Research Notes & Special Studies by the Historian's Office

Research Note #19:
Social Security Benefits as a Percentage of Total Federal Budget Expenditures

Presently, the Social Security program is the largest single item in the annual federal government budget. As a percentage of total federal expenditures, in 2002 Social Security benefits were approximately 22.6% of federal expenditures. As a percentage of federal outlays, Social Security benefits have ranged from a low of 0.22% (during World War II) to a high of 23.2% in 2001.

There are several other points of interest in the data. The 1950 Amendments, for example, which significantly increased the value of Social Security benefits, produced the largest year-to-year jump in the percentage (almost doubling from 1950 to 1951). The expansions of coverage in the 1954 and 1956 Amendments (and the addition of disability benefits in 1956) can be seen in its impact on expenditures. The Amendments of 1972, which were the last major expansionary amendments, also produced a detectable rise in the percentage of the federal budget going to Social Security. (The 1977 Amendments scaled-back the level of Social Security benefits--an effect which is not readily discernable in the Table since this was primarily a reduction in future levels from what they would otherwise have been.)

As an interesting point of comparison, even the peak year of 2001 in which expenditures for Social Security topped 23% of the federal budget, this was far from the most the federal government has ever committed to social welfare spending. Following the Civil War, the federal government funded pensions for Union veterans and their survivors and dependents. In the peak year of 1894, the government spent 37% of its annual budget on these Civil War pensions.

 

Social Security Benefits as a Percentage of Total Federal Budget Outlays 1940-2002 [1]

 

Year

Social Security
Benefit Payments

Total Federal Budget
Outlays

Social Security as a
Percentage of
Total Outlays

1940 [2]

28
9,468
.29

1941

91
13,653
.66

1942

137
35,137
.38

1943

177
78,555
.22

1944

217
91,304
.23

1945

267
92,712
.28

1946

358
55,232
.64

1947

466
34,496
1.35

1948

558
29,764
1.87

1949

657
38,835
1.69

1950

781
42,562
1.83

1951

1,565
45,514
3.43

1952

2,063
67,686
3.04

1953

2,717
76,101
3.57

1954

3,352
70,855
4.73

1955

4,427
68,444
6.46

1956

5,478
70,640
7.75

1957

6,661
76,578
8.69

1958

8,219
82,405
9.97

1959

9,737
92,098
10.57

1960

11,602
92,191
12.58

1961

12,474
97,723
12.76

1962

14,365
106,821
13.44

1963

15,788
111,316
14.18

1964

16,620
118,528
14.02

1965

17,460
118,228
14.76

1966

20,694
134,532
15.38

1967

21,725
157,464
13.79

1968

23,854
178,134
13.39

1969

27,298
183,640
14.86

1970

30,270
195,649
15.47

1971

35,872
210,172
17.06

1972

40,157
230,681
17.40

1973

49,090
245,707
19.97

1974

55,867
269,359
20.74

1975

64,658
332,332
19.45

1976

73,899
371,792
19.87
TQ [3]
19,763
95,975
20.59

1977

85,061
409,218
20.78

1978

93,861
458,746
20.46

1979

104,073
504,028
20.64

1980

118,547
590,941
20.06

1981

139,584
678,241
20.58

1982

155,964
745,743
20.91

1983

170,724
808,364
21.11

1984

178,223
851,853
20.92

1985

188,623
946,396
19.93

1986

198,757
990,430
20.06

1987

207,353
1,004,082
20.65

1988

219,341
1,064,455
20.60

1989

232,542
1,143,646
20.33

1990

248,623
1,253,165
19.83

1991

269,015
1,324,369
20.31

1992

287,585
1,381,655
20.81

1993

304,585
1,409,489
21.60

1994

319,565
1,461,877
21.85

1995

335,846
1,515,802
22.15

1996

349,671
1,560,535
22.40

1997

365,251
1,601,250
22.81

1998

379,215
1,652,585
22.94

1999

390,037
1,701,891
22.91

2000

409,423
1,788,773
22.88

2001

432,958
1,863,895
23.22

2002

456,413
2,010,975

22.69

Footnotes:

[1] Source: Budget of the U.S. Government, Fiscal Year 2004, Historical Tables. U.S. Government Printing Office, 2003. All figures are from Table 3.1- Outlays By Superfunction and Function: 1940-2008, pgs. 44-51. Figures do not include expenditures for Medicare.

[2] Social Security tax collections and benefit payments actually started in 1937. From 1937 through 1939 there were no monthly Social Security benefits paid, but there were relatively small one-time lump-sum payouts. The dollar amounts of Social Security payments were so small during these years that in all three years the percentage would be lower than the lowest value shown in this table.

[3] In 1976 the federal government changed the period of its fiscal year. To accommodate the shift in time frames the Bureau of the Budget created a fictional Transition Quarter in which expenditures were assigned to neither 1976 or 1977 but to this imaginary quarter. This is therefore how this period is depicted in federal budget documents and to maintain consistency with the standard presentation we have followed this practice. Since we are looking at percentages, the diminuative size of this one measuring period does not matter for purposes of our analysis.

Larry DeWitt
SSA Historian's Office
June 2003