2020 OASDI Trustees Report

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2020 Trustees Report
 
The following table presents the plot points for Figure VI.E1 — The probability distribution of the year-by-year (2020-2095) combined OASI and DI cost rates as a percentage of taxable payroll. The income rate under the intermediate assumptions is also included in the graph in order to give some indication of the patterns of cash flow for the OASDI program. The column headings represent the percent of the 5,000 simulations with values less than or equal to the cost rate shown in the table.
 
Plot points
Calendar
year
OASDI
income
rate
OASDI cost rates
2.5%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
97.5%
2020
13.26%
13.51%
13.65%
13.75%
13.83%
13.91%
13.99%
14.07%
14.17%
14.29%
14.51%
13.26%
2021
13.10%
13.44%
13.66%
13.80%
13.92%
14.03%
14.15%
14.27%
14.42%
14.62%
14.94%
13.10%
2022
13.14%
13.54%
13.78%
13.95%
14.10%
14.23%
14.37%
14.51%
14.70%
14.95%
15.35%
13.14%
2023
13.23%
13.65%
13.91%
14.10%
14.26%
14.42%
14.58%
14.76%
14.95%
15.25%
15.73%
13.23%
2024
13.33%
13.77%
14.05%
14.27%
14.45%
14.63%
14.80%
14.99%
15.23%
15.58%
16.11%
13.33%
2025
13.42%
13.91%
14.24%
14.47%
14.67%
14.87%
15.05%
15.26%
15.52%
15.90%
16.47%
13.42%
2026
13.55%
14.07%
14.42%
14.69%
14.89%
15.10%
15.30%
15.53%
15.81%
16.19%
16.80%
13.55%
2027
13.67%
14.25%
14.61%
14.88%
15.12%
15.33%
15.54%
15.80%
16.08%
16.50%
17.14%
13.67%
2028
13.88%
14.44%
14.82%
15.09%
15.34%
15.57%
15.80%
16.04%
16.37%
16.80%
17.50%
13.88%
2029
14.08%
14.65%
15.04%
15.34%
15.56%
15.81%
16.06%
16.33%
16.64%
17.08%
17.83%
14.08%
2030
14.15%
14.80%
15.20%
15.50%
15.76%
16.01%
16.28%
16.57%
16.88%
17.37%
18.11%
14.15%
2031
14.33%
14.93%
15.35%
15.66%
15.93%
16.20%
16.45%
16.74%
17.08%
17.54%
18.39%
14.33%
2032
14.44%
15.06%
15.48%
15.79%
16.07%
16.34%
16.60%
16.90%
17.25%
17.74%
18.59%
14.44%
2033
14.52%
15.15%
15.60%
15.90%
16.17%
16.43%
16.74%
17.02%
17.38%
17.89%
18.74%
14.52%
2034
14.56%
15.22%
15.68%
15.97%
16.26%
16.54%
16.83%
17.12%
17.52%
18.03%
18.81%
14.56%
2035
14.55%
15.27%
15.72%
16.05%
16.34%
16.63%
16.92%
17.23%
17.61%
18.11%
19.01%
14.55%
2036
14.60%
15.30%
15.78%
16.11%
16.40%
16.70%
17.00%
17.29%
17.67%
18.23%
19.14%
14.60%
2037
14.64%
15.33%
15.79%
16.14%
16.48%
16.76%
17.05%
17.36%
17.78%
18.32%
19.24%
14.64%
2038
14.57%
15.32%
15.83%
16.20%
16.52%
16.82%
17.13%
17.43%
17.84%
18.40%
19.32%
14.57%
2039
14.64%
15.35%
15.86%
16.22%
16.54%
16.85%
17.15%
17.47%
17.86%
18.41%
19.33%
14.64%
2040
14.59%
15.38%
15.88%
16.25%
16.58%
16.88%
17.19%
17.52%
17.90%
18.54%
19.37%
14.59%
2041
14.59%
15.39%
15.89%
16.25%
16.58%
16.88%
17.19%
17.54%
17.96%
18.54%
19.45%
14.59%
2042
14.59%
15.34%
15.87%
16.24%
16.58%
16.89%
17.20%
17.57%
17.99%
18.58%
19.56%
14.59%
2043
14.57%
15.33%
15.85%
16.23%
16.55%
16.84%
17.16%
17.54%
17.98%
18.61%
19.64%
14.57%
2044
14.51%
15.31%
15.81%
16.21%
16.54%
16.86%
17.19%
17.55%
17.98%
18.65%
19.73%
14.51%
2045
14.51%
15.26%
15.79%
16.19%
16.52%
16.82%
17.18%
17.55%
18.00%
18.65%
19.73%
14.51%
2046
14.38%
15.25%
15.75%
16.15%
16.50%
16.83%
17.15%
17.54%
18.01%
18.65%
19.72%
14.38%
2047
14.34%
15.21%
15.75%
16.16%
16.49%
16.83%
17.18%
17.57%
18.05%
18.73%
19.72%
14.34%
2048
14.25%
15.20%
15.74%
16.15%
16.49%
16.83%
17.21%
17.60%
18.06%
18.75%
19.79%
14.25%
2049
14.19%
15.09%
15.69%
16.12%
16.52%
16.84%
17.20%
17.58%
18.09%
18.84%
19.93%
14.19%
2050
14.18%
15.06%
15.66%
16.11%
16.48%
16.85%
17.20%
17.59%
18.10%
18.82%
20.06%
14.18%
2051
14.18%
15.03%
15.62%
16.07%
16.47%
16.82%
17.20%
17.61%
18.12%
18.88%
20.13%
14.18%
2052
14.10%
14.99%
15.60%
16.07%
16.45%
16.83%
17.23%
17.66%
18.17%
18.97%
20.24%
14.10%
2053
14.10%
14.98%
15.62%
16.08%
16.50%
16.88%
17.29%
17.74%
18.29%
19.12%
20.42%
14.10%
2054
14.08%
14.99%
15.59%
16.09%
16.51%
16.90%
17.32%
17.80%
18.38%
19.15%
20.56%
14.08%
2055
14.04%
14.97%
15.60%
16.11%
16.54%
16.97%
17.39%
17.86%
18.41%
19.24%
20.69%
14.04%
2056
14.01%
14.96%
15.62%
16.14%
16.60%
17.01%
17.46%
17.91%
18.49%
19.34%
20.85%
14.01%
2057
14.04%
14.96%
15.65%
16.14%
16.62%
17.08%
17.50%
18.01%
18.58%
19.47%
21.02%
14.04%
2058
13.96%
14.96%
15.67%
16.22%
16.69%
17.12%
17.59%
18.11%
18.68%
19.60%
21.30%
13.96%
2059
13.93%
14.94%
15.70%
16.28%
16.73%
17.19%
17.65%
18.20%
18.81%
19.80%
21.47%
13.93%
2060
13.89%
14.97%
15.78%
16.30%
16.80%
17.26%
17.73%
18.28%
18.91%
19.92%
21.68%
13.89%
2061
13.95%
15.02%
15.81%
16.37%
16.85%
17.33%
17.84%
18.36%
19.03%
20.07%
21.85%
13.95%
2062
13.93%
15.05%
15.84%
16.40%
16.91%
17.39%
17.88%
18.48%
19.20%
20.19%
22.12%
13.93%
2063
13.96%
15.07%
15.89%
16.42%
16.93%
17.44%
17.97%
18.54%
19.25%
20.34%
22.19%
13.96%
2064
14.01%
15.10%
15.88%
16.49%
16.99%
17.48%
18.05%
18.65%
19.40%
20.49%
22.47%
14.01%
2065
13.96%
15.14%
15.94%
16.55%
17.08%
17.61%
18.14%
18.78%
19.57%
20.66%
22.60%
13.96%
2066
13.97%
15.16%
15.98%
16.59%
17.14%
17.66%
18.25%
18.91%
19.71%
20.76%
22.82%
13.97%
2067
13.97%
15.21%
16.05%
16.66%
17.20%
17.77%
18.33%
18.99%
19.83%
20.94%
22.92%
13.97%
2068
14.02%
15.25%
16.07%
16.71%
17.28%
17.83%
18.42%
19.08%
19.88%
21.07%
23.01%
14.02%
2069
14.04%
15.25%
16.11%
16.75%
17.34%
17.93%
18.46%
19.15%
19.98%
21.18%
23.31%
14.04%
2070
14.07%
15.31%
16.15%
16.83%
17.40%
17.96%
18.56%
19.28%
20.12%
21.33%
23.41%
14.07%
2071
14.08%
15.36%
16.23%
16.88%
17.49%
18.01%
18.65%
19.35%
20.21%
21.48%
23.70%
14.08%
2072
14.08%
15.39%
16.27%
16.93%
17.54%
18.13%
18.74%
19.42%
20.34%
21.60%
23.98%
14.08%
2073
14.09%
15.44%
16.31%
16.97%
17.60%
18.25%
18.87%
19.56%
20.43%
21.75%
24.26%
14.09%
2074
14.06%
15.45%
16.34%
17.01%
17.71%
18.30%
18.95%
19.68%
20.57%
21.89%
24.50%
14.06%
2075
14.07%
15.44%
16.34%
17.06%
17.71%
18.37%
19.02%
19.79%
20.70%
22.10%
24.65%
14.07%
2076
14.00%
15.43%
16.32%
17.07%
17.75%
18.38%
19.06%
19.85%
20.76%
22.20%
24.80%
14.00%
2077
14.06%
15.41%
16.40%
17.11%
17.74%
18.38%
19.09%
19.85%
20.82%
22.29%
24.75%
14.06%
2078
14.02%
15.39%
16.38%
17.10%
17.72%
18.37%
19.10%
19.88%
20.86%
22.31%
24.83%
14.02%
2079
14.04%
15.36%
16.34%
17.09%
17.73%
18.39%
19.13%
19.90%
20.86%
22.38%
25.09%
14.04%
2080
13.92%
15.32%
16.31%
17.06%
17.73%
18.41%
19.13%
19.92%
20.92%
22.54%
25.24%
13.92%
2081
13.83%
15.28%
16.28%
17.05%
17.73%
18.42%
19.13%
19.95%
21.00%
22.65%
25.41%
13.83%
2082
13.77%
15.21%
16.23%
17.03%
17.74%
18.40%
19.13%
19.96%
20.99%
22.66%
25.57%
13.77%
2083
13.75%
15.10%
16.21%
17.04%
17.72%
18.42%
19.14%
20.00%
21.05%
22.70%
25.72%
13.75%
2084
13.65%
15.04%
16.16%
16.99%
17.71%
18.42%
19.14%
20.02%
21.09%
22.68%
25.77%
13.65%
2085
13.56%
15.03%
16.13%
16.94%
17.69%
18.40%
19.17%
20.04%
21.05%
22.70%
25.74%
13.56%
2086
13.50%
14.99%
16.06%
16.92%
17.65%
18.41%
19.14%
19.99%
21.11%
22.63%
25.92%
13.50%
2087
13.50%
14.99%
16.06%
16.88%
17.60%
18.36%
19.13%
20.00%
21.12%
22.69%
25.92%
13.50%
2088
13.50%
14.96%
16.03%
16.87%
17.56%
18.32%
19.10%
20.00%
21.11%
22.73%
26.12%
13.50%
2089
13.44%
14.93%
15.99%
16.84%
17.54%
18.30%
19.07%
19.95%
21.05%
22.80%
25.97%
13.44%
2090
13.47%
14.93%
15.99%
16.81%
17.55%
18.33%
19.09%
19.96%
21.06%
22.78%
26.03%
13.47%
2091
13.41%
14.93%
16.00%
16.80%
17.56%
18.30%
19.08%
19.94%
21.08%
22.85%
26.26%
13.41%
2092
13.42%
14.87%
15.96%
16.80%
17.57%
18.30%
19.08%
19.97%
21.09%
22.84%
26.30%
13.42%
2093
13.41%
14.93%
16.01%
16.86%
17.59%
18.35%
19.13%
20.02%
21.18%
22.92%
26.03%
13.41%
2094
13.40%
14.99%
16.06%
16.89%
17.63%
18.39%
19.22%
20.05%
21.28%
23.07%
26.23%
13.40%
2095
13.40%
15.00%
16.10%
16.91%
17.62%
18.40%
19.24%
20.17%
21.32%
23.07%
26.23%
13.40%
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