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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.88 | 12.92 | -0.96 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.04 | ||
2017 | 13.89 | 12.99 | -0.90 | 280 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.08 | ||
2018 | 13.97 | 13.06 | -0.91 | 265 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.12 | ||
2019 | 14.09 | 13.11 | -0.98 | 250 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.16 | ||
2020 | 14.23 | 13.16 | -1.07 | 236 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.20 | ||
2021 | 14.35 | 13.22 | -1.13 | 223 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 0.23 | ||
2022 | 14.52 | 13.28 | -1.24 | 209 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 0.27 | ||
2023 | 14.73 | 13.33 | -1.39 | 196 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.30 | ||
2024 | 14.96 | 13.40 | -1.56 | 182 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.33 | ||
2025 | 15.17 | 13.45 | -1.72 | 168 | 0.00 | 0.36 | 0.36 | ||
2026 | 15.37 | 13.49 | -1.87 | 155 | 0.01 | 0.40 | 0.39 | ||
2027 | 15.56 | 13.54 | -2.02 | 142 | 0.01 | 0.43 | 0.42 | ||
2028 | 15.76 | 13.59 | -2.17 | 128 | 0.01 | 0.46 | 0.45 | ||
2029 | 15.94 | 13.63 | -2.31 | 115 | 0.01 | 0.49 | 0.48 | ||
2030 | 16.11 | 13.67 | -2.44 | 101 | 0.01 | 0.52 | 0.51 | ||
2031 | 16.26 | 13.71 | -2.55 | 87 | 0.02 | 0.55 | 0.53 | ||
2032 | 16.39 | 13.75 | -2.64 | 72 | 0.02 | 0.58 | 0.56 | ||
2033 | 16.50 | 13.79 | -2.71 | 57 | 0.02 | 0.60 | 0.58 | ||
2034 | 16.58 | 13.82 | -2.76 | 41 | 0.03 | 0.63 | 0.60 | ||
2035 | 16.65 | 13.85 | -2.80 | 25 | 0.03 | 0.66 | 0.63 | ||
2036 | 16.71 | 13.89 | -2.83 | 9 | 0.03 | 0.68 | 0.65 | ||
2037 | 16.76 | 13.92 | -2.84 | ---- | 0.04 | 0.71 | 0.67 | ||
2038 | 16.77 | 13.94 | -2.83 | ---- | 0.04 | 0.73 | 0.69 | ||
2039 | 16.78 | 13.97 | -2.81 | ---- | 0.05 | 0.76 | 0.71 | ||
2040 | 16.77 | 14.00 | -2.77 | ---- | 0.05 | 0.78 | 0.73 | ||
2041 | 16.75 | 14.02 | -2.73 | ---- | 0.06 | 0.80 | 0.75 | ||
2042 | 16.73 | 14.04 | -2.69 | ---- | 0.06 | 0.83 | 0.76 | ||
2043 | 16.71 | 14.06 | -2.65 | ---- | 0.07 | 0.85 | 0.78 | ||
2044 | 16.69 | 14.09 | -2.61 | ---- | 0.08 | 0.87 | 0.80 | ||
2045 | 16.68 | 14.11 | -2.57 | ---- | 0.08 | 0.89 | 0.81 | ||
2046 | 16.66 | 14.13 | -2.53 | ---- | 0.09 | 0.92 | 0.83 | ||
2047 | 16.66 | 14.15 | -2.50 | ---- | 0.10 | 0.94 | 0.84 | ||
2048 | 16.65 | 14.18 | -2.48 | ---- | 0.10 | 0.96 | 0.85 | ||
2049 | 16.65 | 14.20 | -2.45 | ---- | 0.11 | 0.98 | 0.87 | ||
2050 | 16.66 | 14.22 | -2.44 | ---- | 0.12 | 1.00 | 0.88 | ||
2051 | 16.68 | 14.24 | -2.44 | ---- | 0.13 | 1.02 | 0.89 | ||
2052 | 16.71 | 14.27 | -2.45 | ---- | 0.14 | 1.04 | 0.90 | ||
2053 | 16.75 | 14.28 | -2.47 | ---- | 0.15 | 1.05 | 0.91 | ||
2054 | 16.80 | 14.28 | -2.51 | ---- | 0.16 | 1.06 | 0.90 | ||
2055 | 16.85 | 14.29 | -2.56 | ---- | 0.17 | 1.06 | 0.89 | ||
2056 | 16.92 | 14.30 | -2.62 | ---- | 0.18 | 1.06 | 0.88 | ||
2057 | 16.98 | 14.30 | -2.68 | ---- | 0.19 | 1.06 | 0.87 | ||
2058 | 17.04 | 14.31 | -2.74 | ---- | 0.20 | 1.06 | 0.87 | ||
2059 | 17.11 | 14.31 | -2.79 | ---- | 0.21 | 1.06 | 0.86 | ||
2060 | 17.17 | 14.32 | -2.85 | ---- | 0.22 | 1.07 | 0.85 | ||
2061 | 17.23 | 14.32 | -2.91 | ---- | 0.23 | 1.07 | 0.84 | ||
2062 | 17.30 | 14.33 | -2.97 | ---- | 0.24 | 1.07 | 0.83 | ||
2063 | 17.36 | 14.33 | -3.02 | ---- | 0.25 | 1.07 | 0.82 | ||
2064 | 17.42 | 14.34 | -3.08 | ---- | 0.26 | 1.07 | 0.81 | ||
2065 | 17.49 | 14.35 | -3.14 | ---- | 0.27 | 1.08 | 0.81 | ||
2066 | 17.55 | 14.35 | -3.20 | ---- | 0.28 | 1.08 | 0.80 | ||
2067 | 17.62 | 14.36 | -3.26 | ---- | 0.29 | 1.08 | 0.79 | ||
2068 | 17.69 | 14.36 | -3.33 | ---- | 0.30 | 1.08 | 0.78 | ||
2069 | 17.76 | 14.37 | -3.39 | ---- | 0.31 | 1.08 | 0.77 | ||
2070 | 17.82 | 14.37 | -3.45 | ---- | 0.32 | 1.09 | 0.77 | ||
2071 | 17.88 | 14.38 | -3.50 | ---- | 0.33 | 1.09 | 0.76 | ||
2072 | 17.93 | 14.38 | -3.55 | ---- | 0.34 | 1.09 | 0.75 | ||
2073 | 17.98 | 14.39 | -3.59 | ---- | 0.35 | 1.09 | 0.74 | ||
2074 | 18.02 | 14.39 | -3.63 | ---- | 0.35 | 1.09 | 0.74 | ||
2075 | 18.05 | 14.39 | -3.65 | ---- | 0.36 | 1.09 | 0.73 | ||
2076 | 18.07 | 14.40 | -3.67 | ---- | 0.37 | 1.10 | 0.72 | ||
2077 | 18.08 | 14.40 | -3.68 | ---- | 0.38 | 1.10 | 0.72 | ||
2078 | 18.09 | 14.40 | -3.69 | ---- | 0.38 | 1.10 | 0.71 | ||
2079 | 18.10 | 14.40 | -3.69 | ---- | 0.39 | 1.10 | 0.71 | ||
2080 | 18.11 | 14.40 | -3.70 | ---- | 0.40 | 1.10 | 0.70 | ||
2081 | 18.12 | 14.41 | -3.71 | ---- | 0.40 | 1.10 | 0.70 | ||
2082 | 18.14 | 14.41 | -3.73 | ---- | 0.41 | 1.10 | 0.70 | ||
2083 | 18.16 | 14.41 | -3.75 | ---- | 0.41 | 1.10 | 0.69 | ||
2084 | 18.20 | 14.41 | -3.78 | ---- | 0.42 | 1.11 | 0.69 | ||
2085 | 18.23 | 14.42 | -3.82 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.11 | 0.68 | ||
2086 | 18.28 | 14.42 | -3.86 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.11 | 0.68 | ||
2087 | 18.32 | 14.42 | -3.90 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.11 | 0.67 | ||
2088 | 18.37 | 14.43 | -3.94 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.11 | 0.67 | ||
2089 | 18.42 | 14.43 | -3.99 | ---- | 0.45 | 1.11 | 0.66 | ||
2090 | 18.47 | 14.43 | -4.03 | ---- | 0.45 | 1.11 | 0.66 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 16.69% | 14.63% | -2.06% | 2036 | 0.14% | 0.77% | 0.62% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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