2003 Trustees Report
The following table presents the plot points for Figure VI.E1--The probability distribution of the annual trust fund ratios for the combined OASI and DI Trust Funds. The column headings represent the percent of the 5,000 simulations with values less than or equal to the fund ratio shown in the table.
Plot points
Calendar year
|
OASDI Trust Fund ratios
|
2.5%
|
10%
|
20%
|
30%
|
40%
|
50%
|
60%
|
70%
|
80%
|
90%
|
97.5%
|
2002
|
2.60
|
2.60
|
2.60
|
2.60
|
2.61
|
2.61
|
2.61
|
2.61
|
2.61
|
2.61
|
2.61
|
2003
|
2.82
|
2.83
|
2.85
|
2.86
|
2.87
|
2.88
|
2.89
|
2.90
|
2.91
|
2.93
|
2.95
|
2004
|
2.99
|
3.02
|
3.06
|
3.09
|
3.11
|
3.13
|
3.15
|
3.17
|
3.20
|
3.24
|
3.29
|
2005
|
3.15
|
3.20
|
3.26
|
3.30
|
3.34
|
3.37
|
3.41
|
3.45
|
3.49
|
3.55
|
3.65
|
2006
|
3.30
|
3.36
|
3.45
|
3.51
|
3.56
|
3.61
|
3.66
|
3.72
|
3.78
|
3.87
|
4.01
|
2007
|
3.42
|
3.51
|
3.62
|
3.70
|
3.76
|
3.83
|
3.89
|
3.97
|
4.06
|
4.19
|
4.37
|
2008
|
3.54
|
3.65
|
3.78
|
3.87
|
3.96
|
4.04
|
4.12
|
4.21
|
4.33
|
4.48
|
4.73
|
2009
|
3.63
|
3.77
|
3.91
|
4.02
|
4.12
|
4.22
|
4.32
|
4.43
|
4.56
|
4.74
|
5.06
|
2010
|
3.71
|
3.86
|
4.02
|
4.15
|
4.27
|
4.38
|
4.50
|
4.62
|
4.77
|
5.00
|
5.36
|
2011
|
3.76
|
3.92
|
4.11
|
4.25
|
4.38
|
4.51
|
4.64
|
4.78
|
4.95
|
5.21
|
5.62
|
2012
|
3.79
|
3.97
|
4.17
|
4.33
|
4.47
|
4.62
|
4.76
|
4.91
|
5.11
|
5.39
|
5.87
|
2013
|
3.80
|
3.99
|
4.21
|
4.38
|
4.53
|
4.70
|
4.85
|
5.03
|
5.23
|
5.54
|
6.05
|
2014
|
3.78
|
3.99
|
4.22
|
4.40
|
4.57
|
4.74
|
4.91
|
5.10
|
5.32
|
5.65
|
6.20
|
2015
|
3.74
|
3.94
|
4.20
|
4.40
|
4.58
|
4.76
|
4.94
|
5.14
|
5.36
|
5.72
|
6.31
|
2016
|
3.66
|
3.89
|
4.15
|
4.36
|
4.56
|
4.75
|
4.94
|
5.14
|
5.39
|
5.75
|
6.39
|
2017
|
3.58
|
3.79
|
4.07
|
4.29
|
4.51
|
4.70
|
4.89
|
5.12
|
5.37
|
5.76
|
6.42
|
2018
|
3.46
|
3.69
|
3.98
|
4.21
|
4.42
|
4.63
|
4.84
|
5.07
|
5.34
|
5.74
|
6.40
|
2019
|
3.32
|
3.56
|
3.88
|
4.10
|
4.32
|
4.53
|
4.75
|
4.99
|
5.28
|
5.69
|
6.35
|
2020
|
3.18
|
3.41
|
3.75
|
3.98
|
4.20
|
4.41
|
4.64
|
4.88
|
5.19
|
5.61
|
6.28
|
2021
|
3.02
|
3.25
|
3.60
|
3.85
|
4.07
|
4.28
|
4.51
|
4.77
|
5.09
|
5.50
|
6.22
|
2022
|
2.83
|
3.08
|
3.45
|
3.70
|
3.93
|
4.14
|
4.37
|
4.65
|
4.95
|
5.40
|
6.15
|
2023
|
2.64
|
2.90
|
3.27
|
3.53
|
3.77
|
3.99
|
4.22
|
4.50
|
4.82
|
5.29
|
6.05
|
2024
|
2.42
|
2.70
|
3.09
|
3.36
|
3.60
|
3.82
|
4.07
|
4.34
|
4.67
|
5.16
|
5.94
|
2025
|
2.19
|
2.50
|
2.90
|
3.17
|
3.42
|
3.65
|
3.91
|
4.18
|
4.51
|
5.03
|
5.81
|
2026
|
1.95
|
2.29
|
2.69
|
2.98
|
3.22
|
3.46
|
3.74
|
4.01
|
4.35
|
4.88
|
5.64
|
2027
|
1.71
|
2.08
|
2.47
|
2.78
|
3.01
|
3.27
|
3.54
|
3.84
|
4.18
|
4.70
|
5.54
|
2028
|
1.47
|
1.84
|
2.25
|
2.56
|
2.81
|
3.08
|
3.36
|
3.65
|
4.02
|
4.56
|
5.38
|
2029
|
1.21
|
1.59
|
2.02
|
2.34
|
2.60
|
2.87
|
3.16
|
3.47
|
3.85
|
4.40
|
5.30
|
2030
|
0.94
|
1.34
|
1.78
|
2.11
|
2.38
|
2.67
|
2.96
|
3.28
|
3.68
|
4.24
|
5.24
|
2031
|
0.66
|
1.07
|
1.53
|
1.87
|
2.15
|
2.47
|
2.75
|
3.09
|
3.50
|
4.08
|
5.12
|
2032
|
0.40
|
0.80
|
1.27
|
1.63
|
1.93
|
2.24
|
2.56
|
2.89
|
3.32
|
3.93
|
4.99
|
2033
|
0.10
|
0.52
|
1.01
|
1.39
|
1.70
|
2.02
|
2.36
|
2.70
|
3.13
|
3.78
|
4.88
|
2034
|
-0.20
|
0.23
|
0.74
|
1.13
|
1.46
|
1.79
|
2.15
|
2.50
|
2.94
|
3.62
|
4.73
|
2035
|
-0.52
|
-0.07
|
0.47
|
0.87
|
1.23
|
1.56
|
1.93
|
2.29
|
2.75
|
3.46
|
4.66
|
2036
|
-0.86
|
-0.39
|
0.19
|
0.62
|
0.99
|
1.34
|
1.72
|
2.10
|
2.58
|
3.30
|
4.55
|
2037
|
-1.21
|
-0.71
|
-0.09
|
0.35
|
0.75
|
1.11
|
1.49
|
1.89
|
2.41
|
3.16
|
4.47
|
2038
|
-1.57
|
-1.04
|
-0.37
|
0.08
|
0.50
|
0.88
|
1.27
|
1.69
|
2.22
|
3.02
|
4.41
|
2039
|
-1.91
|
-1.37
|
-0.68
|
-0.19
|
0.24
|
0.65
|
1.05
|
1.48
|
2.05
|
2.87
|
4.33
|
2040
|
-2.29
|
-1.71
|
-0.98
|
-0.48
|
-0.03
|
0.41
|
0.82
|
1.28
|
1.87
|
2.72
|
4.22
|
2041
|
-2.70
|
-2.06
|
-1.29
|
-0.77
|
-0.30
|
0.16
|
0.60
|
1.09
|
1.70
|
2.58
|
4.14
|
2042
|
-3.06
|
-2.40
|
-1.62
|
-1.06
|
-0.56
|
-0.09
|
0.38
|
0.88
|
1.52
|
2.43
|
4.06
|
2043
|
-3.49
|
-2.78
|
-1.96
|
-1.36
|
-0.83
|
-0.33
|
0.15
|
0.66
|
1.34
|
2.27
|
3.92
|
2044
|
-3.87
|
-3.15
|
-2.30
|
-1.68
|
-1.12
|
-0.59
|
-0.08
|
0.45
|
1.15
|
2.12
|
3.89
|
2045
|
-4.29
|
-3.55
|
-2.65
|
-2.01
|
-1.40
|
-0.86
|
-0.32
|
0.24
|
0.97
|
2.00
|
3.80
|
2046
|
-4.76
|
-3.94
|
-3.01
|
-2.32
|
-1.69
|
-1.12
|
-0.56
|
0.04
|
0.79
|
1.86
|
3.72
|
2047
|
-5.22
|
-4.35
|
-3.35
|
-2.65
|
-1.98
|
-1.39
|
-0.80
|
-0.17
|
0.60
|
1.72
|
3.58
|
2048
|
-5.65
|
-4.77
|
-3.71
|
-2.99
|
-2.28
|
-1.65
|
-1.06
|
-0.40
|
0.41
|
1.57
|
3.52
|
2049
|
-6.11
|
-5.21
|
-4.09
|
-3.31
|
-2.59
|
-1.94
|
-1.32
|
-0.63
|
0.22
|
1.41
|
3.44
|
2050
|
-6.61
|
-5.66
|
-4.48
|
-3.66
|
-2.92
|
-2.25
|
-1.58
|
-0.85
|
0.02
|
1.27
|
3.34
|
2051
|
-7.11
|
-6.11
|
-4.86
|
-3.99
|
-3.23
|
-2.55
|
-1.82
|
-1.09
|
-0.17
|
1.12
|
3.26
|
2052
|
-7.62
|
-6.57
|
-5.26
|
-4.31
|
-3.57
|
-2.86
|
-2.09
|
-1.31
|
-0.38
|
0.93
|
3.17
|
2053
|
-8.09
|
-7.02
|
-5.68
|
-4.66
|
-3.90
|
-3.16
|
-2.36
|
-1.54
|
-0.58
|
0.79
|
3.04
|
2054
|
-8.66
|
-7.51
|
-6.06
|
-5.04
|
-4.23
|
-3.45
|
-2.63
|
-1.78
|
-0.79
|
0.65
|
2.94
|
2055
|
-9.17
|
-7.99
|
-6.49
|
-5.41
|
-4.57
|
-3.77
|
-2.91
|
-2.02
|
-1.01
|
0.49
|
2.86
|
2056
|
-9.73
|
-8.44
|
-6.91
|
-5.80
|
-4.89
|
-4.10
|
-3.21
|
-2.25
|
-1.20
|
0.29
|
2.80
|
2057
|
-10.24
|
-8.94
|
-7.31
|
-6.17
|
-5.26
|
-4.40
|
-3.50
|
-2.49
|
-1.42
|
0.13
|
2.67
|
2058
|
-10.79
|
-9.43
|
-7.77
|
-6.60
|
-5.61
|
-4.74
|
-3.81
|
-2.76
|
-1.64
|
-0.03
|
2.56
|
2059
|
-11.39
|
-10.00
|
-8.19
|
-7.01
|
-5.98
|
-5.06
|
-4.12
|
-3.04
|
-1.86
|
-0.20
|
2.48
|
2060
|
-12.03
|
-10.46
|
-8.62
|
-7.41
|
-6.38
|
-5.40
|
-4.41
|
-3.33
|
-2.10
|
-0.38
|
2.33
|
2061
|
-12.69
|
-11.02
|
-9.08
|
-7.83
|
-6.80
|
-5.74
|
-4.71
|
-3.63
|
-2.33
|
-0.60
|
2.18
|
2062
|
-13.35
|
-11.59
|
-9.59
|
-8.28
|
-7.22
|
-6.11
|
-5.04
|
-3.92
|
-2.59
|
-0.80
|
2.11
|
2063
|
-13.99
|
-12.17
|
-10.08
|
-8.75
|
-7.61
|
-6.47
|
-5.35
|
-4.23
|
-2.84
|
-1.00
|
1.98
|
2064
|
-14.67
|
-12.74
|
-10.62
|
-9.20
|
-8.02
|
-6.84
|
-5.66
|
-4.53
|
-3.10
|
-1.18
|
1.77
|
2065
|
-15.41
|
-13.31
|
-11.18
|
-9.64
|
-8.43
|
-7.21
|
-5.99
|
-4.82
|
-3.34
|
-1.38
|
1.65
|
2066
|
-16.07
|
-13.99
|
-11.68
|
-10.12
|
-8.86
|
-7.60
|
-6.34
|
-5.13
|
-3.63
|
-1.56
|
1.50
|
2067
|
-16.80
|
-14.63
|
-12.22
|
-10.62
|
-9.28
|
-7.99
|
-6.72
|
-5.43
|
-3.91
|
-1.78
|
1.34
|
2068
|
-17.49
|
-15.29
|
-12.71
|
-11.10
|
-9.75
|
-8.38
|
-7.11
|
-5.77
|
-4.23
|
-2.02
|
1.21
|
2069
|
-18.24
|
-15.98
|
-13.30
|
-11.58
|
-10.22
|
-8.78
|
-7.45
|
-6.08
|
-4.54
|
-2.26
|
1.12
|
2070
|
-19.06
|
-16.68
|
-13.88
|
-12.13
|
-10.64
|
-9.23
|
-7.85
|
-6.43
|
-4.87
|
-2.51
|
0.98
|
2071
|
-19.83
|
-17.36
|
-14.50
|
-12.68
|
-11.09
|
-9.66
|
-8.28
|
-6.79
|
-5.19
|
-2.74
|
0.83
|
2072
|
-20.80
|
-18.13
|
-15.11
|
-13.24
|
-11.56
|
-10.06
|
-8.66
|
-7.14
|
-5.50
|
-2.97
|
0.63
|
2073
|
-21.63
|
-18.82
|
-15.71
|
-13.77
|
-12.09
|
-10.53
|
-9.07
|
-7.51
|
-5.82
|
-3.22
|
0.41
|
2074
|
-22.57
|
-19.55
|
-16.33
|
-14.26
|
-12.61
|
-10.95
|
-9.48
|
-7.92
|
-6.10
|
-3.42
|
0.26
|
2075
|
-23.47
|
-20.31
|
-17.00
|
-14.86
|
-13.10
|
-11.39
|
-9.87
|
-8.28
|
-6.47
|
-3.67
|
0.03
|
2076
|
-24.51
|
-21.16
|
-17.69
|
-15.43
|
-13.62
|
-11.84
|
-10.34
|
-8.66
|
-6.76
|
-3.96
|
-0.16
|
2077
|
-25.48
|
-22.05
|
-18.35
|
-16.05
|
-14.14
|
-12.34
|
-10.78
|
-9.05
|
-7.06
|
-4.23
|
-0.29
|
RETURN TO TRUSTEES REPORT.