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Selected Economic Variables

Single-Year Tables

Intermediate Assumptions Low-Cost Assumptions High-Cost Assumptions

Table VI.F6.- Selected Economic Variables,
Calendar Years 2010-86
[GDP and taxable payroll in billions]

Calendar year   Adjusted
CPI a		   Average
wage index b		   Taxable
payroll c		   Gross
domestic
product		   Compound
interest-rate
factor d

Intermediate:
2010   98.78   $41,843.71   $5,316   $14,654   0.9700
2011   100.00   43,517.83   5,532   15,231   1.0000
2012   101.66   45,435.49   5,834   15,949   1.0447
2013   103.59   47,489.90   6,175   16,807   1.0978
2014   105.62   49,462.43   6,527   17,719   1.1558
2015   107.73   51,398.64   6,879   18,626   1.2165
2016   109.89   53,430.36   7,240   19,496   1.2792
2017   112.26   55,551.37   7,600   20,366   1.3457
2018   115.18   57,969.43   7,983   21,312   1.4212
2019   118.40   60,406.32   8,361   22,297   1.5036
2020   121.72   62,760.16   8,738   23,315   1.5906
2021   125.13   65,184.43   9,117   24,388   1.6826
2022   128.63   67,715.48   9,513   25,509   1.7799
2023   132.23   70,334.99   9,927   26,683   1.8828
2024   135.93   73,057.77   10,362   27,915   1.9916
2025   139.74   75,917.46   10,813   29,190   2.1068
2026   143.65   78,934.90   11,284   30,523   2.2286
2027   147.67   82,069.24   11,785   31,933   2.3574
2028   151.81   85,333.24   12,309   33,406   2.4937
2029   156.06   88,739.86   12,855   34,937   2.6379
2030   160.43   92,292.47   13,429   36,547   2.7904
2031   164.92   96,003.74   14,041   38,259   2.9517
2032   169.54   99,869.91   14,682   40,053   3.1223
2033   174.29   103,904.63   15,351   41,926   3.3028
2034   179.17   108,100.56   16,051   43,888   3.4938
2035   184.18   112,470.97   16,780   45,934   3.6957
2036   189.34   117,020.97   17,545   48,082   3.9094
2037   194.64   121,752.71   18,347   50,334   4.1354
2038   200.09   126,680.58   19,196   52,719   4.3745
2039   205.70   131,789.21   20,079   55,207   4.6274
2040   211.45   137,096.03   20,995   57,792   4.8949
2041   217.38   142,609.98   21,956   60,508   5.1779
2042   223.46   148,323.80   22,958   63,351   5.4772
2043   229.72   154,253.68   24,001   66,314   5.7939
2044   236.15   160,399.39   25,087   69,411   6.1288
2045   242.76   166,774.21   26,217   72,644   6.4832
2046   249.56   173,388.87   27,394   76,020   6.8580
2047   256.55   180,265.38   28,617   79,535   7.2544
2048   263.73   187,415.64   29,895   83,210   7.6738
2049   271.12   194,848.01   31,230   87,050   8.1175
2050   278.71   202,573.04   32,624   91,063   8.5867
2051   286.51   210,599.70   34,076   95,251   9.0832
2052   294.53   218,937.93   35,591   99,624   9.6083
2053   302.78   227,596.57   37,171   104,190   10.1638
2054   311.26   236,580.85   38,815   108,957   10.7513
2055   319.97   245,901.05   40,533   113,949   11.3729
2056   328.93   255,574.74   42,319   119,153   12.0304
2057   338.14   265,638.02   44,189   124,602   12.7259
2058   347.61   276,117.71   46,145   130,303   13.4616
2059   357.34   287,020.89   48,193   136,275   14.2398
2060   367.35   298,355.68   50,338   142,539   15.0631
2061   377.64   310,129.69   52,578   149,089   15.9339
2062   388.21   322,365.11   54,919   155,946   16.8551
2063   399.08   335,077.63   57,364   163,122   17.8295
2064   410.25   348,272.20   59,913   170,621   18.8602
2065   421.74   361,967.60   62,568   178,452   19.9506
2066   433.55   376,199.79   65,341   186,644   21.1040
2067   445.69   390,998.60   68,240   195,217   22.3240
2068   458.17   406,397.55   71,269   204,177   23.6146
2069   471.00   422,420.96   74,428   213,527   24.9798
2070   484.18   439,090.87   77,728   223,301   26.4240
2071   497.74   456,425.00   81,171   233,511   27.9516
2072   511.68   474,457.88   84,767   244,182   29.5675
2073   526.00   493,210.44   88,519   255,325   31.2769
2074   540.73   512,709.18   92,440   266,982   33.0851
2075   555.87   532,980.73   96,530   279,159   34.9978
2076   571.44   554,067.72   100,801   291,881   37.0211
2077   587.44   576,031.85   105,262   305,170   39.1614
2078   603.89   598,898.82   109,920   319,043   41.4254
2079   620.80   622,706.25   114,783   333,527   43.8202
2080   638.18   647,482.90   119,865   348,661   46.3536
2081   656.05   673,266.11   125,170   364,468   49.0334
2082   674.42   700,081.57   130,709   380,986   51.8681
2083   693.30   727,990.45   136,491   398,228   54.8667
2084   712.71   757,048.74   142,529   416,237   58.0386
2085   732.67   787,361.54   148,855   435,071   61.3940
2086   753.18   818,925.69   155,464   454,740   64.9433

Low-cost:
2010   98.89   41,840.52   5,318   14,661   .9691
2011   100.00   43,599.58   5,559   15,305   1.0000
2012   101.15   45,522.96   5,897   16,115   1.0443
2013   102.42   47,535.08   6,282   17,091   1.0971
2014   103.82   49,370.46   6,666   18,081   1.1540
2015   105.34   51,143.06   7,044   19,036   1.2144
2016   106.98   53,057.41   7,410   19,901   1.2763
2017   108.76   55,112.98   7,765   20,740   1.3419
2018   110.68   57,323.29   8,134   21,607   1.4135
2019   112.67   59,503.79   8,502   22,512   1.4905
2020   114.70   61,577.65   8,864   23,450   1.5717
2021   116.76   63,699.93   9,218   24,434   1.6576
2022   118.86   65,909.52   9,588   25,460   1.7482
2023   121.00   68,186.62   9,974   26,530   1.8437
2024   123.18   70,545.17   10,377   27,646   1.9445
2025   125.40   73,015.00   10,794   28,795   2.0508
2026   127.66   75,616.36   11,226   29,988   2.1628
2027   129.95   78,313.28   11,683   31,241   2.2810
2028   132.29   81,108.55   12,159   32,541   2.4057
2029   134.68   84,007.74   12,654   33,891   2.5371
2030   137.10   87,012.41   13,174   35,305   2.6758
2031   139.57   90,133.37   13,726   36,800   2.8220
2032   142.08   93,368.26   14,303   38,364   2.9762
2033   144.64   96,730.15   14,906   39,994   3.1389
2034   147.24   100,211.38   15,534   41,696   3.3104
2035   149.89   103,819.01   16,192   43,471   3.4913
2036   152.59   107,556.27   16,881   45,333   3.6821
2037   155.34   111,427.96   17,603   47,283   3.8833
2038   158.13   115,445.49   18,368   49,346   4.0955
2039   160.98   119,593.21   19,166   51,500   4.3194
2040   163.88   123,885.72   19,993   53,734   4.5554
2041   166.83   128,328.49   20,862   56,082   4.8043
2042   169.83   132,916.24   21,769   58,537   5.0669
2043   172.88   137,660.49   22,715   61,095   5.3438
2044   176.00   142,556.36   23,699   63,767   5.6358
2045   179.16   147,615.41   24,723   66,554   5.9438
2046   182.39   152,846.12   25,792   69,462   6.2686
2047   185.67   158,264.19   26,905   72,491   6.6112
2048   189.01   163,878.01   28,069   75,655   6.9725
2049   192.42   169,692.50   29,285   78,958   7.3535
2050   195.88   175,713.27   30,554   82,404   7.7554
2051   199.41   181,942.55   31,879   86,000   8.1792
2052   203.00   188,385.76   33,263   89,755   8.6261
2053   206.65   195,060.00   34,708   93,679   9.0975
2054   210.37   201,966.15   36,216   97,776   9.5947
2055   214.16   209,112.12   37,788   102,054   10.1190
2056   218.01   216,512.25   39,430   106,523   10.6720
2057   221.94   224,183.26   41,147   111,195   11.2552
2058   225.93   232,144.24   42,946   116,081   11.8703
2059   230.00   240,402.10   44,829   121,192   12.5190
2060   234.14   248,955.19   46,802   126,548   13.2031
2061   238.35   257,809.97   48,865   132,151   13.9247
2062   242.64   266,976.87   51,020   138,006   14.6856
2063   247.01   276,461.15   53,274   144,133   15.4882
2064   251.46   286,268.19   55,626   150,533   16.3346
2065   255.98   296,404.22   58,083   157,228   17.2272
2066   260.59   306,899.08   60,650   164,226   18.1686
2067   265.28   317,768.91   63,338   171,547   19.1615
2068   270.05   329,038.57   66,150   179,204   20.2087
2069   274.92   340,723.75   69,090   187,198   21.3130
2070   279.86   352,835.43   72,166   195,562   22.4777
2071   284.90   365,382.76   75,384   204,305   23.7061
2072   290.03   378,385.62   78,745   213,436   25.0016
2073   295.25   391,859.25   82,255   222,971   26.3679
2074   300.56   405,813.96   85,928   232,941   27.8088
2075   305.98   420,266.82   89,767   243,366   29.3285
2076   311.48   435,250.22   93,778   254,249   30.9313
2077   317.09   450,795.31   97,968   265,605   32.6216
2078   322.80   466,920.59   102,347   277,457   34.4043
2079   328.61   483,648.50   106,927   289,836   36.2844
2080   334.52   500,987.30   111,712   302,757   38.2673
2081   340.54   518,959.12   116,707   316,232   40.3585
2082   346.67   537,582.95   121,922   330,300   42.5640
2083   352.91   556,895.08   127,377   344,996   44.8901
2084   359.27   576,921.31   133,068   360,314   47.3432
2085   365.73   597,685.57   139,010   376,292   49.9304
2086   372.32   619,249.54   145,235   392,994   52.6590

High-cost:
2010   98.45   41,836.85   5,314   14,645   .9701
2011   100.00   43,363.65   5,496   15,124   1.0000
2012   102.38   45,401.07   5,776   15,806   1.0474
2013   105.25   47,667.29   6,104   16,649   1.1044
2014   108.41   49,918.31   6,450   17,553   1.1668
2015   111.88   52,343.69   6,823   18,540   1.2348
2016   115.46   54,993.37   7,226   19,559   1.3067
2017   119.38   57,690.56   7,637   20,594   1.3829
2018   123.68   60,485.28   8,055   21,642   1.4637
2019   128.38   63,329.45   8,475   22,749   1.5512
2020   133.26   66,140.81   8,891   23,922   1.6448
2021   138.32   68,956.69   9,309   25,125   1.7431
2022   143.58   71,907.49   9,743   26,377   1.8474
2023   149.04   74,980.36   10,199   27,696   1.9579
2024   154.70   78,185.99   10,680   29,085   2.0749
2025   160.58   81,562.75   11,181   30,533   2.1990
2026   166.68   85,133.26   11,706   32,051   2.3305
2027   173.01   88,851.35   12,268   33,671   2.4699
2028   179.59   92,739.17   12,860   35,377   2.6176
2029   186.41   96,820.93   13,475   37,148   2.7741
2030   193.50   101,100.40   14,127   39,025   2.9400
2031   200.85   105,593.88   14,822   41,024   3.1158
2032   208.48   110,296.54   15,551   43,125   3.3021
2033   216.40   115,226.79   16,312   45,323   3.4995
2034   224.63   120,380.04   17,109   47,630   3.7088
2035   233.16   125,769.72   17,940   50,039   3.9306
2036   242.02   131,407.32   18,812   52,571   4.1656
2037   251.22   137,290.81   19,726   55,235   4.4147
2038   260.77   143,441.07   20,691   58,048   4.6787
2039   270.67   149,843.31   21,694   60,983   4.9585
2040   280.96   156,518.55   22,733   64,037   5.2550
2041   291.64   163,477.15   23,822   67,246   5.5692
2042   302.72   170,714.43   24,957   70,601   5.9023
2043   314.22   178,256.02   26,135   74,102   6.2552
2044   326.16   186,099.34   27,361   77,762   6.6293
2045   338.56   194,265.42   28,633   81,581   7.0257
2046   351.42   202,773.00   29,955   85,562   7.4458
2047   364.78   211,645.60   31,330   89,719   7.8910
2048   378.64   220,902.30   32,764   94,061   8.3629
2049   393.03   230,562.12   34,262   98,607   8.8630
2050   407.96   240,635.32   35,821   103,352   9.3930
2051   423.46   251,145.58   37,440   108,292   9.9547
2052   439.55   262,113.15   39,129   113,458   10.5499
2053   456.26   273,528.92   40,891   118,864   11.1808
2054   473.59   285,402.20   42,718   124,494   11.8494
2055   491.59   297,752.07   44,613   130,363   12.5579
2056   510.27   310,610.12   46,587   136,496   13.3089
2057   529.66   324,028.13   48,651   142,922   14.1047
2058   549.79   338,040.43   50,811   149,651   14.9482
2059   570.68   352,666.99   53,070   156,707   15.8420
2060   592.37   367,917.01   55,432   164,102   16.7894
2061   614.88   383,808.95   57,891   171,824   17.7933
2062   638.24   400,383.99   60,460   179,914   18.8573
2063   662.50   417,665.49   63,136   188,373   19.9850
2064   687.67   435,672.85   65,924   197,217   21.1800
2065   713.80   454,431.01   68,821   206,444   22.4466
2066   740.93   473,987.72   71,835   216,075   23.7888
2067   769.08   494,402.26   74,977   226,138   25.2113
2068   798.31   515,720.78   78,258   236,664   26.7189
2069   828.64   537,980.31   81,668   247,628   28.3167
2070   860.13   561,214.67   85,218   259,064   30.0099
2071   892.82   585,463.77   88,919   271,016   31.8045
2072   926.74   610,772.93   92,769   283,479   33.7063
2073   961.96   637,179.10   96,774   296,474   35.7219
2074   998.51   664,740.37   100,951   310,056   37.8580
2075   1,036.46   693,500.40   105,300   324,238   40.1218
2076   1,075.84   723,517.10   109,832   339,044   42.5210
2077   1,116.72   754,892.14   114,555   354,493   45.0637
2078   1,159.16   787,679.32   119,479   370,621   47.7584
2079   1,203.21   821,935.10   124,610   387,445   50.6143
2080   1,248.93   857,733.04   129,967   405,035   53.6409
2081   1,296.39   895,114.25   135,551   423,402   56.8485
2082   1,345.65   934,142.54   141,369   442,575   60.2479
2083   1,396.79   974,922.31   147,440   462,609   63.8507
2084   1,449.87   1,017,526.80   153,778   483,553   67.6688
2085   1,504.96   1,062,040.43   160,398   505,453   71.7153
2086   1,562.15   1,108,597.79   167,309   528,323   76.0037
a The adjusted CPI is the CPI-W indexed to calendar year 2011.
b The average wage index is used to automatically adjust the contribution and benefit base and other wage-indexed program amounts. (See "Average wage index" in the glossary.)
c Taxable payroll consists of total earnings subject to OASDI contribution rates, adjusted to reflect the lower effective contribution rates (compared to the combined employee-employer rate) that apply to multiple-employer "excess wages."
d The compound interest-rate factor is based on the average of the assumed annual interest rates for special public-debt obligations issuable to the trust funds in the 12 months of the year, under each alternative.
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