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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2011 | 13.35 | 12.52 | -0.82 | 353 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2012 | 13.23 | 12.87 | -0.36 | 347 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 13.14 | 12.86 | -0.28 | 342 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2014 | 13.11 | 12.91 | -0.20 | 336 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2015 | 13.13 | 12.94 | -0.20 | 331 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2016 | 13.18 | 12.96 | -0.22 | 326 | -0.14 | -0.01 | 0.14 | ||
2017 | 13.29 | 12.99 | -0.29 | 320 | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.17 | ||
2018 | 13.41 | 13.02 | -0.39 | 314 | -0.21 | -0.01 | 0.20 | ||
2019 | 13.64 | 13.03 | -0.61 | 306 | -0.24 | -0.01 | 0.23 | ||
2020 | 13.92 | 13.05 | -0.88 | 296 | -0.27 | -0.01 | 0.26 | ||
2021 | 14.22 | 13.07 | -1.15 | 286 | -0.30 | -0.02 | 0.29 | ||
2022 | 14.49 | 13.08 | -1.41 | 275 | -0.34 | -0.02 | 0.32 | ||
2023 | 14.76 | 13.10 | -1.66 | 263 | -0.37 | -0.02 | 0.35 | ||
2024 | 15.01 | 13.11 | -1.90 | 250 | -0.39 | -0.02 | 0.37 | ||
2025 | 15.25 | 13.13 | -2.12 | 237 | -0.42 | -0.02 | 0.40 | ||
2026 | 15.47 | 13.14 | -2.33 | 223 | -0.45 | -0.02 | 0.43 | ||
2027 | 15.67 | 13.15 | -2.52 | 209 | -0.48 | -0.02 | 0.45 | ||
2028 | 15.85 | 13.16 | -2.68 | 194 | -0.50 | -0.03 | 0.47 | ||
2029 | 15.99 | 13.17 | -2.82 | 178 | -0.52 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
2030 | 16.11 | 13.18 | -2.93 | 162 | -0.55 | -0.03 | 0.52 | ||
2031 | 16.20 | 13.19 | -3.01 | 145 | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.54 | ||
2032 | 16.27 | 13.20 | -3.07 | 128 | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2033 | 16.33 | 13.20 | -3.13 | 111 | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
2034 | 16.37 | 13.21 | -3.16 | 93 | -0.61 | -0.03 | 0.58 | ||
2035 | 16.39 | 13.21 | -3.18 | 75 | -0.63 | -0.03 | 0.59 | ||
2036 | 16.39 | 13.21 | -3.18 | 57 | -0.64 | -0.03 | 0.61 | ||
2037 | 16.39 | 13.21 | -3.18 | 39 | -0.65 | -0.03 | 0.62 | ||
2038 | 16.36 | 13.21 | -3.15 | 20 | -0.66 | -0.04 | 0.62 | ||
2039 | 16.32 | 13.21 | -3.11 | 2 | -0.67 | -0.04 | 0.63 | ||
2040 | 16.28 | 13.21 | -3.07 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
2041 | 16.23 | 13.21 | -3.02 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
2042 | 16.19 | 13.21 | -2.98 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
2043 | 16.15 | 13.21 | -2.95 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2044 | 16.13 | 13.21 | -2.92 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2045 | 16.10 | 13.21 | -2.89 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2046 | 16.07 | 13.21 | -2.86 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2047 | 16.05 | 13.21 | -2.84 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2048 | 16.03 | 13.21 | -2.82 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2049 | 16.01 | 13.21 | -2.81 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2050 | 16.00 | 13.21 | -2.79 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2051 | 15.99 | 13.21 | -2.78 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2052 | 15.99 | 13.21 | -2.79 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2053 | 16.00 | 13.21 | -2.79 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2054 | 16.01 | 13.21 | -2.80 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2055 | 16.03 | 13.21 | -2.82 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2056 | 16.05 | 13.21 | -2.84 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2057 | 16.07 | 13.22 | -2.86 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2058 | 16.09 | 13.22 | -2.87 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2059 | 16.10 | 13.22 | -2.88 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
2060 | 16.11 | 13.22 | -2.89 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
2061 | 16.12 | 13.22 | -2.90 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
2062 | 16.13 | 13.22 | -2.90 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
2063 | 16.14 | 13.22 | -2.91 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
2064 | 16.15 | 13.22 | -2.92 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
2065 | 16.16 | 13.23 | -2.94 | ---- | -0.71 | -0.04 | 0.67 | ||
2066 | 16.18 | 13.23 | -2.95 | ---- | -0.71 | -0.04 | 0.67 | ||
2067 | 16.20 | 13.23 | -2.97 | ---- | -0.71 | -0.04 | 0.67 | ||
2068 | 16.23 | 13.23 | -3.00 | ---- | -0.71 | -0.04 | 0.67 | ||
2069 | 16.25 | 13.23 | -3.02 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2070 | 16.28 | 13.24 | -3.05 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2071 | 16.31 | 13.24 | -3.08 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2072 | 16.34 | 13.24 | -3.10 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2073 | 16.38 | 13.24 | -3.14 | ---- | -0.73 | -0.04 | 0.69 | ||
2074 | 16.41 | 13.24 | -3.17 | ---- | -0.73 | -0.04 | 0.69 | ||
2075 | 16.45 | 13.25 | -3.20 | ---- | -0.73 | -0.04 | 0.69 | ||
2076 | 16.48 | 13.25 | -3.23 | ---- | -0.73 | -0.04 | 0.69 | ||
2077 | 16.51 | 13.25 | -3.26 | ---- | -0.74 | -0.04 | 0.70 | ||
2078 | 16.55 | 13.25 | -3.30 | ---- | -0.74 | -0.04 | 0.70 | ||
2079 | 16.58 | 13.26 | -3.33 | ---- | -0.74 | -0.04 | 0.70 | ||
2080 | 16.62 | 13.26 | -3.36 | ---- | -0.74 | -0.04 | 0.70 | ||
2081 | 16.65 | 13.26 | -3.39 | ---- | -0.75 | -0.04 | 0.70 | ||
2082 | 16.69 | 13.26 | -3.43 | ---- | -0.75 | -0.04 | 0.71 | ||
2083 | 16.73 | 13.26 | -3.46 | ---- | -0.75 | -0.04 | 0.71 | ||
2084 | 16.77 | 13.27 | -3.50 | ---- | -0.75 | -0.04 | 0.71 | ||
2085 | 16.80 | 13.27 | -3.53 | ---- | -0.75 | -0.04 | 0.71 | ||
2086 | 16.83 | 13.27 | -3.56 | ---- | -0.76 | -0.04 | 0.72 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of exhaustion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2011 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2011-2085 | 15.70% | 14.00% | -1.70% | 2039 | -0.55% | -0.03% | 0.52% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of exhaustion
is 2036. |
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