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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2011 | 13.35 | 12.52 | -0.82 | 353 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2012 | 13.23 | 12.87 | -0.36 | 347 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 13.18 | 12.87 | -0.31 | 341 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2014 | 13.18 | 12.92 | -0.27 | 334 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2015 | 13.24 | 12.94 | -0.30 | 328 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.32 | 12.97 | -0.35 | 321 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2017 | 13.45 | 13.00 | -0.44 | 314 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2018 | 13.59 | 13.03 | -0.56 | 306 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2019 | 13.83 | 13.04 | -0.79 | 297 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2020 | 14.12 | 13.06 | -1.06 | 287 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2021 | 14.41 | 13.07 | -1.33 | 275 | -0.11 | -0.01 | 0.11 | ||
2022 | 14.67 | 13.09 | -1.58 | 263 | -0.16 | -0.01 | 0.15 | ||
2023 | 14.92 | 13.11 | -1.82 | 251 | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.19 | ||
2024 | 15.15 | 13.12 | -2.03 | 238 | -0.26 | -0.01 | 0.24 | ||
2025 | 15.36 | 13.13 | -2.23 | 224 | -0.31 | -0.02 | 0.30 | ||
2026 | 15.55 | 13.14 | -2.41 | 211 | -0.37 | -0.02 | 0.35 | ||
2027 | 15.71 | 13.15 | -2.56 | 196 | -0.43 | -0.02 | 0.41 | ||
2028 | 15.85 | 13.16 | -2.69 | 181 | -0.50 | -0.03 | 0.47 | ||
2029 | 15.96 | 13.17 | -2.79 | 166 | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
2030 | 16.03 | 13.18 | -2.85 | 150 | -0.62 | -0.03 | 0.59 | ||
2031 | 16.07 | 13.18 | -2.89 | 134 | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2032 | 16.10 | 13.19 | -2.91 | 118 | -0.76 | -0.04 | 0.72 | ||
2033 | 16.10 | 13.19 | -2.92 | 102 | -0.83 | -0.05 | 0.78 | ||
2034 | 16.09 | 13.19 | -2.90 | 85 | -0.89 | -0.05 | 0.85 | ||
2035 | 16.05 | 13.19 | -2.86 | 69 | -0.96 | -0.05 | 0.91 | ||
2036 | 16.00 | 13.19 | -2.81 | 52 | -1.03 | -0.06 | 0.98 | ||
2037 | 15.94 | 13.19 | -2.75 | 36 | -1.10 | -0.06 | 1.04 | ||
2038 | 15.85 | 13.18 | -2.66 | 19 | -1.17 | -0.07 | 1.11 | ||
2039 | 15.75 | 13.18 | -2.57 | 3 | -1.24 | -0.07 | 1.17 | ||
2040 | 15.64 | 13.18 | -2.47 | ---- | -1.31 | -0.07 | 1.24 | ||
2041 | 15.53 | 13.17 | -2.36 | ---- | -1.38 | -0.08 | 1.30 | ||
2042 | 15.42 | 13.17 | -2.26 | ---- | -1.45 | -0.08 | 1.37 | ||
2043 | 15.32 | 13.16 | -2.16 | ---- | -1.52 | -0.09 | 1.43 | ||
2044 | 15.22 | 13.16 | -2.07 | ---- | -1.59 | -0.09 | 1.50 | ||
2045 | 15.13 | 13.15 | -1.97 | ---- | -1.66 | -0.09 | 1.57 | ||
2046 | 15.03 | 13.15 | -1.88 | ---- | -1.73 | -0.10 | 1.63 | ||
2047 | 14.94 | 13.14 | -1.80 | ---- | -1.80 | -0.10 | 1.70 | ||
2048 | 14.85 | 13.14 | -1.71 | ---- | -1.87 | -0.11 | 1.76 | ||
2049 | 14.77 | 13.13 | -1.63 | ---- | -1.93 | -0.11 | 1.82 | ||
2050 | 14.69 | 13.13 | -1.56 | ---- | -2.00 | -0.11 | 1.89 | ||
2051 | 14.61 | 13.13 | -1.49 | ---- | -2.07 | -0.12 | 1.95 | ||
2052 | 14.55 | 13.12 | -1.42 | ---- | -2.13 | -0.12 | 2.01 | ||
2053 | 14.49 | 13.12 | -1.37 | ---- | -2.20 | -0.12 | 2.08 | ||
2054 | 14.44 | 13.12 | -1.32 | ---- | -2.27 | -0.13 | 2.14 | ||
2055 | 14.39 | 13.12 | -1.27 | ---- | -2.33 | -0.13 | 2.20 | ||
2056 | 14.34 | 13.12 | -1.22 | ---- | -2.40 | -0.14 | 2.27 | ||
2057 | 14.29 | 13.11 | -1.18 | ---- | -2.47 | -0.14 | 2.33 | ||
2058 | 14.25 | 13.11 | -1.13 | ---- | -2.53 | -0.14 | 2.39 | ||
2059 | 14.20 | 13.11 | -1.09 | ---- | -2.60 | -0.15 | 2.45 | ||
2060 | 14.14 | 13.11 | -1.04 | ---- | -2.66 | -0.15 | 2.51 | ||
2061 | 14.09 | 13.11 | -0.99 | ---- | -2.72 | -0.15 | 2.56 | ||
2062 | 14.05 | 13.10 | -0.94 | ---- | -2.78 | -0.16 | 2.62 | ||
2063 | 14.00 | 13.10 | -0.90 | ---- | -2.84 | -0.16 | 2.68 | ||
2064 | 13.95 | 13.10 | -0.86 | ---- | -2.90 | -0.17 | 2.73 | ||
2065 | 13.91 | 13.10 | -0.82 | ---- | -2.95 | -0.17 | 2.79 | ||
2066 | 13.88 | 13.09 | -0.78 | ---- | -3.01 | -0.17 | 2.84 | ||
2067 | 13.84 | 13.09 | -0.75 | ---- | -3.07 | -0.18 | 2.90 | ||
2068 | 13.81 | 13.09 | -0.72 | ---- | -3.13 | -0.18 | 2.95 | ||
2069 | 13.78 | 13.09 | -0.69 | ---- | -3.19 | -0.18 | 3.01 | ||
2070 | 13.75 | 13.09 | -0.66 | ---- | -3.25 | -0.19 | 3.06 | ||
2071 | 13.73 | 13.09 | -0.64 | ---- | -3.31 | -0.19 | 3.12 | ||
2072 | 13.70 | 13.09 | -0.61 | ---- | -3.37 | -0.19 | 3.17 | ||
2073 | 13.68 | 13.09 | -0.59 | ---- | -3.43 | -0.20 | 3.23 | ||
2074 | 13.66 | 13.08 | -0.57 | ---- | -3.49 | -0.20 | 3.29 | ||
2075 | 13.63 | 13.08 | -0.55 | ---- | -3.55 | -0.20 | 3.34 | ||
2076 | 13.61 | 13.08 | -0.53 | ---- | -3.60 | -0.21 | 3.40 | ||
2077 | 13.59 | 13.08 | -0.51 | ---- | -3.66 | -0.21 | 3.45 | ||
2078 | 13.57 | 13.08 | -0.49 | ---- | -3.72 | -0.21 | 3.51 | ||
2079 | 13.54 | 13.08 | -0.47 | ---- | -3.78 | -0.22 | 3.56 | ||
2080 | 13.52 | 13.08 | -0.45 | ---- | -3.84 | -0.22 | 3.62 | ||
2081 | 13.50 | 13.08 | -0.43 | ---- | -3.90 | -0.22 | 3.67 | ||
2082 | 13.48 | 13.08 | -0.41 | ---- | -3.95 | -0.23 | 3.73 | ||
2083 | 13.47 | 13.08 | -0.39 | ---- | -4.01 | -0.23 | 3.78 | ||
2084 | 13.45 | 13.07 | -0.37 | ---- | -4.07 | -0.23 | 3.84 | ||
2085 | 13.43 | 13.07 | -0.35 | ---- | -4.13 | -0.24 | 3.89 | ||
2086 | 13.41 | 13.07 | -0.33 | ---- | -4.19 | -0.24 | 3.94 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of exhaustion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2011 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2011-2085 | 14.67% | 13.94% | -0.74% | 2039 | -1.57% | -0.09% | 1.49% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of exhaustion
is 2036. |
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