2005 Trustees Report
The following table presents the plot points for Figure VI.E2--The probability distribution of the year-by-year (2005-2080) combined OASI and DI cost rates as a percentage of taxable payroll. The income rate under the intermediate assumptions is also included in the graph in order to give some indication of the patterns of cash flow for the OASDI program. The column headings represent the percent of the 5,000 simulations with values less than or equal to the cost rate shown in the table.
Plot points
Calendar year
|
OASDI income rate
|
OASDI cost rates
|
2.5%
|
10%
|
20%
|
30%
|
40%
|
50%
|
60%
|
70%
|
80%
|
90%
|
97.5%
|
2005
|
12.72
|
10.71
|
10.85
|
10.95
|
11.02
|
11.07
|
11.13
|
11.18
|
11.24
|
11.31
|
11.41
|
11.56
|
2006
|
12.73
|
10.39
|
10.59
|
10.73
|
10.83
|
10.91
|
10.99
|
11.07
|
11.16
|
11.27
|
11.41
|
11.63
|
2007
|
12.74
|
10.22
|
10.46
|
10.62
|
10.74
|
10.84
|
10.94
|
11.03
|
11.14
|
11.27
|
11.42
|
11.70
|
2008
|
12.78
|
10.19
|
10.45
|
10.63
|
10.75
|
10.85
|
10.96
|
11.07
|
11.19
|
11.32
|
11.52
|
11.81
|
2009
|
12.77
|
10.24
|
10.54
|
10.73
|
10.86
|
10.98
|
11.09
|
11.21
|
11.34
|
11.49
|
11.69
|
12.06
|
2010
|
12.79
|
10.33
|
10.61
|
10.82
|
10.97
|
11.09
|
11.21
|
11.34
|
11.48
|
11.64
|
11.88
|
12.26
|
2011
|
12.84
|
10.41
|
10.75
|
10.96
|
11.13
|
11.26
|
11.39
|
11.52
|
11.66
|
11.85
|
12.08
|
12.50
|
2012
|
12.87
|
10.59
|
10.93
|
11.18
|
11.36
|
11.50
|
11.65
|
11.79
|
11.93
|
12.12
|
12.39
|
12.81
|
2013
|
12.90
|
10.78
|
11.15
|
11.42
|
11.61
|
11.75
|
11.90
|
12.06
|
12.23
|
12.42
|
12.69
|
13.19
|
2014
|
12.92
|
10.88
|
11.31
|
11.61
|
11.81
|
11.99
|
12.17
|
12.36
|
12.55
|
12.77
|
13.10
|
13.64
|
2015
|
12.94
|
11.24
|
11.64
|
11.92
|
12.12
|
12.29
|
12.46
|
12.64
|
12.82
|
13.05
|
13.38
|
13.86
|
2016
|
12.96
|
11.44
|
11.88
|
12.19
|
12.41
|
12.59
|
12.77
|
12.95
|
13.14
|
13.38
|
13.70
|
14.28
|
2017
|
12.98
|
11.68
|
12.16
|
12.46
|
12.69
|
12.89
|
13.07
|
13.26
|
13.46
|
13.71
|
14.07
|
14.61
|
2018
|
13.00
|
11.97
|
12.43
|
12.74
|
12.99
|
13.19
|
13.39
|
13.59
|
13.80
|
14.05
|
14.42
|
15.04
|
2019
|
13.01
|
12.15
|
12.70
|
13.02
|
13.28
|
13.49
|
13.70
|
13.91
|
14.11
|
14.40
|
14.77
|
15.39
|
2020
|
13.03
|
12.40
|
12.96
|
13.33
|
13.58
|
13.79
|
14.00
|
14.22
|
14.48
|
14.75
|
15.15
|
15.83
|
2021
|
13.05
|
12.64
|
13.21
|
13.61
|
13.88
|
14.11
|
14.33
|
14.55
|
14.81
|
15.10
|
15.56
|
16.27
|
2022
|
13.07
|
12.90
|
13.51
|
13.87
|
14.17
|
14.41
|
14.64
|
14.89
|
15.13
|
15.45
|
15.92
|
16.63
|
2023
|
13.09
|
13.18
|
13.74
|
14.15
|
14.45
|
14.70
|
14.93
|
15.16
|
15.46
|
15.79
|
16.25
|
17.01
|
2024
|
13.11
|
13.40
|
14.03
|
14.42
|
14.71
|
14.96
|
15.20
|
15.48
|
15.76
|
16.10
|
16.60
|
17.34
|
2025
|
13.12
|
13.66
|
14.26
|
14.68
|
14.98
|
15.25
|
15.51
|
15.79
|
16.07
|
16.42
|
16.91
|
17.69
|
2026
|
13.14
|
13.88
|
14.50
|
14.94
|
15.25
|
15.53
|
15.80
|
16.07
|
16.36
|
16.72
|
17.22
|
18.04
|
2027
|
13.16
|
14.07
|
14.73
|
15.18
|
15.50
|
15.79
|
16.08
|
16.35
|
16.64
|
17.03
|
17.56
|
18.44
|
2028
|
13.17
|
14.26
|
14.92
|
15.39
|
15.72
|
16.03
|
16.32
|
16.59
|
16.92
|
17.30
|
17.87
|
18.71
|
2029
|
13.19
|
14.39
|
15.09
|
15.57
|
15.92
|
16.23
|
16.52
|
16.81
|
17.17
|
17.55
|
18.13
|
19.01
|
2030
|
13.20
|
14.50
|
15.21
|
15.73
|
16.11
|
16.43
|
16.73
|
17.05
|
17.37
|
17.79
|
18.38
|
19.34
|
2031
|
13.21
|
14.57
|
15.39
|
15.92
|
16.27
|
16.58
|
16.91
|
17.23
|
17.60
|
18.04
|
18.63
|
19.58
|
2032
|
13.22
|
14.71
|
15.49
|
16.04
|
16.40
|
16.75
|
17.07
|
17.42
|
17.76
|
18.18
|
18.84
|
19.85
|
2033
|
13.23
|
14.75
|
15.59
|
16.14
|
16.51
|
16.88
|
17.23
|
17.56
|
17.92
|
18.34
|
19.02
|
19.99
|
2034
|
13.24
|
14.80
|
15.66
|
16.20
|
16.58
|
16.94
|
17.29
|
17.67
|
18.03
|
18.50
|
19.19
|
20.19
|
2035
|
13.24
|
14.75
|
15.66
|
16.22
|
16.66
|
17.01
|
17.37
|
17.75
|
18.15
|
18.64
|
19.37
|
20.44
|
2036
|
13.25
|
14.78
|
15.68
|
16.26
|
16.68
|
17.07
|
17.43
|
17.85
|
18.28
|
18.79
|
19.50
|
20.64
|
2037
|
13.25
|
14.81
|
15.68
|
16.26
|
16.69
|
17.11
|
17.50
|
17.89
|
18.35
|
18.91
|
19.65
|
20.82
|
2038
|
13.26
|
14.73
|
15.64
|
16.20
|
16.70
|
17.16
|
17.56
|
17.98
|
18.43
|
18.98
|
19.75
|
21.05
|
2039
|
13.26
|
14.67
|
15.56
|
16.19
|
16.70
|
17.17
|
17.57
|
17.99
|
18.49
|
19.04
|
19.81
|
21.10
|
2040
|
13.26
|
14.62
|
15.51
|
16.15
|
16.68
|
17.15
|
17.59
|
18.02
|
18.51
|
19.11
|
19.95
|
21.31
|
2041
|
13.26
|
14.49
|
15.45
|
16.13
|
16.65
|
17.14
|
17.59
|
18.06
|
18.54
|
19.16
|
20.03
|
21.46
|
2042
|
13.27
|
14.42
|
15.40
|
16.12
|
16.67
|
17.14
|
17.58
|
18.07
|
18.61
|
19.26
|
20.13
|
21.54
|
2043
|
13.27
|
14.35
|
15.33
|
16.09
|
16.64
|
17.11
|
17.60
|
18.12
|
18.65
|
19.33
|
20.25
|
21.75
|
2044
|
13.27
|
14.33
|
15.30
|
16.06
|
16.63
|
17.09
|
17.66
|
18.14
|
18.69
|
19.38
|
20.35
|
21.90
|
2045
|
13.27
|
14.32
|
15.30
|
16.02
|
16.62
|
17.15
|
17.69
|
18.20
|
18.74
|
19.41
|
20.43
|
22.01
|
2046
|
13.27
|
14.23
|
15.29
|
16.01
|
16.64
|
17.19
|
17.72
|
18.23
|
18.80
|
19.49
|
20.51
|
22.07
|
2047
|
13.27
|
14.22
|
15.26
|
16.01
|
16.65
|
17.20
|
17.74
|
18.26
|
18.85
|
19.56
|
20.61
|
22.21
|
2048
|
13.28
|
14.17
|
15.28
|
16.02
|
16.63
|
17.20
|
17.71
|
18.25
|
18.89
|
19.66
|
20.68
|
22.45
|
2049
|
13.28
|
14.16
|
15.27
|
16.03
|
16.64
|
17.22
|
17.76
|
18.34
|
18.93
|
19.69
|
20.81
|
22.70
|
2050
|
13.28
|
14.15
|
15.28
|
16.04
|
16.69
|
17.24
|
17.79
|
18.38
|
18.98
|
19.73
|
20.93
|
22.84
|
2051
|
13.28
|
14.20
|
15.32
|
16.07
|
16.72
|
17.31
|
17.84
|
18.42
|
19.04
|
19.82
|
20.98
|
22.87
|
2052
|
13.29
|
14.15
|
15.24
|
16.10
|
16.79
|
17.34
|
17.89
|
18.47
|
19.09
|
19.88
|
21.09
|
23.02
|
2053
|
13.29
|
14.17
|
15.24
|
16.11
|
16.78
|
17.38
|
17.92
|
18.48
|
19.15
|
19.98
|
21.18
|
23.09
|
2054
|
13.29
|
14.15
|
15.23
|
16.13
|
16.83
|
17.38
|
17.95
|
18.58
|
19.22
|
20.06
|
21.26
|
23.22
|
2055
|
13.30
|
14.11
|
15.24
|
16.11
|
16.83
|
17.42
|
18.00
|
18.62
|
19.27
|
20.17
|
21.35
|
23.46
|
2056
|
13.30
|
14.12
|
15.30
|
16.18
|
16.84
|
17.49
|
18.08
|
18.71
|
19.35
|
20.28
|
21.48
|
23.69
|
2057
|
13.30
|
14.15
|
15.35
|
16.24
|
16.90
|
17.52
|
18.16
|
18.76
|
19.45
|
20.39
|
21.60
|
23.88
|
2058
|
13.31
|
14.18
|
15.39
|
16.29
|
16.94
|
17.59
|
18.18
|
18.85
|
19.57
|
20.44
|
21.76
|
24.01
|
2059
|
13.31
|
14.18
|
15.42
|
16.33
|
16.97
|
17.65
|
18.25
|
18.90
|
19.67
|
20.55
|
21.84
|
24.20
|
2060
|
13.31
|
14.12
|
15.42
|
16.33
|
17.02
|
17.70
|
18.30
|
18.97
|
19.72
|
20.68
|
22.01
|
24.33
|
2061
|
13.32
|
14.17
|
15.44
|
16.35
|
17.07
|
17.74
|
18.37
|
19.06
|
19.82
|
20.77
|
22.14
|
24.37
|
2062
|
13.32
|
14.21
|
15.48
|
16.39
|
17.15
|
17.83
|
18.46
|
19.14
|
19.93
|
20.87
|
22.27
|
24.67
|
2063
|
13.32
|
14.22
|
15.53
|
16.48
|
17.23
|
17.87
|
18.52
|
19.20
|
20.03
|
21.02
|
22.44
|
24.92
|
2064
|
13.33
|
14.20
|
15.53
|
16.56
|
17.27
|
17.96
|
18.59
|
19.28
|
20.07
|
21.09
|
22.54
|
25.06
|
2065
|
13.33
|
14.23
|
15.59
|
16.58
|
17.36
|
18.05
|
18.68
|
19.37
|
20.18
|
21.14
|
22.62
|
25.39
|
2066
|
13.34
|
14.17
|
15.65
|
16.63
|
17.40
|
18.11
|
18.81
|
19.45
|
20.26
|
21.26
|
22.74
|
25.52
|
2067
|
13.34
|
14.26
|
15.71
|
16.69
|
17.45
|
18.17
|
18.88
|
19.57
|
20.39
|
21.40
|
22.86
|
25.61
|
2068
|
13.34
|
14.33
|
15.71
|
16.73
|
17.50
|
18.25
|
18.87
|
19.62
|
20.51
|
21.51
|
23.06
|
25.90
|
2069
|
13.35
|
14.36
|
15.73
|
16.78
|
17.60
|
18.31
|
18.98
|
19.71
|
20.58
|
21.63
|
23.20
|
26.11
|
2070
|
13.35
|
14.37
|
15.85
|
16.86
|
17.63
|
18.35
|
19.06
|
19.80
|
20.68
|
21.71
|
23.35
|
26.13
|
2071
|
13.35
|
14.43
|
15.85
|
16.89
|
17.68
|
18.41
|
19.12
|
19.89
|
20.75
|
21.82
|
23.47
|
26.30
|
2072
|
13.36
|
14.40
|
15.92
|
16.97
|
17.73
|
18.47
|
19.18
|
19.95
|
20.87
|
21.91
|
23.53
|
26.41
|
2073
|
13.36
|
14.41
|
15.95
|
17.01
|
17.81
|
18.52
|
19.24
|
19.99
|
20.90
|
21.96
|
23.57
|
26.44
|
2074
|
13.36
|
14.40
|
15.97
|
17.03
|
17.83
|
18.57
|
19.28
|
20.04
|
20.94
|
22.01
|
23.63
|
26.49
|
2075
|
13.36
|
14.45
|
15.98
|
17.05
|
17.86
|
18.61
|
19.33
|
20.14
|
20.99
|
22.13
|
23.71
|
26.56
|
2076
|
13.37
|
14.49
|
16.01
|
17.08
|
17.91
|
18.63
|
19.36
|
20.17
|
21.08
|
22.18
|
23.85
|
26.71
|
2077
|
13.37
|
14.52
|
16.05
|
17.10
|
17.94
|
18.70
|
19.47
|
20.24
|
21.12
|
22.29
|
23.87
|
26.69
|
2078
|
13.37
|
14.54
|
16.08
|
17.17
|
18.04
|
18.79
|
19.51
|
20.29
|
21.17
|
22.38
|
24.05
|
26.78
|
2079
|
13.37
|
14.54
|
16.10
|
17.20
|
18.08
|
18.84
|
19.55
|
20.34
|
21.29
|
22.43
|
24.15
|
26.94
|
2080
|
13.38
|
14.62
|
16.11
|
17.25
|
18.12
|
18.90
|
19.61
|
20.41
|
21.28
|
22.56
|
24.28
|
27.12
|
RETURN TO TRUSTEES REPORT