Detailed Single Year Tables
Description of Proposed Provision:
C1.3: After the normal retirement age (NRA) reaches 67 for those age 62 in 2022, index the NRA to maintain a constant ratio of expected retirement years (life expectancy at NRA) to potential work years (NRA minus 20). We assume the NRA will increase 1 month every 2 years.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2021 | 14.11 | 12.31 | -1.81 | 253 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2022 | 14.30 | 12.93 | -1.38 | 231 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2023 | 14.43 | 12.91 | -1.51 | 214 | -0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2024 | 14.63 | 12.94 | -1.69 | 196 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2025 | 14.84 | 12.96 | -1.89 | 178 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2026 | 15.09 | 13.08 | -2.01 | 160 | -0.02 | -0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2027 | 15.34 | 13.10 | -2.24 | 141 | -0.02 | -0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2028 | 15.60 | 13.14 | -2.46 | 123 | -0.02 | -0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2029 | 15.84 | 13.17 | -2.67 | 104 | -0.03 | -0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2030 | 16.07 | 13.19 | -2.88 | 86 | -0.04 | -0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2031 | 16.23 | 13.20 | -3.03 | 67 | -0.05 | -0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2032 | 16.37 | 13.22 | -3.16 | 48 | -0.06 | -0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2033 | 16.48 | 13.23 | -3.25 | 29 | -0.08 | -0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2034 | 16.57 | 13.23 | -3.33 | 9 | -0.09 | -0.00 | 0.09 | ||
2035 | 16.63 | 13.24 | -3.39 | ---- | -0.11 | -0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2036 | 16.67 | 13.25 | -3.43 | ---- | -0.13 | -0.00 | 0.12 | ||
2037 | 16.72 | 13.25 | -3.46 | ---- | -0.15 | -0.00 | 0.14 | ||
2038 | 16.75 | 13.26 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.16 | -0.01 | 0.16 | ||
2039 | 16.77 | 13.26 | -3.51 | ---- | -0.19 | -0.01 | 0.18 | ||
2040 | 16.78 | 13.26 | -3.51 | ---- | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.19 | ||
2041 | 16.80 | 13.27 | -3.53 | ---- | -0.22 | -0.01 | 0.21 | ||
2042 | 16.80 | 13.27 | -3.53 | ---- | -0.24 | -0.01 | 0.23 | ||
2043 | 16.78 | 13.27 | -3.51 | ---- | -0.26 | -0.01 | 0.25 | ||
2044 | 16.76 | 13.27 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.28 | -0.01 | 0.27 | ||
2045 | 16.74 | 13.27 | -3.47 | ---- | -0.31 | -0.01 | 0.30 | ||
2046 | 16.72 | 13.27 | -3.45 | ---- | -0.34 | -0.01 | 0.32 | ||
2047 | 16.71 | 13.27 | -3.45 | ---- | -0.36 | -0.01 | 0.35 | ||
2048 | 16.71 | 13.27 | -3.44 | ---- | -0.39 | -0.02 | 0.37 | ||
2049 | 16.70 | 13.27 | -3.43 | ---- | -0.42 | -0.02 | 0.40 | ||
2050 | 16.69 | 13.27 | -3.42 | ---- | -0.45 | -0.02 | 0.43 | ||
2051 | 16.68 | 13.27 | -3.40 | ---- | -0.48 | -0.02 | 0.46 | ||
2052 | 16.67 | 13.27 | -3.40 | ---- | -0.52 | -0.02 | 0.49 | ||
2053 | 16.67 | 13.28 | -3.40 | ---- | -0.55 | -0.02 | 0.52 | ||
2054 | 16.67 | 13.28 | -3.40 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2055 | 16.68 | 13.28 | -3.40 | ---- | -0.61 | -0.03 | 0.59 | ||
2056 | 16.69 | 13.28 | -3.41 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.03 | 0.62 | ||
2057 | 16.71 | 13.28 | -3.43 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.03 | 0.65 | ||
2058 | 16.73 | 13.29 | -3.44 | ---- | -0.71 | -0.03 | 0.67 | ||
2059 | 16.75 | 13.29 | -3.46 | ---- | -0.74 | -0.03 | 0.70 | ||
2060 | 16.78 | 13.29 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.77 | -0.04 | 0.73 | ||
2061 | 16.80 | 13.30 | -3.51 | ---- | -0.80 | -0.04 | 0.76 | ||
2062 | 16.82 | 13.30 | -3.52 | ---- | -0.83 | -0.04 | 0.79 | ||
2063 | 16.84 | 13.30 | -3.54 | ---- | -0.86 | -0.04 | 0.82 | ||
2064 | 16.86 | 13.30 | -3.56 | ---- | -0.89 | -0.04 | 0.85 | ||
2065 | 16.88 | 13.31 | -3.58 | ---- | -0.92 | -0.04 | 0.87 | ||
2066 | 16.91 | 13.31 | -3.60 | ---- | -0.94 | -0.04 | 0.90 | ||
2067 | 16.93 | 13.31 | -3.62 | ---- | -0.97 | -0.05 | 0.92 | ||
2068 | 16.96 | 13.31 | -3.64 | ---- | -1.00 | -0.05 | 0.95 | ||
2069 | 16.98 | 13.32 | -3.66 | ---- | -1.03 | -0.05 | 0.98 | ||
2070 | 17.01 | 13.32 | -3.69 | ---- | -1.06 | -0.05 | 1.01 | ||
2071 | 17.02 | 13.32 | -3.70 | ---- | -1.10 | -0.05 | 1.05 | ||
2072 | 17.04 | 13.32 | -3.72 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.05 | 1.08 | ||
2073 | 17.06 | 13.33 | -3.74 | ---- | -1.16 | -0.06 | 1.11 | ||
2074 | 17.08 | 13.33 | -3.75 | ---- | -1.20 | -0.06 | 1.14 | ||
2075 | 17.09 | 13.33 | -3.76 | ---- | -1.22 | -0.06 | 1.17 | ||
2076 | 17.10 | 13.33 | -3.76 | ---- | -1.25 | -0.06 | 1.19 | ||
2077 | 17.09 | 13.33 | -3.76 | ---- | -1.28 | -0.06 | 1.22 | ||
2078 | 17.07 | 13.33 | -3.74 | ---- | -1.31 | -0.06 | 1.24 | ||
2079 | 17.04 | 13.33 | -3.71 | ---- | -1.33 | -0.06 | 1.27 | ||
2080 | 17.00 | 13.33 | -3.67 | ---- | -1.35 | -0.07 | 1.29 | ||
2081 | 16.95 | 13.33 | -3.62 | ---- | -1.38 | -0.07 | 1.31 | ||
2082 | 16.89 | 13.32 | -3.57 | ---- | -1.40 | -0.07 | 1.33 | ||
2083 | 16.83 | 13.32 | -3.51 | ---- | -1.42 | -0.07 | 1.35 | ||
2084 | 16.76 | 13.32 | -3.45 | ---- | -1.44 | -0.07 | 1.36 | ||
2085 | 16.69 | 13.31 | -3.38 | ---- | -1.45 | -0.07 | 1.38 | ||
2086 | 16.61 | 13.31 | -3.30 | ---- | -1.46 | -0.07 | 1.39 | ||
2087 | 16.54 | 13.30 | -3.23 | ---- | -1.47 | -0.07 | 1.40 | ||
2088 | 16.45 | 13.30 | -3.16 | ---- | -1.48 | -0.07 | 1.41 | ||
2089 | 16.36 | 13.29 | -3.07 | ---- | -1.51 | -0.08 | 1.43 | ||
2090 | 16.28 | 13.29 | -2.99 | ---- | -1.54 | -0.08 | 1.46 | ||
2091 | 16.19 | 13.28 | -2.91 | ---- | -1.57 | -0.08 | 1.49 | ||
2092 | 16.12 | 13.28 | -2.84 | ---- | -1.61 | -0.08 | 1.53 | ||
2093 | 16.07 | 13.28 | -2.79 | ---- | -1.65 | -0.08 | 1.57 | ||
2094 | 16.01 | 13.28 | -2.74 | ---- | -1.69 | -0.08 | 1.61 | ||
2095 | 15.97 | 13.27 | -2.70 | ---- | -1.73 | -0.08 | 1.65 | ||
2096 | 15.92 | 13.27 | -2.65 | ---- | -1.79 | -0.09 | 1.70 |
Summarized Estimates
Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
2021-2095 | 16.64% | 13.75% | -2.89% | 2034 | -0.68% | -0.03% | 0.65% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2021 Trustees Report.