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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2012 | 13.83 | 12.89 | -0.93 | 340 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 13.95 | 12.83 | -1.12 | 329 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2014 | 13.98 | 13.17 | -0.81 | 315 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.24 | ||
2015 | 13.97 | 13.41 | -0.56 | 304 | 0.00 | 0.46 | 0.46 | ||
2016 | 13.94 | 13.63 | -0.31 | 294 | 0.00 | 0.65 | 0.65 | ||
2017 | 13.92 | 13.82 | -0.10 | 287 | 0.00 | 0.81 | 0.81 | ||
2018 | 13.96 | 13.99 | 0.03 | 280 | 0.00 | 0.96 | 0.95 | ||
2019 | 14.14 | 14.13 | -0.01 | 274 | 0.01 | 1.07 | 1.07 | ||
2020 | 14.38 | 14.13 | -0.26 | 268 | 0.01 | 1.05 | 1.04 | ||
2021 | 14.67 | 14.14 | -0.53 | 261 | 0.01 | 1.03 | 1.02 | ||
2022 | 14.99 | 14.16 | -0.83 | 252 | 0.02 | 1.03 | 1.01 | ||
2023 | 15.31 | 14.18 | -1.13 | 243 | 0.02 | 1.03 | 1.01 | ||
2024 | 15.62 | 14.19 | -1.43 | 233 | 0.03 | 1.03 | 1.00 | ||
2025 | 15.92 | 14.21 | -1.70 | 222 | 0.03 | 1.03 | 1.00 | ||
2026 | 16.19 | 14.23 | -1.96 | 210 | 0.04 | 1.03 | 0.99 | ||
2027 | 16.46 | 14.25 | -2.21 | 198 | 0.05 | 1.04 | 0.99 | ||
2028 | 16.69 | 14.26 | -2.43 | 185 | 0.06 | 1.04 | 0.98 | ||
2029 | 16.90 | 14.28 | -2.62 | 171 | 0.07 | 1.04 | 0.97 | ||
2030 | 17.08 | 14.29 | -2.79 | 156 | 0.08 | 1.04 | 0.96 | ||
2031 | 17.23 | 14.30 | -2.93 | 141 | 0.09 | 1.04 | 0.96 | ||
2032 | 17.34 | 14.31 | -3.04 | 125 | 0.09 | 1.04 | 0.95 | ||
2033 | 17.43 | 14.32 | -3.12 | 109 | 0.10 | 1.04 | 0.94 | ||
2034 | 17.49 | 14.32 | -3.17 | 93 | 0.11 | 1.05 | 0.93 | ||
2035 | 17.53 | 14.33 | -3.21 | 76 | 0.12 | 1.05 | 0.92 | ||
2036 | 17.56 | 14.33 | -3.23 | 59 | 0.13 | 1.05 | 0.92 | ||
2037 | 17.58 | 14.34 | -3.24 | 42 | 0.14 | 1.05 | 0.91 | ||
2038 | 17.58 | 14.34 | -3.24 | 24 | 0.15 | 1.05 | 0.90 | ||
2039 | 17.56 | 14.34 | -3.22 | 6 | 0.17 | 1.06 | 0.89 | ||
2040 | 17.53 | 14.34 | -3.19 | ---- | 0.18 | 1.06 | 0.88 | ||
2041 | 17.50 | 14.34 | -3.16 | ---- | 0.19 | 1.06 | 0.87 | ||
2042 | 17.48 | 14.34 | -3.13 | ---- | 0.20 | 1.06 | 0.87 | ||
2043 | 17.45 | 14.34 | -3.11 | ---- | 0.21 | 1.06 | 0.86 | ||
2044 | 17.43 | 14.34 | -3.09 | ---- | 0.22 | 1.07 | 0.85 | ||
2045 | 17.41 | 14.34 | -3.07 | ---- | 0.23 | 1.07 | 0.84 | ||
2046 | 17.40 | 14.34 | -3.05 | ---- | 0.24 | 1.07 | 0.83 | ||
2047 | 17.39 | 14.35 | -3.04 | ---- | 0.25 | 1.07 | 0.82 | ||
2048 | 17.38 | 14.35 | -3.03 | ---- | 0.26 | 1.07 | 0.81 | ||
2049 | 17.37 | 14.35 | -3.02 | ---- | 0.27 | 1.08 | 0.80 | ||
2050 | 17.36 | 14.35 | -3.01 | ---- | 0.28 | 1.08 | 0.80 | ||
2051 | 17.36 | 14.35 | -3.01 | ---- | 0.29 | 1.08 | 0.79 | ||
2052 | 17.37 | 14.36 | -3.02 | ---- | 0.30 | 1.08 | 0.78 | ||
2053 | 17.39 | 14.36 | -3.03 | ---- | 0.31 | 1.09 | 0.77 | ||
2054 | 17.41 | 14.37 | -3.04 | ---- | 0.33 | 1.09 | 0.76 | ||
2055 | 17.43 | 14.37 | -3.06 | ---- | 0.34 | 1.09 | 0.76 | ||
2056 | 17.45 | 14.37 | -3.08 | ---- | 0.35 | 1.09 | 0.75 | ||
2057 | 17.48 | 14.38 | -3.10 | ---- | 0.36 | 1.10 | 0.74 | ||
2058 | 17.50 | 14.38 | -3.12 | ---- | 0.37 | 1.10 | 0.74 | ||
2059 | 17.52 | 14.39 | -3.14 | ---- | 0.37 | 1.10 | 0.73 | ||
2060 | 17.54 | 14.39 | -3.15 | ---- | 0.38 | 1.11 | 0.72 | ||
2061 | 17.55 | 14.39 | -3.16 | ---- | 0.39 | 1.11 | 0.72 | ||
2062 | 17.57 | 14.40 | -3.17 | ---- | 0.40 | 1.11 | 0.71 | ||
2063 | 17.58 | 14.40 | -3.18 | ---- | 0.40 | 1.11 | 0.71 | ||
2064 | 17.60 | 14.40 | -3.19 | ---- | 0.41 | 1.12 | 0.71 | ||
2065 | 17.62 | 14.41 | -3.21 | ---- | 0.42 | 1.12 | 0.70 | ||
2066 | 17.64 | 14.41 | -3.23 | ---- | 0.42 | 1.12 | 0.70 | ||
2067 | 17.67 | 14.42 | -3.25 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.12 | 0.70 | ||
2068 | 17.70 | 14.42 | -3.28 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.13 | 0.70 | ||
2069 | 17.73 | 14.42 | -3.31 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.13 | 0.69 | ||
2070 | 17.77 | 14.43 | -3.34 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.13 | 0.69 | ||
2071 | 17.80 | 14.43 | -3.37 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.13 | 0.69 | ||
2072 | 17.83 | 14.44 | -3.39 | ---- | 0.45 | 1.14 | 0.69 | ||
2073 | 17.86 | 14.44 | -3.42 | ---- | 0.45 | 1.14 | 0.69 | ||
2074 | 17.89 | 14.44 | -3.44 | ---- | 0.45 | 1.14 | 0.68 | ||
2075 | 17.92 | 14.45 | -3.47 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.14 | 0.68 | ||
2076 | 17.95 | 14.45 | -3.50 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.14 | 0.68 | ||
2077 | 17.97 | 14.45 | -3.52 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.14 | 0.68 | ||
2078 | 18.00 | 14.46 | -3.55 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.15 | 0.68 | ||
2079 | 18.04 | 14.46 | -3.58 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.15 | 0.68 | ||
2080 | 18.07 | 14.46 | -3.61 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.15 | 0.68 | ||
2081 | 18.11 | 14.47 | -3.64 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.15 | 0.68 | ||
2082 | 18.15 | 14.47 | -3.68 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.15 | 0.68 | ||
2083 | 18.19 | 14.48 | -3.72 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.15 | 0.68 | ||
2084 | 18.23 | 14.48 | -3.75 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.15 | 0.68 | ||
2085 | 18.27 | 14.48 | -3.79 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.16 | 0.68 | ||
2086 | 18.31 | 14.49 | -3.83 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.16 | 0.68 | ||
2087 | 18.35 | 14.49 | -3.86 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.16 | 0.68 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2012 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2012-2086 | 16.90% | 15.03% | -1.87% | 2039 | 0.22% | 1.01% | 0.79% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2033. |
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