2013 Trustees Report

2013 OASDI Trustees Report

The following table presents the plot points for Figure V.C5 — Comparison of DI Disabled-Worker Incidence Rates, Termination Rates and Conversion Ratios Under Intermediate Assumptions.

Historical values
Calendar year	Incidence rates		Termination rates		Conversion ratios
Calendar year	Gross rates	Age-sex-adjusted rates	Gross rates	Age-sex-adjusted rates	Gross ratios	Age-sex-adjusted ratios
1970	4.82	4.38	92.51	90.17	71.26	40.58
1971	5.56	5.10	88.42	86.19	68.37	40.58
1972	5.96	5.50	80.53	78.50	66.87	40.58
1973	6.31	5.90	83.41	81.30	68.06	40.58
1974	6.67	6.43	74.86	72.97	66.80	40.58
1975	7.13	7.04	73.47	71.62	64.10	40.58
1976	6.52	6.49	72.58	70.91	64.23	40.58
1977	6.60	6.64	74.53	74.36	66.22	40.58
1978	5.51	5.80	81.78	86.03	66.20	40.58
1979	4.73	5.11	81.23	86.03	70.07	40.58
1980	4.36	4.80	77.31	81.14	68.05	40.58
1981	3.86	4.18	87.94	95.91	67.65	40.58
1982	3.35	3.70	105.59	120.95	70.30	40.58
1983	4.22	4.71	97.69	110.58	71.43	40.58
1984	3.98	4.34	72.13	72.75	69.29	40.58
1985	3.96	4.34	59.94	57.48	69.38	40.58
1986	3.96	4.30	57.95	54.74	67.71	40.58
1987	3.84	4.21	63.08	60.51	62.64	40.58
1988	3.73	4.11	64.36	62.51	60.27	40.58
1989	3.79	4.21	59.19	56.37	60.58	40.58
1990	4.08	4.53	57.34	55.32	57.53	40.58
1991	4.62	5.09	55.77	54.04	54.07	40.58
1992	5.44	5.90	54.58	52.89	51.43	40.58
1993	5.35	5.75	53.17	51.79	47.47	40.58
1994	5.24	5.60	52.78	51.52	44.10	40.58
1995	5.29	5.61	53.15	51.82	43.71	40.58
1996	5.04	5.30	50.12	49.18	41.70	40.58
1997	4.68	4.87	57.82	56.67	41.65	40.58
1998	4.76	4.89	45.51	45.30	39.97	40.58
1999	4.78	4.85	46.32	46.19	41.06	40.58
2000	4.71	4.71	48.04	48.04	40.58	40.58
2001	5.16	5.08	45.04	45.17	39.67	40.58
2002	5.54	5.36	45.26	45.50	39.47	40.58
2003	5.70	5.40	42.44	42.49	33.34	33.82
2004	5.80	5.38	41.61	41.53	32.14	33.82
2005	5.99	5.47	42.97	42.90	31.79	33.82
2006	5.75	5.19	40.02	40.14	32.72	33.82
2007	5.80	5.16	38.17	38.08	33.67	33.82
2008	6.27	5.51	38.40	38.18	35.71	33.82
2009	6.95	6.05	36.90	36.58	42.99	40.58
2010	7.43	6.38	36.92	36.82	40.68	40.58
2011	7.23	6.09	35.94	35.82	39.09	40.58
2012	6.95	5.80	36.34	36.24	44.94	40.58

Projected values
Calendar year	Incidence rates		Termination rates		Conversion ratios
Calendar year	Gross rates	Age-sex-adjusted rates	Gross rates	Age-sex-adjusted rates	Gross ratios	Age-sex-adjusted ratios
2013	6.54	5.45	36.91	37.20	49.42	40.58
2014	6.72	5.59	37.20	37.81	48.51	40.58
2015	6.55	5.46	36.94	37.75	49.09	40.58
2016	6.41	5.35	35.46	36.04	49.39	40.58
2017	6.28	5.24	34.47	34.93	51.49	40.58
2018	6.23	5.20	34.27	34.83	53.13	40.58
2019	6.25	5.21	33.99	34.61	54.77	40.58
2020	6.27	5.24	33.67	34.31	57.00	40.58
2021	6.32	5.29	33.38	34.01	48.40	33.82
2022	6.36	5.33	33.13	33.76	49.45	33.82
2023	6.37	5.36	32.97	33.46	50.24	33.82
2024	6.39	5.38	32.76	33.16	50.37	33.82
2025	6.41	5.39	32.49	32.85	50.25	33.82
2026	6.41	5.41	32.18	32.56	50.87	33.82
2027	6.37	5.41	31.78	32.24	62.32	40.58
2028	6.36	5.42	31.49	31.93	63.03	40.58
2029	6.35	5.42	31.20	31.62	62.85	40.58
2030	6.35	5.43	30.91	31.31	62.61	40.58
2031	6.34	5.43	30.60	31.00	62.31	40.58
2032	6.35	5.43	30.30	30.69	60.28	40.58
2033	6.34	5.43	30.03	30.45	58.65	40.58
2034	6.32	5.43	29.77	30.23	57.96	40.58
2035	6.31	5.42	29.52	30.01	58.92	40.58
2036	6.30	5.42	29.27	29.79	60.79	40.58
2037	6.31	5.42	29.02	29.58	62.60	40.58
2038	6.32	5.42	28.77	29.37	61.03	40.58
2039	6.34	5.42	28.53	29.16	57.88	40.58
2040	6.36	5.42	28.31	28.96	55.83	40.58
2041	6.38	5.42	28.08	28.75	55.46	40.58
2042	6.40	5.42	27.85	28.54	54.85	40.58
2043	6.41	5.42	27.63	28.34	54.73	40.58
2044	6.42	5.42	27.42	28.14	55.44	40.58
2045	6.43	5.42	27.20	27.94	56.03	40.58
2046	6.43	5.42	26.98	27.74	57.61	40.58
2047	6.43	5.42	26.77	27.55	58.43	40.58
2048	6.43	5.42	26.57	27.36	58.58	40.58
2049	6.44	5.42	26.37	27.17	58.81	40.58
2050	6.44	5.42	26.16	26.98	58.06	40.58
2051	6.44	5.42	25.96	26.80	58.01	40.58
2052	6.44	5.42	25.76	26.61	58.58	40.58
2053	6.44	5.42	25.57	26.44	58.59	40.58
2054	6.43	5.42	25.38	26.26	58.95	40.58
2055	6.42	5.42	25.19	26.09	60.00	40.58
2056	6.41	5.42	25.01	25.92	61.74	40.58
2057	6.40	5.42	24.83	25.76	62.94	40.58
2058	6.40	5.42	24.64	25.59	62.84	40.58
2059	6.40	5.41	24.46	25.43	62.20	40.58
2060	6.40	5.41	24.28	25.27	61.46	40.58
2061	6.40	5.41	24.11	25.11	60.77	40.58
2062	6.40	5.41	23.93	24.96	60.08	40.58
2063	6.40	5.41	23.76	24.80	59.89	40.58
2064	6.40	5.41	23.59	24.65	60.01	40.58
2065	6.40	5.41	23.43	24.51	60.22	40.58
2066	6.40	5.41	23.27	24.36	60.93	40.58
2067	6.40	5.41	23.11	24.22	61.09	40.58
2068	6.40	5.41	22.95	24.08	60.40	40.58
2069	6.40	5.41	22.80	23.93	60.25	40.58
2070	6.39	5.41	22.64	23.79	60.86	40.58
2071	6.39	5.41	22.49	23.66	61.18	40.58
2072	6.39	5.41	22.33	23.52	61.43	40.58
2073	6.39	5.41	22.19	23.39	62.26	40.58
2074	6.39	5.41	22.04	23.26	62.84	40.58
2075	6.41	5.41	21.89	23.13	61.96	40.58
2076	6.42	5.41	21.75	23.01	60.51	40.58
2077	6.44	5.41	21.59	22.88	58.35	40.58
2078	6.46	5.41	21.45	22.75	57.64	40.58
2079	6.47	5.41	21.30	22.63	57.77	40.58
2080	6.48	5.41	21.16	22.51	58.11	40.58
2081	6.50	5.41	21.01	22.39	58.57	40.58
2082	6.50	5.41	20.88	22.28	59.25	40.58
2083	6.50	5.41	20.74	22.16	60.07	40.58
2084	6.50	5.41	20.61	22.05	61.00	40.58
2085	6.50	5.41	20.48	21.93	61.83	40.58
2086	6.50	5.41	20.36	21.82	62.61	40.58
2087	6.49	5.41	20.24	21.71	63.23	40.58
2088	6.49	5.41	20.12	21.60	63.69	40.58
2089	6.48	5.41	20.00	21.49	63.82	40.58
2090	6.48	5.41	19.89	21.39	63.88	40.58

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