Detailed Single Year Tables
Description of Proposed Provision:
H4: Increase the threshold for taxation of OASDI benefits to $50,000 for single filers and $100,000 for joint filers starting in 2024. Taxation of benefits revenues transferred to the Hospital Insurance (HI) Trust Fund would be the same as if the current-law computation applied.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
|
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
| 2022 | 14.05 | 12.79 | -1.26 | 230 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2023 | 14.31 | 13.04 | -1.27 | 211 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2024 | 14.45 | 12.77 | -1.68 | 194 | 0.00 | -0.19 | -0.19 | ||
| 2025 | 14.66 | 12.78 | -1.87 | 176 | 0.00 | -0.18 | -0.18 | ||
| 2026 | 14.89 | 12.86 | -2.03 | 157 | 0.00 | -0.22 | -0.22 | ||
| 2027 | 15.10 | 12.88 | -2.22 | 139 | 0.00 | -0.22 | -0.22 | ||
| 2028 | 15.33 | 12.92 | -2.40 | 121 | 0.00 | -0.22 | -0.22 | ||
| 2029 | 15.53 | 12.96 | -2.57 | 102 | 0.00 | -0.21 | -0.21 | ||
| 2030 | 15.72 | 12.99 | -2.73 | 84 | 0.00 | -0.21 | -0.21 | ||
| 2031 | 15.91 | 13.03 | -2.88 | 66 | 0.00 | -0.21 | -0.21 | ||
| 2032 | 16.07 | 13.05 | -3.02 | 47 | 0.00 | -0.20 | -0.20 | ||
| 2033 | 16.21 | 13.06 | -3.14 | 28 | 0.00 | -0.19 | -0.19 | ||
| 2034 | 16.32 | 13.08 | -3.24 | 10 | 0.00 | -0.19 | -0.19 | ||
| 2035 | 16.42 | 13.09 | -3.33 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.18 | -0.18 | ||
| 2036 | 16.50 | 13.11 | -3.39 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.17 | -0.17 | ||
| 2037 | 16.58 | 13.12 | -3.46 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.17 | -0.17 | ||
| 2038 | 16.64 | 13.13 | -3.51 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.16 | -0.16 | ||
| 2039 | 16.69 | 13.14 | -3.55 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.15 | -0.15 | ||
| 2040 | 16.72 | 13.15 | -3.57 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.15 | -0.15 | ||
| 2041 | 16.74 | 13.16 | -3.58 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.14 | -0.14 | ||
| 2042 | 16.77 | 13.17 | -3.60 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.13 | -0.13 | ||
| 2043 | 16.78 | 13.18 | -3.61 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.13 | -0.13 | ||
| 2044 | 16.80 | 13.18 | -3.62 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.12 | -0.12 | ||
| 2045 | 16.82 | 13.19 | -3.63 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.12 | -0.12 | ||
| 2046 | 16.84 | 13.20 | -3.64 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.11 | -0.11 | ||
| 2047 | 16.86 | 13.21 | -3.66 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.11 | -0.11 | ||
| 2048 | 16.89 | 13.21 | -3.68 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.10 | -0.10 | ||
| 2049 | 16.92 | 13.22 | -3.70 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.10 | -0.10 | ||
| 2050 | 16.95 | 13.23 | -3.72 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.09 | -0.09 | ||
| 2051 | 16.98 | 13.24 | -3.75 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.09 | -0.09 | ||
| 2052 | 17.01 | 13.24 | -3.77 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.08 | -0.08 | ||
| 2053 | 17.05 | 13.25 | -3.80 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.08 | -0.08 | ||
| 2054 | 17.10 | 13.26 | -3.84 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.07 | -0.07 | ||
| 2055 | 17.15 | 13.27 | -3.88 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.07 | -0.07 | ||
| 2056 | 17.20 | 13.27 | -3.93 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.07 | -0.07 | ||
| 2057 | 17.26 | 13.28 | -3.98 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.06 | -0.06 | ||
| 2058 | 17.32 | 13.29 | -4.03 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.06 | -0.06 | ||
| 2059 | 17.39 | 13.30 | -4.09 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.06 | -0.06 | ||
| 2060 | 17.45 | 13.31 | -4.14 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.05 | ||
| 2061 | 17.51 | 13.32 | -4.20 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.05 | ||
| 2062 | 17.57 | 13.32 | -4.25 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.05 | -0.05 | ||
| 2063 | 17.63 | 13.33 | -4.30 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.04 | ||
| 2064 | 17.68 | 13.34 | -4.34 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.04 | ||
| 2065 | 17.73 | 13.34 | -4.39 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.04 | ||
| 2066 | 17.78 | 13.35 | -4.43 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.04 | ||
| 2067 | 17.83 | 13.36 | -4.48 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.04 | -0.04 | ||
| 2068 | 17.89 | 13.36 | -4.53 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.03 | ||
| 2069 | 17.94 | 13.37 | -4.58 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.03 | ||
| 2070 | 18.00 | 13.37 | -4.63 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.03 | ||
| 2071 | 18.06 | 13.38 | -4.68 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.03 | ||
| 2072 | 18.11 | 13.38 | -4.73 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.03 | ||
| 2073 | 18.16 | 13.39 | -4.77 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.03 | -0.03 | ||
| 2074 | 18.21 | 13.39 | -4.82 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | ||
| 2075 | 18.25 | 13.40 | -4.85 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | ||
| 2076 | 18.29 | 13.40 | -4.88 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | ||
| 2077 | 18.31 | 13.41 | -4.90 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | ||
| 2078 | 18.32 | 13.41 | -4.91 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | ||
| 2079 | 18.32 | 13.41 | -4.91 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | ||
| 2080 | 18.30 | 13.41 | -4.89 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | ||
| 2081 | 18.28 | 13.41 | -4.87 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | ||
| 2082 | 18.24 | 13.41 | -4.83 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.02 | -0.02 | ||
| 2083 | 18.21 | 13.41 | -4.80 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | ||
| 2084 | 18.16 | 13.41 | -4.75 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | ||
| 2085 | 18.11 | 13.41 | -4.70 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | ||
| 2086 | 18.05 | 13.40 | -4.64 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | ||
| 2087 | 17.98 | 13.40 | -4.58 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | ||
| 2088 | 17.91 | 13.39 | -4.52 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | ||
| 2089 | 17.85 | 13.39 | -4.46 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | ||
| 2090 | 17.79 | 13.39 | -4.40 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | ||
| 2091 | 17.74 | 13.39 | -4.36 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | ||
| 2092 | 17.70 | 13.38 | -4.32 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | ||
| 2093 | 17.67 | 13.38 | -4.29 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | ||
| 2094 | 17.65 | 13.38 | -4.27 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | ||
| 2095 | 17.64 | 13.38 | -4.26 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | ||
| 2096 | 17.64 | 13.38 | -4.26 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | ||
| 2097 | 17.65 | 13.38 | -4.27 | ---- | 0.00 | -0.01 | -0.01 | ||
Summarized Estimates
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
| 2022-2096 | 17.20% | 13.69% | -3.51% | 2034 | 0.00% | -0.09% | -0.09% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2035. |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2022 Trustees Report.