Social Security Area Population on July 1 and Dependency Ratios — 2020 OASDI Trustees Report

Single-Year Tables Historical data Intermediate Assumptions Low-Cost Assumptions High-Cost Assumptions
Table V.A3.—Social Security Area Population on July 1 and Dependency Ratios,
Calendar Years 1941-2095
Calendar year   Population (in thousands)   Dependency ratio
Under 20   20-64   65 and
over		   Total Aged a   Total b

Historical data:
1941   48,422   83,771   9,826   142,019   0.117   0.695
1942   48,487   84,896   10,095   143,478   .119   .690
1943   48,743   85,999   10,349   145,092   .120   .687
1944   48,972   87,075   10,606   146,653   .122   .684
1945   49,121   88,109   10,899   148,129   .124   .681
1946   49,574   89,095   11,227   149,896   .126   .682
1947   50,550   90,028   11,578   152,156   .129   .690
1948   51,673   90,880   11,952   154,505   .132   .700
1949   52,769   91,660   12,354   156,782   .135   .710
1950   53,903   92,387   12,769   159,059   .138   .722
1951   56,504   94,169   13,292   163,965   .141   .741
1952   58,018   94,782   13,723   166,523   .145   .757
1953   59,678   95,259   14,172   169,109   .149   .775
1954   61,457   95,700   14,635   171,793   .153   .795
1955   63,292   96,208   15,075   174,574   .157   .815
1956   65,230   96,724   15,490   177,444   .160   .835
1957   67,416   97,988   15,930   181,334   .163   .851
1958   69,363   98,533   16,392   184,287   .166   .870
1959   71,245   99,125   16,851   187,222   .170   .889
1960   73,075   99,800   17,278   190,152   .173   .905
1961   74,900   100,631   17,675   193,207   .176   .920
1962   76,451   101,620   18,054   196,125   .178   .930
1963   77,730   102,746   18,404   198,881   .179   .936
1964   78,929   103,844   18,745   201,518   .181   .941
1965   80,019   104,883   19,071   203,974   .182   .945
1966   80,670   106,132   19,403   206,205   .183   .943
1967   80,759   107,804   19,763   208,326   .183   .932
1968   80,694   109,594   20,115   210,403   .184   .920
1969   80,800   111,290   20,482   212,572   .184   .910
1970   81,020   112,989   20,895   214,903   .185   .902
1971   81,055   114,729   21,353   217,137   .186   .893
1972   80,752   116,554   21,810   219,116   .187   .880
1973   80,158   118,471   22,277   220,907   .188   .865
1974   79,431   120,510   22,766   222,708   .189   .848
1975   78,629   122,640   23,307   224,576   .190   .831
1976   77,760   124,830   23,907   226,497   .192   .814
1977   76,913   127,141   24,509   228,563   .193   .798
1978   76,120   129,506   25,117   230,743   .194   .782
1979   75,433   131,846   25,724   233,003   .195   .767
1980   74,833   134,107   26,306   235,247   .196   .754
1981   74,290   136,313   26,876   237,480   .197   .742
1982   73,819   138,488   27,470   239,777   .198   .731
1983   73,409   140,618   28,032   242,059   .199   .721
1984   73,072   142,696   28,559   244,327   .200   .712
1985   72,945   144,579   29,132   246,656   .201   .706
1986   73,053   146,247   29,740   249,040   .203   .703
1987   73,325   147,821   30,333   251,479   .205   .701
1988   73,726   149,375   30,873   253,975   .207   .700
1989   74,184   151,022   31,373   256,578   .208   .699
1990   74,797   152,770   31,924   259,490   .209   .699
1991   75,574   154,533   32,507   262,614   .210   .699
1992   76,465   156,186   33,053   265,704   .212   .701
1993   77,465   157,705   33,528   268,697   .213   .704
1994   78,425   159,204   33,939   271,568   .213   .706
1995   79,278   160,733   34,313   274,324   .213   .707
1996   80,031   162,332   34,645   277,008   .213   .706
1997   80,653   164,084   34,926   279,663   .213   .704
1998   81,176   165,985   35,143   282,304   .212   .701
1999   81,603   168,029   35,310   284,943   .210   .696
2000   82,003   170,181   35,505   287,689   .209   .690
2001   82,390   172,415   35,740   290,544   .207   .685
2002   82,726   174,662   36,000   293,388   .206   .680
2003   83,075   176,747   36,319   296,142   .205   .676
2004   83,491   178,779   36,710   298,979   .205   .672
2005   83,984   181,061   37,171   302,216   .205   .669
2006   84,575   183,338   37,734   305,647   .206   .667
2007   85,156   184,968   38,483   308,607   .208   .668
2008   85,554   185,794   39,366   310,715   .212   .672
2009   85,778   186,732   40,244   312,754   .216   .675
2010   85,681   188,293   41,046   315,020   .218   .673
2011   85,314   189,658   42,024   316,996   .222   .671
2012   84,966   190,432   43,415   318,814   .228   .674
2013   84,678   191,084   44,882   320,644   .235   .678
2014   84,590   192,115   46,281   322,987   .241   .681
2015   84,631   193,294   47,715   325,640   .247   .685
2016   84,637   194,014   49,187   327,838   .254   .690
2017 c   84,565   194,436   50,732   329,733   .261   .696
2018 d   84,477   195,076   52,314   331,867   .268   .701
2019 d   84,374   195,827   53,952   334,152   .276   .706

Intermediate:
2020   84,202   196,499   55,645   336,345   .283   .712
2021   84,065   197,096   57,358   338,519   .291   .718
2022   84,016   197,562   59,122   340,700   .299   .725
2023   84,016   198,030   60,870   342,916   .307   .732
2024   84,083   198,526   62,588   345,197   .315   .739
2025   84,239   198,986   64,332   347,557   .323   .747
2026   84,430   199,519   66,030   349,979   .331   .754
2027   84,619   200,171   67,642   352,433   .338   .761
2028   84,843   200,866   69,177   354,886   .344   .767
2029   85,193   201,497   70,625   357,316   .351   .773
2030   85,679   202,121   71,903   359,703   .356   .780
2031   86,254   202,827   72,957   362,038   .360   .785
2032   86,876   203,582   73,859   364,317   .363   .790
2033   87,505   204,341   74,695   366,541   .366   .794
2034   88,117   205,053   75,538   368,708   .368   .798
2035   88,708   205,658   76,452   370,818   .372   .803
2036   89,324   206,247   77,299   372,870   .375   .808
2037   90,009   206,942   77,912   374,863   .376   .811
2038   90,770   207,719   78,307   376,796   .377   .814
2039   91,594   208,469   78,605   378,668   .377   .816
2040   92,424   209,168   78,886   380,478   .377   .819
2041   93,192   209,898   79,139   382,228   .377   .821
2042   93,885   210,605   79,430   383,920   .377   .823
2043   94,478   211,321   79,761   385,560   .377   .825
2044   94,944   212,077   80,133   387,154   .378   .826
2045   95,274   212,823   80,612   388,708   .379   .826
2046   95,484   213,634   81,111   390,229   .380   .827
2047   95,610   214,519   81,597   391,727   .380   .826
2048   95,686   215,457   82,067   393,210   .381   .825
2049   95,738   216,450   82,497   394,685   .381   .823
2050   95,786   217,406   82,970   396,162   .382   .822
2051   95,845   218,330   83,474   397,648   .382   .821
2052   95,920   219,241   83,992   399,153   .383   .821
2053   96,016   220,084   84,583   400,684   .384   .821
2054   96,139   220,832   85,275   402,246   .386   .821
2055   96,291   221,476   86,079   403,846   .389   .823
2056   96,478   222,083   86,926   405,487   .391   .826
2057   96,702   222,729   87,740   407,171   .394   .828
2058   96,967   223,424   88,507   408,899   .396   .830
2059   97,274   224,174   89,219   410,667   .398   .832
2060   97,625   224,946   89,903   412,474   .400   .834
2061   98,017   225,713   90,585   414,315   .401   .836
2062   98,447   226,465   91,269   416,182   .403   .838
2063   98,912   227,173   91,985   418,069   .405   .840
2064   99,404   227,834   92,732   419,970   .407   .843
2065   99,916   228,448   93,512   421,877   .409   .847
2066   100,442   229,054   94,287   423,783   .412   .850
2067   100,974   229,685   95,025   425,684   .414   .853
2068   101,506   230,285   95,783   427,573   .416   .857
2069   102,031   230,849   96,568   429,448   .418   .860
2070   102,544   231,387   97,374   431,304   .421   .864
2071   103,040   231,871   98,230   433,142   .424   .868
2072   103,513   232,301   99,142   434,957   .427   .872
2073   103,960   232,742   100,048   436,749   .430   .877
2074   104,376   233,299   100,843   438,519   .432   .880
2075   104,760   233,999   101,508   440,267   .434   .881
2076   105,111   234,811   102,072   441,994   .435   .882
2077   105,429   235,701   102,572   443,703   .435   .882
2078   105,717   236,634   103,046   445,397   .435   .882
2079   105,979   237,585   103,516   447,081   .436   .882
2080   106,220   238,551   103,986   448,756   .436   .881
2081   106,445   239,569   104,415   450,430   .436   .880
2082   106,661   240,679   104,762   452,102   .435   .878
2083   106,873   241,883   105,023   453,779   .434   .876
2084   107,089   243,164   105,209   455,462   .433   .873
2085   107,313   244,470   105,372   457,155   .431   .870
2086   107,550   245,735   105,574   458,859   .430   .867
2087   107,804   246,948   105,824   460,576   .429   .865
2088   108,077   248,082   106,148   462,307   .428   .864
2089   108,372   249,109   106,571   464,052   .428   .863
2090   108,688   250,017   107,105   465,810   .428   .863
2091   109,027   250,818   107,737   467,581   .430   .864
2092   109,385   251,540   108,437   469,363   .431   .866
2093   109,763   252,212   109,180   471,155   .433   .868
2094   110,157   252,854   109,945   472,956   .435   .870
2095   110,565   253,483   110,718   474,766   .437   .873

Low-cost:
2020   84,440   196,783   55,634   336,857   .283   .712
2021   84,533   197,625   57,332   339,490   .290   .718
2022   84,761   198,352   59,073   342,186   .298   .725
2023   85,078   199,082   60,789   344,950   .305   .733
2024   85,506   199,840   62,467   347,813   .313   .740
2025   86,064   200,563   64,163   350,790   .320   .749
2026   86,705   201,358   65,805   353,867   .327   .757
2027   87,388   202,274   67,352   357,014   .333   .765
2028   88,152   203,232   68,815   360,199   .339   .772
2029   89,088   204,127   70,183   363,398   .344   .780
2030   90,184   205,014   71,374   366,572   .348   .788
2031   91,373   205,981   72,335   369,689   .351   .795
2032   92,610   206,998   73,139   372,747   .353   .801
2033   93,858   208,017   73,871   375,745   .355   .806
2034   95,091   208,988   74,604   378,683   .357   .812
2035   96,305   209,852   75,402   381,559   .359   .818
2036   97,545   210,700   76,131   384,375   .361   .824
2037   98,856   211,650   76,623   387,128   .362   .829
2038   100,244   212,680   76,896   389,819   .362   .833
2039   101,675   213,701   77,071   392,447   .361   .836
2040   103,074   214,710   77,229   395,013   .360   .840
2041   104,370   215,791   77,359   397,520   .358   .842
2042   105,553   216,892   77,528   399,973   .357   .844
2043   106,595   218,044   77,739   402,379   .357   .845
2044   107,473   219,282   77,992   404,747   .356   .846
2045   108,179   220,555   78,354   407,088   .355   .846
2046   108,731   221,940   78,740   409,411   .355   .845
2047   109,167   223,444   79,117   411,728   .354   .843
2048   109,526   225,044   79,483   414,053   .353   .840
2049   109,835   226,744   79,815   416,394   .352   .836
2050   110,141   228,429   80,194   418,764   .351   .833
2051   110,481   230,083   80,610   421,174   .350   .831
2052   110,864   231,723   81,046   423,633   .350   .828
2053   111,297   233,296   81,558   426,152   .350   .827
2054   111,787   234,773   82,176   428,736   .350   .826
2055   112,339   236,146   82,908   431,394   .351   .827
2056   112,958   237,481   83,688   434,127   .352   .828
2057   113,647   238,851   84,440   436,937   .354   .829
2058   114,407   240,266   85,150   439,823   .354   .831
2059   115,239   241,732   85,808   442,779   .355   .832
2060   116,141   243,216   86,442   445,800   .355   .833
2061   117,107   244,695   87,076   448,877   .356   .834
2062   118,131   246,160   87,712   452,002   .356   .836
2063   119,202   247,583   88,380   455,164   .357   .838
2064   120,309   248,966   89,078   458,354   .358   .841
2065   121,441   250,312   89,808   461,561   .359   .844
2066   122,585   251,661   90,532   464,778   .360   .847
2067   123,730   253,048   91,219   467,997   .360   .849
2068   124,865   254,423   91,925   471,212   .361   .852
2069   125,980   255,784   92,655   474,418   .362   .855
2070   127,066   257,144   93,402   477,613   .363   .857
2071   128,117   258,481   94,197   480,795   .364   .860
2072   129,126   259,794   95,043   483,963   .366   .863
2073   130,088   261,151   95,880   487,119   .367   .865
2074   130,999   262,655   96,608   490,263   .368   .867
2075   131,859   264,332   97,207   493,398   .368   .867
2076   132,667   266,154   97,708   496,529   .367   .866
2077   133,429   268,085   98,147   499,660   .366   .864
2078   134,148   270,090   98,559   502,797   .365   .862
2079   134,832   272,144   98,967   505,943   .364   .859
2080   135,491   274,239   99,375   509,106   .362   .856
2081   136,135   276,412   99,743   512,290   .361   .853
2082   136,773   278,696   100,031   515,500   .359   .850
2083   137,417   281,088   100,235   518,741   .357   .845
2084   138,077   283,554   100,385   522,016   .354   .841
2085   138,759   286,018   100,550   525,328   .352   .837
2086   139,473   288,415   100,791   528,680   .349   .833
2087   140,223   290,730   101,119   532,072   .348   .830
2088   141,011   292,934   101,559   535,505   .347   .828
2089   141,841   295,000   102,137   538,978   .346   .827
2090   142,712   296,916   102,862   542,489   .346   .827
2091   143,622   298,694   103,722   546,037   .347   .828
2092   144,567   300,362   104,690   549,619   .349   .830
2093   145,544   301,949   105,738   553,231   .350   .832
2094   146,548   303,477   106,846   556,871   .352   .835
2095   147,571   304,984   107,981   560,536   .354   .838

High-cost:
2020   83,874   196,053   55,654   335,582   .284   .712
2021   83,510   196,402   57,384   337,297   .292   .717
2022   83,194   196,620   59,176   338,990   .301   .724
2023   82,887   196,841   60,961   340,689   .310   .731
2024   82,606   197,090   62,727   342,423   .318   .737
2025   82,370   197,304   64,529   344,202   .327   .745
2026   82,114   197,590   66,295   345,999   .336   .751
2027   81,794   197,997   67,984   347,775   .343   .756
2028   81,464   198,445   69,606   349,516   .351   .761
2029   81,236   198,831   71,150   351,217   .358   .766
2030   81,133   199,211   72,532   352,876   .364   .771
2031   81,118   199,673   73,698   354,490   .369   .775
2032   81,149   200,188   74,720   356,056   .373   .779
2033   81,185   200,706   75,681   357,572   .377   .782
2034   81,203   201,179   76,656   359,038   .381   .785
2035   81,199   201,544   77,709   360,451   .386   .788
2036   81,219   201,893   78,699   361,812   .390   .792
2037   81,308   202,350   79,458   363,117   .393   .794
2038   81,473   202,893   80,000   364,366   .394   .796
2039   81,720   203,390   80,447   365,556   .396   .797
2040   82,014   203,796   80,876   366,687   .397   .799
2041   82,288   204,192   81,277   367,757   .398   .801
2042   82,528   204,524   81,715   368,767   .400   .803
2043   82,709   204,819   82,193   369,721   .401   .805
2044   82,802   205,113   82,707   370,622   .403   .807
2045   82,796   205,350   83,327   371,474   .406   .809
2046   82,720   205,597   83,963   372,280   .408   .811
2047   82,610   205,857   84,580   373,047   .411   .812
2048   82,483   206,124   85,174   373,781   .413   .813
2049   82,339   206,425   85,722   374,486   .415   .814
2050   82,183   206,680   86,306   375,170   .418   .815
2051   82,019   206,904   86,915   375,838   .420   .816
2052   81,849   207,116   87,532   376,496   .423   .818
2053   81,677   207,261   88,214   377,152   .426   .820
2054   81,506   207,311   88,992   377,809   .429   .822
2055   81,339   207,256   89,877   378,473   .434   .826
2056   81,181   207,168   90,798   379,147   .438   .830
2057   81,034   207,120   91,680   379,834   .443   .834
2058   80,903   207,126   92,508   380,537   .447   .837
2059   80,790   207,191   93,274   381,255   .450   .840
2060   80,698   207,280   94,009   381,987   .454   .843
2061   80,630   207,366   94,737   382,733   .457   .846
2062   80,586   207,438   95,465   383,489   .460   .849
2063   80,564   207,463   96,223   384,250   .464   .852
2064   80,562   207,437   97,013   385,012   .468   .856
2065   80,579   207,358   97,835   385,771   .472   .860
2066   80,610   207,262   98,651   386,523   .476   .865
2067   80,653   207,180   99,429   387,262   .480   .869
2068   80,705   207,052   100,229   387,986   .484   .874
2069   80,763   206,870   101,058   388,690   .489   .879
2070   80,823   206,641   101,908   389,373   .493   .884
2071   80,883   206,335   102,814   390,032   .498   .890
2072   80,938   205,949   103,777   390,663   .504   .897
2073   80,985   205,546   104,735   391,267   .510   .904
2074   81,022   205,235   105,582   391,839   .514   .909
2075   81,045   205,041   106,296   392,381   .518   .914
2076   81,052   204,934   106,906   392,892   .522   .917
2077   81,044   204,877   107,452   393,373   .524   .920
2078   81,019   204,837   107,970   393,826   .527   .923
2079   80,978   204,790   108,483   394,252   .530   .925
2080   80,924   204,734   108,996   394,654   .532   .928
2081   80,858   204,712   109,466   395,036   .535   .930
2082   80,783   204,765   109,850   395,398   .536   .931
2083   80,702   204,898   110,145   395,745   .538   .931
2084   80,617   205,120   110,342   396,078   .538   .931
2085   80,531   205,396   110,472   396,400   .538   .930
2086   80,448   205,665   110,600   396,713   .538   .929
2087   80,369   205,915   110,735   397,019   .538   .928
2088   80,296   206,120   110,902   397,318   .538   .928
2089   80,231   206,254   111,127   397,612   .539   .928
2090   80,174   206,304   111,422   397,900   .540   .929
2091   80,127   206,294   111,763   398,184   .542   .930
2092   80,091   206,259   112,114   398,463   .544   .932
2093   80,064   206,209   112,464   398,737   .545   .934
2094   80,046   206,147   112,814   399,007   .547   .936
2095   80,038   206,072   113,163   399,273   .549   .938
a Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over to the population at ages 20-64.
b Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over and the population under age 20 to the population at ages 20-64.
c Estimated.
d Estimated, intermediate alternative.

Notes:
1. Historical data are subject to revision.
2. Totals do not necessarily equal the sums of rounded components.