | 9.61 | -3.22 | 33,374 | ||||||||||
2035 | 4.69 | 6.75 | -2.06 | 1.70 | 2.99 | -1.29 | 6.39 | 9.74 | -3.35 | 34,391 | ||||||||||
2036 | 4.68 | 6.79 | -2.11 | 1.70 | 3.07 | -1.37 | 6.38 | 9.86 | -3.48 | 35,428 | ||||||||||
2037 | 4.67 | 6.83 | -2.15 | 1.71 | 3.16 | -1.45 | 6.38 | 9.98 | -3.60 | 36,494 | ||||||||||
2038 | 4.67 | 6.86 | -2.19 | 1.71 | 3.24 | -1.53 | 6.38 | 10.10 | -3.72 | 37,587 | ||||||||||
2039 | 4.66 | 6.90 | -2.24 | 1.71 | 3.32 | -1.60 | 6.38 | 10.22 | -3.84 | 38,713 | ||||||||||
2040 | 4.66 | 6.93 | -2.27 | 1.72 | 3.40 | -1.68 | 6.37 | 10.33 | -3.95 | 39,884 | ||||||||||
2041 | 4.65 | 6.95 | -2.30 | 1.72 | 3.48 | -1.76 | 6.37 | 10.43 | -4.06 | 41,078 | ||||||||||
2042 | 4.64 | 6.97 | -2.32 | 1.72 | 3.55 | -1.83 | 6.37 | 10.52 | -4.15 | 42,307 | ||||||||||
2043 | 4.64 | 6.98 | -2.34 | 1.73 | 3.63 | -1.90 | 6.36 | 10.61 | -4.24 | 43,585 | ||||||||||
2044 | 4.63 | 6.99 | -2.36 | 1.73 | 3.71 | -1.98 | 6.36 | 10.70 | -4.34 | 44,897 | ||||||||||
2045 | 4.63 | 7.00 | -2.37 | 1.73 | 3.79 | -2.06 | 6.36 | 10.79 | -4.43 | 46,244 | ||||||||||
2046 | 4.62 | 7.01 | -2.39 | 1.73 | 3.86 | -2.13 | 6.35 | 10.87 | -4.52 | 47,633 | ||||||||||
2047 | 4.62 | 7.02 | -2.40 | 1.74 | 3.93 | -2.20 | 6.35 | 10.95 | -4.60 | 49,064 | ||||||||||
2048 | 4.61 | 7.03 | -2.42 | 1.74 | 4.00 | -2.26 | 6.35 | 11.03 | -4.68 | 50,530 | ||||||||||
2049 | 4.61 | 7.04 | -2.44 | 1.74 | 4.06 | -2.32 | 6.35 | 11.10 | -4.75 | 52,047 | ||||||||||
2050 | 4.60 | 7.06 | -2.45 | 1.75 | 4.12 | -2.37 | 6.35 | 11.17 | -4.82 | 53,611 | ||||||||||
2051 | 4.60 | 7.07 | -2.47 | 1.75 | 4.17 | -2.42 | 6.35 | 11.24 | -4.89 | 55,207 | ||||||||||
2052 | 4.60 | 7.09 | -2.49 | 1.75 | 4.22 | -2.47 | 6.35 | 11.31 | -4.96 | 56,846 | ||||||||||
2053 | 4.59 | 7.11 | -2.52 | 1.76 | 4.26 | -2.51 | 6.35 | 11.37 | -5.02 | 58,541 | ||||||||||
2054 | 4.59 | 7.13 | -2.54 | 1.76 | 4.31 | -2.55 | 6.35 | 11.44 | -5.09 | 60,278 | ||||||||||
2055 | 4.59 | 7.15 | -2.57 | 1.76 | 4.35 | -2.59 | 6.35 | 11.51 | -5.16 | 62,053 | ||||||||||
2056 | 4.58 | 7.18 | -2.60 | 1.77 | 4.40 | -2.63 | 6.35 | 11.58 | -5.23 | 63,873 | ||||||||||
2057 | 4.58 | 7.21 | -2.63 | 1.77 | 4.43 | -2.66 | 6.35 | 11.64 | -5.29 | 65,744 | ||||||||||
2058 | 4.58 | 7.24 | -2.66 | 1.78 | 4.47 | -2.69 | 6.35 | 11.70 | -5.35 | 67,663 | ||||||||||
2059 | 4.57 | 7.27 | -2.69 | 1.78 | 4.50 | -2.72 | 6.35 | 11.76 | -5.41 | 69,630 | ||||||||||
2060 | 4.57 | 7.30 | -2.73 | 1.78 | 4.53 | -2.74 | 6.36 | 11.83 | -5.47 | 71,647 | ||||||||||
2061 | 4.57 | 7.33 | -2.76 | 1.79 | 4.56 | -2.77 | 6.36 | 11.88 | -5.53 | 73,718 | ||||||||||
2062 | 4.56 | 7.36 | -2.80 | 1.79 | 4.58 | -2.79 | 6.36 | 11.94 | -5.59 | 75,840 | ||||||||||
2063 | 4.56 | 7.39 | -2.83 | 1.79 | 4.60 | -2.81 | 6.36 | 12.00 | -5.64 | 78,017 | ||||||||||
2064 | 4.56 | 7.42 | -2.87 | 1.80 | 4.62 | -2.83 | 6.36 | 12.05 | -5.69 | 80,246 | ||||||||||
2065 | 4.55 | 7.46 | -2.90 | 1.80 | 4.65 | -2.85 | 6.35 | 12.10 | -5.75 | 82,537 | ||||||||||
2066 | 4.55 | 7.49 | -2.94 | 1.81 | 4.67 | -2.86 | 6.35 | 12.16 | -5.80 | 84,890 | ||||||||||
2067 | 4.54 | 7.52 | -2.98 | 1.81 | 4.68 | -2.87 | 6.35 | 12.20 | -5.85 | 87,302 | ||||||||||
2068 | 4.54 | 7.56 | -3.02 | 1.81 | 4.69 | -2.88 | 6.35 | 12.25 | -5.90 | 89,785 | ||||||||||
2069 | 4.54 | 7.59 | -3.06 | 1.82 | 4.70 | -2.88 | 6.35 | 12.29 | -5.94 | 92,336 | ||||||||||
2070 | 4.53 | 7.63 | -3.10 | 1.82 | 4.71 | -2.89 | 6.35 | 12.34 | -5.99 | 94,955 | ||||||||||
2071 | 4.53 | 7.67 | -3.14 | 1.82 | 4.72 | -2.90 | 6.35 | 12.39 | -6.04 | 97,649 | ||||||||||
2072 | 4.52 | 7.70 | -3.18 | 1.83 | 4.73 | -2.90 | 6.35 | 12.43 | -6.08 | 100,421 | ||||||||||
2073 | 4.52 | 7.73 | -3.22 | 1.83 | 4.74 | -2.91 | 6.35 | 12.47 | -6.13 | 103,276 | ||||||||||
2074 | 4.51 | 7.76 | -3.25 | 1.83 | 4.75 | -2.91 | 6.35 | 12.51 | -6.17 | 106,218 | ||||||||||
2075 | 4.51 | 7.79 | -3.29 | 1.84 | 4.75 | -2.92 | 6.34 | 12.55 | -6.20 | 109,251 | ||||||||||
2076 | 4.50 | 7.82 | -3.32 | 1.84 | 4.76 | -2.92 | 6.34 | 12.58 | -6.24 | 112,374 | ||||||||||
2077 | 4.50 | 7.84 | -3.34 | 1.84 | 4.76 | -2.92 | 6.34 | 12.60 | -6.26 | 115,594 | ||||||||||
2078 | 4.49 | 7.86 | -3.37 | 1.84 | 4.76 | -2.92 | 6.33 | 12.61 | -6.28 | 118,910 | ||||||||||
2079 | 4.48 | 7.87 | -3.38 | 1.84 | 4.76 | -2.91 | 6.33 | 12.62 | -6.30 | 122,321 | ||||||||||
2080 | 4.47 | 7.87 | -3.40 | 1.85 | 4.75 | -2.91 | 6.32 | 12.63 | -6.31 | 125,836 | ||||||||||
2081 | 4.47 | 7.88 | -3.41 | 1.85 | 4.75 | -2.90 | 6.31 | 12.62 | -6.31 | 129,456 | ||||||||||
2082 | 4.46 | 7.88 | -3.42 | 1.85 | 4.74 | -2.89 | 6.31 | 12.62 | -6.31 | 133,184 | ||||||||||
2083 | 4.45 | 7.88 | -3.43 | 1.85 | 4.73 | -2.88 | 6.30 | 12.61 | -6.31 | 137,025 | ||||||||||
2084 | 4.44 | 7.88 | -3.43 | 1.85 | 4.72 | -2.87 | 6.29 | 12.60 | -6.30 | 140,979 | ||||||||||
2085 | 4.44 | 7.87 | -3.44 | 1.85 | 4.71 | -2.86 | 6.29 | 12.58 | -6.30 | 145,048 | ||||||||||
2086 | 4.43 | 7.87 | -3.44 | 1.85 | 4.70 | -2.85 | 6.28 | 12.57 | -6.29 | 149,232 | ||||||||||
2087 | 4.42 | 7.86 | -3.44 | 1.85 | 4.69 | -2.84 | 6.27 | 12.55 | -6.28 | 153,531 | ||||||||||
2088 | 4.41 | 7.86 | -3.45 | 1.85 | 4.68 | -2.83 | 6.26 | 12.54 | -6.27 | 157,949 | ||||||||||
2089 | 4.41 | 7.86 | -3.45 | 1.85 | 4.67 | -2.82 | 6.26 | 12.53 | -6.27 | 162,487 | ||||||||||
2090 | 4.40 | 7.86 | -3.46 | 1.85 | 4.66 | -2.81 | 6.25 | 12.52 | -6.27 | 167,148 | ||||||||||
2091 | 4.39 | 7.86 | -3.47 | 1.85 | 4.65 | -2.80 | 6.24 | 12.51 | -6.26 | 171,939 | ||||||||||
2092 | 4.38 | 7.86 | -3.47 | 1.85 | 4.64 | -2.79 | 6.24 | 12.50 | -6.26 | 176,861 | ||||||||||
2093 | 4.38 | 7.86 | -3.48 | 1.85 | 4.64 | -2.78 | 6.23 | 12.50 | -6.27 | 181,920 | ||||||||||
2094 | 4.37 | 7.87 | -3.49 | 1.86 | 4.63 | -2.77 | 6.23 | 12.49 | -6.27 | 187,118 | ||||||||||
2095 | 4.37 | 7.87 | -3.50 | 1.86 | 4.62 | -2.76 | 6.22 | 12.49 | -6.27 | 192,458 |
a
Income for individual years excludes interest on the trust funds. b OASDI benefit payments which were scheduled to be paid on January 3 for some past and future years were actually paid on December 31 as required by the statutory provision for early delivery of benefit payments when the normal payment delivery date is a Saturday, Sunday, or legal public holiday. For comparability with the values for historical years and the projections in this report, all trust fund operations and asset reserves reflect the 12 months of benefits scheduled for payment each year. c Between -0.005 and 0 percent of GDP. Notes: 1. The Trustees show income and cost estimates generally on a cash basis for the OASDI program and on an incurred basis for the HI program. 2. Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components. |