Life Tables for the United States Social Security Area 1900-2100
Actuarial Study No. 116
by : Felicitie C. Bell and Michael L. Miller
Table 3 - Historical and Assumed Ultimate Average Annual Percentage Reductions in Central
Death Rates by Sex, Age Group and Cause of Death
Male
Female
Under Age 15
1979 to 1999
Assumed Ultimate
1979 to 1999
Assumed Ultimate
Heart Disease
2.43
1.0
2.12
1.0
Cancer
3.03
2.0
2.38
2.0
Vascular Disease
-0.20
0.6
0.15
0.6
Violence
2.73
0.9
2.19
0.9
Respiratory Disease
3.41
2.5
3.59
2.5
Diabetes Mellitus
2.76
1.8
4.66
1.8
Other
2.98
1.8
2.85
1.8
Total
2.92
1.5
2.72
1.6
Ages 15 - 49
Heart Disease
2.57
2.3
1.36
2.2
Cancer
1.47
0.5
1.47
0.5
Vascular Disease
1.52
1.8
2.00
1.8
Violence
1.27
0.8
0.91
0.8
Respiratory Disease
0.69
0.5
-0.35
0.5
Diabetes Mellitus
-1.65
0.3
-1.08
0.3
Other
-3.08
0.8
-1.08
0.6
Total
0.58
0.9
0.66
0.7
Ages 50 - 64
Heart Disease
3.23
2.0
2.41
2.2
Cancer
0.91
0.4
0.35
0.4
Vascular Disease
2.12
1.5
1.95
1.6
Violence
1.81
0.8
1.58
0.8
Respiratory Disease
0.99
0.6
-1.76
0.7
Diabetes Mellitus
-3.14
0.3
-2.21
0.3
Other
0.51
0.9
1.39
0.8
Total
1.74
0.8
0.91
0.7
Ages 65 - 84
Heart Disease
2.64
1.7
2.45
1.8
Cancer
-0.06
0.5
-1.13
0.5
Vascular Disease
2.69
2.5
2.29
2.6
Violence
1.07
1.2
0.70
1.2
Respiratory Disease
-0.36
0.2
-3.92
0.2
Diabetes Mellitus
-2.80
0.6
-1.75
0.6
Other
-0.36
0.3
-0.91
0.3
Total
1.15
0.7
0.44
0.7
Ages 85 and older
Heart Disease
0.96
1.2
1.11
1.2
Cancer
-1.35
0.4
-0.56
0.3
Vascular Disease
1.86
1.9
2.13
1.8
Violence
-0.58
0.9
-0.07
0.9
Respiratory Disease
-2.46
0.2
-3.53
0.2
Diabetes Mellitus
-3.20
0.6
-1.74
0.5
Other
-2.50
0.2
-3.66
0.2
Total
-0.20
0.6
-0.03
0.6
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