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Summary Measures and Graphs

Description of Proposed Provision:
Eliminate the taxable maximum for years 2022 and later (phased in 2016-2021), and apply full 12.4 percent payroll tax rate to all earnings. Provide benefit credit for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum that are subject to the payroll tax, using a secondary PIA formula. This secondary PIA formula involves: (1) an "AIME+" derived from annual earnings from each year after 2015 that were in excess of that year's current-law taxable maximum; (2) a new bend point equal to 134 percent of the monthly current-law taxable maximum; and (3) formula factors of 3 percent and 0.25 percent below and above the new bend point, respectively.

Estimates based on the intermediate assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report

Summary Measures
Present Law
[percent of payroll]
Change from present law
[percent of payroll]
Shortfall Eliminated
Long-range
actuarial
balance
Annual
balance in
75th year
Long-range
actuarial
balance
Annual
balance in
75th year
Long-range
actuarial
balance
Annual
balance in
75th year
-2.68 -4.65 2.18 2.34 81% 50%


graph of OASDI cost rates and income rates by year, under
                 present law and provision. click on graph to view underlying
                 data. graph of OASDI trust fund ratio by year, under present law
                 and provision. click on graph to view underlying data.
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Last reviewed or modified September 1, 2015