Detailed Single Year Tables
Description of Proposed Provision:
B3.15: Increase the 90 percent PIA formula factor to 91 percent for beneficiaries newly eligible in 2026, 92 percent for those newly eligible in 2027, ..., reaching 95 percent for those newly eligible in 2030 and later.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
|
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
| 2021 | 14.11 | 12.31 | -1.81 | 253 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2022 | 14.30 | 12.93 | -1.38 | 231 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2023 | 14.43 | 12.91 | -1.52 | 214 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2024 | 14.64 | 12.94 | -1.69 | 196 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2025 | 14.86 | 12.96 | -1.90 | 178 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2026 | 15.10 | 13.08 | -2.03 | 159 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | ||
| 2027 | 15.37 | 13.10 | -2.27 | 141 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -0.00 | ||
| 2028 | 15.63 | 13.14 | -2.49 | 122 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -0.01 | ||
| 2029 | 15.88 | 13.17 | -2.71 | 104 | 0.01 | 0.00 | -0.01 | ||
| 2030 | 16.13 | 13.19 | -2.94 | 84 | 0.02 | 0.00 | -0.02 | ||
| 2031 | 16.32 | 13.21 | -3.11 | 65 | 0.03 | 0.00 | -0.03 | ||
| 2032 | 16.48 | 13.22 | -3.26 | 46 | 0.04 | 0.00 | -0.04 | ||
| 2033 | 16.62 | 13.23 | -3.39 | 26 | 0.06 | 0.00 | -0.06 | ||
| 2034 | 16.73 | 13.24 | -3.49 | 6 | 0.08 | 0.00 | -0.07 | ||
| 2035 | 16.83 | 13.25 | -3.58 | ---- | 0.09 | 0.00 | -0.09 | ||
| 2036 | 16.91 | 13.26 | -3.66 | ---- | 0.11 | 0.00 | -0.11 | ||
| 2037 | 16.99 | 13.26 | -3.73 | ---- | 0.13 | 0.01 | -0.13 | ||
| 2038 | 17.07 | 13.27 | -3.80 | ---- | 0.15 | 0.01 | -0.14 | ||
| 2039 | 17.12 | 13.27 | -3.85 | ---- | 0.17 | 0.01 | -0.16 | ||
| 2040 | 17.17 | 13.28 | -3.89 | ---- | 0.19 | 0.01 | -0.18 | ||
| 2041 | 17.22 | 13.28 | -3.94 | ---- | 0.21 | 0.01 | -0.20 | ||
| 2042 | 17.26 | 13.29 | -3.97 | ---- | 0.22 | 0.01 | -0.21 | ||
| 2043 | 17.28 | 13.29 | -3.99 | ---- | 0.24 | 0.01 | -0.23 | ||
| 2044 | 17.30 | 13.29 | -4.01 | ---- | 0.25 | 0.01 | -0.24 | ||
| 2045 | 17.32 | 13.29 | -4.03 | ---- | 0.27 | 0.01 | -0.26 | ||
| 2046 | 17.34 | 13.30 | -4.05 | ---- | 0.29 | 0.01 | -0.27 | ||
| 2047 | 17.38 | 13.30 | -4.08 | ---- | 0.30 | 0.01 | -0.29 | ||
| 2048 | 17.41 | 13.30 | -4.11 | ---- | 0.31 | 0.02 | -0.30 | ||
| 2049 | 17.44 | 13.30 | -4.14 | ---- | 0.33 | 0.02 | -0.31 | ||
| 2050 | 17.48 | 13.31 | -4.17 | ---- | 0.34 | 0.02 | -0.32 | ||
| 2051 | 17.51 | 13.31 | -4.20 | ---- | 0.35 | 0.02 | -0.34 | ||
| 2052 | 17.55 | 13.31 | -4.24 | ---- | 0.37 | 0.02 | -0.35 | ||
| 2053 | 17.60 | 13.32 | -4.28 | ---- | 0.38 | 0.02 | -0.36 | ||
| 2054 | 17.64 | 13.32 | -4.32 | ---- | 0.39 | 0.02 | -0.37 | ||
| 2055 | 17.69 | 13.33 | -4.36 | ---- | 0.40 | 0.02 | -0.38 | ||
| 2056 | 17.74 | 13.33 | -4.41 | ---- | 0.40 | 0.02 | -0.38 | ||
| 2057 | 17.80 | 13.34 | -4.46 | ---- | 0.41 | 0.02 | -0.39 | ||
| 2058 | 17.86 | 13.34 | -4.52 | ---- | 0.42 | 0.02 | -0.40 | ||
| 2059 | 17.92 | 13.35 | -4.57 | ---- | 0.43 | 0.02 | -0.40 | ||
| 2060 | 17.98 | 13.35 | -4.63 | ---- | 0.43 | 0.02 | -0.41 | ||
| 2061 | 18.04 | 13.36 | -4.68 | ---- | 0.44 | 0.02 | -0.42 | ||
| 2062 | 18.10 | 13.36 | -4.74 | ---- | 0.44 | 0.02 | -0.42 | ||
| 2063 | 18.15 | 13.36 | -4.79 | ---- | 0.45 | 0.02 | -0.42 | ||
| 2064 | 18.20 | 13.37 | -4.83 | ---- | 0.45 | 0.02 | -0.43 | ||
| 2065 | 18.26 | 13.37 | -4.88 | ---- | 0.45 | 0.02 | -0.43 | ||
| 2066 | 18.31 | 13.38 | -4.93 | ---- | 0.46 | 0.02 | -0.43 | ||
| 2067 | 18.36 | 13.38 | -4.98 | ---- | 0.46 | 0.02 | -0.43 | ||
| 2068 | 18.42 | 13.39 | -5.03 | ---- | 0.46 | 0.02 | -0.44 | ||
| 2069 | 18.47 | 13.39 | -5.08 | ---- | 0.46 | 0.02 | -0.44 | ||
| 2070 | 18.53 | 13.39 | -5.14 | ---- | 0.47 | 0.02 | -0.44 | ||
| 2071 | 18.59 | 13.40 | -5.19 | ---- | 0.47 | 0.03 | -0.44 | ||
| 2072 | 18.64 | 13.40 | -5.24 | ---- | 0.47 | 0.03 | -0.44 | ||
| 2073 | 18.70 | 13.41 | -5.29 | ---- | 0.47 | 0.03 | -0.45 | ||
| 2074 | 18.75 | 13.41 | -5.34 | ---- | 0.47 | 0.03 | -0.45 | ||
| 2075 | 18.79 | 13.41 | -5.37 | ---- | 0.47 | 0.03 | -0.45 | ||
| 2076 | 18.82 | 13.42 | -5.41 | ---- | 0.47 | 0.03 | -0.45 | ||
| 2077 | 18.84 | 13.42 | -5.42 | ---- | 0.48 | 0.03 | -0.45 | ||
| 2078 | 18.85 | 13.42 | -5.43 | ---- | 0.48 | 0.03 | -0.45 | ||
| 2079 | 18.85 | 13.42 | -5.42 | ---- | 0.48 | 0.03 | -0.45 | ||
| 2080 | 18.83 | 13.42 | -5.41 | ---- | 0.48 | 0.03 | -0.45 | ||
| 2081 | 18.80 | 13.42 | -5.38 | ---- | 0.47 | 0.03 | -0.45 | ||
| 2082 | 18.77 | 13.42 | -5.35 | ---- | 0.47 | 0.03 | -0.45 | ||
| 2083 | 18.72 | 13.42 | -5.31 | ---- | 0.47 | 0.03 | -0.45 | ||
| 2084 | 18.67 | 13.41 | -5.26 | ---- | 0.47 | 0.03 | -0.45 | ||
| 2085 | 18.61 | 13.41 | -5.20 | ---- | 0.47 | 0.03 | -0.44 | ||
| 2086 | 18.55 | 13.41 | -5.14 | ---- | 0.47 | 0.03 | -0.44 | ||
| 2087 | 18.48 | 13.40 | -5.07 | ---- | 0.47 | 0.03 | -0.44 | ||
| 2088 | 18.40 | 13.40 | -5.00 | ---- | 0.47 | 0.03 | -0.44 | ||
| 2089 | 18.33 | 13.39 | -4.94 | ---- | 0.46 | 0.03 | -0.44 | ||
| 2090 | 18.28 | 13.39 | -4.89 | ---- | 0.46 | 0.03 | -0.44 | ||
| 2091 | 18.23 | 13.39 | -4.84 | ---- | 0.46 | 0.02 | -0.44 | ||
| 2092 | 18.19 | 13.38 | -4.81 | ---- | 0.46 | 0.02 | -0.44 | ||
| 2093 | 18.17 | 13.38 | -4.79 | ---- | 0.46 | 0.02 | -0.43 | ||
| 2094 | 18.16 | 13.38 | -4.78 | ---- | 0.46 | 0.02 | -0.43 | ||
| 2095 | 18.16 | 13.38 | -4.78 | ---- | 0.46 | 0.02 | -0.43 | ||
| 2096 | 18.16 | 13.38 | -4.78 | ---- | 0.46 | 0.02 | -0.43 | ||
Summarized Estimates
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
| 2021-2095 | 17.62% | 13.79% | -3.83% | 2034 | 0.30% | 0.02% | -0.29% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2021 Trustees Report.