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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.87 | 12.88 | -0.99 | 298 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2017 | 13.87 | 12.91 | -0.96 | 281 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2018 | 13.92 | 12.93 | -0.98 | 265 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2019 | 14.01 | 12.95 | -1.06 | 250 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2020 | 14.11 | 12.96 | -1.15 | 236 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.11 | ||
2021 | 14.19 | 12.98 | -1.21 | 223 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.15 | ||
2022 | 14.33 | 13.00 | -1.32 | 209 | -0.19 | -0.01 | 0.18 | ||
2023 | 14.49 | 13.02 | -1.47 | 196 | -0.23 | -0.01 | 0.22 | ||
2024 | 14.69 | 13.05 | -1.63 | 181 | -0.27 | -0.01 | 0.26 | ||
2025 | 14.85 | 13.07 | -1.79 | 168 | -0.31 | -0.01 | 0.30 | ||
2026 | 15.01 | 13.08 | -1.93 | 154 | -0.35 | -0.02 | 0.33 | ||
2027 | 15.17 | 13.09 | -2.08 | 140 | -0.39 | -0.02 | 0.37 | ||
2028 | 15.33 | 13.11 | -2.22 | 127 | -0.42 | -0.02 | 0.40 | ||
2029 | 15.47 | 13.12 | -2.35 | 113 | -0.46 | -0.02 | 0.44 | ||
2030 | 15.60 | 13.13 | -2.47 | 98 | -0.49 | -0.02 | 0.47 | ||
2031 | 15.72 | 13.14 | -2.58 | 84 | -0.52 | -0.02 | 0.50 | ||
2032 | 15.82 | 13.15 | -2.67 | 68 | -0.55 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
2033 | 15.90 | 13.16 | -2.74 | 52 | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2034 | 15.95 | 13.16 | -2.78 | 36 | -0.61 | -0.03 | 0.58 | ||
2035 | 15.99 | 13.17 | -2.82 | 19 | -0.63 | -0.03 | 0.60 | ||
2036 | 16.03 | 13.17 | -2.85 | 2 | -0.65 | -0.03 | 0.62 | ||
2037 | 16.04 | 13.18 | -2.87 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.03 | 0.64 | ||
2038 | 16.04 | 13.18 | -2.86 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.03 | 0.66 | ||
2039 | 16.02 | 13.18 | -2.84 | ---- | -0.71 | -0.04 | 0.67 | ||
2040 | 15.99 | 13.18 | -2.81 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.69 | ||
2041 | 15.95 | 13.18 | -2.77 | ---- | -0.74 | -0.04 | 0.70 | ||
2042 | 15.92 | 13.18 | -2.74 | ---- | -0.75 | -0.04 | 0.71 | ||
2043 | 15.88 | 13.18 | -2.70 | ---- | -0.76 | -0.04 | 0.72 | ||
2044 | 15.85 | 13.18 | -2.67 | ---- | -0.77 | -0.04 | 0.73 | ||
2045 | 15.82 | 13.18 | -2.64 | ---- | -0.78 | -0.04 | 0.74 | ||
2046 | 15.79 | 13.18 | -2.61 | ---- | -0.79 | -0.04 | 0.75 | ||
2047 | 15.77 | 13.18 | -2.59 | ---- | -0.79 | -0.04 | 0.75 | ||
2048 | 15.75 | 13.18 | -2.57 | ---- | -0.80 | -0.04 | 0.76 | ||
2049 | 15.74 | 13.18 | -2.56 | ---- | -0.80 | -0.04 | 0.76 | ||
2050 | 15.74 | 13.18 | -2.56 | ---- | -0.81 | -0.04 | 0.76 | ||
2051 | 15.74 | 13.18 | -2.56 | ---- | -0.81 | -0.04 | 0.77 | ||
2052 | 15.76 | 13.18 | -2.58 | ---- | -0.81 | -0.04 | 0.77 | ||
2053 | 15.79 | 13.18 | -2.60 | ---- | -0.82 | -0.04 | 0.78 | ||
2054 | 15.82 | 13.19 | -2.63 | ---- | -0.82 | -0.04 | 0.78 | ||
2055 | 15.86 | 13.19 | -2.67 | ---- | -0.82 | -0.04 | 0.78 | ||
2056 | 15.91 | 13.19 | -2.72 | ---- | -0.83 | -0.04 | 0.79 | ||
2057 | 15.96 | 13.20 | -2.76 | ---- | -0.83 | -0.04 | 0.79 | ||
2058 | 16.01 | 13.20 | -2.81 | ---- | -0.84 | -0.04 | 0.79 | ||
2059 | 16.06 | 13.21 | -2.86 | ---- | -0.84 | -0.04 | 0.80 | ||
2060 | 16.11 | 13.21 | -2.90 | ---- | -0.84 | -0.04 | 0.80 | ||
2061 | 16.16 | 13.21 | -2.95 | ---- | -0.85 | -0.04 | 0.80 | ||
2062 | 16.21 | 13.22 | -2.99 | ---- | -0.85 | -0.04 | 0.80 | ||
2063 | 16.26 | 13.22 | -3.04 | ---- | -0.85 | -0.04 | 0.81 | ||
2064 | 16.31 | 13.22 | -3.09 | ---- | -0.85 | -0.04 | 0.81 | ||
2065 | 16.36 | 13.23 | -3.13 | ---- | -0.86 | -0.04 | 0.81 | ||
2066 | 16.41 | 13.23 | -3.18 | ---- | -0.86 | -0.04 | 0.82 | ||
2067 | 16.47 | 13.23 | -3.23 | ---- | -0.86 | -0.04 | 0.82 | ||
2068 | 16.52 | 13.24 | -3.29 | ---- | -0.87 | -0.05 | 0.82 | ||
2069 | 16.58 | 13.24 | -3.34 | ---- | -0.87 | -0.05 | 0.82 | ||
2070 | 16.63 | 13.24 | -3.39 | ---- | -0.87 | -0.05 | 0.83 | ||
2071 | 16.68 | 13.25 | -3.43 | ---- | -0.88 | -0.05 | 0.83 | ||
2072 | 16.72 | 13.25 | -3.47 | ---- | -0.88 | -0.05 | 0.83 | ||
2073 | 16.75 | 13.25 | -3.50 | ---- | -0.88 | -0.05 | 0.83 | ||
2074 | 16.78 | 13.25 | -3.53 | ---- | -0.88 | -0.05 | 0.84 | ||
2075 | 16.80 | 13.25 | -3.55 | ---- | -0.88 | -0.05 | 0.84 | ||
2076 | 16.81 | 13.26 | -3.56 | ---- | -0.88 | -0.05 | 0.84 | ||
2077 | 16.82 | 13.26 | -3.56 | ---- | -0.88 | -0.05 | 0.84 | ||
2078 | 16.82 | 13.26 | -3.57 | ---- | -0.88 | -0.05 | 0.84 | ||
2079 | 16.82 | 13.26 | -3.57 | ---- | -0.88 | -0.05 | 0.84 | ||
2080 | 16.82 | 13.26 | -3.57 | ---- | -0.88 | -0.05 | 0.84 | ||
2081 | 16.83 | 13.26 | -3.57 | ---- | -0.88 | -0.05 | 0.84 | ||
2082 | 16.84 | 13.26 | -3.58 | ---- | -0.89 | -0.05 | 0.84 | ||
2083 | 16.86 | 13.26 | -3.60 | ---- | -0.89 | -0.05 | 0.84 | ||
2084 | 16.89 | 13.26 | -3.63 | ---- | -0.89 | -0.05 | 0.84 | ||
2085 | 16.92 | 13.26 | -3.66 | ---- | -0.89 | -0.05 | 0.84 | ||
2086 | 16.95 | 13.26 | -3.69 | ---- | -0.89 | -0.05 | 0.84 | ||
2087 | 16.99 | 13.27 | -3.73 | ---- | -0.89 | -0.05 | 0.85 | ||
2088 | 17.03 | 13.27 | -3.76 | ---- | -0.90 | -0.05 | 0.85 | ||
2089 | 17.07 | 13.27 | -3.80 | ---- | -0.90 | -0.05 | 0.85 | ||
2090 | 17.12 | 13.27 | -3.84 | ---- | -0.90 | -0.05 | 0.85 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 15.90% | 13.83% | -2.07% | 2036 | -0.64% | -0.03% | 0.61% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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