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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.88 | 13.25 | -0.63 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 0.37 | ||
2017 | 13.89 | 13.64 | -0.25 | 283 | 0.00 | 0.73 | 0.73 | ||
2018 | 13.97 | 14.02 | 0.05 | 271 | 0.00 | 1.08 | 1.08 | ||
2019 | 14.09 | 14.37 | 0.28 | 263 | 0.00 | 1.42 | 1.42 | ||
2020 | 14.22 | 14.70 | 0.48 | 257 | 0.00 | 1.74 | 1.74 | ||
2021 | 14.34 | 15.04 | 0.69 | 254 | 0.00 | 2.05 | 2.05 | ||
2022 | 14.52 | 15.37 | 0.85 | 252 | 0.00 | 2.35 | 2.36 | ||
2023 | 14.72 | 15.37 | 0.65 | 251 | 0.00 | 2.34 | 2.34 | ||
2024 | 14.95 | 15.38 | 0.42 | 249 | 0.00 | 2.31 | 2.32 | ||
2025 | 15.16 | 15.39 | 0.23 | 248 | 0.00 | 2.31 | 2.32 | ||
2026 | 15.36 | 15.41 | 0.05 | 246 | 0.00 | 2.31 | 2.32 | ||
2027 | 15.56 | 15.43 | -0.13 | 244 | 0.00 | 2.32 | 2.32 | ||
2028 | 15.75 | 15.44 | -0.31 | 242 | 0.00 | 2.32 | 2.32 | ||
2029 | 15.93 | 15.46 | -0.47 | 239 | 0.00 | 2.32 | 2.32 | ||
2030 | 16.10 | 15.47 | -0.62 | 237 | 0.00 | 2.32 | 2.32 | ||
2031 | 16.25 | 15.48 | -0.76 | 235 | 0.00 | 2.32 | 2.32 | ||
2032 | 16.38 | 15.50 | -0.88 | 231 | 0.00 | 2.32 | 2.32 | ||
2033 | 16.48 | 15.51 | -0.98 | 228 | 0.01 | 2.32 | 2.32 | ||
2034 | 16.56 | 15.51 | -1.05 | 224 | 0.01 | 2.32 | 2.32 | ||
2035 | 16.63 | 15.52 | -1.11 | 220 | 0.01 | 2.32 | 2.31 | ||
2036 | 16.69 | 15.53 | -1.16 | 215 | 0.01 | 2.32 | 2.31 | ||
2037 | 16.73 | 15.53 | -1.20 | 211 | 0.01 | 2.32 | 2.31 | ||
2038 | 16.74 | 15.54 | -1.20 | 206 | 0.01 | 2.32 | 2.31 | ||
2039 | 16.74 | 15.54 | -1.20 | 202 | 0.01 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2040 | 16.72 | 15.54 | -1.18 | 197 | 0.01 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2041 | 16.70 | 15.54 | -1.16 | 193 | 0.01 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2042 | 16.68 | 15.54 | -1.14 | 189 | 0.01 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2043 | 16.66 | 15.54 | -1.11 | 185 | 0.02 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2044 | 16.63 | 15.55 | -1.09 | 180 | 0.02 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2045 | 16.61 | 15.55 | -1.07 | 176 | 0.02 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2046 | 16.59 | 15.55 | -1.04 | 173 | 0.02 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2047 | 16.58 | 15.55 | -1.03 | 169 | 0.02 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2048 | 16.57 | 15.55 | -1.02 | 165 | 0.02 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2049 | 16.56 | 15.55 | -1.01 | 161 | 0.02 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2050 | 16.56 | 15.55 | -1.01 | 157 | 0.02 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2051 | 16.57 | 15.56 | -1.02 | 153 | 0.02 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2052 | 16.59 | 15.56 | -1.04 | 149 | 0.02 | 2.34 | 2.31 | ||
2053 | 16.63 | 15.56 | -1.06 | 144 | 0.02 | 2.34 | 2.31 | ||
2054 | 16.66 | 15.57 | -1.10 | 140 | 0.02 | 2.34 | 2.31 | ||
2055 | 16.71 | 15.57 | -1.14 | 135 | 0.02 | 2.34 | 2.32 | ||
2056 | 16.76 | 15.58 | -1.19 | 130 | 0.02 | 2.34 | 2.32 | ||
2057 | 16.82 | 15.58 | -1.24 | 124 | 0.02 | 2.34 | 2.32 | ||
2058 | 16.87 | 15.59 | -1.29 | 118 | 0.02 | 2.34 | 2.32 | ||
2059 | 16.92 | 15.59 | -1.33 | 112 | 0.02 | 2.34 | 2.32 | ||
2060 | 16.98 | 15.60 | -1.38 | 106 | 0.03 | 2.34 | 2.32 | ||
2061 | 17.03 | 15.60 | -1.43 | 99 | 0.03 | 2.34 | 2.32 | ||
2062 | 17.08 | 15.60 | -1.48 | 92 | 0.03 | 2.34 | 2.32 | ||
2063 | 17.14 | 15.61 | -1.53 | 84 | 0.03 | 2.35 | 2.32 | ||
2064 | 17.19 | 15.61 | -1.58 | 76 | 0.03 | 2.35 | 2.32 | ||
2065 | 17.24 | 15.62 | -1.63 | 68 | 0.03 | 2.35 | 2.32 | ||
2066 | 17.30 | 15.62 | -1.68 | 60 | 0.03 | 2.35 | 2.32 | ||
2067 | 17.36 | 15.63 | -1.73 | 51 | 0.03 | 2.35 | 2.32 | ||
2068 | 17.42 | 15.63 | -1.78 | 42 | 0.03 | 2.35 | 2.32 | ||
2069 | 17.47 | 15.64 | -1.84 | 32 | 0.03 | 2.35 | 2.32 | ||
2070 | 17.53 | 15.64 | -1.89 | 22 | 0.03 | 2.35 | 2.33 | ||
2071 | 17.58 | 15.65 | -1.93 | 12 | 0.03 | 2.36 | 2.33 | ||
2072 | 17.63 | 15.65 | -1.97 | 2 | 0.03 | 2.36 | 2.33 | ||
2073 | 17.66 | 15.66 | -2.01 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.36 | 2.33 | ||
2074 | 17.69 | 15.66 | -2.03 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.36 | 2.33 | ||
2075 | 17.71 | 15.66 | -2.05 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.36 | 2.33 | ||
2076 | 17.73 | 15.66 | -2.06 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.36 | 2.33 | ||
2077 | 17.73 | 15.67 | -2.07 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.36 | 2.33 | ||
2078 | 17.74 | 15.67 | -2.07 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.36 | 2.33 | ||
2079 | 17.74 | 15.67 | -2.07 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.37 | 2.33 | ||
2080 | 17.74 | 15.67 | -2.07 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.37 | 2.34 | ||
2081 | 17.75 | 15.67 | -2.07 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.37 | 2.34 | ||
2082 | 17.76 | 15.67 | -2.09 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.37 | 2.34 | ||
2083 | 17.78 | 15.68 | -2.10 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.37 | 2.34 | ||
2084 | 17.81 | 15.68 | -2.13 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.37 | 2.34 | ||
2085 | 17.84 | 15.68 | -2.16 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.37 | 2.34 | ||
2086 | 17.88 | 15.69 | -2.19 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.37 | 2.34 | ||
2087 | 17.92 | 15.69 | -2.23 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.38 | 2.34 | ||
2088 | 17.96 | 15.69 | -2.27 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.38 | 2.34 | ||
2089 | 18.01 | 15.70 | -2.31 | ---- | 0.03 | 2.38 | 2.34 | ||
2090 | 18.05 | 15.70 | -2.35 | ---- | 0.04 | 2.38 | 2.34 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 16.56% | 16.06% | -0.50% | 2072 | 0.02% | 2.20% | 2.18% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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