OASDI and HI Annual Income, Cost, and Balance as a Percentage of GDP — 2023 OASDI Trustees Report
Single-Year Tables | Historical data | Intermediate Assumptions | Low-Cost Assumptions | High-Cost Assumptions |
Percentage of GDP | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OASDI | HI | Combined | ||||||||||||||||||
Calendar year |
In- come a |
Cost b |
Bal- ance b |
In- come a |
Cost | Bal- ance |
In- come a |
Cost b |
Bal- ance b |
GDP in dollars (billions) |
||||||||||
Historical data: |
||||||||||||||||||||
1970 | 3.28 | 3.08 | 0.20 | 0.53 | 0.51 | 0.02 | 3.81 | 3.59 | 0.22 | 1,073 | ||||||||||
1971 | 3.34 | 3.31 | .03 | .47 | .52 | -.05 | 3.81 | 3.83 | -.02 | 1,165 | ||||||||||
1972 | 3.39 | 3.38 | .01 | .47 | .52 | -.05 | 3.86 | 3.90 | -.04 | 1,279 | ||||||||||
1973 | 3.68 | 3.73 | -.05 | .80 | .54 | .26 | 4.47 | 4.27 | .20 | 1,425 | ||||||||||
1974 | 3.84 | 3.92 | -.08 | .75 | .61 | .14 | 4.60 | 4.53 | .06 | 1,545 | ||||||||||
1975 | 3.84 | 4.11 | -.26 | .73 | .69 | .04 | 4.57 | 4.79 | -.22 | 1,685 | ||||||||||
1976 | 3.86 | 4.18 | -.32 | .69 | .74 | -.05 | 4.55 | 4.92 | -.37 | 1,873 | ||||||||||
1977 | 3.82 | 4.19 | -.37 | .72 | .77 | -.05 | 4.54 | 4.96 | -.42 | 2,082 | ||||||||||
1978 | 3.81 | 4.08 | -.27 | .79 | .79 | c | 4.60 | 4.87 | -.27 | 2,352 | ||||||||||
1979 | 3.95 | 4.08 | -.14 | .86 | .82 | .04 | 4.81 | 4.90 | -.09 | 2,627 | ||||||||||
1980 | 4.11 | 4.32 | -.22 | .87 | .91 | -.04 | 4.98 | 5.23 | -.26 | 2,857 | ||||||||||
1981 | 4.37 | 4.50 | -.13 | 1.05 | .97 | .08 | 5.42 | 5.47 | -.05 | 3,207 | ||||||||||
1982 | 4.38 | 4.79 | -.41 | 1.06 | 1.08 | -.02 | 5.44 | 5.87 | -.43 | 3,344 | ||||||||||
1983 | 4.49 | 4.71 | -.23 | 1.13 | 1.11 | .02 | 5.61 | 5.82 | -.21 | 3,634 | ||||||||||
1984 | 4.54 | 4.47 | .07 | 1.10 | 1.12 | -.03 | 5.64 | 5.59 | .04 | 4,038 | ||||||||||
1985 | 4.63 | 4.39 | .23 | 1.14 | 1.11 | .03 | 5.77 | 5.51 | .26 | 4,339 | ||||||||||
1986 | 4.65 | 4.40 | .25 | 1.23 | 1.09 | .14 | 5.88 | 5.49 | .39 | 4,580 | ||||||||||
1987 | 4.65 | 4.31 | .34 | 1.23 | 1.07 | .15 | 5.88 | 5.38 | .50 | 4,855 | ||||||||||
1988 | 4.88 | 4.25 | .63 | 1.22 | 1.02 | .20 | 6.09 | 5.27 | .82 | 5,236 | ||||||||||
1989 | 4.91 | 4.19 | .72 | 1.21 | 1.09 | .12 | 6.11 | 5.28 | .84 | 5,642 | ||||||||||
1990 | 5.00 | 4.24 | .76 | 1.21 | 1.12 | .09 | 6.21 | 5.36 | .84 | 5,963 | ||||||||||
1991 | 5.00 | 4.45 | .55 | 1.30 | 1.19 | .11 | 6.30 | 5.64 | .66 | 6,158 | ||||||||||
1992 | 4.87 | 4.48 | .39 | 1.30 | 1.30 | c | 6.16 | 5.78 | .39 | 6,520 | ||||||||||
1993 | 4.78 | 4.50 | .28 | 1.28 | 1.39 | -.11 | 6.06 | 5.89 | .17 | 6,859 | ||||||||||
1994 | 4.80 | 4.43 | .37 | 1.40 | 1.48 | -.08 | 6.20 | 5.91 | .29 | 7,287 | ||||||||||
1995 | 4.77 | 4.45 | .32 | 1.41 | 1.55 | -.14 | 6.18 | 6.00 | .18 | 7,640 | ||||||||||
1996 | 4.78 | 4.38 | .40 | 1.41 | 1.60 | -.18 | 6.19 | 5.98 | .21 | 8,073 | ||||||||||
1997 | 4.83 | 4.30 | .52 | 1.43 | 1.60 | -.17 | 6.26 | 5.90 | .36 | 8,578 | ||||||||||
1998 | 4.85 | 4.22 | .64 | 1.47 | 1.46 | .02 | 6.33 | 5.67 | .65 | 9,063 | ||||||||||
1999 | 4.89 | 4.08 | .81 | 1.49 | 1.35 | .14 | 6.39 | 5.43 | .95 | 9,631 | ||||||||||
2000 | 4.92 | 4.05 | .87 | 1.52 | 1.28 | .24 | 6.44 | 5.33 | 1.11 | 10,251 | ||||||||||
2001 | 5.00 | 4.15 | .85 | 1.50 | 1.35 | .15 | 6.50 | 5.50 | 1.00 | 10,582 | ||||||||||
2002 | 5.00 | 4.22 | .78 | 1.46 | 1.40 | .06 | 6.46 | 5.62 | .84 | 10,929 | ||||||||||
2003 | 4.77 | 4.18 | .59 | 1.44 | 1.39 | .04 | 6.21 | 5.58 | .63 | 11,456 | ||||||||||
2004 | 4.66 | 4.11 | .55 | 1.43 | 1.41 | .02 | 6.09 | 5.52 | .57 | 12,217 | ||||||||||
2005 | 4.66 | 4.06 | .59 | 1.41 | 1.44 | -.02 | 6.07 | 5.50 | .57 | 13,039 | ||||||||||
2006 | 4.65 | 4.02 | .63 | 1.42 | 1.43 | -.01 | 6.07 | 5.45 | .62 | 13,816 | ||||||||||
2007 | 4.66 | 4.11 | .55 | 1.44 | 1.45 | -.01 | 6.10 | 5.55 | .54 | 14,474 | ||||||||||
2008 | 4.66 | 4.23 | .43 | 1.43 | 1.53 | -.09 | 6.10 | 5.76 | .34 | 14,770 | ||||||||||
2009 | 4.76 | 4.74 | .02 | 1.42 | 1.65 | -.24 | 6.18 | 6.39 | -.21 | 14,478 | ||||||||||
2010 | 4.41 | 4.73 | -.32 | 1.39 | 1.63 | -.24 | 5.80 | 6.37 | -.57 | 15,049 | ||||||||||
2011 | 4.43 | 4.72 | -.29 | 1.40 | 1.64 | -.24 | 5.83 | 6.36 | -.53 | 15,600 | ||||||||||
2012 | 4.50 | 4.83 | -.34 | 1.42 | 1.62 | -.19 | 5.92 | 6.45 | -.53 | 16,254 | ||||||||||
2013 | 4.47 | 4.89 | -.42 | 1.45 | 1.60 | -.15 | 5.91 | 6.48 | -.57 | 16,843 | ||||||||||
2014 | 4.48 | 4.90 | -.42 | 1.47 | 1.54 | -.07 | 5.95 | 6.43 | -.48 | 17,551 | ||||||||||
2015 | 4.54 | 4.93 | -.39 | 1.49 | 1.53 | -.04 | 6.03 | 6.45 | -.42 | 18,206 | ||||||||||
2016 | 4.65 | 4.93 | -.28 | 1.49 | 1.55 | -.06 | 6.14 | 6.48 | -.34 | 18,695 | ||||||||||
2017 | 4.68 | 4.89 | -.21 | 1.50 | 1.54 | -.04 | 6.18 | 6.43 | -.25 | 19,477 | ||||||||||
2018 | 4.48 | 4.87 | -.39 | 1.48 | 1.52 | -.04 | 5.96 | 6.39 | -.43 | 20,533 | ||||||||||
2019 | 4.59 | 4.95 | -.37 | 1.49 | 1.54 | -.05 | 6.08 | 6.50 | -.42 | 21,381 | ||||||||||
2020 | 4.95 | 5.26 | -.31 | 1.55 | 1.63 | -.08 | 6.50 | 6.89 | -.39 | 21,060 | ||||||||||
2021 | 4.37 | 4.91 | -.54 | 1.54 | 1.53 | .01 | 5.91 | 6.44 | -.53 | 23,315 | ||||||||||
2022 | 4.54 | 4.89 | -.35 | 1.51 | 1.48 | .03 | 6.06 | 6.37 | -.32 | 25,422 | ||||||||||
Intermediate: |
||||||||||||||||||||
2023 | 4.77 | 5.22 | -.45 | 1.53 | 1.52 | .01 | 6.30 | 6.74 | -.44 | 26,592 | ||||||||||
2024 | 4.65 | 5.37 | -.72 | 1.54 | 1.53 | .01 | 6.19 | 6.90 | -.71 | 27,655 | ||||||||||
2025 | 4.70 | 5.45 | -.75 | 1.55 | 1.58 | -.02 | 6.25 | 7.02 | -.77 | 28,902 | ||||||||||
2026 | 4.74 | 5.52 | -.78 | 1.59 | 1.62 | -.03 | 6.34 | 7.15 | -.81 | 30,177 | ||||||||||
2027 | 4.76 | 5.59 | -.83 | 1.61 | 1.68 | -.07 | 6.37 | 7.27 | -.90 | 31,478 | ||||||||||
2028 | 4.78 | 5.66 | -.88 | 1.62 | 1.73 | -.11 | 6.40 | 7.39 | -.99 | 32,778 | ||||||||||
2029 | 4.80 | 5.73 | -.93 | 1.64 | 1.79 | -.15 | 6.43 | 7.52 | -1.08 | 34,125 | ||||||||||
2030 | 4.81 | 5.79 | -.98 | 1.65 | 1.83 | -.18 | 6.46 | 7.62 | -1.16 | 35,521 | ||||||||||
2031 | 4.82 | 5.84 | -1.02 | 1.67 | 1.88 | -.21 | 6.49 | 7.72 | -1.23 | 36,976 | ||||||||||
2032 | 4.82 | 5.88 | -1.06 | 1.68 | 1.93 | -.25 | 6.50 | 7.81 | -1.31 | 38,487 | ||||||||||
2033 | 4.82 | 5.92 | -1.10 | 1.69 | 1.99 | -.30 | 6.51 | 7.91 | -1.40 | 40,064 | ||||||||||
2034 | 4.81 | 5.95 | -1.13 | 1.69 | 2.02 | -.32 | 6.51 | 7.97 | -1.46 | 41,696 | ||||||||||
2035 | 4.81 | 5.97 | -1.16 | 1.70 | 2.04 | -.34 | 6.51 | 8.01 | -1.50 | 43,392 | ||||||||||
2036 | 4.80 | 5.99 | -1.19 | 1.70 | 2.06 | -.36 | 6.51 | 8.05 | -1.54 | 45,149 | ||||||||||
2037 | 4.80 | 6.01 | -1.21 | 1.71 | 2.08 | -.37 | 6.51 | 8.09 | -1.58 | 46,957 | ||||||||||
2038 | 4.79 | 6.02 | -1.23 | 1.71 | 2.09 | -.38 | 6.51 | 8.12 | -1.61 | 48,850 | ||||||||||
2039 | 4.79 | 6.03 | -1.24 | 1.72 | 2.11 | -.39 | 6.50 | 8.14 | -1.63 | 50,807 | ||||||||||
2040 | 4.78 | 6.03 | -1.25 | 1.72 | 2.12 | -.40 | 6.50 | 8.15 | -1.65 | 52,850 | ||||||||||
2041 | 4.77 | 6.03 | -1.26 | 1.72 | 2.13 | -.41 | 6.49 | 8.16 | -1.66 | 54,970 | ||||||||||
2042 | 4.76 | 6.02 | -1.26 | 1.73 | 2.14 | -.41 | 6.49 | 8.16 | -1.67 | 57,176 | ||||||||||
2043 | 4.76 | 6.02 | -1.26 | 1.73 | 2.14 | -.41 | 6.49 | 8.16 | -1.67 | 59,465 | ||||||||||
2044 | 4.75 | 6.01 | -1.26 | 1.73 | 2.14 | -.41 | 6.48 | 8.16 | -1.67 | 61,848 | ||||||||||
2045 | 4.74 | 6.01 | -1.27 | 1.74 | 2.15 | -.41 | 6.48 | 8.15 | -1.68 | 64,333 | ||||||||||
2046 | 4.74 | 6.01 | -1.27 | 1.74 | 2.15 | -.41 | 6.47 | 8.15 | -1.68 | 66,918 | ||||||||||
2047 | 4.73 | 6.00 | -1.28 | 1.74 | 2.15 | -.41 | 6.47 | 8.15 | -1.68 | 69,619 | ||||||||||
2048 | 4.72 | 6.00 | -1.28 | 1.75 | 2.14 | -.40 | 6.47 | 8.15 | -1.68 | 72,433 | ||||||||||
2049 | 4.72 | 6.00 | -1.29 | 1.75 | 2.14 | -.39 | 6.47 | 8.14 | -1.68 | 75,370 | ||||||||||
2050 | 4.71 | 6.01 | -1.30 | 1.75 | 2.14 | -.39 | 6.46 | 8.14 | -1.68 | 78,438 | ||||||||||
2051 | 4.70 | 6.01 | -1.30 | 1.76 | 2.13 | -.38 | 6.46 | 8.14 | -1.68 | 81,642 | ||||||||||
2052 | 4.70 | 6.01 | -1.32 | 1.76 | 2.13 | -.37 | 6.46 | 8.14 | -1.68 | 84,974 | ||||||||||
2053 | 4.69 | 6.02 | -1.33 | 1.76 | 2.12 | -.36 | 6.46 | 8.14 | -1.69 | 88,439 | ||||||||||
2054 | 4.69 | 6.03 | -1.35 | 1.77 | 2.12 | -.35 | 6.46 | 8.15 | -1.69 | 92,039 | ||||||||||
2055 | 4.68 | 6.05 | -1.37 | 1.77 | 2.11 | -.34 | 6.46 | 8.16 | -1.71 | 95,785 | ||||||||||
2056 | 4.68 | 6.07 | -1.39 | 1.78 | 2.11 | -.34 | 6.46 | 8.18 | -1.72 | 99,691 | ||||||||||
2057 | 4.67 | 6.08 | -1.41 | 1.78 | 2.11 | -.33 | 6.46 | 8.19 | -1.74 | 103,765 | ||||||||||
2058 | 4.67 | 6.10 | -1.43 | 1.79 | 2.11 | -.32 | 6.46 | 8.21 | -1.75 | 108,001 | ||||||||||
2059 | 4.67 | 6.12 | -1.46 | 1.79 | 2.10 | -.31 | 6.46 | 8.23 | -1.77 | 112,405 | ||||||||||
2060 | 4.66 | 6.14 | -1.48 | 1.80 | 2.10 | -.31 | 6.46 | 8.25 | -1.79 | 116,988 | ||||||||||
2061 | 4.66 | 6.16 | -1.50 | 1.80 | 2.10 | -.30 | 6.46 | 8.26 | -1.80 | 121,751 | ||||||||||
2062 | 4.66 | 6.18 | -1.52 | 1.80 | 2.10 | -.30 | 6.46 | 8.28 | -1.82 | 126,700 | ||||||||||
2063 | 4.65 | 6.19 | -1.54 | 1.81 | 2.10 | -.29 | 6.46 | 8.29 | -1.83 | 131,844 | ||||||||||
2064 | 4.65 | 6.21 | -1.56 | 1.81 | 2.10 | -.29 | 6.46 | 8.31 | -1.85 | 137,188 | ||||||||||
2065 | 4.64 | 6.22 | -1.58 | 1.82 | 2.10 | -.29 | 6.46 | 8.32 | -1.86 | 142,731 | ||||||||||
2066 | 4.64 | 6.23 | -1.59 | 1.82 | 2.11 | -.29 | 6.46 | 8.34 | -1.88 | 148,484 | ||||||||||
2067 | 4.64 | 6.25 | -1.61 | 1.83 | 2.11 | -.28 | 6.46 | 8.35 | -1.89 | 154,469 | ||||||||||
2068 | 4.63 | 6.26 | -1.62 | 1.83 | 2.11 | -.28 | 6.46 | 8.37 | -1.91 | 160,693 | ||||||||||
2069 | 4.63 | 6.27 | -1.64 | 1.83 | 2.11 | -.28 | 6.46 | 8.38 | -1.92 | 167,145 | ||||||||||
2070 | 4.63 | 6.28 | -1.66 | 1.84 | 2.11 | -.28 | 6.47 | 8.40 | -1.93 | 173,850 | ||||||||||
2071 | 4.62 | 6.30 | -1.67 | 1.84 | 2.11 | -.27 | 6.47 | 8.41 | -1.94 | 180,828 | ||||||||||
2072 | 4.62 | 6.31 | -1.69 | 1.85 | 2.12 | -.27 | 6.47 | 8.42 | -1.96 | 188,091 | ||||||||||
2073 | 4.62 | 6.32 | -1.70 | 1.85 | 2.12 | -.27 | 6.47 | 8.43 | -1.97 | 195,637 | ||||||||||
2074 | 4.61 | 6.33 | -1.71 | 1.85 | 2.12 | -.26 | 6.47 | 8.44 | -1.97 | 203,503 | ||||||||||
2075 | 4.61 | 6.33 | -1.72 | 1.86 | 2.12 | -.26 | 6.47 | 8.45 | -1.98 | 211,710 | ||||||||||
2076 | 4.61 | 6.33 | -1.73 | 1.86 | 2.11 | -.25 | 6.47 | 8.45 | -1.98 | 220,261 | ||||||||||
2077 | 4.60 | 6.33 | -1.73 | 1.86 | 2.11 | -.25 | 6.47 | 8.44 | -1.98 | 229,180 | ||||||||||
2078 | 4.60 | 6.33 | -1.73 | 1.87 | 2.11 | -.24 | 6.46 | 8.44 | -1.97 | 238,483 | ||||||||||
2079 | 4.59 | 6.32 | -1.72 | 1.87 | 2.10 | -.24 | 6.46 | 8.42 | -1.96 | 248,209 | ||||||||||
2080 | 4.59 | 6.30 | -1.71 | 1.87 | 2.10 | -.23 | 6.46 | 8.40 | -1.94 | 258,358 | ||||||||||
2081 | 4.59 | 6.29 | -1.70 | 1.87 | 2.09 | -.22 | 6.46 | 8.38 | -1.92 | 268,948 | ||||||||||
2082 | 4.58 | 6.27 | -1.69 | 1.87 | 2.09 | -.21 | 6.45 | 8.35 | -1.90 | 280,007 | ||||||||||
2083 | 4.58 | 6.25 | -1.67 | 1.87 | 2.08 | -.21 | 6.45 | 8.33 | -1.88 | 291,565 | ||||||||||
2084 | 4.57 | 6.22 | -1.65 | 1.87 | 2.07 | -.20 | 6.45 | 8.29 | -1.85 | 303,635 | ||||||||||
2085 | 4.57 | 6.20 | -1.63 | 1.88 | 2.07 | -.19 | 6.44 | 8.26 | -1.82 | 316,227 | ||||||||||
2086 | 4.56 | 6.17 | -1.61 | 1.88 | 2.06 | -.18 | 6.44 | 8.23 | -1.79 | 329,367 | ||||||||||
2087 | 4.56 | 6.14 | -1.58 | 1.88 | 2.05 | -.17 | 6.43 | 8.19 | -1.76 | 343,089 | ||||||||||
2088 | 4.55 | 6.11 | -1.56 | 1.88 | 2.04 | -.16 | 6.43 | 8.15 | -1.72 | 357,390 | ||||||||||
2089 | 4.55 | 6.08 | -1.54 | 1.88 | 2.03 | -.16 | 6.43 | 8.12 | -1.69 | 372,288 | ||||||||||
2090 | 4.54 | 6.06 | -1.52 | 1.88 | 2.03 | -.15 | 6.42 | 8.09 | -1.66 | 387,813 | ||||||||||
2091 | 4.54 | 6.04 | -1.50 | 1.88 | 2.02 | -.14 | 6.42 | 8.06 | -1.64 | 403,977 | ||||||||||
2092 | 4.53 | 6.02 | -1.49 | 1.88 | 2.01 | -.13 | 6.41 | 8.03 | -1.62 | 420,800 | ||||||||||
2093 | 4.53 | 6.00 | -1.48 | 1.88 | 2.00 | -.12 | 6.41 | 8.01 | -1.60 | 438,290 | ||||||||||
2094 | 4.53 | 5.99 | -1.47 | 1.88 | 1.99 | -.11 | 6.41 | 7.99 | -1.58 | 456,472 | ||||||||||
2095 | 4.52 | 5.99 | -1.46 | 1.88 | 1.99 | -.10 | 6.41 | 7.97 | -1.57 | 475,384 | ||||||||||
2096 | 4.52 | 5.98 | -1.46 | 1.89 | 1.98 | -.09 | 6.40 | 7.96 | -1.55 | 495,038 | ||||||||||
2097 | 4.52 | 5.98 | -1.46 | 1.89 | 1.97 | -.08 | 6.40 | 7.95 | -1.55 | 515,460 | ||||||||||
2098 | 4.51 | 5.98 | -1.47 | 1.89 | 1.96 | -.07 | 6.40 | 7.94 | -1.54 | 536,674 | ||||||||||
2099 | 4.51 | 5.99 | -1.48 | 1.89 | 1.95 | -.06 | 6.40 | 7.93 | -1.54 | 558,712 | ||||||||||
2100 | 4.51 | 5.99 | -1.48 | 1.89 | 1.94 | -.05 | 6.40 | 7.93 | -1.53 | 581,611 | ||||||||||
Low-cost: |
||||||||||||||||||||
2023 | 4.72 | 5.13 | -.40 | 1.52 | 1.47 | .05 | 6.24 | 6.59 | -.35 | 27,042 | ||||||||||
2024 | 4.63 | 5.13 | -.49 | 1.53 | 1.43 | .10 | 6.16 | 6.56 | -.39 | 28,782 | ||||||||||
2025 | 4.67 | 5.11 | -.44 | 1.54 | 1.44 | .10 | 6.21 | 6.55 | -.34 | 30,730 | ||||||||||
2026 | 4.73 | 5.12 | -.39 | 1.58 | 1.46 | .12 | 6.31 | 6.58 | -.27 | 32,533 | ||||||||||
2027 | 4.76 | 5.14 | -.38 | 1.59 | 1.47 | .12 | 6.35 | 6.61 | -.26 | 34,356 | ||||||||||
2028 | 4.79 | 5.15 | -.36 | 1.61 | 1.49 | .11 | 6.40 | 6.64 | -.24 | 36,241 | ||||||||||
2029 | 4.82 | 5.16 | -.34 | 1.62 | 1.51 | .11 | 6.44 | 6.67 | -.23 | 38,217 | ||||||||||
2030 | 4.84 | 5.17 | -.33 | 1.63 | 1.52 | .12 | 6.48 | 6.69 | -.21 | 40,290 | ||||||||||
2031 | 4.86 | 5.17 | -.31 | 1.65 | 1.52 | .12 | 6.51 | 6.69 | -.18 | 42,475 | ||||||||||
2032 | 4.88 | 5.17 | -.29 | 1.66 | 1.53 | .13 | 6.54 | 6.70 | -.16 | 44,755 | ||||||||||
2033 | 4.88 | 5.17 | -.29 | 1.67 | 1.55 | .12 | 6.55 | 6.72 | -.17 | 47,169 | ||||||||||
2034 | 4.87 | 5.16 | -.29 | 1.68 | 1.54 | .13 | 6.55 | 6.70 | -.16 | 49,711 | ||||||||||
2035 | 4.87 | 5.15 | -.29 | 1.68 | 1.53 | .15 | 6.55 | 6.68 | -.13 | 52,381 | ||||||||||
2036 | 4.86 | 5.14 | -.28 | 1.69 | 1.52 | .17 | 6.55 | 6.66 | -.11 | 55,186 | ||||||||||
2037 | 4.86 | 5.13 | -.28 | 1.69 | 1.50 | .20 | 6.55 | 6.63 | -.08 | 58,111 | ||||||||||
2038 | 4.85 | 5.12 | -.27 | 1.70 | 1.48 | .22 | 6.55 | 6.60 | -.05 | 61,209 | ||||||||||
2039 | 4.85 | 5.10 | -.26 | 1.71 | 1.46 | .25 | 6.55 | 6.57 | -.01 | 64,460 | ||||||||||
2040 | 4.84 | 5.09 | -.24 | 1.71 | 1.44 | .27 | 6.55 | 6.53 | .03 | 67,898 | ||||||||||
2041 | 4.84 | 5.07 | -.23 | 1.72 | 1.42 | .30 | 6.55 | 6.48 | .07 | 71,520 | ||||||||||
2042 | 4.83 | 5.04 | -.21 | 1.72 | 1.40 | .33 | 6.55 | 6.44 | .11 | 75,353 | ||||||||||
2043 | 4.83 | 5.02 | -.19 | 1.73 | 1.37 | .35 | 6.55 | 6.39 | .16 | 79,400 | ||||||||||
2044 | 4.82 | 4.99 | -.17 | 1.73 | 1.35 | .38 | 6.55 | 6.34 | .21 | 83,680 | ||||||||||
2045 | 4.81 | 4.97 | -.16 | 1.74 | 1.32 | .41 | 6.55 | 6.29 | .26 | 88,210 | ||||||||||
2046 | 4.81 | 4.95 | -.14 | 1.74 | 1.30 | .44 | 6.55 | 6.25 | .30 | 92,994 | ||||||||||
2047 | 4.81 | 4.93 | -.13 | 1.75 | 1.28 | .47 | 6.55 | 6.21 | .34 | 98,062 | ||||||||||
2048 | 4.80 | 4.92 | -.12 | 1.75 | 1.25 | .50 | 6.55 | 6.17 | .38 | 103,425 | ||||||||||
2049 | 4.80 | 4.90 | -.11 | 1.76 | 1.22 | .53 | 6.55 | 6.13 | .43 | 109,103 | ||||||||||
2050 | 4.79 | 4.89 | -.10 | 1.76 | 1.20 | .56 | 6.56 | 6.09 | .46 | 115,112 | ||||||||||
2051 | 4.79 | 4.88 | -.09 | 1.77 | 1.18 | .59 | 6.56 | 6.06 | .50 | 121,465 | ||||||||||
2052 | 4.79 | 4.87 | -.08 | 1.77 | 1.16 | .62 | 6.56 | 6.03 | .53 | 128,168 | ||||||||||
2053 | 4.79 | 4.87 | -.08 | 1.78 | 1.14 | .64 | 6.56 | 6.00 | .56 | 135,239 | ||||||||||
2054 | 4.78 | 4.87 | -.08 | 1.78 | 1.12 | .67 | 6.57 | 5.99 | .58 | 142,689 | ||||||||||
2055 | 4.78 | 4.87 | -.09 | 1.79 | 1.10 | .69 | 6.57 | 5.97 | .60 | 150,549 | ||||||||||
2056 | 4.78 | 4.88 | -.10 | 1.80 | 1.09 | .71 | 6.58 | 5.96 | .61 | 158,846 | ||||||||||
2057 | 4.78 | 4.88 | -.10 | 1.80 | 1.07 | .73 | 6.58 | 5.96 | .62 | 167,606 | ||||||||||
2058 | 4.78 | 4.89 | -.11 | 1.81 | 1.06 | .75 | 6.59 | 5.95 | .64 | 176,834 | ||||||||||
2059 | 4.78 | 4.90 | -.12 | 1.81 | 1.05 | .77 | 6.59 | 5.95 | .64 | 186,554 | ||||||||||
2060 | 4.78 | 4.91 | -.13 | 1.82 | 1.04 | .78 | 6.60 | 5.95 | .65 | 196,798 | ||||||||||
2061 | 4.78 | 4.92 | -.14 | 1.83 | 1.03 | .80 | 6.60 | 5.94 | .66 | 207,592 | ||||||||||
2062 | 4.78 | 4.92 | -.14 | 1.83 | 1.02 | .81 | 6.61 | 5.94 | .67 | 218,949 | ||||||||||
2063 | 4.78 | 4.92 | -.15 | 1.84 | 1.01 | .82 | 6.61 | 5.94 | .68 | 230,916 | ||||||||||
2064 | 4.78 | 4.93 | -.15 | 1.84 | 1.01 | .84 | 6.62 | 5.93 | .68 | 243,525 | ||||||||||
2065 | 4.78 | 4.93 | -.15 | 1.85 | 1.00 | .84 | 6.62 | 5.93 | .69 | 256,786 | ||||||||||
2066 | 4.77 | 4.93 | -.15 | 1.85 | 1.00 | .85 | 6.63 | 5.93 | .70 | 270,743 | ||||||||||
2067 | 4.77 | 4.93 | -.15 | 1.86 | 1.00 | .86 | 6.63 | 5.93 | .70 | 285,465 | ||||||||||
2068 | 4.77 | 4.93 | -.15 | 1.86 | 1.00 | .87 | 6.64 | 5.93 | .71 | 300,978 | ||||||||||
2069 | 4.77 | 4.93 | -.15 | 1.87 | 1.00 | .87 | 6.64 | 5.93 | .72 | 317,294 | ||||||||||
2070 | 4.78 | 4.93 | -.15 | 1.87 | 1.00 | .88 | 6.65 | 5.93 | .72 | 334,496 | ||||||||||
2071 | 4.78 | 4.93 | -.15 | 1.88 | 1.00 | .88 | 6.65 | 5.92 | .73 | 352,665 | ||||||||||
2072 | 4.78 | 4.93 | -.15 | 1.88 | 1.00 | .88 | 6.66 | 5.92 | .74 | 371,838 | ||||||||||
2073 | 4.78 | 4.92 | -.15 | 1.89 | 1.00 | .89 | 6.66 | 5.92 | .74 | 392,068 | ||||||||||
2074 | 4.78 | 4.92 | -.14 | 1.89 | 1.00 | .89 | 6.67 | 5.92 | .75 | 413,456 | ||||||||||
2075 | 4.78 | 4.91 | -.13 | 1.90 | 1.00 | .89 | 6.67 | 5.91 | .76 | 436,091 | ||||||||||
2076 | 4.78 | 4.90 | -.12 | 1.90 | 1.00 | .90 | 6.68 | 5.90 | .78 | 460,021 | ||||||||||
2077 | 4.78 | 4.89 | -.11 | 1.90 | 1.00 | .90 | 6.68 | 5.89 | .79 | 485,309 | ||||||||||
2078 | 4.78 | 4.87 | -.09 | 1.91 | 1.00 | .91 | 6.69 | 5.87 | .81 | 512,094 | ||||||||||
2079 | 4.78 | 4.85 | -.07 | 1.91 | 1.00 | .91 | 6.69 | 5.85 | .84 | 540,487 | ||||||||||
2080 | 4.78 | 4.82 | -.05 | 1.91 | 1.00 | .91 | 6.69 | 5.82 | .87 | 570,560 | ||||||||||
2081 | 4.78 | 4.80 | -.02 | 1.92 | 1.00 | .92 | 6.69 | 5.79 | .90 | 602,378 | ||||||||||
2082 | 4.78 | 4.77 | .01 | 1.92 | 1.00 | .92 | 6.70 | 5.76 | .93 | 636,074 | ||||||||||
2083 | 4.78 | 4.74 | .04 | 1.92 | .99 | .93 | 6.70 | 5.73 | .97 | 671,774 | ||||||||||
2084 | 4.78 | 4.70 | .07 | 1.92 | .99 | .93 | 6.70 | 5.70 | 1.00 | 709,539 | ||||||||||
2085 | 4.78 | 4.67 | .10 | 1.93 | .99 | .94 | 6.70 | 5.66 | 1.04 | 749,476 | ||||||||||
2086 | 4.78 | 4.64 | .14 | 1.93 | .99 | .94 | 6.70 | 5.63 | 1.08 | 791,710 | ||||||||||
2087 | 4.78 | 4.61 | .17 | 1.93 | .98 | .95 | 6.71 | 5.59 | 1.11 | 836,347 | ||||||||||
2088 | 4.78 | 4.58 | .20 | 1.93 | .98 | .95 | 6.71 | 5.56 | 1.15 | 883,435 | ||||||||||
2089 | 4.78 | 4.55 | .23 | 1.93 | .98 | .96 | 6.71 | 5.53 | 1.18 | 933,127 | ||||||||||
2090 | 4.78 | 4.53 | .25 | 1.94 | .98 | .96 | 6.71 | 5.51 | 1.21 | 985,569 | ||||||||||
2091 | 4.78 | 4.51 | .27 | 1.94 | .97 | .97 | 6.72 | 5.49 | 1.23 | 1,040,839 | ||||||||||
2092 | 4.78 | 4.50 | .28 | 1.94 | .97 | .97 | 6.72 | 5.47 | 1.25 | 1,099,058 | ||||||||||
2093 | 4.78 | 4.50 | .28 | 1.95 | .97 | .98 | 6.73 | 5.46 | 1.26 | 1,160,335 | ||||||||||
2094 | 4.78 | 4.50 | .29 | 1.95 | .96 | .99 | 6.73 | 5.46 | 1.27 | 1,224,859 | ||||||||||
2095 | 4.78 | 4.50 | .28 | 1.95 | .96 | .99 | 6.74 | 5.46 | 1.28 | 1,292,776 | ||||||||||
2096 | 4.79 | 4.51 | .28 | 1.96 | .96 | 1.00 | 6.75 | 5.47 | 1.28 | 1,364,278 | ||||||||||
2097 | 4.79 | 4.52 | .27 | 1.96 | .95 | 1.01 | 6.75 | 5.47 | 1.28 | 1,439,550 | ||||||||||
2098 | 4.79 | 4.53 | .26 | 1.97 | .94 | 1.03 | 6.76 | 5.47 | 1.29 | 1,518,811 | ||||||||||
2099 | 4.79 | 4.55 | .25 | 1.97 | .92 | 1.05 | 6.77 | 5.47 | 1.30 | 1,602,260 | ||||||||||
2100 | 4.80 | 4.56 | .23 | 1.98 | .91 | 1.07 | 6.77 | 5.47 | 1.31 | 1,690,135 | ||||||||||
High-cost: |
||||||||||||||||||||
2023 | 4.83 | 5.37 | -.54 | 1.53 | 1.58 | -.05 | 6.36 | 6.95 | -.59 | 25,892 | ||||||||||
2024 | 4.61 | 5.62 | -1.01 | 1.54 | 1.64 | -.10 | 6.15 | 7.26 | -1.10 | 26,696 | ||||||||||
2025 | 4.68 | 5.77 | -1.09 | 1.56 | 1.72 | -.16 | 6.24 | 7.48 | -1.24 | 27,746 | ||||||||||
2026 | 4.73 | 5.87 | -1.14 | 1.60 | 1.80 | -.20 | 6.33 | 7.67 | -1.34 | 28,771 | ||||||||||
2027 | 4.74 | 5.97 | -1.23 | 1.62 | 1.89 | -.27 | 6.36 | 7.87 | -1.51 | 29,762 | ||||||||||
2028 | 4.76 | 6.11 | -1.35 | 1.64 | 1.99 | -.35 | 6.40 | 8.10 | -1.70 | 30,614 | ||||||||||
2029 | 4.77 | 6.24 | -1.47 | 1.66 | 2.10 | -.44 | 6.43 | 8.33 | -1.91 | 31,452 | ||||||||||
2030 | 4.78 | 6.36 | -1.59 | 1.67 | 2.19 | -.51 | 6.45 | 8.55 | -2.10 | 32,320 | ||||||||||
2031 | 4.78 | 6.47 | -1.70 | 1.69 | 2.28 | -.59 | 6.47 | 8.75 | -2.29 | 33,222 | ||||||||||
2032 | 4.77 | 6.58 | -1.81 | 1.71 | 2.38 | -.67 | 6.48 | 8.96 | -2.48 | 34,138 | ||||||||||
2033 | 4.77 | 6.67 | -1.90 | 1.71 | 2.50 | -.78 | 6.48 | 9.17 | -2.69 | 35,088 | ||||||||||
2034 | 4.76 | 6.75 | -1.99 | 1.72 | 2.58 | -.86 | 6.48 | 9.33 | -2.85 | 36,067 | ||||||||||
2035 | 4.76 | 6.82 | -2.07 | 1.73 | 2.66 | -.93 | 6.48 | 9.48 | -3.00 | 37,070 | ||||||||||
2036 | 4.75 | 6.89 | -2.14 | 1.73 | 2.73 | -1.00 | 6.48 | 9.62 | -3.14 | 38,098 | ||||||||||
2037 | 4.75 | 6.95 | -2.21 | 1.74 | 2.81 | -1.07 | 6.48 | 9.76 | -3.28 | 39,137 | ||||||||||
2038 | 4.74 | 7.01 | -2.27 | 1.74 | 2.88 | -1.14 | 6.48 | 9.89 | -3.41 | 40,212 | ||||||||||
2039 | 4.73 | 7.05 | -2.32 | 1.74 | 2.95 | -1.21 | 6.48 | 10.01 | -3.53 | 41,303 | ||||||||||
2040 | 4.73 | 7.10 | -2.37 | 1.75 | 3.02 | -1.27 | 6.47 | 10.12 | -3.64 | 42,423 | ||||||||||
2041 | 4.72 | 7.13 | -2.42 | 1.75 | 3.09 | -1.34 | 6.47 | 10.22 | -3.75 | 43,561 | ||||||||||
2042 | 4.71 | 7.17 | -2.46 | 1.75 | 3.16 | -1.40 | 6.46 | 10.32 | -3.86 | 44,719 | ||||||||||
2043 | 4.70 | 7.20 | -2.50 | 1.76 | 3.22 | -1.47 | 6.46 | 10.43 | -3.97 | 45,890 | ||||||||||
2044 | 4.70 | 7.24 | -2.55 | 1.76 | 3.29 | -1.53 | 6.46 | 10.53 | -4.08 | 47,082 | ||||||||||
2045 | 4.69 | 7.28 | -2.59 | 1.76 | 3.36 | -1.59 | 6.45 | 10.64 | -4.19 | 48,300 | ||||||||||
2046 | 4.68 | 7.32 | -2.64 | 1.76 | 3.43 | -1.66 | 6.45 | 10.75 | -4.30 | 49,543 | ||||||||||
2047 | 4.68 | 7.36 | -2.68 | 1.77 | 3.50 | -1.73 | 6.44 | 10.86 | -4.42 | 50,817 | ||||||||||
2048 | 4.67 | 7.40 | -2.73 | 1.77 | 3.56 | -1.79 | 6.44 | 10.96 | -4.52 | 52,119 | ||||||||||
2049 | 4.66 | 7.44 | -2.78 | 1.77 | 3.62 | -1.85 | 6.43 | 11.06 | -4.62 | 53,454 | ||||||||||
2050 | 4.66 | 7.48 | -2.82 | 1.78 | 3.68 | -1.90 | 6.43 | 11.15 | -4.72 | 54,825 | ||||||||||
2051 | 4.65 | 7.52 | -2.87 | 1.78 | 3.73 | -1.95 | 6.43 | 11.25 | -4.82 | 56,234 | ||||||||||
2052 | 4.64 | 7.56 | -2.92 | 1.78 | 3.78 | -2.00 | 6.42 | 11.34 | -4.92 | 57,672 | ||||||||||
2053 | 4.64 | 7.60 | -2.97 | 1.78 | 3.83 | -2.04 | 6.42 | 11.43 | -5.01 | 59,144 | ||||||||||
2054 | 4.63 | 7.65 | -3.02 | 1.79 | 3.87 | -2.09 | 6.42 | 11.52 | -5.10 | 60,648 | ||||||||||
2055 | 4.62 | 7.69 | -3.07 | 1.79 | 3.92 | -2.13 | 6.41 | 11.62 | -5.20 | 62,192 | ||||||||||
2056 | 4.62 | 7.74 | -3.13 | 1.80 | 3.97 | -2.17 | 6.41 | 11.71 | -5.30 | 63,777 | ||||||||||
2057 | 4.61 | 7.79 | -3.18 | 1.80 | 4.01 | -2.21 | 6.41 | 11.80 | -5.39 | 65,410 | ||||||||||
2058 | 4.61 | 7.84 | -3.24 | 1.80 | 4.05 | -2.25 | 6.41 | 11.89 | -5.48 | 67,082 | ||||||||||
2059 | 4.60 | 7.89 | -3.29 | 1.81 | 4.08 | -2.28 | 6.41 | 11.98 | -5.57 | 68,793 | ||||||||||
2060 | 4.60 | 7.94 | -3.35 | 1.81 | 4.12 | -2.31 | 6.41 | 12.06 | -5.65 | 70,544 | ||||||||||
2061 | 4.59 | 7.99 | -3.40 | 1.81 | 4.15 | -2.34 | 6.40 | 12.14 | -5.73 | 72,335 | ||||||||||
2062 | 4.58 | 8.03 | -3.45 | 1.82 | 4.18 | -2.36 | 6.40 | 12.21 | -5.81 | 74,166 | ||||||||||
2063 | 4.58 | 8.08 | -3.50 | 1.82 | 4.21 | -2.39 | 6.40 | 12.29 | -5.89 | 76,041 | ||||||||||
2064 | 4.57 | 8.12 | -3.55 | 1.82 | 4.24 | -2.41 | 6.40 | 12.36 | -5.96 | 77,956 | ||||||||||
2065 | 4.57 | 8.16 | -3.59 | 1.83 | 4.26 | -2.44 | 6.40 | 12.43 | -6.03 | 79,912 | ||||||||||
2066 | 4.56 | 8.20 | -3.64 | 1.83 | 4.29 | -2.45 | 6.39 | 12.49 | -6.10 | 81,904 | ||||||||||
2067 | 4.56 | 8.24 | -3.69 | 1.83 | 4.30 | -2.47 | 6.39 | 12.55 | -6.16 | 83,940 | ||||||||||
2068 | 4.55 | 8.29 | -3.74 | 1.84 | 4.31 | -2.48 | 6.39 | 12.60 | -6.21 | 86,023 | ||||||||||
2069 | 4.55 | 8.33 | -3.79 | 1.84 | 4.33 | -2.48 | 6.39 | 12.66 | -6.27 | 88,142 | ||||||||||
2070 | 4.54 | 8.38 | -3.84 | 1.84 | 4.33 | -2.49 | 6.38 | 12.71 | -6.33 | 90,302 | ||||||||||
2071 | 4.53 | 8.42 | -3.89 | 1.85 | 4.33 | -2.49 | 6.38 | 12.75 | -6.37 | 92,509 | ||||||||||
2072 | 4.53 | 8.46 | -3.93 | 1.85 | 4.33 | -2.48 | 6.38 | 12.79 | -6.41 | 94,768 | ||||||||||
2073 | 4.52 | 8.50 | -3.98 | 1.85 | 4.33 | -2.47 | 6.38 | 12.83 | -6.45 | 97,071 | ||||||||||
2074 | 4.52 | 8.55 | -4.03 | 1.86 | 4.32 | -2.47 | 6.38 | 12.87 | -6.49 | 99,426 | ||||||||||
2075 | 4.51 | 8.59 | -4.07 | 1.86 | 4.32 | -2.46 | 6.37 | 12.90 | -6.53 | 101,834 | ||||||||||
2076 | 4.51 | 8.62 | -4.11 | 1.86 | 4.31 | -2.45 | 6.37 | 12.93 | -6.56 | 104,301 | ||||||||||
2077 | 4.50 | 8.65 | -4.15 | 1.87 | 4.30 | -2.43 | 6.37 | 12.95 | -6.58 | 106,822 | ||||||||||
2078 | 4.50 | 8.68 | -4.18 | 1.87 | 4.29 | -2.42 | 6.36 | 12.97 | -6.60 | 109,403 | ||||||||||
2079 | 4.49 | 8.70 | -4.21 | 1.87 | 4.28 | -2.41 | 6.36 | 12.98 | -6.62 | 112,050 | ||||||||||
2080 | 4.48 | 8.72 | -4.24 | 1.87 | 4.26 | -2.39 | 6.35 | 12.98 | -6.63 | 114,766 | ||||||||||
2081 | 4.48 | 8.74 | -4.26 | 1.87 | 4.24 | -2.37 | 6.35 | 12.98 | -6.63 | 117,552 | ||||||||||
2082 | 4.47 | 8.75 | -4.28 | 1.87 | 4.23 | -2.35 | 6.34 | 12.97 | -6.63 | 120,414 | ||||||||||
2083 | 4.46 | 8.75 | -4.29 | 1.88 | 4.21 | -2.33 | 6.34 | 12.96 | -6.62 | 123,358 | ||||||||||
2084 | 4.45 | 8.76 | -4.30 | 1.88 | 4.19 | -2.31 | 6.33 | 12.94 | -6.61 | 126,389 | ||||||||||
2085 | 4.45 | 8.75 | -4.31 | 1.88 | 4.17 | -2.29 | 6.32 | 12.92 | -6.60 | 129,504 | ||||||||||
2086 | 4.44 | 8.75 | -4.31 | 1.88 | 4.15 | -2.27 | 6.32 | 12.89 | -6.58 | 132,704 | ||||||||||
2087 | 4.43 | 8.74 | -4.31 | 1.88 | 4.13 | -2.25 | 6.31 | 12.86 | -6.56 | 135,997 | ||||||||||
2088 | 4.42 | 8.72 | -4.30 | 1.88 | 4.11 | -2.23 | 6.30 | 12.83 | -6.53 | 139,389 | ||||||||||
2089 | 4.41 | 8.70 | -4.29 | 1.88 | 4.09 | -2.21 | 6.29 | 12.79 | -6.50 | 142,871 | ||||||||||
2090 | 4.40 | 8.68 | -4.28 | 1.88 | 4.07 | -2.19 | 6.28 | 12.75 | -6.47 | 146,448 | ||||||||||
2091 | 4.40 | 8.66 | -4.27 | 1.87 | 4.04 | -2.17 | 6.27 | 12.71 | -6.44 | 150,119 | ||||||||||
2092 | 4.39 | 8.64 | -4.25 | 1.87 | 4.02 | -2.15 | 6.26 | 12.66 | -6.40 | 153,892 | ||||||||||
2093 | 4.38 | 8.62 | -4.24 | 1.87 | 4.00 | -2.13 | 6.25 | 12.62 | -6.37 | 157,761 | ||||||||||
2094 | 4.37 | 8.60 | -4.23 | 1.87 | 3.98 | -2.11 | 6.24 | 12.58 | -6.34 | 161,729 | ||||||||||
2095 | 4.36 | 8.58 | -4.22 | 1.87 | 3.96 | -2.09 | 6.23 | 12.54 | -6.31 | 165,801 | ||||||||||
2096 | 4.35 | 8.56 | -4.21 | 1.87 | 3.94 | -2.07 | 6.22 | 12.49 | -6.27 | 169,982 | ||||||||||
2097 | 4.34 | 8.54 | -4.20 | 1.87 | 3.91 | -2.05 | 6.21 | 12.45 | -6.24 | 174,263 | ||||||||||
2098 | 4.34 | 8.52 | -4.19 | 1.87 | 3.96 | -2.09 | 6.20 | 12.48 | -6.28 | 178,651 | ||||||||||
2099 | 4.33 | 8.51 | -4.18 | 1.87 | 4.00 | -2.13 | 6.19 | 12.51 | -6.31 | 183,142 | ||||||||||
2100 | 4.32 | 8.50 | -4.18 | 1.87 | 4.04 | -2.18 | 6.19 | 12.54 | -6.36 | 187,740 |
a
Income for individual years excludes interest on the trust
funds. b OASDI benefit payments which were scheduled to be paid on January 3 for some past and future years were actually paid on December 31 as required by the statutory provision for early delivery of benefit payments when the normal payment delivery date is a Saturday, Sunday, or legal public holiday. For comparability with the values for historical years and the projections in this report, all trust fund operations and asset reserves reflect the 12 months of benefits scheduled for payment each year. c Between -0.005 and 0 percent of GDP. Notes: 1. The Trustees show income and cost estimates generally on a cash basis for the OASDI program and on an incurred basis for the HI program. 2. Components may not sum to totals because of rounding. |