2013 OASDI Trustees Report
The following table presents the plot points for Figure
V.C4
 — DI Disabled-Worker
Termination Rates.
Historical rates
Calendar
year
Gross rates
Age-sex-adjusted rates
1970
92.51
90.17
1971
88.42
86.19
1972
80.53
78.50
1973
83.41
81.30
1974
74.86
72.97
1975
73.47
71.62
1976
72.58
70.91
1977
74.53
74.36
1978
81.78
86.03
1979
81.23
86.03
1980
77.31
81.14
1981
87.94
95.91
1982
105.59
120.95
1983
97.69
110.58
1984
72.13
72.75
1985
59.94
57.48
1986
57.95
54.74
1987
63.08
60.51
1988
64.36
62.51
1989
59.19
56.37
1990
57.34
55.32
1991
55.77
54.04
1992
54.58
52.89
1993
53.17
51.79
1994
52.78
51.52
1995
53.15
51.82
1996
50.12
49.18
1997
57.82
56.67
1998
45.51
45.30
1999
46.32
46.19
2000
48.04
48.04
2001
45.04
45.17
2002
45.26
45.50
2003
42.44
42.49
2004
41.61
41.53
2005
42.97
42.90
2006
40.02
40.14
2007
38.17
38.08
2008
38.40
38.18
2009
36.90
36.58
2010
36.92
36.82
2011
35.94
35.82
2012
36.34
36.24
Projected rates
Calendar
year
Gross rates
Age-sex-adjusted rates
I
II
III
I
II
III
2013
38.02
36.91
35.91
38.44
37.20
36.06
2014
38.99
37.20
35.62
39.80
37.81
36.02
2015
39.29
36.94
34.90
40.34
37.75
35.45
2016
38.14
35.46
33.18
38.93
36.04
33.53
2017
37.51
34.47
31.93
38.16
34.93
32.17
2018
37.75
34.27
31.38
38.51
34.83
31.71
2019
37.86
33.99
30.80
38.67
34.61
31.19
2020
37.91
33.67
30.20
38.72
34.31
30.61
2021
37.99
33.38
29.63
38.77
34.01
30.04
2022
38.11
33.13
29.09
38.87
33.76
29.52
2023
38.13
32.97
28.29
38.72
33.46
28.50
2024
38.07
32.76
27.88
38.54
33.16
28.03
2025
37.95
32.49
27.43
38.37
32.85
27.55
2026
37.76
32.18
26.94
38.18
32.56
27.10
2027
37.46
31.78
26.39
37.98
32.24
26.65
2028
37.29
31.49
25.95
37.77
31.93
26.23
2029
37.09
31.20
25.52
37.55
31.62
25.81
2030
36.90
30.91
25.09
37.33
31.31
25.38
2031
36.69
30.60
24.66
37.09
31.00
24.98
2032
36.48
30.30
24.24
36.85
30.69
24.59
2033
36.34
30.03
23.90
36.73
30.45
24.28
2034
36.21
29.77
23.55
36.64
30.23
23.97
2035
36.09
29.52
23.23
36.54
30.01
23.69
2036
35.96
29.27
22.91
36.45
29.79
23.40
2037
35.83
29.02
22.59
36.35
29.58
23.13
2038
35.69
28.77
22.28
36.25
29.37
22.85
2039
35.57
28.53
21.98
36.16
29.16
22.58
2040
35.44
28.31
21.70
36.06
28.96
22.33
2041
35.33
28.08
21.42
35.95
28.75
22.07
2042
35.21
27.85
21.14
35.84
28.54
21.82
2043
35.08
27.63
20.87
35.72
28.34
21.58
2044
34.97
27.42
20.60
35.61
28.14
21.33
2045
34.84
27.20
20.35
35.48
27.94
21.10
2046
34.71
26.98
20.10
35.35
27.74
20.87
2047
34.59
26.77
19.85
35.23
27.55
20.65
2048
34.46
26.57
19.61
35.11
27.36
20.43
2049
34.33
26.37
19.38
34.98
27.17
20.22
2050
34.20
26.16
19.15
34.85
26.98
20.01
2051
34.07
25.96
18.93
34.72
26.80
19.81
2052
33.94
25.76
18.70
34.60
26.61
19.61
2053
33.81
25.57
18.49
34.47
26.44
19.43
2054
33.68
25.38
18.28
34.34
26.26
19.24
2055
33.56
25.19
18.07
34.22
26.09
19.06
2056
33.42
25.01
17.87
34.09
25.92
18.88
2057
33.30
24.83
17.68
33.98
25.76
18.70
2058
33.16
24.64
17.49
33.85
25.59
18.54
2059
33.03
24.46
17.30
33.72
25.43
18.37
2060
32.89
24.28
17.11
33.60
25.27
18.20
2061
32.76
24.11
16.92
33.48
25.11
18.05
2062
32.63
23.93
16.74
33.36
24.96
17.89
2063
32.50
23.76
16.57
33.24
24.80
17.74
2064
32.38
23.59
16.39
33.13
24.65
17.60
2065
32.26
23.43
16.23
33.01
24.51
17.45
2066
32.14
23.27
16.06
32.89
24.36
17.31
2067
32.02
23.11
15.90
32.78
24.22
17.17
2068
31.89
22.95
15.74
32.66
24.08
17.03
2069
31.77
22.80
15.59
32.55
23.93
16.90
2070
31.64
22.64
15.44
32.43
23.79
16.77
2071
31.52
22.49
15.29
32.32
23.66
16.65
2072
31.40
22.33
15.14
32.21
23.52
16.52
2073
31.28
22.19
15.00
32.10
23.39
16.39
2074
31.15
22.04
14.87
31.99
23.26
16.27
2075
31.03
21.89
14.73
31.88
23.13
16.16
2076
30.90
21.75
14.60
31.78
23.01
16.04
2077
30.77
21.59
14.46
31.66
22.88
15.93
2078
30.64
21.45
14.33
31.55
22.75
15.81
2079
30.52
21.30
14.20
31.45
22.63
15.71
2080
30.40
21.16
14.07
31.34
22.51
15.60
2081
30.28
21.01
13.94
31.24
22.39
15.49
2082
30.16
20.88
13.82
31.14
22.28
15.39
2083
30.04
20.74
13.70
31.03
22.16
15.29
2084
29.93
20.61
13.59
30.93
22.05
15.19
2085
29.82
20.48
13.48
30.83
21.93
15.09
2086
29.71
20.36
13.37
30.73
21.82
14.99
2087
29.60
20.24
13.27
30.63
21.71
14.90
2088
29.49
20.12
13.17
30.53
21.60
14.81
2089
29.38
20.00
13.07
30.43
21.49
14.72
2090
29.27
19.89
12.98
30.33
21.39
14.63
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Actuarial Publications
May 31, 2013