2019 OASDI Trustees Report

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The following table presents the plot points for Figure VI.E3 — the OASDI Cost Rates, on a calendar year basis over the long-range projection period (2019-2094), under each of the three alternative sets of assumptions and under the stochastic projection methodology. The column headings for the stochastic methodology represent the percent of the 5,000 simulations with values less than or equal to the cost rate shown in the table.
 
Plot Points
 
OASDI Cost Rates
 
Alternative
Stochastic
Calendar Year
I
II
III
2.50%
50%
97.50%
2019
13.67
13.91
14.16
13.27
13.90
14.50
2020
13.53
13.94
14.62
12.98
13.93
14.86
2021
13.45
14.09
15.14
12.96
14.07
15.22
2022
13.41
14.23
15.50
13.01
14.21
15.56
2023
13.40
14.40
15.84
13.06
14.39
15.89
2024
13.42
14.59
16.19
13.11
14.58
16.22
2025
13.44
14.79
16.52
13.22
14.77
16.51
2026
13.48
14.99
16.85
13.32
14.98
16.82
2027
13.53
15.19
17.19
13.48
15.19
17.15
2028
13.62
15.43
17.60
13.66
15.42
17.44
2029
13.70
15.63
17.90
13.76
15.61
17.72
2030
13.78
15.81
18.20
13.94
15.82
18.01
2031
13.84
15.97
18.47
14.05
15.97
18.22
2032
13.89
16.11
18.72
14.17
16.09
18.41
2033
13.92
16.23
18.94
14.23
16.22
18.50
2034
13.93
16.33
19.13
14.23
16.32
18.75
2035
13.92
16.40
19.30
14.30
16.40
18.86
2036
13.91
16.46
19.45
14.35
16.46
19.03
2037
13.89
16.52
19.60
14.31
16.55
19.07
2038
13.87
16.57
19.73
14.38
16.59
19.09
2039
13.83
16.60
19.89
14.35
16.62
19.13
2040
13.78
16.62
20.01
14.30
16.63
19.25
2041
13.71
16.61
20.11
14.35
16.64
19.31
2042
13.63
16.59
20.19
14.31
16.58
19.41
2043
13.54
16.56
20.26
14.22
16.58
19.45
2044
13.45
16.52
20.32
14.24
16.52
19.38
2045
13.37
16.49
20.38
14.08
16.49
19.38
2046
13.29
16.45
20.44
14.02
16.48
19.32
2047
13.22
16.43
20.49
13.89
16.45
19.38
2048
13.16
16.40
20.56
13.84
16.44
19.48
2049
13.10
16.38
20.62
13.79
16.43
19.60
2050
13.05
16.37
20.68
13.80
16.36
19.66
2051
13.01
16.36
20.75
13.67
16.36
19.76
2052
12.97
16.36
20.83
13.68
16.39
19.88
2053
12.95
16.37
20.91
13.64
16.40
20.02
2054
12.93
16.39
20.99
13.58
16.44
19.99
2055
12.92
16.41
21.09
13.52
16.45
20.26
2056
12.92
16.44
21.19
13.56
16.50
20.39
2057
12.93
16.48
21.29
13.47
16.55
20.68
2058
12.94
16.53
21.41
13.42
16.61
20.83
2059
12.95
16.58
21.53
13.38
16.68
20.95
2060
12.96
16.63
21.64
13.43
16.73
21.12
2061
12.98
16.68
21.77
13.40
16.78
21.35
2062
12.99
16.73
21.89
13.46
16.81
21.46
2063
13.01
16.79
22.02
13.47
16.85
21.67
2064
13.02
16.84
22.14
13.48
16.96
21.80
2065
13.03
16.90
22.27
13.49
17.00
21.96
2066
13.04
16.95
22.41
13.45
17.14
22.09
2067
13.05
17.01
22.55
13.44
17.16
22.15
2068
13.06
17.07
22.69
13.50
17.24
22.41
2069
13.07
17.13
22.84
13.52
17.26
22.52
2070
13.08
17.20
22.99
13.56
17.31
22.77
2071
13.09
17.25
23.13
13.54
17.42
23.02
2072
13.09
17.30
23.27
13.54
17.53
23.32
2073
13.08
17.35
23.41
13.54
17.57
23.58
2074
13.08
17.39
23.55
13.53
17.68
23.69
2075
13.06
17.43
23.68
13.45
17.67
23.76
2076
13.04
17.46
23.81
13.56
17.67
23.80
2077
13.01
17.48
23.92
13.53
17.67
23.88
2078
12.97
17.48
24.01
13.51
17.69
24.07
2079
12.92
17.48
24.09
13.43
17.73
24.19
2080
12.86
17.46
24.16
13.34
17.76
24.39
2081
12.81
17.44
24.22
13.31
17.72
24.61
2082
12.75
17.42
24.28
13.29
17.76
24.69
2083
12.70
17.40
24.32
13.22
17.74
24.80
2084
12.64
17.38
24.37
13.15
17.75
24.68
2085
12.60
17.36
24.40
13.08
17.78
24.91
2086
12.56
17.34
24.43
13.11
17.73
24.92
2087
12.54
17.33
24.47
13.13
17.73
25.17
2088
12.52
17.33
24.50
13.08
17.74
25.08
2089
12.53
17.34
24.54
13.14
17.76
25.09
2090
12.54
17.36
24.58
13.08
17.76
25.27
2091
12.57
17.39
24.63
13.09
17.79
25.44
2092
12.61
17.43
24.68
13.10
17.83
25.17
2093
12.66
17.47
24.73
13.09
17.89
25.37
2094
12.71
17.52
24.78
13.12
17.91
25.42
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