Description of Proposed Provision:
E2.10: Eliminate the taxable maximum in years 2028 and later. Phase in elimination by taxing all earnings above the current-law taxable maximum at: 1.24 percent in 2019, 2.48 percent in 2020, and so on, up to 12.40 percent in 2028. Provide benefit credit for earnings above the current-law taxable maximum. Create a new bend point at the current-law taxable maximum with a 5 percent formula factor applying above the new bend point.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2017 | 13.41 | 13.03 | -0.38 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.49 | 12.93 | -0.56 | 287 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.70 | 13.18 | -0.51 | 273 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.24 | ||
2020 | 13.85 | 13.45 | -0.41 | 260 | -0.00 | 0.49 | 0.49 | ||
2021 | 14.02 | 13.72 | -0.29 | 250 | -0.00 | 0.73 | 0.73 | ||
2022 | 14.26 | 13.99 | -0.26 | 240 | -0.00 | 0.97 | 0.97 | ||
2023 | 14.55 | 14.24 | -0.30 | 231 | 0.00 | 1.20 | 1.20 | ||
2024 | 14.83 | 14.51 | -0.32 | 222 | 0.00 | 1.42 | 1.42 | ||
2025 | 15.10 | 14.75 | -0.35 | 214 | 0.01 | 1.65 | 1.64 | ||
2026 | 15.38 | 15.00 | -0.38 | 207 | 0.01 | 1.87 | 1.86 | ||
2027 | 15.63 | 15.24 | -0.39 | 200 | 0.02 | 2.09 | 2.07 | ||
2028 | 15.87 | 15.47 | -0.40 | 194 | 0.02 | 2.30 | 2.28 | ||
2029 | 16.10 | 15.50 | -0.60 | 189 | 0.03 | 2.31 | 2.28 | ||
2030 | 16.31 | 15.51 | -0.79 | 184 | 0.04 | 2.32 | 2.28 | ||
2031 | 16.50 | 15.53 | -0.97 | 179 | 0.05 | 2.32 | 2.27 | ||
2032 | 16.67 | 15.54 | -1.13 | 173 | 0.06 | 2.32 | 2.26 | ||
2033 | 16.81 | 15.55 | -1.26 | 167 | 0.07 | 2.32 | 2.25 | ||
2034 | 16.93 | 15.56 | -1.37 | 161 | 0.08 | 2.32 | 2.24 | ||
2035 | 17.02 | 15.57 | -1.45 | 154 | 0.09 | 2.33 | 2.23 | ||
2036 | 17.09 | 15.57 | -1.52 | 147 | 0.11 | 2.33 | 2.22 | ||
2037 | 17.14 | 15.58 | -1.56 | 139 | 0.12 | 2.33 | 2.21 | ||
2038 | 17.15 | 15.58 | -1.57 | 132 | 0.13 | 2.33 | 2.20 | ||
2039 | 17.14 | 15.58 | -1.55 | 124 | 0.14 | 2.34 | 2.20 | ||
2040 | 17.11 | 15.58 | -1.53 | 117 | 0.15 | 2.34 | 2.19 | ||
2041 | 17.07 | 15.58 | -1.49 | 109 | 0.16 | 2.34 | 2.18 | ||
2042 | 17.03 | 15.58 | -1.45 | 102 | 0.17 | 2.34 | 2.17 | ||
2043 | 16.99 | 15.58 | -1.40 | 95 | 0.18 | 2.34 | 2.16 | ||
2044 | 16.95 | 15.58 | -1.37 | 88 | 0.19 | 2.35 | 2.16 | ||
2045 | 16.92 | 15.58 | -1.33 | 81 | 0.20 | 2.35 | 2.15 | ||
2046 | 16.89 | 15.58 | -1.30 | 75 | 0.21 | 2.35 | 2.14 | ||
2047 | 16.86 | 15.59 | -1.28 | 68 | 0.22 | 2.35 | 2.13 | ||
2048 | 16.84 | 15.59 | -1.26 | 61 | 0.23 | 2.35 | 2.12 | ||
2049 | 16.83 | 15.59 | -1.24 | 55 | 0.24 | 2.35 | 2.12 | ||
2050 | 16.81 | 15.59 | -1.22 | 48 | 0.25 | 2.36 | 2.11 | ||
2051 | 16.81 | 15.59 | -1.22 | 42 | 0.25 | 2.36 | 2.10 | ||
2052 | 16.82 | 15.59 | -1.23 | 35 | 0.26 | 2.36 | 2.10 | ||
2053 | 16.84 | 15.60 | -1.24 | 28 | 0.27 | 2.36 | 2.09 | ||
2054 | 16.87 | 15.60 | -1.27 | 21 | 0.28 | 2.36 | 2.09 | ||
2055 | 16.90 | 15.60 | -1.30 | 14 | 0.29 | 2.37 | 2.08 | ||
2056 | 16.95 | 15.61 | -1.34 | 7 | 0.29 | 2.37 | 2.07 | ||
2057 | 17.00 | 15.61 | -1.38 | ---- | 0.30 | 2.37 | 2.07 | ||
2058 | 17.05 | 15.62 | -1.43 | ---- | 0.31 | 2.37 | 2.06 | ||
2059 | 17.10 | 15.62 | -1.48 | ---- | 0.31 | 2.37 | 2.06 | ||
2060 | 17.15 | 15.63 | -1.52 | ---- | 0.32 | 2.37 | 2.05 | ||
2061 | 17.20 | 15.63 | -1.57 | ---- | 0.33 | 2.38 | 2.05 | ||
2062 | 17.25 | 15.64 | -1.62 | ---- | 0.33 | 2.38 | 2.05 | ||
2063 | 17.31 | 15.64 | -1.66 | ---- | 0.33 | 2.38 | 2.04 | ||
2064 | 17.36 | 15.65 | -1.71 | ---- | 0.34 | 2.38 | 2.04 | ||
2065 | 17.41 | 15.65 | -1.76 | ---- | 0.34 | 2.38 | 2.04 | ||
2066 | 17.46 | 15.65 | -1.81 | ---- | 0.34 | 2.38 | 2.04 | ||
2067 | 17.52 | 15.66 | -1.86 | ---- | 0.35 | 2.38 | 2.04 | ||
2068 | 17.57 | 15.66 | -1.91 | ---- | 0.35 | 2.39 | 2.04 | ||
2069 | 17.63 | 15.67 | -1.96 | ---- | 0.35 | 2.39 | 2.04 | ||
2070 | 17.68 | 15.67 | -2.01 | ---- | 0.35 | 2.39 | 2.03 | ||
2071 | 17.73 | 15.68 | -2.05 | ---- | 0.36 | 2.39 | 2.03 | ||
2072 | 17.77 | 15.68 | -2.09 | ---- | 0.36 | 2.39 | 2.03 | ||
2073 | 17.81 | 15.69 | -2.12 | ---- | 0.36 | 2.39 | 2.03 | ||
2074 | 17.84 | 15.69 | -2.15 | ---- | 0.36 | 2.39 | 2.03 | ||
2075 | 17.86 | 15.69 | -2.17 | ---- | 0.36 | 2.40 | 2.03 | ||
2076 | 17.88 | 15.70 | -2.19 | ---- | 0.36 | 2.40 | 2.04 | ||
2077 | 17.89 | 15.70 | -2.19 | ---- | 0.36 | 2.40 | 2.04 | ||
2078 | 17.89 | 15.70 | -2.19 | ---- | 0.36 | 2.40 | 2.04 | ||
2079 | 17.88 | 15.70 | -2.18 | ---- | 0.36 | 2.40 | 2.04 | ||
2080 | 17.87 | 15.70 | -2.17 | ---- | 0.36 | 2.40 | 2.04 | ||
2081 | 17.87 | 15.70 | -2.17 | ---- | 0.36 | 2.40 | 2.04 | ||
2082 | 17.87 | 15.70 | -2.16 | ---- | 0.36 | 2.41 | 2.04 | ||
2083 | 17.87 | 15.70 | -2.17 | ---- | 0.36 | 2.41 | 2.05 | ||
2084 | 17.89 | 15.71 | -2.18 | ---- | 0.36 | 2.41 | 2.05 | ||
2085 | 17.91 | 15.71 | -2.20 | ---- | 0.36 | 2.41 | 2.05 | ||
2086 | 17.94 | 15.71 | -2.23 | ---- | 0.36 | 2.41 | 2.05 | ||
2087 | 17.98 | 15.72 | -2.26 | ---- | 0.36 | 2.41 | 2.05 | ||
2088 | 18.02 | 15.72 | -2.30 | ---- | 0.36 | 2.41 | 2.05 | ||
2089 | 18.07 | 15.72 | -2.34 | ---- | 0.36 | 2.41 | 2.05 | ||
2090 | 18.11 | 15.73 | -2.39 | ---- | 0.37 | 2.42 | 2.05 | ||
2091 | 18.16 | 15.73 | -2.43 | ---- | 0.37 | 2.42 | 2.05 | ||
2092 | 18.21 | 15.74 | -2.47 | ---- | 0.37 | 2.42 | 2.05 |
Summarized Estimates
Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
2017-2091 | 16.87% | 15.96% | -0.91% | 2056 | 0.21% | 2.12% | 1.91% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2017 Trustees Report.