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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.88 | 12.88 | -1.00 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.89 | 12.91 | -0.98 | 280 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.97 | 12.94 | -1.03 | 264 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 14.09 | 12.95 | -1.14 | 248 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.23 | 12.96 | -1.26 | 233 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2021 | 14.35 | 13.08 | -1.27 | 219 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.09 | ||
2022 | 14.52 | 13.20 | -1.32 | 204 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 0.19 | ||
2023 | 14.72 | 13.31 | -1.41 | 190 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.28 | ||
2024 | 14.96 | 13.44 | -1.51 | 177 | 0.00 | 0.38 | 0.38 | ||
2025 | 15.16 | 13.55 | -1.61 | 164 | 0.00 | 0.47 | 0.47 | ||
2026 | 15.36 | 13.67 | -1.70 | 151 | 0.00 | 0.57 | 0.57 | ||
2027 | 15.56 | 13.78 | -1.78 | 139 | 0.00 | 0.66 | 0.67 | ||
2028 | 15.75 | 13.89 | -1.86 | 127 | 0.00 | 0.76 | 0.76 | ||
2029 | 15.93 | 14.00 | -1.93 | 115 | 0.00 | 0.85 | 0.86 | ||
2030 | 16.09 | 14.10 | -1.99 | 104 | 0.00 | 0.95 | 0.95 | ||
2031 | 16.24 | 14.21 | -2.03 | 92 | 0.00 | 1.04 | 1.05 | ||
2032 | 16.37 | 14.32 | -2.05 | 81 | 0.00 | 1.14 | 1.14 | ||
2033 | 16.47 | 14.42 | -2.06 | 69 | 0.00 | 1.23 | 1.24 | ||
2034 | 16.55 | 14.52 | -2.03 | 57 | 0.00 | 1.33 | 1.33 | ||
2035 | 16.61 | 14.62 | -1.99 | 46 | -0.01 | 1.42 | 1.43 | ||
2036 | 16.67 | 14.72 | -1.95 | 35 | -0.01 | 1.52 | 1.52 | ||
2037 | 16.71 | 14.82 | -1.89 | 24 | -0.01 | 1.61 | 1.62 | ||
2038 | 16.72 | 14.92 | -1.81 | 13 | -0.01 | 1.71 | 1.71 | ||
2039 | 16.72 | 15.01 | -1.71 | 3 | -0.01 | 1.80 | 1.81 | ||
2040 | 16.70 | 15.11 | -1.59 | ---- | -0.01 | 1.89 | 1.90 | ||
2041 | 16.68 | 15.11 | -1.56 | ---- | -0.01 | 1.90 | 1.91 | ||
2042 | 16.65 | 15.11 | -1.54 | ---- | -0.01 | 1.90 | 1.91 | ||
2043 | 16.63 | 15.11 | -1.51 | ---- | -0.01 | 1.90 | 1.91 | ||
2044 | 16.60 | 15.11 | -1.49 | ---- | -0.01 | 1.90 | 1.91 | ||
2045 | 16.58 | 15.12 | -1.47 | ---- | -0.01 | 1.90 | 1.91 | ||
2046 | 16.56 | 15.12 | -1.44 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.90 | 1.91 | ||
2047 | 16.54 | 15.12 | -1.43 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.90 | 1.92 | ||
2048 | 16.53 | 15.12 | -1.41 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.90 | 1.92 | ||
2049 | 16.52 | 15.12 | -1.40 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.90 | 1.92 | ||
2050 | 16.52 | 15.12 | -1.40 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.90 | 1.92 | ||
2051 | 16.53 | 15.12 | -1.41 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.90 | 1.92 | ||
2052 | 16.55 | 15.12 | -1.42 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.90 | 1.92 | ||
2053 | 16.58 | 15.13 | -1.45 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.90 | 1.93 | ||
2054 | 16.61 | 15.13 | -1.48 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.90 | 1.93 | ||
2055 | 16.66 | 15.13 | -1.52 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.90 | 1.93 | ||
2056 | 16.71 | 15.14 | -1.57 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.90 | 1.93 | ||
2057 | 16.76 | 15.14 | -1.62 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.90 | 1.93 | ||
2058 | 16.81 | 15.15 | -1.67 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.90 | 1.94 | ||
2059 | 16.86 | 15.15 | -1.71 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.90 | 1.94 | ||
2060 | 16.91 | 15.16 | -1.76 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.90 | 1.94 | ||
2061 | 16.97 | 15.16 | -1.81 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.90 | 1.94 | ||
2062 | 17.02 | 15.16 | -1.85 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.90 | 1.95 | ||
2063 | 17.07 | 15.17 | -1.90 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.90 | 1.95 | ||
2064 | 17.12 | 15.17 | -1.95 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.90 | 1.95 | ||
2065 | 17.17 | 15.17 | -2.00 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.90 | 1.95 | ||
2066 | 17.22 | 15.18 | -2.05 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.91 | 1.95 | ||
2067 | 17.28 | 15.18 | -2.10 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.91 | 1.96 | ||
2068 | 17.34 | 15.19 | -2.15 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.91 | 1.96 | ||
2069 | 17.39 | 15.19 | -2.20 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.91 | 1.96 | ||
2070 | 17.45 | 15.20 | -2.25 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.91 | 1.96 | ||
2071 | 17.50 | 15.20 | -2.30 | ---- | -0.06 | 1.91 | 1.96 | ||
2072 | 17.54 | 15.20 | -2.34 | ---- | -0.06 | 1.91 | 1.97 | ||
2073 | 17.57 | 15.20 | -2.37 | ---- | -0.06 | 1.91 | 1.97 | ||
2074 | 17.60 | 15.21 | -2.40 | ---- | -0.06 | 1.91 | 1.97 | ||
2075 | 17.62 | 15.21 | -2.41 | ---- | -0.06 | 1.91 | 1.97 | ||
2076 | 17.63 | 15.21 | -2.42 | ---- | -0.06 | 1.91 | 1.97 | ||
2077 | 17.64 | 15.21 | -2.43 | ---- | -0.06 | 1.91 | 1.97 | ||
2078 | 17.64 | 15.21 | -2.43 | ---- | -0.06 | 1.91 | 1.97 | ||
2079 | 17.64 | 15.21 | -2.43 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.91 | 1.98 | ||
2080 | 17.64 | 15.21 | -2.43 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.91 | 1.98 | ||
2081 | 17.65 | 15.21 | -2.43 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.91 | 1.98 | ||
2082 | 17.66 | 15.22 | -2.44 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.91 | 1.98 | ||
2083 | 17.68 | 15.22 | -2.46 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.91 | 1.98 | ||
2084 | 17.71 | 15.22 | -2.49 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.91 | 1.98 | ||
2085 | 17.74 | 15.22 | -2.52 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.91 | 1.98 | ||
2086 | 17.78 | 15.22 | -2.55 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.91 | 1.98 | ||
2087 | 17.82 | 15.23 | -2.59 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.91 | 1.98 | ||
2088 | 17.86 | 15.23 | -2.63 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.92 | 1.99 | ||
2089 | 17.90 | 15.23 | -2.67 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.92 | 1.99 | ||
2090 | 17.94 | 15.24 | -2.71 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.92 | 1.99 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 16.52% | 15.27% | -1.25% | 2039 | -0.02% | 1.40% | 1.43% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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