Single-Year Tables Historical Data Intermediate Assumptions Low-Cost Assumptions High-Cost Assumptions


Table V.A3.—Social Security Area Population on July 1 and Dependency Ratios,
Calendar Years 1941-2095
Calendar year   Population (in thousands)   Dependency ratio
Under 20   20-64   65 and
over		   Total Aged a   Total b

Historical data:
1941   48,423   83,776   9,826   142,025   0.117   0.695
1942   48,489   84,899   10,095   143,483   .119   .690
1943   48,744   86,001   10,350   145,096   .120   .687
1944   48,973   87,076   10,606   146,655   .122   .684
1945   49,121   88,109   10,900   148,130   .124   .681
1946   49,575   89,094   11,227   149,896   .126   .682
1947   50,550   90,026   11,578   152,154   .129   .690
1948   51,673   90,877   11,952   154,502   .132   .700
1949   52,769   91,655   12,353   156,778   .135   .711
1950   53,903   92,382   12,769   159,053   .138   .722
1951   56,504   94,164   13,291   163,959   .141   .741
1952   58,018   94,779   13,722   166,519   .145   .757
1953   59,679   95,257   14,171   169,107   .149   .775
1954   61,458   95,699   14,635   171,793   .153   .795
1955   63,293   96,207   15,075   174,576   .157   .815
1956   65,232   96,725   15,491   177,448   .160   .835
1957   67,418   97,990   15,931   181,338   .163   .851
1958   69,363   98,535   16,392   184,290   .166   .870
1959   71,246   99,127   16,851   187,224   .170   .889
1960   73,074   99,802   17,277   190,153   .173   .905
1961   74,900   100,632   17,675   193,207   .176   .920
1962   76,451   101,621   18,054   196,126   .178   .930
1963   77,731   102,747   18,404   198,882   .179   .936
1964   78,929   103,845   18,745   201,519   .181   .941
1965   80,020   104,885   19,071   203,975   .182   .945
1966   80,670   106,133   19,403   206,207   .183   .943
1967   80,760   107,805   19,763   208,328   .183   .932
1968   80,695   109,595   20,115   210,406   .184   .920
1969   80,801   111,292   20,482   212,575   .184   .910
1970   81,020   112,991   20,895   214,906   .185   .902
1971   81,055   114,731   21,353   217,139   .186   .893
1972   80,752   116,556   21,810   219,119   .187   .880
1973   80,158   118,473   22,277   220,909   .188   .865
1974   79,431   120,512   22,766   222,709   .189   .848
1975   78,629   122,642   23,307   224,578   .190   .831
1976   77,760   124,831   23,907   226,498   .192   .814
1977   76,913   127,142   24,509   228,564   .193   .798
1978   76,120   129,507   25,117   230,744   .194   .782
1979   75,433   131,847   25,724   233,003   .195   .767
1980   74,833   134,108   26,306   235,247   .196   .754
1981   74,290   136,313   26,877   237,480   .197   .742
1982   73,819   138,488   27,470   239,777   .198   .731
1983   73,409   140,618   28,032   242,060   .199   .721
1984   73,072   142,696   28,559   244,327   .200   .712
1985   72,946   144,579   29,132   246,656   .201   .706
1986   73,053   146,247   29,740   249,040   .203   .703
1987   73,325   147,821   30,333   251,479   .205   .701
1988   73,727   149,375   30,873   253,975   .207   .700
1989   74,184   151,022   31,373   256,578   .208   .699
1990   74,797   152,770   31,924   259,490   .209   .699
1991   75,574   154,533   32,507   262,614   .210   .699
1992   76,465   156,186   33,053   265,704   .212   .701
1993   77,465   157,705   33,528   268,697   .213   .704
1994   78,425   159,204   33,939   271,568   .213   .706
1995   79,278   160,733   34,313   274,324   .213   .707
1996   80,031   162,332   34,645   277,008   .213   .706
1997   80,653   164,084   34,926   279,663   .213   .704
1998   81,176   165,985   35,143   282,304   .212   .701
1999   81,603   168,029   35,310   284,943   .210   .696
2000   82,003   170,182   35,505   287,689   .209   .690
2001   82,389   172,417   35,740   290,545   .207   .685
2002   82,725   174,665   36,000   293,390   .206   .680
2003   83,073   176,751   36,320   296,144   .205   .675
2004   83,488   178,783   36,710   298,982   .205   .672
2005   83,982   181,065   37,172   302,219   .205   .669
2006   84,573   183,341   37,735   305,649   .206   .667
2007   85,154   184,972   38,484   308,609   .208   .668
2008   85,551   185,799   39,367   310,716   .212   .672
2009   85,776   186,735   40,244   312,755   .216   .675
2010   85,688   188,334   41,052   315,075   .218   .673
2011   85,337   189,780   42,043   317,160   .222   .671
2012   85,006   190,638   43,449   319,092   .228   .674
2013   84,738   191,364   44,932   321,034   .235   .678
2014   84,660   192,406   46,345   323,412   .241   .681
2015   84,688   193,518   47,786   325,993   .247   .685
2016 c   84,689   194,261   49,270   328,220   .254   .690
2017 d   84,707   194,926   50,818   330,451   .261   .695
2018 d   84,706   195,714   52,401   332,821   .268   .701

Intermediate:
2019   84,674   196,426   54,055   335,155   .275   .706
2020   84,651   197,101   55,763   337,514   .283   .712
2021   84,691   197,718   57,497   339,906   .291   .719
2022   84,866   198,201   59,290   342,357   .299   .727
2023   85,140   198,692   61,067   344,898   .307   .736
2024   85,502   199,211   62,815   347,528   .315   .745
2025   85,927   199,694   64,590   350,212   .323   .754
2026   86,341   200,247   66,321   352,909   .331   .762
2027   86,709   200,918   67,965   355,592   .338   .770
2028   87,079   201,628   69,533   358,240   .345   .777
2029   87,556   202,272   71,013   360,841   .351   .784
2030   88,162   202,907   72,323   363,391   .356   .791
2031   88,857   203,622   73,409   365,887   .361   .797
2032   89,599   204,386   74,342   368,328   .364   .802
2033   90,350   205,153   75,208   370,711   .367   .807
2034   91,085   205,872   76,079   373,036   .370   .812
2035   91,799   206,482   77,020   375,301   .373   .818
2036   92,546   207,068   77,893   377,507   .376   .823
2037   93,360   207,762   78,531   379,652   .378   .827
2038   94,231   208,557   78,948   381,737   .379   .830
2039   95,087   209,407   79,267   383,761   .379   .833
2040   95,883   210,276   79,566   385,725   .378   .834
2041   96,599   211,199   79,836   387,634   .378   .835
2042   97,202   212,146   80,143   389,491   .378   .836
2043   97,663   213,152   80,489   391,304   .378   .836
2044   97,988   214,219   80,873   393,079   .378   .835
2045   98,211   215,250   81,363   394,824   .378   .834
2046   98,377   216,297   81,872   396,547   .379   .833
2047   98,516   217,374   82,366   398,256   .379   .832
2048   98,650   218,469   82,841   399,960   .379   .831
2049   98,795   219,598   83,276   401,668   .379   .829
2050   98,955   220,681   83,752   403,389   .380   .828
2051   99,138   221,732   84,260   405,130   .380   .827
2052   99,348   222,772   84,780   406,900   .381   .827
2053   99,590   223,744   85,371   408,705   .382   .827
2054   99,868   224,617   86,064   410,549   .383   .828
2055   100,182   225,380   86,874   412,436   .385   .830
2056   100,536   226,098   87,733   414,367   .388   .833
2057   100,929   226,847   88,566   416,342   .390   .835
2058   101,362   227,645   89,352   418,360   .393   .838
2059   101,833   228,498   90,085   420,416   .394   .840
2060   102,340   229,372   90,793   422,506   .396   .842
2061   102,880   230,250   91,495   424,625   .397   .844
2062   103,446   231,127   92,193   426,766   .399   .846
2063   104,033   231,974   92,916   428,924   .401   .849
2064   104,634   232,787   93,670   431,091   .402   .852
2065   105,241   233,562   94,459   433,262   .404   .855
2066   105,849   234,339   95,244   435,432   .406   .858
2067   106,451   235,153   95,991   437,595   .408   .861
2068   107,042   235,948   96,758   439,748   .410   .864
2069   107,617   236,718   97,554   441,889   .412   .867
2070   108,172   237,474   98,368   444,015   .414   .870
2071   108,703   238,190   99,233   446,126   .417   .873
2072   109,205   238,864   100,151   448,221   .419   .876
2073   109,677   239,560   101,061   450,299   .422   .880
2074   110,118   240,384   101,858   452,360   .424   .882
2075   110,527   241,357   102,522   454,407   .425   .883
2076   110,908   242,448   103,085   456,441   .425   .883
2077   111,263   243,618   103,583   458,464   .425   .882
2078   111,598   244,831   104,052   460,481   .425   .881
2079   111,918   246,062   104,515   462,495   .425   .880
2080   112,228   247,305   104,975   464,508   .424   .878
2081   112,535   248,602   105,387   466,525   .424   .877
2082   112,846   249,983   105,720   468,549   .423   .874
2083   113,164   251,434   105,985   470,583   .422   .872
2084   113,495   252,887   106,247   472,629   .420   .869
2085   113,842   254,297   106,550   474,688   .419   .867
2086   114,208   255,645   106,909   476,763   .418   .865
2087   114,596   256,899   107,360   478,854   .418   .864
2088   115,004   258,028   107,928   480,960   .418   .864
2089   115,434   259,034   108,614   483,082   .419   .865
2090   115,884   259,948   109,385   485,218   .421   .867
2091   116,353   260,805   110,209   487,366   .423   .869
2092   116,837   261,630   111,058   489,525   .424   .871
2093   117,334   262,443   111,917   491,694   .426   .874
2094   117,840   263,254   112,777   493,870   .428   .876
2095   118,353   264,065   113,636   496,055   .430   .879

Low-cost:
2019   84,866   196,611   54,040   335,517   .275   .707
2020   85,055   197,478   55,731   338,265   .282   .713
2021   85,381   198,339   57,440   341,160   .290   .720
2022   85,894   199,083   59,200   344,177   .297   .729
2023   86,552   199,836   60,935   347,324   .305   .738
2024   87,346   200,619   62,634   350,599   .312   .748
2025   88,253   201,366   64,351   353,970   .320   .758
2026   89,198   202,183   66,017   357,398   .327   .768
2027   90,147   203,118   67,588   360,854   .333   .777
2028   91,126   204,093   69,076   364,294   .338   .785
2029   92,214   205,003   70,468   367,685   .344   .794
2030   93,435   205,903   71,684   371,021   .348   .802
2031   94,748   206,882   72,670   374,300   .351   .809
2032   96,111   207,909   73,499   377,519   .354   .816
2033   97,485   208,938   74,254   380,677   .355   .822
2034   98,845   209,918   75,010   383,773   .357   .828
2035   100,188   210,789   75,830   386,808   .360   .835
2036   101,565   211,635   76,579   389,780   .362   .842
2037   103,011   212,587   77,091   392,689   .363   .847
2038   104,494   213,660   77,383   395,536   .362   .851
2039   105,921   214,828   77,575   398,324   .361   .854
2040   107,246   216,061   77,748   401,055   .360   .856
2041   108,449   217,392   77,893   403,734   .358   .857
2042   109,498   218,797   78,075   406,370   .357   .857
2043   110,366   220,308   78,298   408,972   .355   .856
2044   111,059   221,931   78,562   411,551   .354   .854
2045   111,615   223,569   78,935   414,118   .353   .852
2046   112,081   225,274   79,329   416,684   .352   .850
2047   112,490   227,057   79,714   419,261   .351   .847
2048   112,891   228,883   80,087   421,861   .350   .843
2049   113,326   230,745   80,425   424,495   .349   .840
2050   113,803   232,562   80,809   427,175   .347   .837
2051   114,330   234,348   81,231   429,909   .347   .834
2052   114,916   236,121   81,670   432,708   .346   .833
2053   115,566   237,826   82,186   435,579   .346   .831
2054   116,285   239,434   82,807   438,526   .346   .832
2055   117,073   240,930   83,549   441,553   .347   .833
2056   117,933   242,382   84,345   444,659   .348   .835
2057   118,863   243,860   85,119   447,843   .349   .836
2058   119,862   245,386   85,852   451,099   .350   .838
2059   120,923   246,963   86,534   454,420   .350   .840
2060   122,042   248,563   87,195   457,799   .351   .842
2061   123,208   250,167   87,851   461,227   .351   .844
2062   124,413   251,777   88,504   464,694   .352   .846
2063   125,644   253,364   89,183   468,191   .352   .848
2064   126,889   254,928   89,891   471,708   .353   .850
2065   128,137   256,469   90,633   475,239   .353   .853
2066   129,378   258,030   91,369   478,777   .354   .856
2067   130,601   259,648   92,068   482,317   .355   .858
2068   131,799   261,271   92,784   485,854   .355   .860
2069   132,964   262,897   93,526   489,387   .356   .862
2070   134,090   264,540   94,283   492,913   .356   .863
2071   135,173   266,176   95,087   496,435   .357   .865
2072   136,207   267,805   95,940   499,952   .358   .867
2073   137,193   269,491   96,782   503,466   .359   .868
2074   138,130   271,338   97,512   506,981   .359   .868
2075   139,021   273,367   98,111   510,499   .359   .867
2076   139,870   275,544   98,611   514,025   .358   .865
2077   140,686   277,831   99,047   517,564   .356   .863
2078   141,477   280,191   99,454   521,122   .355   .860
2079   142,252   282,595   99,855   524,702   .353   .857
2080   143,022   285,036   100,253   528,311   .352   .853
2081   143,798   287,551   100,604   531,952   .350   .850
2082   144,588   290,164   100,878   535,630   .348   .846
2083   145,403   292,840   101,105   539,348   .345   .842
2084   146,248   295,491   101,370   543,109   .343   .838
2085   147,129   298,069   101,715   546,913   .341   .835
2086   148,050   300,553   102,160   550,762   .340   .832
2087   149,012   302,908   102,735   554,656   .339   .831
2088   150,016   305,107   103,470   558,593   .339   .831
2089   151,059   307,149   104,363   562,572   .340   .832
2090   152,139   309,065   105,384   566,589   .341   .833
2091   153,251   310,891   106,499   570,642   .343   .836
2092   154,390   312,655   107,682   574,727   .344   .838
2093   155,549   314,395   108,896   578,841   .346   .841
2094   156,723   316,147   110,111   582,981   .348   .844
2095   157,905   317,916   111,324   587,146   .350   .847

High-cost:
2019   84,410   196,112   54,069   334,590   .276   .706
2020   84,147   196,542   55,796   336,485   .284   .712
2021   83,904   196,912   57,558   338,375   .292   .718
2022   83,752   197,148   59,390   340,290   .301   .726
2023   83,653   197,391   61,216   342,260   .310   .734
2024   83,586   197,664   63,023   344,272   .319   .742
2025   83,515   197,900   64,866   346,280   .328   .750
2026   83,378   198,206   66,674   348,258   .336   .757
2027   83,169   198,629   68,405   350,202   .344   .763
2028   82,951   199,092   70,068   352,110   .352   .769
2029   82,837   199,489   71,652   353,979   .359   .774
2030   82,851   199,878   73,074   355,803   .366   .780
2031   82,952   200,348   74,280   357,580   .371   .785
2032   83,099   200,870   75,339   359,307   .375   .789
2033   83,253   201,394   76,336   360,983   .379   .792
2034   83,388   201,871   77,346   362,605   .383   .796
2035   83,504   202,238   78,431   364,173   .388   .801
2036   83,650   202,582   79,453   365,685   .392   .805
2037   83,862   203,037   80,240   367,139   .395   .808
2038   84,152   203,575   80,808   368,535   .397   .810
2039   84,471   204,123   81,278   369,871   .398   .812
2040   84,773   204,645   81,728   371,147   .399   .814
2041   85,040   205,176   82,149   372,364   .400   .815
2042   85,236   205,683   82,604   373,523   .402   .816
2043   85,332   206,201   83,097   374,630   .403   .817
2044   85,341   206,722   83,624   375,687   .405   .817
2045   85,306   207,138   84,256   376,699   .407   .819
2046   85,254   207,516   84,900   377,670   .409   .820
2047   85,186   207,896   85,524   378,607   .411   .821
2048   85,106   208,286   86,123   379,515   .413   .822
2049   85,017   208,710   86,673   380,400   .415   .823
2050   84,923   209,089   87,258   381,269   .417   .823
2051   84,827   209,435   87,867   382,129   .420   .825
2052   84,735   209,771   88,481   382,986   .422   .826
2053   84,647   210,040   89,159   383,846   .424   .827
2054   84,568   210,211   89,933   384,712   .428   .830
2055   84,499   210,271   90,819   385,589   .432   .834
2056   84,442   210,289   91,748   386,478   .436   .838
2057   84,399   210,339   92,644   387,382   .440   .842
2058   84,374   210,442   93,486   388,301   .444   .845
2059   84,366   210,601   94,268   389,236   .448   .848
2060   84,379   210,783   95,022   390,184   .451   .851
2061   84,411   210,967   95,766   391,144   .454   .854
2062   84,462   211,148   96,502   392,112   .457   .857
2063   84,528   211,293   97,264   393,085   .460   .860
2064   84,609   211,394   98,055   394,058   .464   .864
2065   84,701   211,446   98,881   395,028   .468   .868
2066   84,801   211,485   99,703   395,989   .471   .872
2067   84,907   211,546   100,487   396,939   .475   .876
2068   85,016   211,567   101,292   397,875   .479   .881
2069   85,124   211,540   102,128   398,793   .483   .885
2070   85,230   211,475   102,985   399,690   .487   .890
2071   85,329   211,341   103,896   400,566   .492   .895
2072   85,418   211,136   104,863   401,417   .497   .901
2073   85,496   210,924   105,823   402,243   .502   .907
2074   85,561   210,811   106,670   403,042   .506   .912
2075   85,610   210,822   107,382   403,814   .509   .915
2076   85,645   210,923   107,990   404,558   .512   .918
2077   85,665   211,078   108,533   405,276   .514   .920
2078   85,672   211,252   109,045   405,969   .516   .922
2079   85,668   211,421   109,551   406,640   .518   .923
2080   85,655   211,583   110,052   407,290   .520   .925
2081   85,636   211,783   110,505   407,923   .522   .926
2082   85,613   212,054   110,874   408,541   .523   .927
2083   85,589   212,406   111,152   409,147   .523   .926
2084   85,566   212,793   111,382   409,741   .523   .926
2085   85,547   213,173   111,607   410,327   .524   .925
2086   85,533   213,530   111,845   410,907   .524   .924
2087   85,525   213,829   112,127   411,481   .524   .924
2088   85,525   214,042   112,483   412,050   .526   .925
2089   85,534   214,179   112,902   412,615   .527   .926
2090   85,551   214,279   113,344   413,175   .529   .928
2091   85,577   214,367   113,787   413,731   .531   .930
2092   85,612   214,442   114,229   414,282   .533   .932
2093   85,654   214,505   114,670   414,829   .535   .934
2094   85,703   214,557   115,111   415,371   .537   .936
2095   85,757   214,601   115,551   415,910   .538   .938
a Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over to the population at ages 20-64.
b Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over and the population under age 20 to the population at ages 20-64.
c Estimated.
d Estimated, intermediate alternative.

Notes:
1. Historical data are subject to revision.
2. Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components.