2024 OASDI Trustees Report

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The following table presents the plot points for Figure V.C3 — DI Disability Incidence Rates, 1970-2100 [Awards per thousand disability-exposed].
 
Historical rates
Calendar
year
Gross rates
Age-sex-adjusted rates
1970
4.8
4.4
1971
5.6
5.1
1972
6.0
5.5
1973
6.3
5.9
1974
6.7
6.4
1975
7.1
7.0
1976
6.5
6.5
1977
6.6
6.6
1978
5.5
5.8
1979
4.7
5.1
1980
4.4
4.8
1981
3.9
4.2
1982
3.4
3.7
1983
4.2
4.7
1984
4.0
4.3
1985
4.0
4.3
1986
4.0
4.3
1987
3.8
4.2
1988
3.7
4.1
1989
3.8
4.2
1990
4.1
4.5
1991
4.6
5.1
1992
5.4
5.9
1993
5.3
5.8
1994
5.2
5.6
1995
5.3
5.6
1996
5.0
5.3
1997
4.7
4.9
1998
4.8
4.9
1999
4.8
4.8
2000
4.7
4.7
2001
5.2
5.1
2002
5.5
5.4
2003
5.7
5.4
2004
5.8
5.4
2005
6.0
5.5
2006
5.8
5.2
2007
5.8
5.2
2008
6.3
5.5
2009
6.9
6.0
2010
7.4
6.4
2011
7.2
6.1
2012
7.0
5.8
2013
6.3
5.2
2014
5.7
4.7
2015
5.5
4.4
2016
5.2
4.2
2017
5.3
4.3
2018
5.0
4.1
2019
4.9
4.0
2020
4.4
3.5
2021
3.8
3.1
2022
3.6
2.9
2023
3.7
2.9
 
Projected rates
Calendar
year
Gross rates
Age-sex-adjusted rates
I
II
III
I
II
III
2024
4.0
4.2
4.5
3.2
3.4
3.6
2025
4.9
5.3
6.0
4.0
4.3
4.8
2026
5.3
6.0
6.8
4.3
4.9
5.5
2027
5.3
6.1
7.1
4.3
5.0
5.8
2028
4.6
5.6
6.6
3.9
4.6
5.4
2029
4.3
5.3
6.2
3.6
4.4
5.2
2030
4.2
5.2
6.2
3.6
4.4
5.2
2031
4.2
5.3
6.3
3.6
4.5
5.3
2032
4.2
5.3
6.3
3.6
4.5
5.4
2033
4.2
5.3
6.3
3.6
4.5
5.4
2034
4.2
5.3
6.4
3.6
4.5
5.4
2035
4.2
5.3
6.4
3.6
4.5
5.4
2036
4.2
5.3
6.4
3.6
4.5
5.4
2037
4.3
5.4
6.4
3.6
4.5
5.4
2038
4.3
5.4
6.4
3.6
4.5
5.4
2039
4.3
5.4
6.5
3.6
4.5
5.4
2040
4.3
5.4
6.5
3.6
4.5
5.4
2041
4.4
5.5
6.6
3.6
4.5
5.4
2042
4.4
5.5
6.6
3.6
4.5
5.4
2043
4.4
5.5
6.7
3.6
4.5
5.4
2044
4.4
5.6
6.7
3.6
4.5
5.4
2045
4.5
5.6
6.8
3.6
4.5
5.4
2046
4.5
5.6
6.8
3.6
4.5
5.4
2047
4.5
5.7
6.8
3.6
4.5
5.4
2048
4.5
5.7
6.9
3.6
4.5
5.4
2049
4.5
5.7
6.9
3.6
4.5
5.4
2050
4.5
5.7
6.9
3.6
4.5
5.4
2051
4.5
5.7
6.9
3.6
4.5
5.4
2052
4.5
5.7
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2053
4.5
5.7
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2054
4.5
5.7
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2055
4.5
5.7
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2056
4.4
5.7
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2057
4.4
5.6
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2058
4.4
5.6
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2059
4.4
5.6
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2060
4.4
5.6
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2061
4.4
5.6
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2062
4.3
5.6
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2063
4.3
5.6
7.1
3.6
4.5
5.4
2064
4.3
5.6
7.1
3.6
4.5
5.4
2065
4.3
5.6
7.1
3.6
4.5
5.4
2066
4.3
5.6
7.1
3.6
4.5
5.4
2067
4.3
5.6
7.1
3.6
4.5
5.4
2068
4.3
5.6
7.1
3.6
4.5
5.4
2069
4.3
5.6
7.1
3.6
4.5
5.4
2070
4.3
5.6
7.1
3.6
4.5
5.4
2071
4.2
5.5
7.1
3.6
4.5
5.4
2072
4.2
5.5
7.1
3.6
4.5
5.4
2073
4.2
5.5
7.1
3.6
4.5
5.4
2074
4.2
5.5
7.1
3.6
4.5
5.4
2075
4.2
5.5
7.1
3.6
4.5
5.4
2076
4.2
5.5
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2077
4.1
5.4
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2078
4.1
5.4
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2079
4.1
5.4
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2080
4.1
5.4
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2081
4.1
5.4
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2082
4.1
5.4
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2083
4.1
5.4
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2084
4.1
5.4
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2085
4.1
5.4
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2086
4.2
5.4
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2087
4.2
5.5
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2088
4.2
5.5
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2089
4.2
5.5
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2090
4.2
5.5
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2091
4.2
5.5
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2092
4.3
5.5
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2093
4.3
5.5
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2094
4.3
5.5
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2095
4.3
5.5
7.0
3.6
4.5
5.4
2096
4.3
5.5
7.1
3.6
4.5
5.4
2097
4.3
5.5
7.1
3.6
4.5
5.4
2098
4.3
5.5
7.1
3.6
4.5
5.4
2099
4.3
5.5
7.1
3.6
4.5
5.4
2100
4.3
5.5
7.1
3.6
4.5
5.4
 
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