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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2011 | 13.35 | 12.52 | -0.82 | 353 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2012 | 13.23 | 12.87 | -0.36 | 347 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 13.18 | 12.87 | -0.31 | 341 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2014 | 13.18 | 12.92 | -0.27 | 334 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2015 | 13.24 | 12.94 | -0.30 | 328 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.33 | 12.97 | -0.36 | 321 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.46 | 13.00 | -0.46 | 314 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.61 | 13.03 | -0.59 | 306 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.88 | 13.04 | -0.83 | 296 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.18 | 13.06 | -1.12 | 285 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2021 | 14.50 | 13.08 | -1.42 | 272 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2022 | 14.79 | 13.10 | -1.70 | 260 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2023 | 15.07 | 13.11 | -1.96 | 246 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2024 | 15.33 | 13.13 | -2.20 | 232 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2025 | 15.57 | 13.14 | -2.43 | 217 | -0.10 | -0.01 | 0.10 | ||
2026 | 15.79 | 13.16 | -2.64 | 202 | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2027 | 15.98 | 13.17 | -2.81 | 186 | -0.16 | -0.01 | 0.16 | ||
2028 | 16.15 | 13.18 | -2.97 | 169 | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.19 | ||
2029 | 16.28 | 13.19 | -3.09 | 152 | -0.23 | -0.01 | 0.22 | ||
2030 | 16.39 | 13.20 | -3.19 | 135 | -0.27 | -0.01 | 0.26 | ||
2031 | 16.45 | 13.20 | -3.25 | 117 | -0.31 | -0.02 | 0.29 | ||
2032 | 16.50 | 13.21 | -3.29 | 98 | -0.35 | -0.02 | 0.33 | ||
2033 | 16.54 | 13.21 | -3.32 | 80 | -0.39 | -0.02 | 0.37 | ||
2034 | 16.54 | 13.22 | -3.33 | 61 | -0.44 | -0.02 | 0.41 | ||
2035 | 16.53 | 13.22 | -3.31 | 42 | -0.48 | -0.03 | 0.46 | ||
2036 | 16.51 | 13.22 | -3.29 | 23 | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
2037 | 16.47 | 13.22 | -3.25 | 4 | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.54 | ||
2038 | 16.40 | 13.22 | -3.18 | ---- | -0.62 | -0.03 | 0.59 | ||
2039 | 16.32 | 13.21 | -3.11 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.04 | 0.63 | ||
2040 | 16.24 | 13.21 | -3.03 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2041 | 16.14 | 13.21 | -2.94 | ---- | -0.77 | -0.04 | 0.73 | ||
2042 | 16.05 | 13.20 | -2.85 | ---- | -0.82 | -0.04 | 0.78 | ||
2043 | 15.97 | 13.20 | -2.77 | ---- | -0.87 | -0.05 | 0.83 | ||
2044 | 15.89 | 13.20 | -2.69 | ---- | -0.93 | -0.05 | 0.88 | ||
2045 | 15.81 | 13.19 | -2.61 | ---- | -0.98 | -0.05 | 0.93 | ||
2046 | 15.72 | 13.19 | -2.54 | ---- | -1.04 | -0.06 | 0.98 | ||
2047 | 15.65 | 13.19 | -2.46 | ---- | -1.09 | -0.06 | 1.03 | ||
2048 | 15.58 | 13.18 | -2.39 | ---- | -1.14 | -0.06 | 1.08 | ||
2049 | 15.50 | 13.18 | -2.32 | ---- | -1.20 | -0.06 | 1.13 | ||
2050 | 15.43 | 13.18 | -2.26 | ---- | -1.25 | -0.07 | 1.18 | ||
2051 | 15.37 | 13.17 | -2.20 | ---- | -1.30 | -0.07 | 1.23 | ||
2052 | 15.32 | 13.17 | -2.15 | ---- | -1.36 | -0.07 | 1.28 | ||
2053 | 15.28 | 13.17 | -2.11 | ---- | -1.41 | -0.08 | 1.34 | ||
2054 | 15.24 | 13.17 | -2.07 | ---- | -1.47 | -0.08 | 1.39 | ||
2055 | 15.20 | 13.17 | -2.03 | ---- | -1.52 | -0.08 | 1.44 | ||
2056 | 15.17 | 13.17 | -2.00 | ---- | -1.57 | -0.09 | 1.49 | ||
2057 | 15.14 | 13.17 | -1.97 | ---- | -1.62 | -0.09 | 1.54 | ||
2058 | 15.10 | 13.16 | -1.94 | ---- | -1.68 | -0.09 | 1.58 | ||
2059 | 15.07 | 13.16 | -1.90 | ---- | -1.73 | -0.09 | 1.63 | ||
2060 | 15.03 | 13.16 | -1.87 | ---- | -1.78 | -0.10 | 1.68 | ||
2061 | 14.99 | 13.16 | -1.83 | ---- | -1.82 | -0.10 | 1.72 | ||
2062 | 14.95 | 13.16 | -1.80 | ---- | -1.87 | -0.10 | 1.77 | ||
2063 | 14.92 | 13.16 | -1.76 | ---- | -1.92 | -0.11 | 1.81 | ||
2064 | 14.89 | 13.16 | -1.73 | ---- | -1.96 | -0.11 | 1.86 | ||
2065 | 14.86 | 13.15 | -1.70 | ---- | -2.01 | -0.11 | 1.90 | ||
2066 | 14.83 | 13.15 | -1.68 | ---- | -2.06 | -0.11 | 1.94 | ||
2067 | 14.81 | 13.15 | -1.66 | ---- | -2.10 | -0.12 | 1.98 | ||
2068 | 14.80 | 13.15 | -1.64 | ---- | -2.14 | -0.12 | 2.03 | ||
2069 | 14.78 | 13.15 | -1.63 | ---- | -2.19 | -0.12 | 2.07 | ||
2070 | 14.78 | 13.15 | -1.62 | ---- | -2.23 | -0.12 | 2.10 | ||
2071 | 14.77 | 13.15 | -1.62 | ---- | -2.27 | -0.13 | 2.14 | ||
2072 | 14.76 | 13.15 | -1.61 | ---- | -2.30 | -0.13 | 2.17 | ||
2073 | 14.77 | 13.15 | -1.61 | ---- | -2.34 | -0.13 | 2.21 | ||
2074 | 14.77 | 13.15 | -1.62 | ---- | -2.37 | -0.13 | 2.24 | ||
2075 | 14.77 | 13.15 | -1.62 | ---- | -2.41 | -0.13 | 2.27 | ||
2076 | 14.78 | 13.15 | -1.63 | ---- | -2.44 | -0.14 | 2.30 | ||
2077 | 14.79 | 13.15 | -1.63 | ---- | -2.46 | -0.14 | 2.33 | ||
2078 | 14.80 | 13.15 | -1.64 | ---- | -2.49 | -0.14 | 2.35 | ||
2079 | 14.81 | 13.16 | -1.65 | ---- | -2.52 | -0.14 | 2.38 | ||
2080 | 14.82 | 13.16 | -1.66 | ---- | -2.54 | -0.14 | 2.40 | ||
2081 | 14.84 | 13.16 | -1.68 | ---- | -2.56 | -0.14 | 2.42 | ||
2082 | 14.85 | 13.16 | -1.69 | ---- | -2.59 | -0.14 | 2.44 | ||
2083 | 14.87 | 13.16 | -1.71 | ---- | -2.61 | -0.15 | 2.46 | ||
2084 | 14.89 | 13.16 | -1.73 | ---- | -2.62 | -0.15 | 2.48 | ||
2085 | 14.91 | 13.16 | -1.75 | ---- | -2.64 | -0.15 | 2.49 | ||
2086 | 14.93 | 13.16 | -1.77 | ---- | -2.66 | -0.15 | 2.51 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of exhaustion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2011 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2011-2085 | 15.26% | 13.97% | -1.29% | 2037 | -0.99% | -0.05% | 0.94% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of exhaustion
is 2036. |
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