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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2012 | 13.83 | 12.89 | -0.93 | 340 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 13.95 | 12.83 | -1.12 | 329 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2014 | 13.98 | 12.93 | -1.05 | 315 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2015 | 13.97 | 12.95 | -1.01 | 302 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.94 | 12.98 | -0.96 | 290 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.91 | 13.01 | -0.91 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.96 | 13.03 | -0.92 | 265 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 14.13 | 13.05 | -1.08 | 253 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.37 | 13.07 | -1.29 | 241 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2021 | 14.64 | 13.11 | -1.54 | 227 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2022 | 14.95 | 13.13 | -1.82 | 213 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2023 | 15.25 | 13.14 | -2.10 | 198 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2024 | 15.53 | 13.16 | -2.37 | 182 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2025 | 15.79 | 13.17 | -2.61 | 166 | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
2026 | 16.02 | 13.19 | -2.83 | 150 | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2027 | 16.23 | 13.20 | -3.03 | 133 | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.17 | ||
2028 | 16.41 | 13.21 | -3.19 | 115 | -0.23 | -0.01 | 0.22 | ||
2029 | 16.54 | 13.22 | -3.32 | 97 | -0.29 | -0.02 | 0.27 | ||
2030 | 16.65 | 13.23 | -3.42 | 78 | -0.36 | -0.02 | 0.34 | ||
2031 | 16.72 | 13.23 | -3.48 | 58 | -0.43 | -0.02 | 0.41 | ||
2032 | 16.74 | 13.24 | -3.50 | 39 | -0.51 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
2033 | 16.74 | 13.24 | -3.50 | 19 | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
2034 | 16.70 | 13.24 | -3.46 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
2035 | 16.64 | 13.24 | -3.40 | ---- | -0.77 | -0.04 | 0.73 | ||
2036 | 16.56 | 13.23 | -3.33 | ---- | -0.87 | -0.05 | 0.82 | ||
2037 | 16.46 | 13.23 | -3.24 | ---- | -0.97 | -0.05 | 0.91 | ||
2038 | 16.35 | 13.22 | -3.13 | ---- | -1.07 | -0.06 | 1.01 | ||
2039 | 16.22 | 13.22 | -3.00 | ---- | -1.18 | -0.07 | 1.11 | ||
2040 | 16.07 | 13.21 | -2.86 | ---- | -1.29 | -0.07 | 1.21 | ||
2041 | 15.92 | 13.20 | -2.72 | ---- | -1.40 | -0.08 | 1.32 | ||
2042 | 15.77 | 13.19 | -2.57 | ---- | -1.51 | -0.09 | 1.43 | ||
2043 | 15.61 | 13.19 | -2.43 | ---- | -1.63 | -0.09 | 1.54 | ||
2044 | 15.46 | 13.18 | -2.28 | ---- | -1.76 | -0.10 | 1.66 | ||
2045 | 15.30 | 13.17 | -2.13 | ---- | -1.88 | -0.11 | 1.78 | ||
2046 | 15.15 | 13.16 | -1.98 | ---- | -2.01 | -0.11 | 1.90 | ||
2047 | 14.99 | 13.15 | -1.84 | ---- | -2.15 | -0.12 | 2.03 | ||
2048 | 14.83 | 13.14 | -1.69 | ---- | -2.28 | -0.13 | 2.15 | ||
2049 | 14.68 | 13.14 | -1.54 | ---- | -2.42 | -0.14 | 2.28 | ||
2050 | 14.52 | 13.13 | -1.39 | ---- | -2.56 | -0.15 | 2.41 | ||
2051 | 14.38 | 13.12 | -1.26 | ---- | -2.69 | -0.15 | 2.54 | ||
2052 | 14.23 | 13.11 | -1.12 | ---- | -2.83 | -0.16 | 2.67 | ||
2053 | 14.10 | 13.11 | -0.99 | ---- | -2.97 | -0.17 | 2.81 | ||
2054 | 13.97 | 13.10 | -0.87 | ---- | -3.11 | -0.18 | 2.94 | ||
2055 | 13.84 | 13.09 | -0.75 | ---- | -3.25 | -0.19 | 3.07 | ||
2056 | 13.71 | 13.09 | -0.63 | ---- | -3.39 | -0.19 | 3.20 | ||
2057 | 13.59 | 13.08 | -0.51 | ---- | -3.53 | -0.20 | 3.33 | ||
2058 | 13.47 | 13.07 | -0.40 | ---- | -3.67 | -0.21 | 3.46 | ||
2059 | 13.35 | 13.07 | -0.29 | ---- | -3.80 | -0.22 | 3.58 | ||
2060 | 13.23 | 13.06 | -0.17 | ---- | -3.92 | -0.22 | 3.70 | ||
2061 | 13.12 | 13.05 | -0.07 | ---- | -4.04 | -0.23 | 3.81 | ||
2062 | 13.01 | 13.05 | 0.03 | ---- | -4.15 | -0.24 | 3.92 | ||
2063 | 12.91 | 13.04 | 0.13 | ---- | -4.26 | -0.24 | 4.02 | ||
2064 | 12.82 | 13.04 | 0.22 | ---- | -4.37 | -0.25 | 4.12 | ||
2065 | 12.74 | 13.03 | 0.30 | ---- | -4.46 | -0.26 | 4.21 | ||
2066 | 12.66 | 13.03 | 0.37 | ---- | -4.56 | -0.26 | 4.29 | ||
2067 | 12.60 | 13.02 | 0.43 | ---- | -4.64 | -0.27 | 4.38 | ||
2068 | 12.54 | 13.02 | 0.48 | ---- | -4.73 | -0.27 | 4.46 | ||
2069 | 12.49 | 13.02 | 0.53 | ---- | -4.81 | -0.28 | 4.53 | ||
2070 | 12.44 | 13.02 | 0.57 | ---- | -4.88 | -0.28 | 4.60 | ||
2071 | 12.40 | 13.01 | 0.61 | ---- | -4.95 | -0.28 | 4.67 | ||
2072 | 12.36 | 13.01 | 0.65 | ---- | -5.02 | -0.29 | 4.73 | ||
2073 | 12.33 | 13.01 | 0.68 | ---- | -5.08 | -0.29 | 4.79 | ||
2074 | 12.30 | 13.01 | 0.71 | ---- | -5.14 | -0.30 | 4.84 | ||
2075 | 12.27 | 13.01 | 0.74 | ---- | -5.19 | -0.30 | 4.89 | ||
2076 | 12.25 | 13.01 | 0.76 | ---- | -5.24 | -0.30 | 4.93 | ||
2077 | 12.23 | 13.01 | 0.77 | ---- | -5.28 | -0.30 | 4.97 | ||
2078 | 12.22 | 13.00 | 0.78 | ---- | -5.32 | -0.31 | 5.01 | ||
2079 | 12.21 | 13.00 | 0.79 | ---- | -5.36 | -0.31 | 5.05 | ||
2080 | 12.21 | 13.00 | 0.79 | ---- | -5.39 | -0.31 | 5.08 | ||
2081 | 12.21 | 13.00 | 0.79 | ---- | -5.43 | -0.31 | 5.11 | ||
2082 | 12.22 | 13.01 | 0.79 | ---- | -5.46 | -0.31 | 5.14 | ||
2083 | 12.23 | 13.01 | 0.78 | ---- | -5.49 | -0.32 | 5.17 | ||
2084 | 12.24 | 13.01 | 0.77 | ---- | -5.52 | -0.32 | 5.20 | ||
2085 | 12.25 | 13.01 | 0.75 | ---- | -5.54 | -0.32 | 5.22 | ||
2086 | 12.27 | 13.01 | 0.74 | ---- | -5.56 | -0.32 | 5.24 | ||
2087 | 12.29 | 13.01 | 0.72 | ---- | -5.59 | -0.32 | 5.26 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2012 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2012-2086 | 14.58% | 13.90% | -0.68% | 2033 | -2.11% | -0.12% | 1.99% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2033. |
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