Committee on Economic Security (CES)
Volume VI. Social Insurance
B. Financial Aspects
THE FINANCING OF THE ECONOMIC SECURITY PROGRAM
by
Joseph P. Harris
The economic program includes the following activities, each of which
requires financing:
1. unemployment compensation
2. old-age benefits
3. federal aid to state plans providing:
a. old-age assistance,
b. aid to dependent children,
c. blind pensions,
d. child welfare and health services,
e. public medical care services.
Unemployment compensation and old-age benefits will be financed by payroll taxes levied upon employers and employees, and hence will not required financing through ordinary taxes. The other parts of the program will require public support through general taxation. This section of the report deals with the broad financing implications of the program.
Unemployment Compensation and Old-Age Benefits.
The two forms of social insurance provided by the Social Security Act--unemployment compensation and old-age benefits--will be covered first, followed by a consideration of the various forms of federal aid to the states for welfare purposes. The financing of these federal aids to the states will require the raising of revenues through general taxation, while the unemployment compensation and the federal old-age benefit plans are each self-supporting, requiring no governmental contribution out of general tax receipts. Both of these social insurance plans involve large sums of money annually, and both raise the necessary revenues through payroll taxes. The Federal payroll tax designed to support State unemployment compensation plans (by the tax crediting device) is levied wholly upon employers, while the tax designed to raise the revenue for old-age benefits is levied upon employer and employee in equal amounts. State plans for unemployment compensation, however, may require employee contributions. Of the six States which have enacted unemployment compensation laws to date, three States--New Hampshire, Washington, and California--have required employee contribution, while New York, Wisconsin, and Utah have not.
The rate of contributions. Both forms of social insurance start in with a low rate of contribution but increase the rate at intervals thereafter until the maximum rates obtain. The unemployment compensation payroll tax levied upon employers starts at 1 percent in 1936, and increases to 2 percent in 1937, and 3 percent in 1938 and thereafter. The old-age benefit tax measured by the payroll (bunt not counting more than $3,000 annually for any employee) starts at 1 percent each upon employer and employee in 1937, and increased by .5 percent at 3-year intervals thereafter until it reaches the maximum rate of 3 percent in 1949.
These two forms of social insurance involved by far the largest expenditures provided by the Social Security Act. It has been estimated that the tax receipts for unemployment compensation will total between $800,000,000 and $1,000,000,000 annually within a few years when the maximum rates become effective, while the total tax receipts for old-age benefits paid by employee and employer is estimated at $1,700,000,000 for the year 1949, when the maximum rates become effective. The Federal old-age benefits payments, though small for a number of years, are estimated at $3,500,000,000 for the year 1980. These large sums dwarf by comparison the Federal aids to the States for old-age assistance, aid to dependent children, and the other activities covered in th Social Security Act. They are designed to cope with two of the greatest causes of insecurity--unemployment and old age.
Estimated receipts from the unemployment compensation tax. The receipts from the payroll tax designed to support unemployment compensation plans, including payments made to State unemployment compensation plans, have been estimated as shown in Table I.
Benefits payable. These taxes will be utilized to pay unemployment compensation and the cost of administration (estimated at about 10 percent). Table II shows the estimated wage losses and benefits which might have been paid if such a system had been in operation between 1922 and 1933.
It is extremely significant that less that one-sixth of the total loss would have been compensated by a 3 percent tax upon payrolls. A 3 percent tax would, therefore, appear to be wholly inadequate to meet the problem, but it must be borne in mind that unemployment compensation is restricted to the most serious unemployment by several customary limitations. Benefits are usually limited to about 50 percent, and are payable only after the employee has undergone a waiting period of from 1 to 4 weeks. Benefits are paid for only a stipulated maximum period. The employee is not compensated for most partial unemployment. Under these restrictions, the payment of as low as one-sixth of the total wage loss will provide considerable security for the worker, serving in normal times to tide him over between employment's so that he is not forced to apply for public charity. In view of the large wage loss covered by this type of social insurance, it can hardly be contended that less should be provided in benefits. The more valid criticism is just the opposite--that the benefits are inadequate.
Estimated receipts from taxes to support old-age benefits. The revenue estimates of the combined taxes upon employers and employees for the support of Federal old-age benefits is given in Table III.
It will be noted that the taxes increase at 3-year intervals during the first 12 years of operation, reaching a maximum rate in 1949. This will enable industry to adjust itself to the half of the total tax borne by the employer.
The estimates of future reserves in the old-age account. The tax receipts during the early years will greatly exceed the benefit payments. The Social Security Act requires an annual appropriation to the old-age reserve account (from which benefits will be paid) of an amount sufficient to meet the actuarial requirements of the sytem. It is anticipated that in fact an annual appropriation equal to the receipts from the taxes upon employers and employees will be made, and a large reserve will be accumulated, which by its interest earning will bear a large part of the cost of future benefit payments. This is indicated in Table IV.
The adoption of payroll taxes. Payroll taxes are the accepted method through out the world for financing these forms of social insurance, though most countries provide also some governmental contribution out of general tax receipts. The policy of making these social insurance plans self-supporting was adopted after long consideration. This was believed desirable in order to remove any 8impl.ication of charity which would result from public support through taxes. At the same time, it was recognized that unemployment compensation would never cover all unemployment, and would have to be supplemented by some form of public works or relief, particularly during periods of severe unemployment. Similarly it was foreseen that many aged persons would not be covered by the system of Federal old-age benefits, and those who became dependent would have to be supported by Federal-State old-age assistance.
The policy of separating social insurance from public charity was adopted with the recognition of the fact that large public expenditures would have to be made to supplement these forms of social insurance.
Payroll contributions are particularly appropriate as a means of revenue
to pay unemployment compensation and old-age benefits, in which the amount
of benefits is determined with reference to the wage rates. In each case
the contribution may be properly considered as a legitimate cost of production.
Old-age insurance provides for the spreading of the wages over the remaining
lifetime of the worker, instead of concentrating them upon the span of
employed years.
Unemployment compensation is closely analogue to workmen's compensation,
for which the contributions are based upon the payroll.
Effects of payroll taxes upon industry. The actual effects of the xxx payroll taxes upon employers, starting at 1 percent in 1936 and increasing 6 percent in 1949, are not subject to any accurate prediction. This extra labor cost may be (1) borne by the employer, or (2) passed on to the consumer xxx increased prices, or (3) shifted to the employee through a lowering of wage xxx. What will actually happen in any particular case will depend upon xxx circumstances. Employers will obviously desire to pass this charge on xxx the consumer, but failing this, owing to a competitive market, price structure, or other reasons, employers would have to absorb the charge of pass it back to the employee. Doubtless the cost will be borne in part by employee, employer, and consumer, but it is impossible to predict in what proportions. Since the tax is applied uniformly throughout the country to all industries alike (excepting agriculture and domestic service, religious and charitable institutions, etc.), it will tend to be passed onto the consumer in the form of higher prices. The gradual increase in the rates over a period of 13 years will facilitate this.
Effect of payroll taxes upon prices. The effect of a payroll tax upon prices is often exaggerated. According to the latest available U.S. Census of Manufacturers, labor costs amounted to only 21 percent, on the average, of the value of the product. This means that a 1 percent payroll tax would add only .21 percent to the price of the product, assuming the entire tax is passed on. A 3 percent tax would add .63 percent to the price of the product, and a 6 percent tax 1.26 percent. The payroll tax, however, is cumulative, and applies not only to manufacturing, but also to other phases of production and consumption. In order to appraise the effect of a payroll tax upon prices, it is necessary to consider the total cumulated labor cost in products and services affected by the tax. It is usually estimated that the cumulated labor cost of goods or services averages somewhat less than two-thirds of the final price. This would indicate that a 1 percent payroll tax would result in an increase in prices of about .67 percent, but when we consider that the payroll taxes for unemployment compensation and old-age insurance apply to only about one-half of the gainfully occupied workers, it is apparent that a payroll tax of 1 percent will result in an increase of prices by about .33 percent. This is probably a low figure, owing to the fact that the average wages of the covered employees may be assumed to exceed that of exempted employees.
Table III. Revenue Estimates (from Taxes on Employees and Employers Imposed by Title VIII, Section 801 and 804) {1} | |||||
Combined Rate of Tax |
Fiscal Year Received Into Treasury | Estimated Fiscal Year Receipts | Combined Rate of Tax | Fiscal Year Received Into Treasury | Estimated Fiscal Year Receipts |
2 percent | 1937 | $278,8000,000 | 4 percent | 1944 | $1,185,900,000 |
2 percent | 1938 | 560,200,000 | 4 percent | 1945 | 1,196,900,000 |
2 percent | 1939 | 565,600,000 | 5 percent | 1946 | 1,359,400,000 |
3 percent | 1940 | 714,600,000 | 5 percent | 1947 | 1,523,300,000 |
3 percent | 1941 | 864,800,000 | 5 percent | 1948 | 1,536,900,000 |
3 percent | 1942 | 873,000,000 | 6 percent | 1949 | 1,706,300,000 |
4 percent | 1943 | 1,028,800,000 | 6 percent | 1950 | 1,877,200,000 |
{1} Each of the two taxes is estimated to produce one-half of the total receipts shown. |
Table IV.
Estimated Appropriations, Benefit, Payments, and Reserves under Title
II. (In millions of dollars) |
||||
Fiscal Year |
Appropriation |
Interest On Reserve |
Benefit Payments |
Balance In Reserve |
1937 | 255.5 | 0 | 1.9 | 253.7 |
1938 | 513.5 | 7.6 | 7.2 | 767.5 |
1939 | 518.5 | 23.0 | 14.5 | 1,299.5 |
1940 | 662.2 | 38.8 | 22.0 | 1,973.6 |
1941 | 807.2 | 59.2 | 29.7 | 2,810.3 |
1942 | 814.8 | 84.4 | 52.8 | 3,656.6 |
1943 | 970.0 | 109.8 | 94.2 | 4,642.1 |
1944 | 1,126.6 | 139.3 | 142.9 | 5,765.1 |
1945 | 1,137.0 | 173.0 | 191.2 | 6,883.9 |
1946 | 1,291.4 | 206.5 | 249.2 | 8,132.7 |
1947 | 1,447.1 | 243.9 | 314.5 | 9,509.2 |
1948 | 1,460.1 | 285.2 | 377.4 | 10,877.0 |
1949 | 1,821.1 | 326.3 | 442.1 | 12,382.4 |
1950 | 1,733.3 | 371.5 | 505.5 | 14,031.7 |
1955 | 1,861.2 | 615.8 | 887.8 | 22,115.7 |
1960 | 1,939.1 | 844.2 | 1,379.9 | 29,543.9 |
1965 | 2,016.9 | 1,040.9 | 1,844.0 | 35,898.5 |
1970 | 2,094.8 | 1,210.9 | 2,303.5 | 41,366.7 |
1975 | 2,172.7 | 1,341.8 | 2,872.1 | 45,368.3 |
1980 | 2,180.5 | 1,406.0 | 3,511.3 | 46,942.7 |
What the actual result in prices will be is quite unpredictable. It is of course, quite obvious that labor costs will be increased by the rate of the tax. Even this statement is subject to reservation, for in the long run the system of benefits may influence wages, and the payroll taxes be passed back to the employee in lowered wage levels. It is also subject to the further reservation that old-age benefits will permit employers to increase the efficiency of their plants by retiring superannuated employees, and thereby make savings which offset the payroll taxes.
It is impossible to foretell just how much of the payroll tax will be passed on to the consumer in increased prices. This will depend upon many economic factors, and will vary very widely between the extreme, on the one hand, of the entire tax being passed on, and, on the other hand, of none of the tax being passed on to the consumer. Labor costs vary extremely in the part which they play in the total price to the consumer. In manufacturing costs, Table V shows that labor costs are extremely small in food products, oil and gas, and tobacco, amounting in each case to only about 10 percent of the value of the product or even less. In the manufacture of flour and butter, for example, labor costs amount to only 5 percent to the value of the product. A payroll tax of 1 percent would increase the manufacturing cost of these items by only .05 percent. On the other hand, textile and agricultural machinery, aircraft and boats, machine tools, pottery, and jewelry show relatively high labor costs, ranging from 34 percent for jewelry to 52 percent for aircraft.
Payroll contributions versus other forms of taxes. The contention that social insurance should be financed by general taxation rather than contributions by employee and employer disregards the real character of social insurance. It is not a public charity given out as a dole, but is an insurance which the worker and his employer buy as they would any other insurance. Some Governmental contribution is appropriate, and is made in most countries, but complete Government financing without any contribution either from the employee or the employer would be contrary to the essential principle of social insurance. Payroll taxes for social insurance are used the world over.
Table V. The cost of a 1, 3 and 6 percent tax on payrolls of wage earners and salaried workers {1} for selected industries in terms of value added by manufacturers and total value of products | ||||||
Industry | Earnings (wages plus
salaires {1} (in 0000s) |
Total Value of Products (in 0000s) |
Value Added by Manufacture (in 0000s) |
Cost of Payroll Taxes per Dollar of Value of Product | ||
1936, 1% tax | 1937, 3% tax | 1949, 6% tax | ||||
TOTAL |
$6,618,109 |
$31,358,840 |
$14,610,401 |
$0.0021 |
$0.0063 |
$0.0126 |
Food and kindred products | 771,829 | 6,604,036 | 2,393,021 | .0012 | .0036 | .0072 |
Beverages | 19,480 | 111,297 | 69,424 | .0017 | .0051 | .0102 |
Bread | 221,883 | 919,778 | 491,313 | .0024 | .0072 | .0144 |
Butter | 20,507 | 385,512 | 68,669 | .0005 | .0015 | .0030 |
Preserves | 54,834 | 439,958 | 171,568 | .0012 | .0036 | .0072 |
Cereals | 9,065 | 111,016 | 56,011 | .0008 | .0014 | .0048 |
Confectionary | 29,614 | 211,833 | 97,669 | .0014 | .0042 | .0084 |
Flour | 31,373 | 574,210 | 135,539 | .0005 | .0015 | .0030 |
Malt Liquors | 41,780 | 345,947 | 266,753 | .0012 | .0036 | .0072 |
Distilled Liquors | 3,071 | 60,850 | 36,934 | .0005 | .0015 | .0030 |
Meat Packing | 144,954 | 1,490,895 | 287,546 | .0010 | .0030 | .0040 |
Textile Products | 1,154,186 | 4,811,238 | 2,351,403 | .0025 | .0075 | .0150 |
Rags | 9,526 | 92,125 | 33,578 | .0010 | .0030 | .0060 |
Wool rugs | 20,863 | 71,425 | 41,393 | .0029 | .0087 | .0174 |
Women's clothing | 147,107 | 846,300 | 389,876 | .0017 | .0051 | .0102 |
Men's clothing | 105,813 | 445,320 | 230,580 | .0074 | .0072 | .0144 |
Cotton goods | 232,240 | 861,170 | 457,734 | .0017 | .0081 | .0162 |
Dyeing and finishing | 71,972 | 278,942 | 136,140 | .0016 | .0078 | .0156 |
Hats | 13,744 | 40,600 | 21,462 | .0033 | .0099 | .0198 |
Knit goods | 148,487 | 498,390 | 260,689 | .0030 | .0090 | .0180 |
Shirts | 28,287 | 119,717 | 60,060 | .0024 | .0072 | .0144 |
Silk and rayon goods | 82,086 | 290,878 | 146,967 | .0028 | .0084 | .0168 |
Forest Products | 343,982 | 1,127,605 | 618,223 | .0030 | .0090 | .0180 |
Furniture | 92,389 | 297,730 | 155,143 | .0031 | .0093 | .0186 |
Mechanically processed wood | 11,942 | 41,523 | 23,777 | .0019 | .0087 | .0174 |
Paper and allied products | 219,037 | 1,173,743 | 518,696 | .0019 | .0057 | .0114 |
Bags | 7,158 | 49,379 | 20,083 | .0014 | .0042 | .0084 |
Boxes | 47,552 | 223,004 | 96,678 | .0021 | .0063 | .0126 |
Paper | 100,440 | 560,963 | 249,196 | .0018 | .0054 | .0108 |
Printing and publishing | 582,432 | 1,733,437 | 1,355,592 | .0054 | .0102 | .0204 |
Book binding and blank books | 20,038 | 56,011 | 40,325 | .0036 | .0108 | .0216 |
Printing Books, music | 169,924 | 519,980 | 378,751 | .0033 | .0099 | .0196 |
Printing Periodicals and newspapers | 332,352 | 1,004,999 | 20,299 | .0033 | .0099 | .0198 |
Chemical and allied products | 311,540 | 2,117,513 | 1,149,040 | .0014 | .0042 | .0084 |
Druggists' preparations | 20,969 | 148,776 | 103,205 | .0014 | .0042 | .0084 |
Paints and varnishes | 36,607 | 289,442 | 136,416 | .0008 | .0074 | .0048 |
Patent and proprietary remedies | 15,003 | 138,145 | 99,913 | .0011 | .0033 | .0066 |
Rayon and allied products | 43,706 | 156,932 | 112,901 | .0026 | .0084 | .0160 |
Soap | 20,451 | 200,128 | 136,621 | .0010 | .0030 | .0060 |
Products of petroleum and coal | 201,719 | 1,871,494 | 585,933 | .0009 | .0027 | .0056 |
Gas (manufactured) | 68,129 | 295,480 | 216,191 | .0023 | .0069 | .0138 |
Refining | 111,360 | 1,378,632 | 314,200 | .0008 | .0024 | .0048 |
Rubber Products | 125,440 | 472,744 | 261,347 | .0027 | .0081 | .0162 |
Other than tires and shoes | 37,183 | 131,411 | 73,530 | .0018 | .0084 | .0168 |
Tires and tubes | 70,648 | 299,713 | 159,921 | .0024 | .0072 | .0144 |
Leather and its manufactures | 254,071 | 996,773 | 452,036 | .0025 | .0075 | .0150 |
Boots and shoes | 159,884 | 553,425 | 267,129 | .0029 | .0087 | .0174 |
Leather, finished | 68,909 | 237,202 | 99,025 | .0021 | .0063 | .0176 |
Stone, clay, and glass products | 175,818 | 608,699 | 396,944 | .0029 | .0087 | .0174 |
Cement | 18,280 | 86,921 | 59,989 | .0001 | .0063 | .0126 |
Glass | 54,858 | 191,948 | 128,538 | .0029 | .0087 | .0174 |
Pottery | 21,004 | 43,718 | 31,539 | .0048 | .0144 | .0288 |
Iron and steel and their products (not including machinery) |
612,296 | 2,463,001 | 1,062,171 | .0025 | .0075 | .0150 |
Blast furnace products | 13,774 | 213,685 | 29,729 | .0026 | .0018 | .0036 |
Bolts, etc. | 9,762 | 32,874 | 17,524 | .0030 | .0090 | .0180 |
Stems and hot water apparatus | 25,693 | 69,234 | 49,173 | .0137 | .0111 | .0222 |
Rolling mill and steel work products | 304,099 | 1,143,889 | 451,800 | .0227 | .0081 | .0162 |
Tin cans | 27,004 | 207,916 | 70,900 | .0013 | .0030 | .0078 |
Nonferrous metals and their products | 212,723 | 1,068,753 | 427,526 | .0020 | .0060 | .0120 |
Aluminum products | 14,862 | 61,464 | 27,436 | .0024 | .0072 | .0144 |
Jewelry | 14,144 | 42,652 | 25,869 | .0334 | .0102 | .0294 |
Machinery (not including Transportation equipment) |
695,549 | 2,069,419 | 1,280,230 | .0014 | .0102 | .0204 |
Agricultural implements | 12,936 | 30,539 | 18,561 | .0042 | .0126 | .0252 |
Electrical machinery | 163,874 | 553,431 | 310,917 | .0030 | .0090 | .0180 |
Machine tools | 18,736 | 41,434 | 30,590 | .0045 | .0135 | .0070 |
Radio and phonographs | 37,103 | 121,802 | 63,281 | .0031 | .0093 | .0186 |
Textile machinery | 23,855 | 60,323 | 41,945 | .0040 | .0120 | .0240 |
Transportation equipment | 328,746 | 2,058,195 | 765,905 | .0019 | .0057 | .0114 |
Aircraft and parts | 13,874 | 26,460 | 18,503 | .0052 | .0150 | .0312 |
Motor vehicle bodies and parts | 174,188 | 761,225 | 321,592 | .0023 | .0069 | .0138 |
Motor vehicles | 129,162 | 1,096,946 | 329,179 | .0012 | .0036 | .0072 |
Ship and boat building | 41,191 | 92,696 | 61,524 | .0145 | .0135 | .0270 |
Miscellaneous industry | 258,586 | 2,312,635 | 679,043 | .0011 | .0033 | .0066 |
Cigars and cigarettes | 51,054 | 777,148 | 200,999 | .0007 | .0001 | .0042 |
{1} Excluding officials Source: Census of Manufacturers, 1933, release of January 23, 1935. |
The taxes for unemployment compensation and old-age insurance are clearly distinguishable from general taxation. They are designed to support forms of social insurance of great interest and value both to the employee and his employer. That this type of taxation would be unsuitable for the general support of government may be admitted, but this has little if any bearing upon tis for the financing of social insurance directly beneficial to employee and employer, and by wages. A payroll tax is consistent with the fundamental assumption of these insurance's, namely, that they constitute a legitimate part of the labor cost.
Effect upon the cost of government to the general taxpayer. It may be printed out also that social insurance is to be distinguished from ordinary governmental expenditures. It does not create new economic burdens to society, but provides a method of spreading existing economic risks and burdens over a great group, thus lightening the devastating effects upon individual families.
Instead of increasing the load of the general taxpayer, it lightens it xxx avoiding much of the destitution which has led millions of families and individuals to apply for public relief. Without the adoption of systems of social insurance the burden of public support of destitute persons in the future may achieve tremendous proportions.
Federal Aids to the States
In addition to unemployment compensation and old-age benefits, the Social Security Act provides for several aids to the States for the support of existing public welfare activities closely identified with the major causes of economic insecurity. This is essentially a new Federal policy recognizing a permanent responsibility of the Federal Government to aid the States in providing old-age assistance, aid to dependent children, aid to the blind, and financial assistance for public health measures. Federal support of unemployment relief has been regarded as a temporary, emergency policy. It may be pointed out, however, that Federal aid to the States for public health work, particularly infant and maternal hygiene, is now new.
The amount of the appropriations for these Federal aids to the States for welfare purposes authorized for the first fiscal year (1935-36) is given below.
Old-age assistance | $49,750,000 |
Aid to dependent children | 24,750,000 |
Maternal and child health | 3,800,000 |
Crippled children | 2,850,000 |
Child welfare | 1,500,000 |
Vocational rehabilitation | 841,000 |
Public health | 8,000,000 |
Aid to the blind | 3,000,000 |
Total | $94,491,000 |
The amounts necessary to finance these activities in future years will increase very substantially, particularly for old-age assistance and aid to dependent children. The staff of the Committee on Economic Security estimated 200,000,000, and by $300,000,000. The consulting actuaries made much higher estimates, amounting to $400,000,000, by 1940, and to $500,000,000 by 1975. It is expected that the Federal subsidy required for aid to dependent children, upon the basis of paying one-third of the cost, will increase to $50,000,000 annually within a few years. The other activities for which Federal aid is provided require relatively small appropriations, and will probably remain fairly constant over a period of years.
The policy of Federal aid to the States for regular, recurring welfare activities, upon a permanent basis, as provided in the Social Security Act, is extremely significant. Although well established in other countries, it is essentially new in the United States. Heretofore, Federal aid to the States has been confined largely to education, militia, experimental stations, and highways. The following pages set forth the factual data dn some of the principal considerations bearing upon the problem of financing old-age assistance, aid to dependent children, and the other welfare activities included in the Social Security Act, showing in some detail the imperative need of Federal aid.
The Cost of Public Welfare
Until a few years ago, public expenditures for ordinary welfare activities {1} in the United States were very small. Definite figures for the entire country are not available, but from estimates which have been made by Professor Clarence Heer, expenditures for ordinary welfare activities for all units of government were as follows:{2}
{1} By "ordinary public welfare expenditures" is meant expenditures for charitable institutions, outdoor relief, welfare departments, and part of the health, hospital, and correctional expenditures which may be regarded as public welfare. It does not include expenditures for military veterans.
{2} Heer, Clarence E., University of North Carolina, Trends in Public Welfare Costs, 1931. (Unpublished manuscript.)
Amount (Thousands) |
Percent of national income | Percent of total cost of Government | |
1903 | $105,806 | 0.52 | 6.7 |
1913 | 182,587 | 0.55 | 6.25 |
1918 | 250,044 | 0.44 | {1} |
1923 | 372,291 | 0.54 | 3.63 |
1928 | 535,459 | 0.64 | 4.29 |
{1} Any computed percentage would be meaningless owing to abnormal World War costs of Government. |
It is particularly significant that the ratio of the expenditures for ordinary welfare purposes to the national income remained fairly constant during the first quarter of the century, amounting to approximately .5 percent. In comparison with the total cost of Government, however, welfare expenditures showed a considerable decline, dropping form slightly under 7 percent in 1903 to about 4 percent in 1928.
Since 1928 there has been a very great increase in public expenditures for welfare work. Most of this increase has come since the depression and in large measure is a result of the depression. As would be expected, such statistics as are available for recent years show an extraordinary increase. Many of our large cities met the problem of destitution in the early years of the depression by increasing the expenditures for charities enormously. Municipal expenditures for charities in cities of 300,000 population and xxx in the United States increased from $22,000,000 in 1924 to $114,000,000 in 1932.{2} Some of the cities, however, have curtailed their expenditures xxx welfare purposes very sharply since the Federal Government entered the field of unemployment relief. As a specific illustration, Cincinnati spent $52,000 for charities in 1928, $900,000 in 1931, $600,000 in 1932, but only $55,000 in 1933.
{2} From United States Census Bureau reports, Financial Statistics of Cities.
As a further illustration of the trend of increased local expenditures for social work, the city of Boston spent $4,768,000 for charities and hospitals in 1929, and spent approximately $16,000,000 in 1933 and in 1934. The expenditure for charities and corrections by the counties of the State of Wisconsin totaled $6,390,000 in 1924. By 1928 the figure had increased to $8,583,000, and by 1932 to $17,331,000, or nearly three times the expenditures of 1924. Milwaukee County had an expenditure of less than $3,000,000 in 1928 for social work, whereas it increased the amount to approximately $6,000,000 annually for 1931 and the following years. The counties of California spent $12,285,000 for charities in 1924, about $20,000,000 in 1928 and $32,000,000 in 1932. The counties of the State of Washington spent $1,250,000 for relief and charities in 1923 (not including hospitals or corrections), and approximately $4,000,000 in 1933. In 1932 the counties of Washington spent over $7,000,000 for public charities, but the total dropped off in the following year with the establishment of the State Emergency relief Administration.{1}
{1} These figures have been compiled from the State and local financial reports in connection with studies of the financial abilities of counties of Wisconsin and Washington.
These few figures show the rapid rise in public expenditures by local cities of Government for social work since 1920. They show also a tendency to decline with the last year or two, in part because of Federal expenditures for unemployment relief, but also because of the financial difficulties caused largely by welfare expenditures) in which many local governments have found themselves during the last several years.
The largest present expenditure by far for public charity comes under classification of unemployment relief, financed partly by the Federal xxx and party by the State and local governments. The total expenditures in 1933 for this purpose, including local, State, and Federal governments and including the expenditures for unemployment relief and civil xxx administration, amounted to $967,000,000 while the total for 1934 was approximately $2,000,000,000. These figures, of course, are much larger than total expenditures for ordinary welfare purposes and have caused considerable apprehension. Those who fear the consequences of such large expenditures raised the question, "Where is the money coming from?"
It is significant in this connection to make some comparisons. In 1933 xxx spent about 2.5 percent of our national income for unemployment relief in 1934 approximately 4 percent. During this latter year we were taking xxx of about 15 percent of the total population with approximate 4 percent xxx national income. These expenditures are not extraordinary when compared to the size of the problem with which we are coping, nor are they xx in comparison with our expenditures, say, for military purposes and xxx. For a number of years we have spent in the neighborhood of xxxx,000,000 annually for veterans without thinking that the finances of xxx were being imperiled thereby. It would hardly seem appropriate xx alarmed at a similar expenditure during a national emergency for xxx of millions of families whose wage earners have lost employment.
However, even including emergency relief, expenditures for welfare xxx in the United States are not large when compared with those of Great Britain. Great Britain, with a population of only about one-third of ours xxx for public charity an social insurance, including old-age pensions, employment insurance, and health insurance, a total of $1,369,000,000 in 1932.{1} If health insurance is omitted, the expenditure was approximately $1,200,000,000. A similar expenditure in the United States in proportion to population would run about $4,000,000,000 annually. In 1933, while $25,000,000 was spent in the United States for old-age assistance, Great Britain spent nearly $400,000,000 for the aged through noncontributory and contributory pensions. In order to provide as adequately as Great Britain for the aged, we would need to spend annually about $1,200,000,000 for this purpose.
{1} Complied from the Statistical Abstract for the United Kingdom, 1934, and the Abstract of Labour Statistics for the United Kingdom, 1931-33.
It is inevitable that future public welfare expenditures in the United
States will be considerably larger than they have in the past. For a quarter
of a century prior to the depression the public expenditures for social
work amounted to only about .5 percent of our national income, but in
the future we will undoubtedly have to contribute a much larger share
of our national income for this purpose. Even assuming the return of a
high degree of prosperity, a large number of our population may nevertheless
be xxemployed and destitute. The financing of public charity in the future
institutes our largest problem of public finance. Only one aspect of this
problem is discussed here, namely, the need for Federal aid.
It is often stated that the care of the poor is a function of the local community, and that accordingly the Federal and State Governments should provide financial support only when it becomes imperative. This theory of exclusive local responsibility for public welfare activities does not fit into the economic and social structure of society today. The local community is no longer a self-contained unit. Our economic life overflows our political boundaries of townships, municipalities, counties, and States. Destitution today arises from causes with which the local community is powerless to deal, xxx and creates financial obligations beyond the capacity of the local resources. The whole problem of financing public welfare activities needs to be considered in the light of the present conditions.
The Financial Condition of Local Units of Government
Public welfare has been historically a concern of the local government in the United States. The States have confined their charitable activities largely to the institutional care of special classes of mental and other defectives requiring specialized treatment which the local units were not able to provide. Within recent years State subsidies for special types of charity, such as old-age assistance, mothers' pensions, and unemployment relief have been provided. Public charity has been regarded as a community rather than a State responsibility. In New England the municipality is entrusted with the function of poor relief, but in many other parts of the country it is the function of the county or the township. In a few States the municipalities and the counties share the responsibility.
Since the local units of government are considered to have the primary responsibility for public welfare activities, and in the past have spent by far the larger part of all State and local expenditures, it is important to examine their financial conditions and abilities to ascertain whether they will be able to carry on their ordinary welfare activities on the present basis in the future, and increase their contributions to old-age assistance and mothers' pensions.
Prior to 1932, local governments carried the entire expense for public unemployment relief, except for State aid in four States in 1931. At present they are contributing part of the funds in all but a very few States. During the year ending September 30, 1934, they contributed $196,500,000, or 16.8 percent of the total unemployment relief cost, and 10.3 percent of the combined expenditures for unemployment relief and civil works administration (not including supplies of the latter).
It would be conservative to estimate that the revenues of the local xxx of government for the entire country declined 25 percent between the calendar years 1931 and 1933, at the very time that relief costs were mounting. The trends within the last 3 years may be summarized as follows: (1) local governments are in much worse financial condition at the end of the period, with increased indebtedness, funded and floating, with former reserves wiped out, and many sinking funds depleted to tide over the lean years; (2) local services have been drastically curtailed, for example, by closing public schools or shortening their terms, dismissing public employees, reducing such services as recreation, health, playground, xxx, and library, now more needed than every before, and impairing protective services; (3) because of the imperative need, expenditures for relief purposes have been increased at the expense of the other services of the city, and xxx methods of financing which have brought many local governmental units xxx unsound positions; and (4) the salaries of public employees have been substantially reduced.
Local units of government have borne a heavy load of unemployment relief, and other types of aid, and many of them have borrowed to the limit of their capacity. Loans for relief purposes have been incurred at excessive rates of interest by many local governments. Date are not available as to the amount of unemployment relief financed locally by means of loans, but it can be said safely that a vast majority of unemployment relief has been paid for in this manner.
Tax revenues and assessed valuations. The total revenue receipts of all local governments in 1932 amounted to $6,343,982,000, of which the tax receipts constituted $4,715,897,000.{1} Since the nontax revenues, such as subventions from the State, earnings of public service departments, and departmental services and fees, would not be available for new social services, only tax receipts need be considered. Of the total tax receipts of local united of government in 1932,. $4,361,307,000, or 92.4 percent, came from the general property tax. In the years 1932 and 1933, when the depression reached its lowest point, and the relief burden increased so rapidly, tax receipts from general property dropped very substantially throughout the country. Assessed valuations, which until this time had not been lowered to correspond with the decline in real and personal property values, were very materially lowered at this time in most sections of the country. To top it all, a group of States adopted severe general property tax limitation measures, thus further reducing this almost exclusive source of revenue of local government.
{1} Unless otherwise noted, the 1932 figures on local governmental finance are taken from the report of the Bureau of the Census, Financial Statistics of State and Local Governments, 1932, published in 1934.
The situation has not grown much better with the improved conditions during
1935. Although property tax collections are gradually improving, many
local governments have been operating with large deficits for a number
of years, and very substantial improvements in tax collection are needed.
Some of these deficits have been cleaned up temporarily by funding them
through long-term bonds. The debts and debt charges of local governments
have been increased very materially at the very time when sources of revenue
were declining. This will cause trouble in the future. The only thing
which has saved the local governments from financial collapse has been
the Federal consumption of a large part of the responsibility for providing
unemployment relief.
Too much emphasis cannot be placed upon the fact that the local units government are supported almost entirely by taxes on general property, a form of taxation which cannot be expanded further to take care of new costs xx government. While the statement that the general property tax has "broken down" is an exaggeration, for it is still our principal tax, nevertheless, it would be foolish not to recognize its limitations. It has often been pointed xxx that although the general property tax was fairly well suited to the economy of a hundred years ago, it is not so suitable today. Assessable general property no longer represents the bulk of existing wealth, and is no longer unfair measurement of ability to pay. Equally important is the fact that the cost of government has increased greatly, and too great reliance upon one source of revenue, such as the general property tax, inevitably has brought about resistance to this form of taxation. A third factor, perhaps more important than the others, has been the constant increase of property values in the past, which has made it possible to collect high property taxes. The general property tax has required the land owner to share with society the xxx increment of his property caused by the rise in land values, which prevailed over a long period of time.
The increase in assessed valuations for the entire country has been as follows:
1860 | $ 12,084,560,000 |
1880 | 17,139,903,000 |
1902 | 35,332,317,000 |
1912 | 69,452,936,000 |
1922 | 124,616,675,000 |
1932 | 163,317,104,000 {1} |
{1} Bureau of the Census of the United States, Wealth, Public Debt, and Taxation, 1922: and Financial Statistics of State and Local Governments, 1932. |
The assessed valuations in 1930 amounted to $167,562,315,000, or about $43,000,000,000 more than that of 1922. During the first two decades of the century, assessed valuations were increasing at the rate of about 100 percent each 10 years.
Table VI shows in more detail the assessed valuations and general property tax receipts in 1922 and 1932.
The statistics of the city of Detroit, shown in Table VII, while not entirely typical, nevertheless indicate the trend of assessed valuations and tax levies in metropolitan areas.
It is of note that in 1915, when Detroit had slightly less than 700,000 population, its assessed valuation was only $554,382,000. By 1930 the population had more than doubled, but the assessed valuation had increased to $3,774,861,000, or 681 percent of the 1915 figure. The net increase amounted to $3,250,479,000. The total taxes levied on general property during the period amounted to $739,806,000, or 22.9 percent of the increase in assessed valuation. Owners of property could stand a tax of about 2 percent of assessed valuation annually upon property which was increasing in value at a much more rapid rate.
But between 1930 and 1934 assessed valuation dropped as rapidly as it had risen. Detroit suffered a decline of $1,553,456,000 in assessed valuation, and doubtless the market value of property in the city declined substantially more. The tax levy also declined, but not as rapidly as assessed valuations. The tax levy in 1934 amounted to 2.46 percent of the assessed valuation, which is considerably higher then for any of the other years listed.
A similar decline in assessed valuations has taken place generally throughout the county. Governor Horner in his message to the Illinois Legislature on November 19, 1934, pointed out that assessed valuations in Illinois had dropped from $8,500,000,000 in 1930 to a little more than $5,500,000,000 in 1933, a decrease of 36 percent, or almost exactly the rate of decrease in Detroit. In Wisconsin, the assessed valuations declined from $5,975,952 in 1929 to $4,262,704,000 in 1933, a decrease of $1,713,246,000, or 28 percent. It is probably safe to assume that assessed valuations throughout the country have declined by at least 25 percent since 1930, and that property values have declined by a substantially larger amount. Under these conditions, it is quite obvious that the general property tax will have great difficulty in standing up during a period of declining or even stationary valuations. Not only is it incapable of expansion to meet new seeds, but it will have to be supplemented by other sources of revenues to carry on the ordinary functions of government.
Table VI. Assessed Valuations and General Property Tax Receipts of Local Units of Government, 1922 and 1932. | |||||
Year |
Assessed Valuation |
General Property Tax Receipts |
|||
Amount (millions) | Per Capita | Amount (millions) | Per Capita | Percent to Assessed Valuation | |
1922 | $124,617 | $1,104 | $2,973 | $26.33 | 2.39% |
1932 | 163, 317 | 1,311 | 4,361 | 35.03 | 2.67% |
Increase 1922-1932 |
39,700 | 20% | 1,388 | 8.70 | 0.28% |
Percent Increase | 31.9% | 18.8% | 46.7% | 33.0% | 11.7% |
Source: United States Bureau of the Census, Health, Debt, and Taxation, 1922, and Financial Statistics of State and Local Governments, 1932. |
Table VII. Trend of Population, Assessed Valuation, and Tax Levy, City of Detroit, 1915-1934. | ||||||
Year |
Population | Assessed Valuation |
Tax Budget |
|||
Amount (millions) | Per Capita | Amount (millions) | Per Capita | Percent to Assessed Valuation | ||
1915 | 673,498 | $554 | $8.23 | $13.1 | $19.46 | 2.36 |
1920 | 993,687 | 1,698 | 17.09 | 35.1 | 35.34 | 2.06 |
1925 | 1,246,044 | 2,757 | 22.12 | 56.2 | 45.10 | 2.03 |
1930 | 1,573,985 | 3,774 | 23.99 | 76.1 | 48.37 | 2.01 |
1934 | 1,573,985 | 2,251 | 14.31 | 55.5 | 35.28 | 2.46 |
Source: Upson, Lent D., Growth of City Government of Detroit, 1931, and later statistics supplied |
Tax delinquency. With the decline in assessed valuations has come
an increase in tax delinquency. A comprehensive survey of tax delinquency,
made by the United States Bureau of the Census, showed that on December
31, 1933, the outstanding uncollected and delinquent taxes of the current
levy made in 1932-33 (not including delinquencies against former levies),
amounted to $909,465,000, or 20.5 percent of the current tax levy of $4,414,187,000.{1}
This survey covered all units of government for the entire country for
which data were procurable, with estimates for the remainder. The rate
of delinquency varied widely from section to section, and from state to
state, ranging from 6 percent in Massachusetts, 7 percent in Louisiana,
and 8 percent in Wyoming, to 40 percent in Michigan, 37 percent each in
Illinois and North Dakota, and 6 percent in Florida. New England generally
had the lowest rate of delinquency, with an average of only 8.5 percent,
while the East North Central states (Ohio, Indiana, Illinois, Michigan,
and Wisconsin) had the highest average delinquency, 34 percent. The other
geographical divisions (except the East South Central--Virginia, West
Virginia, Kentucky, and Tennessee--with a delinquency on only 12.5 percent)
had about the same average as that for the entire country, though there
was considerable variation from State to State within the same geographical
division. It should be borne in mind that these figures are averages for
an entire State or for a group of States, and that the tax delinquencies
for particular cities, counties, or school districts varied much more
widely.
{1} All statistics on tax delinquency are taken from the mimeographed report of the United States Bureau of the Census, Current Tax Delinquency, prepared under the supervision of Dr. Lent D. Upson, 1934.
A study of the trend of tax delinquency, involving about one-third of
the property tax levies of the country, showed the following percentages
of the current levy delinquent 1 year after it became due and payable:
Year of levy | Percent of current levy delinquent at the end of 1 Year |
1928-29 | 5.95 |
1929-30 | 6.41 |
1930-31 | 8.64 |
1931-32 | 12.68 |
1932-33 | 17.02 |
In many communities the problem of tax delinquency is much more severe than the above average figures for the entire country would indicate. These figures show only current delinquencies and not the accumulated delinquency, which in many communities exceeds the annual levy. In many rural sections, particularly timber and cutover lands, studies indicate that large solid areas, sometimes almost whole counties, are now tax delinquent and are approaching the time of foreclosure.
Tax limitations. A widespread movement has grown up within recent years to place definite limits upon the tax rate which may be levied upon general property. Although property tax limitations have been utilized very widely by many States throughout the country for years, the present movement involves such more drastic overall limitations. Five States, Ohio, West Virginia, Michigan, New Mexico, and Oklahoma, have recently amended their constitutions to adopt tax limitation measures. Indiana and Washington have adopted recent tax limitation measures by statute. Similar movements are underway in many other States, and such limitations will probably spread. In 1934, Florida adopted by a heavy majority an amendment exempting homesteads up to a $5,000 valuation from ordinary taxes. Similar proposals are being made in other States, the net effect f which would be to reduce the revenue from general property taxes by at least a half.
The past experience of this country with fixed property limitations has ben very unsatisfactory. The assessed valuations vary so widely within a State that a maximum rate suitable for one community will force other local governments to discontinue essential services, while some units with high assessed valuations will not be affected at all. Tax limitation measures in the past have caused local governments to resort to unsound financial practices, such as increased borrowings, temporary loans, and emergency appropriations for ordinary activities, until the financial structure of the government was very badly strained, and the limitation was modified. Despite this experience, the protest against the general property tax is so insistent that it may be expected that such limitation measures will be adopted more widely. The only thing which will forestall such adoptions will be the voluntary reductions of general property tax levies. Homestead exemption measures, such as adopted in Florida threaten to destroy the general property tax as a major source of revenue for local governments.
The cumulative effect of (1) lowered assessed valuations, (2) lowered property tax rate limitations, and (3) tax delinquency is to reduce greatly the possible revenue of local governments from the general property tax. By way of illustration, let us assume that City A has its assessed valuation decreased by 25 percent. On top of that State adopts a tax limitation law which reduces the rate of the levy by 25 percent. The net levy of the city is reduced to 56 percent of what it was formerly. If to that is added a tax delinquency of 25 percent, the tax collections drop to 42 percent. This is not an extreme example, but would be fairly typical of the States recently enacting new property tax limitation laws. In many communities all three factors are operative, and in practically all communities two of them apply.
It is significant to compare the part which the general property tax plays in taxation in the United States and in Great Britain. In the fiscal year ending 1932, general property tax collections of State and local governments in the United States totaled $4,484,784, or 73.5 percent of State and local taxes, and 57.5 percent of total taxes collected by all units of government, including the Federal Government. In the United Kingdom, on the other hand, the property tax (rate receipts) of England and Wales, Scotland, and Northern Ireland totaled $177,409,000, or only 17.7 percent of the total tax receipts of the national and local governments.
Much larger State and Federal grants in aid to the local units of government will be required in the United States, and, in view of our general taxation structure, are in order. Table VIII, showing the ratio between local taxes (rates) and grants from the national government of England and Wales, is of significance.
Table VIII. Receipts of Local Authorities of England and Wales. (In thousands of pounds) | |||||
Public Rates | Governmental Grants | Total | |||
Year |
Amount |
Percent |
Amount |
Percent |
|
1920 | 105,633 | 69 | 48,263 | 31 | 153,896 |
1922 | 170,871 | 69 | 76,663 | 31 | 247,534 |
1924 | 143,275 | 65 | 78,324 | 35 | 221,599 |
1926 | 143,598 | 64 | 84,634 | 36 | 233,232 |
1928 | 166,678 | 65 | 90,084 | 35 | 256,673 |
1930 | 156,311 | 59 | 107,828 | 41 | 264,140 |
1932 | 143,279 | 54 | 126,549 | 46 | 274,829 |
This table does not include earnings from public utilities or capital loans. During the past 10 years, the British national government has increased its xxx from slightly less than one-third of the total to almost one-half. The xxx cover practically all the ordinary functions of local governments, including education, public health, peer relief, highways, police, elections, and others. Grants in aid have been an important means for many years by which the national government has exercised supervision over the local governments, raising the standards of administration. By this means, for example, a high degree of national unity has been obtained in police administration.
Public debt of local governments. The trend of public debt is also very important in considering the financial abilities of the local units of government in the United States. The following table shows trend since 1902.
Trend of Net Indebtedness of Local Units of Government, 1902-1932 | ||||
Year | Assessed Valuation |
Net Debt Amount per capita (thousands of dollars) |
Percent to Assessed Valuation |
|
1902 | $35,338,317 | $1,630,070 | $20.74 | 4.61 |
1912 | 69,452,936 | 3,475,954 | 35.81 | 5.00 |
1922 | 124,616,675 | 7,754,196 | 71.32 | 6.22 |
1932 | 163,317,104 | 15,215,881 | 122.10 | 9.32 |
It should be noted that the above figures of net debt include the debts incurred for public service enterprises, as well as for general governmental purchases. Data are not available on the net debt, excluding public service enterprises. {1} | ||||
{1} In 1932, however, the gross debt of all local units of government was $16,680,567,000 and in 1931 the debt of municipalities for public service enterprises amounted to $2,950,575,437. |
During the last 10 years the net indebtedness of local units of government increased by $7,461,685,000, or 96.2 percent. This large increase in indebtedness is the result, in part, of the inability of the tax revenues of the local units to meet the expenditures. With the decline in assessed valuations, the increase in debt service charges, and the increased need of public charity, the debt situation is serious. It is probable that, as a result of the lowered assessed valuations since 1932 and the increased debts, the present net indebtedness is about 12 percent of the assessed valuation.
Not only has the debt of local units of government mounted very rapidly during the decade ending with the fiscal year 1932, but the trend during the depression has been upward at an even greater rate. The following table shows this trend:
Net Bonded
Debt of Cities of Over 300,000 Population. (Excluding self-supporting
indebtedness) January 1, 1929 and 1934 {1} |
||||
City | 1929 (thousand) |
1934 |
Percent Increase, 1929-34 |
|
Amount |
Per |
|||
New York | $714,853 | $1,467,933 | $211.80 | 105.0 |
Chicago | 255,068 | 363,458 | 113.57 | 50.0 |
Philadelphia | 356,796 | 419,459 | 15.00 | 17.0 |
Detroit | 186,653 | 226,971 | 144.69 | 23.0 |
Los Angeles | 103,092 | 113,387 | 91.51 | 10.0 |
Cleveland | 102,907 | 102,258 | 113.57 | 0.0 |
St. Louis | 37,418 | 62,483 | 76.02 | 67.0 |
Baltimore | 111,619 | 118,753 | 147.54 | 6.0 |
Pittsburgh | 71,117 | 72,154 | 107.70 | 1.0 |
Boston | 58,238 | 71,837 | 91.96 | 27.0 |
San Francisco | 39,767 | 95,232 | 150.12 | 139.0 |
Milwaukee | 41,556 | 58,709 | 101.57 | 41.0 |
Total | 2,075,090 | 3,192,634 | 539.0 | |
{1} From Rightor, C.K., "The Bonded Debt of Cities" National Municipal Review, June, 1929 and June 1934. |
The increase in indebtedness is significant when we take into account the fact that assessed valuations during the period dropped by about 25 percent. Several of the cities listed above are not charged with poor relief, which is under the county, and accordingly the increase in their debt cannot be attributed to the increased cost of relief. In New England, where poor relief is a function of the municipalities, the indebtedness of the 12 cities of over 100,000 population increased from $160,834,902 in 1929 to $205,232,932 or an increase of 27.5 percent.
Trend of local governmental expenditures. The trend of revenues,
expenditures, and indebtedness of all cities of 300,000 population and
over from 1924 to 1932 is given in Table II. Particular attention is given
to public welfare expenditures, embracing charities and hospitals, and
their relation to total governmental revenues and expenditures. The table
includes all local unites of government within the cities, including a
part of the county allocated to the city. Accordingly, it gives a complete
picture of the trends of local finances for the period, but, of course,
is confined to the large cities. Unfortunately it stops with the fiscal
year 1932, which for many cities ended during the first half of the calendar
year. The downward trend of tax receipts brought on by the depression
as just becoming evident. The reductions of ordinary governmental costs
were generally instituted in the calendar year 1932, and consequently
are not indicated in the table. The great increase in charities in 1932
over previous years indicates that the cities were being forced to meet
the problem of unemployment relief, though it had not yet become as acute
as it did later. The percentage of public welfare expenditures to the
total operating and maintenance expenditures for all departments increased
from 5.58 percent in 1924 to 12.28 percent in 1932. Most of the increase,
however, came with the last 2 years.
Table IX.
Revenues, Expenditures, and Indebtedness of Cities, 1924-1932 {1} (in millions of dollars) |
||||||||
Items | 1924 | 1926 | 1928 | 1930 | 1932 | Per capita 1932 (dollars) |
Percent Distribution 1932 |
Percent Increase or Decrease
1924-1932 |
Population | 21,900,636 | 23,626,400 | 24,060,300 | 24,932,200 | 25,820,600 | |||
Revenues, total {2} | $1,338 | $1,606 | $1,884 | $1,952 | $1,824 | $78.65 | 100.0 | 36.3 |
Taxes: | ||||||||
General Property | 964 | 1,141 | 1,317 | 1,368 | 1,324 | 51.26 | 72.6 | 27.4 |
Other | 62 | 101 | 114 | 132 | 96 | 3.72 | 8.8 | 17.0 |
Other revenues {2} | 392 | 364 | 432 | 452 | 404 | 15.66 | 22.2 | |
Expenditures, total | 1,463 | 1,735 | 2,006 | 2,170 | 1,956 | 76.93 | 100.0 | 35.0 |
Operation and maintenance All general departments |
916 | 1,055 | 1,206 | 1,332 | 1,397 | 54.10 | 70.3 | 52.5 |
Welfare, total | 51 | 58 | 74 | 93 | 172 | 6.45 | 8.7 | 239.7 |
Charities | 32 | 26 | 23 | 39 | 114 | 4.49 | 5.8 | 416.3 |
Hospital | 29 | 32 | 41 | 54 | 57 | 2.22 | 2.9 | 97.5 |
Percent welfare to all general departments | (5.58%) | (5.46%) | (6.12%) | (6.99%) | (13.28%) | (120.1%) | ||
Interest {3} | 163 | 196 | 229 | 263 | 273 | 10.59 | 13.8 | 67.3 |
Outlays | 383 | 484 | 572 | 574 | 316 | 12.24 | 15.9 | 17.5 |
Gross indebtedness {2} | 3,678 | 4,341 | 5,032 | 4,778 | 4,489 | 173.83 | 22.1 | |
{1} Cities of 300,00 population and over in 1924 only:
(includes part of county and other local Governmental units apportioned
to the city.) {2} Exclusive of public-service enterprises. {3} Expenses of public-service enterprises for "interest" could not be segregated. Source: United States Bureau of the Census, Financial Statistics of Cities. |
During the last several years while local Governments have been in financial straits, their relief expenditures have been increased and their other costs have been substantially curtailed. The following table shows the trend in a number of cities or States for which data are available, not including funds furnished by the Federal Emergency Relief Administration.
Trend of Relief Expenditures (in thousands of dollars) | ||||||
City or State | 1929 |
1930 |
1931 |
1932 |
1933 |
1934 |
Detroit public welfare Department |
$3,338 | $6,943 | $16,462 | $10,362 | $1,822 | $3,960 |
Boston public welfare Soldiers relief |
2,520 | 3,550 | 6,725 | 9,567 | 10,200 | |
Cincinnati, Including Charities and hospitals |
895 | 983 | 1,049 | 2,145 | 894 |
|
Wisconsin counties, charities & corrections |
9,617 | 12,294 | 17,331 | |||
Washington Counties | 1,767 | 2,148 | 2,528 | 7,333 | 3,951 | |
Milwaukee County (not Including State and FERA aids) |
3,019 | 4,198 | 6,860 | 6,929 | 5,593 |
It will be noted that the local expenditures reached their peak before the Federal Government came into the field of unemployment relief in 1933. In general, local expenditures then declined. In some cities, as for example Detroit, local expenditures had been forced down earlier owing to the financial inability of the city to continue its relief activities upon a large scale.
The large cities (or counties in which they are situated) which have remained in a strong financial position have greatly increased their welfare expenditures, while decreasing their other Governmental costs. The same trend applies equally to smaller cities and to rural areas. However, the local units of Government which have had acute financial difficulties have been forced to curtail their welfare activities, not because of a diminution of the need, but simply because they were at the end of their resources. In many of the power communities the ordinary charities for unemployable groups have been curtailed or discontinued and these groups placed upon unemployment relief.
Summary. The financial condition of local units of Government, and the trend over recent years, shows very clearly the need of State and Federal aid to carry on the present welfare activities, and to provide any expansion of them, as for old-age assistance. The general property tax, which is relied upon almost exclusively for local support of welfare activities, faces further reductions in the future, and is not susceptible to expansion. Property values and assessments have greatly declined within recent years, and the long upward tend of land values has been halted. Property limitations have been adopted by a number of States, and are likely to be adopted by others. Local indebtedness has increased rapidly over a long period, and has taken an upturn during th depression, even though the general property taxes, from which those debts must be paid, have fallen off greatly. Increased public charities have forced many cities into an unsound financial position, and have necessitated curtailments of other Governmental activities.
The Financial Condition of State Governments
The financial condition of States is quite different from that of the local Governments. The States have largely given up the general property tax as a source of revenue (it constituted less than 20 percent of the total tax receipts in 1932), and within the last decade have gone in for new taxes, particularly income, inheritance, and several types of sales or gross income taxes. Unlike the local units of Government, the States have the power to enact new forms of taxation. Like the local units of Government, States too are facing financial difficulties, and the legislature of 1935 had to grapple with the problem or providing new forms of taxation to take care of State and local Governmental requirements.
Recent Trends. For the most part, available statistics upon State revenues and expenditures stop with the fiscal year 1932 (which usually ended during the first few months of the year) and consequently do not indicate present conditions. States generally reached the peek of their renews in the fiscal year of 1931, the taxes being collected largely in 1930 on business of 1929. The fiscal year 1932 showed a decline of only 9 percent in tax collections over 1930 and 1931, and slightly exceeded the collections of 1929. State expenditures for 1932 declined only 2 percent from the 1931 figure, and considerably exceeded disbursements during 1930, 1929, and prior years. Until 1932, many of the States were in excellent financial position, and had not been forced by financial stringency to reduce their ordinary expenditures. The situation, however, has been greatly altered within the last two years, when the full force of the depression has hit the States. The trend in State tax receipt and expenditures for the cost of Government from 1925 to 1932, inclusive, are given in Tables X and Xi.
It will be noted from Table I that State tax receipts rose by 46.2 percent during th seven years form 1925 to 1932. The general property tax showed a decline of 10.7 percent, dropping from 32.4 percent of the total to 19.8 percent. All the other classes of taxes increased, motor fuel showing the highest increse-375 percent. Inheritance and income taxes were adopted widely during the period, and showed substantial increases. The total tax receipts, exclusive of motor fuel and motor vehicle licenses, however, showed an increase of only 14.2 percent, or, on a par capita basis, 3.9 percent.
While the tax structure of State Governments was undergoing such fundamental changes within the brief span of seven years, the cost payments showed no such changes in distribution. Highway maintenance and outlays, which
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Table X. Trend of State Government Tax Receipts, 48 states, 1925-1932 (in millions of dollars) | |||||||||||
Tax | 1925 | 1926 | 1927 | 1928 | 1929 | 1930 | 1931 | 1932 | Per capita 1932 (dollars) |
Percent Distribution 1932 | Percent Increase or decrease 1925-1932 |
Total Tax receipts General property Bank and other corporation stock Inheritance Income Other special property Business licenses Nonbusiness licenses Total Motor fuel Motor licenses Total motor |
$1,107 359 69 86 26 54 214 9 821 67 199 286 |
$1,264 376 66 91 39 73 236 10 894 137 234 371 |
$1,355 370 76 106 55 65 254 11 941 166 249 414 |
$1,507 381 78 128 56 77 264 10 1,000 283 265 507 |
$1,612 350 83 149 75 95 273 14 1,042 283 287 570 |
$1,780 345 74 181 77 92 296 15 1,084 400 296 696 |
$1,778 371 89 183 51 65 294 15 1,074 423 282 705 |
$1,619 320 84 143 48 56 267 16 938 416 266 681 |
$13.09 2.58 8.68 1.15 0.38 0.45 2.16 0.11 7.56 3.35 2.14 5.50 |
100.0 19.8 5.2 6.8 2.9 3.5 16.5 0.9 57.9 25.7 16.4 42.1 |
46.2 -10.7 22.3 66.4 72.6 501 25.0 54.7 14.2 375.7 33.7 138.2 |
Source: United States Bureau of the Census, Financial Statistics of States. |
Table II. Trend of State Government cost payments (48 states) 1925-1932 (in millions of dollars) | |||||||||||
Item | 1925 | 1926 | 1927 | 1928 | 1929 | 1930 | 1931 | 1932 | Per capita 1932 (dollars) |
Percent Distribution 1932 |
Percent Increase or decrease 1925-1932 |
Total expenditures |
$1,606 | $1,605 | $1,718 | $1,880 | $2,051 | $2,281 | $2,500 | $2,446 | $19.76 | 100.0 | 52.3 |
From State revenues: | |||||||||||
General Government | 86 | 87 | 100 | 98 | 114 | 110 | 127 | 122 | 0.98 | 4.96 | 42.0 |
Protection to persons and Property | 56 | 60 | 64 | 70 | 72 | 60 | 84 | 87 | 0.70 | 3.55 | 55.9 |
Development and conservation of natural resources | 56 | 63 | 65 | 66 | 70 | 74 | 75 | 72 | 0.58 | 2.92 | 26.8 |
Conservation of health sanitation | 25 | 26 | 28 | 29 | 32 | 34 | 37 | 37 | 0.30 | 1.51 | 49.3 |
Highways | 144 | 157 | 171 | 204 | 219 | 251 | 240 | 245 | 1.98 | 10.00 | 66.9 |
Charities, hospitals, corrections | 169 | 179 | 193 | 202 | 216 | 214 | 230 | 271 | 2.19 | 11.06 | 60.6 |
Schools | 396 | 413 | 445 | 481 | 516 | 556 | 289 | 591 | 4.77 | 24.12 | 49.4 |
Libraries, recreation, miscellaneous | 104 | 57 | 55 | 58 | 60 | 62 | 66 | 68 | 0.55 | 2.78 | -34.6 |
Interest | 68 | 77 | 79 | 87 | 94 | 101 | 111 | 110 | 0.89 | 4.65 | 62.4 |
From other revenues: | |||||||||||
Highways | 419 | 399 | 404 | 459 | 533 | 635 | 758 | 695 | 5.60 | 22.35 | 65.9 |
Schools | 36 | 36 | 35 | 40 | 41 | 40 | 40 | 30 | 0.24 | 1.21 | -17.5 |
Other | 49 | 55 | 80 | 85 | 85 | 114 | 144 | 120 | 0.97 | 4.89 | 147.0 |
Sources: United States Bureau of the Census, Financial Statistics of States. |
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