2009 OASDI Trustees Report

 

2009 Trustees Report

The following table presents the plot points for Figure V.C5--Comparison of DI Disabled-Worker Incidence Rates, Termination Rates and Conversion Ratios Under Intermediate Assumptions.

 

 

Historical values

Calendar year	Incidence rates		Termination rates		Conversion ratios
	Gross rates	Age-sex-adjusted rates	Gross rates	Age-sex-adjusted rates	Gross ratios	Age-sex-adjusted ratios
1970	4.82	4.39	92.51	90.17	71.26	40.58
1971	5.56	5.11	88.42	86.19	68.37	40.58
1972	5.97	5.52	80.53	78.50	66.87	40.58
1973	6.31	5.92	83.41	81.30	68.06	40.58
1974	6.67	6.44	74.86	72.97	66.80	40.58
1975	7.13	7.04	73.47	71.62	64.10	40.58
1976	6.52	6.49	72.58	70.91	64.23	40.58
1977	6.61	6.64	74.53	74.36	66.22	40.58
1978	5.51	5.80	81.78	86.03	66.20	40.58
1979	4.73	5.12	81.23	86.03	70.07	40.58
1980	4.36	4.80	77.31	81.14	68.05	40.58
1981	3.87	4.19	87.94	95.91	67.65	40.58
1982	3.35	3.70	105.59	120.96	70.30	40.58
1983	4.22	4.71	97.69	110.58	71.43	40.58
1984	3.98	4.34	72.13	72.75	69.29	40.58
1985	3.97	4.34	59.94	57.48	69.38	40.58
1986	3.96	4.31	57.95	54.74	67.71	40.58
1987	3.85	4.22	63.08	60.51	62.64	40.58
1988	3.73	4.12	64.36	62.51	60.27	40.58
1989	3.79	4.21	59.19	56.37	60.58	40.58
1990	4.09	4.53	57.34	55.32	57.53	40.58
1991	4.62	5.09	55.77	54.04	54.07	40.58
1992	5.44	5.91	54.58	52.89	51.43	40.58
1993	5.35	5.76	53.17	51.79	47.47	40.58
1994	5.25	5.61	52.78	51.52	44.10	40.58
1995	5.29	5.62	53.15	51.82	43.71	40.58
1996	5.04	5.31	50.12	49.18	41.70	40.58
1997	4.68	4.87	57.82	56.67	41.65	40.58
1998	4.77	4.90	45.51	45.30	39.97	40.58
1999	4.78	4.85	46.32	46.19	41.06	40.58
2000	4.71	4.71	48.04	48.04	40.58	40.58
2001	5.16	5.08	45.04	45.17	39.67	40.58
2002	5.55	5.36	45.26	45.50	39.47	40.58
2003	5.71	5.40	42.44	42.49	33.34	33.82
2004	5.81	5.38	41.61	41.53	32.13	33.82
2005	6.00	5.48	42.96	42.90	31.78	33.82
2006	5.77	5.20	40.01	40.14	32.72	33.82
2007	5.81	5.17	38.15	38.08	33.66	33.82
2008	6.26	5.50	38.38	38.18	35.69	40.58

 

 

Projected values

Calendar year	Incidence rates		Termination rates		Conversion ratios
	Gross rates	Age-sex-adjusted rates	Gross rates	Age-sex-adjusted rates	Gross ratios	Age-sex-adjusted ratios
2009	6.71	5.83	37.68	37.50	43.31	40.58
2010	7.55	6.51	38.18	38.05	40.84	40.58
2011	7.11	6.10	36.63	36.55	39.39	40.58
2012	6.49	5.56	37.63	37.85	45.32	40.58
2013	5.91	5.05	37.84	38.23	50.74	40.58
2014	5.96	5.08	37.53	37.99	49.94	40.58
2015	5.99	5.09	36.00	36.23	50.47	40.58
2016	6.10	5.17	35.20	35.34	50.69	40.58
2017	6.16	5.22	35.00	35.18	52.20	40.58
2018	6.22	5.26	34.90	35.14	53.62	40.58
2019	6.26	5.30	34.51	34.71	54.86	40.58
2020	6.27	5.31	34.13	34.31	57.53	40.58
2021	6.28	5.32	33.84	33.99	49.28	33.82
2022	6.27	5.33	33.57	33.67	50.54	33.82
2023	6.25	5.34	33.29	33.38	51.76	33.82
2024	6.21	5.34	33.00	33.08	52.59	33.82
2025	6.15	5.33	32.68	32.75	53.25	33.82
2026	6.08	5.32	32.36	32.42	54.55	40.58
2027	6.02	5.32	32.06	32.12	62.96	40.58
2028	5.96	5.31	31.76	31.81	63.38	40.58
2029	5.92	5.30	31.50	31.56	63.24	40.58
2030	5.89	5.29	31.25	31.32	63.33	40.58
2031	5.87	5.29	31.00	31.08	62.90	40.58
2032	5.86	5.29	30.75	30.85	60.68	40.58
2033	5.84	5.30	30.49	30.62	59.02	40.58
2034	5.82	5.30	30.25	30.40	58.68	40.58
2035	5.80	5.29	30.01	30.18	59.07	40.58
2036	5.80	5.29	29.78	29.97	59.66	40.58
2037	5.80	5.29	29.54	29.75	59.85	40.58
2038	5.80	5.29	29.31	29.54	58.43	40.58
2039	5.81	5.29	29.08	29.32	56.13	40.58
2040	5.83	5.29	28.85	29.11	55.29	40.58
2041	5.84	5.29	28.63	28.91	54.91	40.58
2042	5.85	5.29	28.41	28.71	54.12	40.58
2043	5.87	5.29	28.18	28.50	53.91	40.58
2044	5.88	5.29	27.96	28.29	54.32	40.58
2045	5.88	5.29	27.75	28.10	54.49	40.58
2046	5.89	5.29	27.54	27.91	55.48	40.58
2047	5.90	5.29	27.33	27.72	55.98	40.58
2048	5.90	5.29	27.12	27.53	56.15	40.58
2049	5.91	5.29	26.93	27.35	56.60	40.58
2050	5.92	5.29	26.73	27.17	56.24	40.58
2051	5.92	5.29	26.53	26.98	56.46	40.58
2052	5.92	5.28	26.34	26.80	56.75	40.58
2053	5.92	5.28	26.16	26.63	56.78	40.58
2054	5.91	5.29	25.97	26.46	57.21	40.58
2055	5.90	5.29	25.80	26.29	58.05	40.58
2056	5.90	5.28	25.62	26.13	59.15	40.58
2057	5.89	5.28	25.44	25.97	59.54	40.58
2058	5.89	5.28	25.27	25.81	59.47	40.58
2059	5.89	5.28	25.10	25.65	59.47	40.58
2060	5.89	5.28	24.93	25.49	59.23	40.58
2061	5.89	5.28	24.77	25.34	59.02	40.58
2062	5.89	5.28	24.59	25.18	58.58	40.58
2063	5.90	5.28	24.43	25.03	58.39	40.58
2064	5.90	5.28	24.27	24.88	58.27	40.58
2065	5.91	5.28	24.11	24.74	57.98	40.58
2066	5.91	5.28	23.95	24.60	58.11	40.58
2067	5.92	5.28	23.79	24.46	57.98	40.58
2068	5.92	5.28	23.64	24.33	57.55	40.58
2069	5.93	5.28	23.49	24.18	57.97	40.58
2070	5.93	5.28	23.34	24.05	58.38	40.58
2071	5.93	5.28	23.19	23.91	58.39	40.58
2072	5.94	5.28	23.04	23.78	58.61	40.58
2073	5.94	5.28	22.90	23.65	59.00	40.58
2074	5.95	5.28	22.76	23.52	58.49	40.58
2075	5.95	5.28	22.62	23.40	58.79	40.58
2076	5.95	5.28	22.48	23.27	59.07	40.58
2077	5.96	5.28	22.34	23.14	59.18	40.58
2078	5.96	5.28	22.21	23.03	59.31	40.58
2079	5.96	5.28	22.08	22.91	59.40	40.58
2080	5.96	5.28	21.95	22.79	59.59	40.58
2081	5.96	5.28	21.82	22.67	59.78	40.58
2082	5.96	5.28	21.70	22.55	59.96	40.58
2083	5.96	5.28	21.58	22.44	60.13	40.58
2084	5.96	5.28	21.46	22.33	60.30	40.58
2085	5.96	5.28	21.34	22.22	60.43	40.58

 

RETURN TO TRUSTEES REPORT.