OASDI and HI Annual Income, Cost, and Balance as a Percentage of GDP — 2021 OASDI Trustees Report
Single-Year Tables | Historical data | Intermediate Assumptions | Low-Cost Assumptions | High-Cost Assumptions |
Percentage of GDP | ||||||||||||||||||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OASDI | HI | Combined | ||||||||||||||||||
Calendar year |
In- come a |
Cost b |
Bal- ance b |
In- come a |
Cost | Bal- ance |
In- come a |
Cost b |
Bal- ance b |
GDP in dollars (billions) |
||||||||||
Historical data: |
||||||||||||||||||||
1970 | 3.28 | 3.08 | 0.20 | 0.53 | 0.51 | 0.02 | 3.81 | 3.59 | 0.22 | 1,073 | ||||||||||
1971 | 3.34 | 3.31 | .03 | .47 | .52 | -.05 | 3.81 | 3.83 | -.02 | 1,165 | ||||||||||
1972 | 3.39 | 3.38 | .01 | .47 | .52 | -.05 | 3.86 | 3.90 | -.04 | 1,279 | ||||||||||
1973 | 3.68 | 3.73 | -.05 | .80 | .54 | .26 | 4.47 | 4.27 | .20 | 1,425 | ||||||||||
1974 | 3.84 | 3.92 | -.08 | .75 | .61 | .14 | 4.60 | 4.53 | .06 | 1,545 | ||||||||||
1975 | 3.84 | 4.11 | -.26 | .73 | .69 | .04 | 4.57 | 4.79 | -.22 | 1,685 | ||||||||||
1976 | 3.86 | 4.18 | -.32 | .69 | .74 | -.05 | 4.55 | 4.92 | -.37 | 1,873 | ||||||||||
1977 | 3.82 | 4.19 | -.37 | .72 | .77 | -.05 | 4.54 | 4.96 | -.42 | 2,082 | ||||||||||
1978 | 3.81 | 4.08 | -.27 | .79 | .79 | c | 4.60 | 4.87 | -.27 | 2,352 | ||||||||||
1979 | 3.95 | 4.08 | -.14 | .86 | .82 | .04 | 4.81 | 4.90 | -.09 | 2,627 | ||||||||||
1980 | 4.11 | 4.32 | -.22 | .87 | .91 | -.04 | 4.98 | 5.23 | -.26 | 2,857 | ||||||||||
1981 | 4.37 | 4.50 | -.13 | 1.05 | .97 | .08 | 5.42 | 5.47 | -.05 | 3,207 | ||||||||||
1982 | 4.38 | 4.79 | -.41 | 1.06 | 1.08 | -.02 | 5.44 | 5.87 | -.43 | 3,344 | ||||||||||
1983 | 4.49 | 4.71 | -.23 | 1.13 | 1.11 | .02 | 5.61 | 5.82 | -.21 | 3,634 | ||||||||||
1984 | 4.54 | 4.47 | .07 | 1.10 | 1.12 | -.03 | 5.64 | 5.59 | .04 | 4,038 | ||||||||||
1985 | 4.63 | 4.39 | .23 | 1.14 | 1.11 | .03 | 5.77 | 5.51 | .26 | 4,339 | ||||||||||
1986 | 4.65 | 4.40 | .25 | 1.23 | 1.09 | .14 | 5.88 | 5.49 | .39 | 4,580 | ||||||||||
1987 | 4.65 | 4.31 | .34 | 1.23 | 1.07 | .15 | 5.88 | 5.38 | .50 | 4,855 | ||||||||||
1988 | 4.88 | 4.25 | .63 | 1.22 | 1.02 | .20 | 6.09 | 5.27 | .82 | 5,236 | ||||||||||
1989 | 4.91 | 4.19 | .72 | 1.21 | 1.09 | .12 | 6.11 | 5.28 | .84 | 5,642 | ||||||||||
1990 | 5.00 | 4.24 | .76 | 1.21 | 1.12 | .09 | 6.21 | 5.36 | .84 | 5,963 | ||||||||||
1991 | 5.00 | 4.45 | .55 | 1.30 | 1.19 | .11 | 6.30 | 5.64 | .66 | 6,158 | ||||||||||
1992 | 4.87 | 4.48 | .39 | 1.30 | 1.30 | c | 6.16 | 5.78 | .39 | 6,520 | ||||||||||
1993 | 4.78 | 4.50 | .28 | 1.28 | 1.39 | -.11 | 6.06 | 5.89 | .17 | 6,859 | ||||||||||
1994 | 4.80 | 4.43 | .37 | 1.40 | 1.48 | -.08 | 6.20 | 5.91 | .29 | 7,287 | ||||||||||
1995 | 4.77 | 4.45 | .32 | 1.41 | 1.55 | -.14 | 6.18 | 6.00 | .18 | 7,640 | ||||||||||
1996 | 4.78 | 4.38 | .40 | 1.41 | 1.60 | -.18 | 6.19 | 5.98 | .21 | 8,073 | ||||||||||
1997 | 4.83 | 4.30 | .52 | 1.43 | 1.60 | -.17 | 6.26 | 5.90 | .36 | 8,578 | ||||||||||
1998 | 4.85 | 4.22 | .64 | 1.47 | 1.46 | .02 | 6.33 | 5.67 | .65 | 9,063 | ||||||||||
1999 | 4.89 | 4.08 | .81 | 1.49 | 1.35 | .14 | 6.39 | 5.43 | .95 | 9,631 | ||||||||||
2000 | 4.92 | 4.05 | .87 | 1.52 | 1.28 | .24 | 6.44 | 5.33 | 1.11 | 10,252 | ||||||||||
2001 | 5.00 | 4.15 | .85 | 1.50 | 1.35 | .15 | 6.50 | 5.50 | 1.00 | 10,582 | ||||||||||
2002 | 5.00 | 4.22 | .78 | 1.46 | 1.40 | .06 | 6.46 | 5.62 | .84 | 10,936 | ||||||||||
2003 | 4.77 | 4.18 | .59 | 1.44 | 1.39 | .04 | 6.21 | 5.58 | .63 | 11,458 | ||||||||||
2004 | 4.66 | 4.11 | .55 | 1.43 | 1.41 | .02 | 6.09 | 5.52 | .57 | 12,214 | ||||||||||
2005 | 4.66 | 4.06 | .60 | 1.41 | 1.44 | -.02 | 6.07 | 5.50 | .57 | 13,037 | ||||||||||
2006 | 4.65 | 4.02 | .63 | 1.42 | 1.43 | -.01 | 6.07 | 5.46 | .62 | 13,815 | ||||||||||
2007 | 4.67 | 4.11 | .56 | 1.44 | 1.45 | -.01 | 6.11 | 5.56 | .55 | 14,452 | ||||||||||
2008 | 4.68 | 4.25 | .43 | 1.44 | 1.53 | -.09 | 6.12 | 5.78 | .34 | 14,713 | ||||||||||
2009 | 4.77 | 4.75 | .02 | 1.42 | 1.66 | -.24 | 6.19 | 6.40 | -.21 | 14,449 | ||||||||||
2010 | 4.43 | 4.75 | -.33 | 1.40 | 1.64 | -.24 | 5.83 | 6.39 | -.57 | 14,992 | ||||||||||
2011 | 4.44 | 4.74 | -.29 | 1.41 | 1.65 | -.24 | 5.85 | 6.38 | -.53 | 15,543 | ||||||||||
2012 | 4.51 | 4.85 | -.34 | 1.43 | 1.62 | -.19 | 5.94 | 6.47 | -.53 | 16,197 | ||||||||||
2013 | 4.48 | 4.90 | -.42 | 1.45 | 1.60 | -.15 | 5.93 | 6.50 | -.57 | 16,785 | ||||||||||
2014 | 4.48 | 4.90 | -.42 | 1.47 | 1.54 | -.07 | 5.96 | 6.44 | -.48 | 17,527 | ||||||||||
2015 | 4.53 | 4.92 | -.39 | 1.48 | 1.52 | -.04 | 6.02 | 6.44 | -.42 | 18,238 | ||||||||||
2016 | 4.64 | 4.92 | -.28 | 1.49 | 1.54 | -.05 | 6.12 | 6.46 | -.34 | 18,745 | ||||||||||
2017 | 4.66 | 4.87 | -.21 | 1.49 | 1.54 | -.04 | 6.16 | 6.41 | -.25 | 19,543 | ||||||||||
2018 | 4.46 | 4.85 | -.39 | 1.47 | 1.51 | -.04 | 5.93 | 6.36 | -.43 | 20,612 | ||||||||||
2019 | 4.58 | 4.94 | -.37 | 1.49 | 1.54 | -.05 | 6.07 | 6.48 | -.41 | 21,433 | ||||||||||
2020 | 4.98 | 5.29 | -.31 | 1.56 | 1.63 | -.07 | 6.54 | 6.92 | -.38 | 20,937 | ||||||||||
Intermediate: |
||||||||||||||||||||
2021 | 4.48 | 5.14 | -.66 | 1.56 | 1.68 | -.12 | 6.04 | 6.82 | -.78 | 22,382 | ||||||||||
2022 | 4.67 | 5.17 | -.50 | 1.56 | 1.68 | -.12 | 6.23 | 6.85 | -.62 | 23,714 | ||||||||||
2023 | 4.69 | 5.24 | -.55 | 1.57 | 1.69 | -.12 | 6.25 | 6.93 | -.67 | 24,815 | ||||||||||
2024 | 4.71 | 5.32 | -.62 | 1.57 | 1.71 | -.14 | 6.28 | 7.03 | -.75 | 25,895 | ||||||||||
2025 | 4.71 | 5.40 | -.69 | 1.58 | 1.74 | -.16 | 6.29 | 7.14 | -.85 | 27,041 | ||||||||||
2026 | 4.75 | 5.49 | -.74 | 1.61 | 1.77 | -.16 | 6.36 | 7.26 | -.90 | 28,190 | ||||||||||
2027 | 4.76 | 5.58 | -.82 | 1.62 | 1.81 | -.19 | 6.38 | 7.39 | -1.01 | 29,353 | ||||||||||
2028 | 4.77 | 5.67 | -.90 | 1.63 | 1.85 | -.22 | 6.40 | 7.52 | -1.12 | 30,571 | ||||||||||
2029 | 4.78 | 5.76 | -.98 | 1.64 | 1.88 | -.25 | 6.42 | 7.64 | -1.23 | 31,836 | ||||||||||
2030 | 4.78 | 5.84 | -1.06 | 1.65 | 1.91 | -.26 | 6.43 | 7.75 | -1.32 | 33,151 | ||||||||||
2031 | 4.78 | 5.89 | -1.11 | 1.66 | 1.97 | -.31 | 6.44 | 7.86 | -1.43 | 34,513 | ||||||||||
2032 | 4.78 | 5.94 | -1.16 | 1.66 | 2.01 | -.35 | 6.44 | 7.95 | -1.51 | 35,928 | ||||||||||
2033 | 4.77 | 5.97 | -1.20 | 1.67 | 2.03 | -.37 | 6.44 | 8.01 | -1.57 | 37,402 | ||||||||||
2034 | 4.77 | 6.00 | -1.23 | 1.67 | 2.05 | -.38 | 6.44 | 8.05 | -1.61 | 38,926 | ||||||||||
2035 | 4.76 | 6.01 | -1.25 | 1.68 | 2.07 | -.40 | 6.43 | 8.09 | -1.65 | 40,505 | ||||||||||
2036 | 4.75 | 6.03 | -1.27 | 1.68 | 2.09 | -.41 | 6.43 | 8.12 | -1.68 | 42,135 | ||||||||||
2037 | 4.74 | 6.04 | -1.29 | 1.68 | 2.11 | -.42 | 6.43 | 8.14 | -1.71 | 43,817 | ||||||||||
2038 | 4.74 | 6.04 | -1.30 | 1.69 | 2.12 | -.43 | 6.42 | 8.16 | -1.74 | 45,561 | ||||||||||
2039 | 4.73 | 6.04 | -1.31 | 1.69 | 2.13 | -.44 | 6.42 | 8.17 | -1.76 | 47,372 | ||||||||||
2040 | 4.72 | 6.04 | -1.32 | 1.69 | 2.14 | -.45 | 6.41 | 8.18 | -1.77 | 49,247 | ||||||||||
2041 | 4.71 | 6.04 | -1.33 | 1.69 | 2.15 | -.46 | 6.40 | 8.19 | -1.79 | 51,193 | ||||||||||
2042 | 4.70 | 6.04 | -1.33 | 1.70 | 2.16 | -.46 | 6.40 | 8.20 | -1.80 | 53,228 | ||||||||||
2043 | 4.69 | 6.02 | -1.33 | 1.70 | 2.16 | -.47 | 6.39 | 8.19 | -1.80 | 55,360 | ||||||||||
2044 | 4.69 | 6.01 | -1.33 | 1.70 | 2.17 | -.47 | 6.38 | 8.18 | -1.80 | 57,583 | ||||||||||
2045 | 4.68 | 6.00 | -1.33 | 1.70 | 2.17 | -.47 | 6.38 | 8.17 | -1.80 | 59,903 | ||||||||||
2046 | 4.67 | 6.00 | -1.33 | 1.70 | 2.17 | -.47 | 6.37 | 8.17 | -1.79 | 62,309 | ||||||||||
2047 | 4.66 | 5.99 | -1.33 | 1.71 | 2.17 | -.46 | 6.37 | 8.16 | -1.79 | 64,808 | ||||||||||
2048 | 4.66 | 5.99 | -1.34 | 1.71 | 2.16 | -.45 | 6.36 | 8.15 | -1.79 | 67,411 | ||||||||||
2049 | 4.65 | 5.99 | -1.34 | 1.71 | 2.16 | -.45 | 6.36 | 8.15 | -1.79 | 70,149 | ||||||||||
2050 | 4.64 | 5.99 | -1.34 | 1.71 | 2.15 | -.44 | 6.36 | 8.14 | -1.78 | 73,006 | ||||||||||
2051 | 4.64 | 5.99 | -1.35 | 1.72 | 2.15 | -.43 | 6.35 | 8.13 | -1.78 | 75,982 | ||||||||||
2052 | 4.63 | 5.99 | -1.36 | 1.72 | 2.14 | -.42 | 6.35 | 8.13 | -1.78 | 79,083 | ||||||||||
2053 | 4.62 | 5.99 | -1.36 | 1.72 | 2.14 | -.41 | 6.35 | 8.12 | -1.78 | 82,310 | ||||||||||
2054 | 4.62 | 5.99 | -1.37 | 1.73 | 2.13 | -.40 | 6.35 | 8.12 | -1.78 | 85,674 | ||||||||||
2055 | 4.61 | 6.00 | -1.38 | 1.73 | 2.13 | -.40 | 6.35 | 8.13 | -1.78 | 89,182 | ||||||||||
2056 | 4.61 | 6.01 | -1.40 | 1.73 | 2.13 | -.39 | 6.35 | 8.13 | -1.79 | 92,833 | ||||||||||
2057 | 4.61 | 6.01 | -1.41 | 1.74 | 2.12 | -.38 | 6.35 | 8.14 | -1.79 | 96,638 | ||||||||||
2058 | 4.60 | 6.03 | -1.42 | 1.74 | 2.12 | -.38 | 6.35 | 8.14 | -1.80 | 100,594 | ||||||||||
2059 | 4.60 | 6.04 | -1.44 | 1.75 | 2.11 | -.37 | 6.35 | 8.15 | -1.81 | 104,706 | ||||||||||
2060 | 4.59 | 6.05 | -1.45 | 1.75 | 2.11 | -.36 | 6.35 | 8.16 | -1.82 | 108,977 | ||||||||||
2061 | 4.59 | 6.06 | -1.47 | 1.76 | 2.11 | -.36 | 6.35 | 8.17 | -1.83 | 113,422 | ||||||||||
2062 | 4.59 | 6.07 | -1.48 | 1.76 | 2.11 | -.35 | 6.35 | 8.18 | -1.84 | 118,044 | ||||||||||
2063 | 4.58 | 6.08 | -1.50 | 1.76 | 2.11 | -.35 | 6.35 | 8.19 | -1.84 | 122,846 | ||||||||||
2064 | 4.58 | 6.09 | -1.51 | 1.77 | 2.11 | -.34 | 6.35 | 8.20 | -1.86 | 127,827 | ||||||||||
2065 | 4.58 | 6.10 | -1.53 | 1.77 | 2.11 | -.34 | 6.35 | 8.21 | -1.87 | 132,996 | ||||||||||
2066 | 4.57 | 6.11 | -1.54 | 1.78 | 2.12 | -.34 | 6.35 | 8.23 | -1.88 | 138,370 | ||||||||||
2067 | 4.57 | 6.12 | -1.55 | 1.78 | 2.12 | -.34 | 6.35 | 8.24 | -1.89 | 143,961 | ||||||||||
2068 | 4.56 | 6.13 | -1.57 | 1.78 | 2.12 | -.34 | 6.35 | 8.25 | -1.91 | 149,763 | ||||||||||
2069 | 4.56 | 6.15 | -1.59 | 1.79 | 2.12 | -.33 | 6.35 | 8.27 | -1.92 | 155,778 | ||||||||||
2070 | 4.56 | 6.16 | -1.60 | 1.79 | 2.12 | -.33 | 6.35 | 8.28 | -1.93 | 162,027 | ||||||||||
2071 | 4.55 | 6.17 | -1.62 | 1.80 | 2.12 | -.33 | 6.35 | 8.29 | -1.95 | 168,532 | ||||||||||
2072 | 4.55 | 6.18 | -1.63 | 1.80 | 2.13 | -.33 | 6.35 | 8.31 | -1.96 | 175,300 | ||||||||||
2073 | 4.55 | 6.19 | -1.65 | 1.80 | 2.13 | -.32 | 6.35 | 8.32 | -1.97 | 182,349 | ||||||||||
2074 | 4.54 | 6.20 | -1.66 | 1.81 | 2.13 | -.32 | 6.35 | 8.33 | -1.98 | 189,700 | ||||||||||
2075 | 4.54 | 6.21 | -1.67 | 1.81 | 2.13 | -.32 | 6.35 | 8.34 | -1.99 | 197,375 | ||||||||||
2076 | 4.54 | 6.21 | -1.68 | 1.81 | 2.13 | -.31 | 6.35 | 8.34 | -1.99 | 205,367 | ||||||||||
2077 | 4.53 | 6.21 | -1.68 | 1.82 | 2.12 | -.31 | 6.35 | 8.34 | -1.99 | 213,706 | ||||||||||
2078 | 4.53 | 6.21 | -1.68 | 1.82 | 2.12 | -.31 | 6.34 | 8.33 | -1.99 | 222,423 | ||||||||||
2079 | 4.52 | 6.20 | -1.68 | 1.82 | 2.12 | -.30 | 6.34 | 8.32 | -1.98 | 231,530 | ||||||||||
2080 | 4.52 | 6.19 | -1.67 | 1.82 | 2.12 | -.29 | 6.34 | 8.30 | -1.97 | 241,032 | ||||||||||
2081 | 4.51 | 6.17 | -1.66 | 1.82 | 2.11 | -.29 | 6.33 | 8.28 | -1.95 | 250,949 | ||||||||||
2082 | 4.51 | 6.16 | -1.65 | 1.82 | 2.11 | -.28 | 6.33 | 8.26 | -1.93 | 261,322 | ||||||||||
2083 | 4.50 | 6.13 | -1.63 | 1.82 | 2.10 | -.28 | 6.33 | 8.23 | -1.91 | 272,167 | ||||||||||
2084 | 4.49 | 6.11 | -1.61 | 1.83 | 2.09 | -.27 | 6.32 | 8.20 | -1.88 | 283,490 | ||||||||||
2085 | 4.49 | 6.08 | -1.59 | 1.83 | 2.09 | -.26 | 6.32 | 8.17 | -1.86 | 295,310 | ||||||||||
2086 | 4.48 | 6.06 | -1.57 | 1.83 | 2.08 | -.25 | 6.31 | 8.14 | -1.83 | 307,652 | ||||||||||
2087 | 4.48 | 6.03 | -1.55 | 1.83 | 2.07 | -.24 | 6.30 | 8.10 | -1.80 | 320,526 | ||||||||||
2088 | 4.47 | 6.00 | -1.53 | 1.83 | 2.06 | -.24 | 6.30 | 8.06 | -1.76 | 333,928 | ||||||||||
2089 | 4.47 | 5.97 | -1.50 | 1.83 | 2.06 | -.23 | 6.29 | 8.03 | -1.73 | 347,878 | ||||||||||
2090 | 4.46 | 5.95 | -1.49 | 1.83 | 2.05 | -.22 | 6.29 | 8.00 | -1.71 | 362,422 | ||||||||||
2091 | 4.46 | 5.93 | -1.47 | 1.83 | 2.04 | -.21 | 6.29 | 7.97 | -1.68 | 377,569 | ||||||||||
2092 | 4.45 | 5.91 | -1.46 | 1.83 | 2.03 | -.20 | 6.28 | 7.94 | -1.66 | 393,325 | ||||||||||
2093 | 4.45 | 5.90 | -1.45 | 1.83 | 2.03 | -.19 | 6.28 | 7.93 | -1.64 | 409,695 | ||||||||||
2094 | 4.45 | 5.89 | -1.45 | 1.83 | 2.02 | -.18 | 6.28 | 7.91 | -1.63 | 426,696 | ||||||||||
2095 | 4.44 | 5.89 | -1.44 | 1.83 | 2.01 | -.17 | 6.28 | 7.90 | -1.62 | 444,359 | ||||||||||
Low-cost: |
||||||||||||||||||||
2021 | 4.45 | 5.02 | -.57 | 1.56 | 1.62 | -.06 | 6.01 | 6.64 | -.62 | 22,906 | ||||||||||
2022 | 4.71 | 4.96 | -.25 | 1.56 | 1.59 | -.02 | 6.28 | 6.55 | -.27 | 24,706 | ||||||||||
2023 | 4.69 | 4.99 | -.30 | 1.56 | 1.54 | .02 | 6.26 | 6.53 | -.27 | 26,140 | ||||||||||
2024 | 4.73 | 5.01 | -.28 | 1.57 | 1.52 | .04 | 6.29 | 6.54 | -.24 | 27,688 | ||||||||||
2025 | 4.74 | 5.04 | -.29 | 1.57 | 1.52 | .05 | 6.31 | 6.56 | -.25 | 29,286 | ||||||||||
2026 | 4.79 | 5.07 | -.28 | 1.60 | 1.52 | .08 | 6.39 | 6.59 | -.20 | 30,925 | ||||||||||
2027 | 4.80 | 5.11 | -.30 | 1.61 | 1.53 | .08 | 6.41 | 6.64 | -.22 | 32,616 | ||||||||||
2028 | 4.83 | 5.15 | -.32 | 1.62 | 1.53 | .09 | 6.44 | 6.68 | -.23 | 34,406 | ||||||||||
2029 | 4.84 | 5.18 | -.34 | 1.63 | 1.53 | .10 | 6.47 | 6.71 | -.24 | 36,289 | ||||||||||
2030 | 4.86 | 5.22 | -.36 | 1.63 | 1.52 | .12 | 6.49 | 6.74 | -.24 | 38,262 | ||||||||||
2031 | 4.86 | 5.23 | -.38 | 1.64 | 1.54 | .11 | 6.50 | 6.77 | -.27 | 40,337 | ||||||||||
2032 | 4.85 | 5.24 | -.39 | 1.65 | 1.54 | .11 | 6.50 | 6.78 | -.28 | 42,521 | ||||||||||
2033 | 4.85 | 5.24 | -.39 | 1.66 | 1.53 | .13 | 6.50 | 6.77 | -.26 | 44,820 | ||||||||||
2034 | 4.84 | 5.23 | -.39 | 1.66 | 1.51 | .15 | 6.50 | 6.75 | -.24 | 47,231 | ||||||||||
2035 | 4.84 | 5.22 | -.38 | 1.67 | 1.50 | .17 | 6.50 | 6.72 | -.22 | 49,759 | ||||||||||
2036 | 4.83 | 5.21 | -.37 | 1.67 | 1.48 | .19 | 6.50 | 6.69 | -.19 | 52,407 | ||||||||||
2037 | 4.83 | 5.19 | -.36 | 1.68 | 1.47 | .21 | 6.50 | 6.66 | -.15 | 55,182 | ||||||||||
2038 | 4.82 | 5.17 | -.35 | 1.68 | 1.45 | .23 | 6.50 | 6.62 | -.12 | 58,103 | ||||||||||
2039 | 4.81 | 5.15 | -.34 | 1.69 | 1.43 | .26 | 6.50 | 6.58 | -.08 | 61,180 | ||||||||||
2040 | 4.80 | 5.13 | -.32 | 1.69 | 1.41 | .28 | 6.49 | 6.54 | -.04 | 64,426 | ||||||||||
2041 | 4.80 | 5.10 | -.31 | 1.69 | 1.39 | .31 | 6.49 | 6.49 | c | 67,851 | ||||||||||
2042 | 4.79 | 5.08 | -.29 | 1.70 | 1.37 | .33 | 6.49 | 6.44 | .04 | 71,489 | ||||||||||
2043 | 4.78 | 5.05 | -.26 | 1.70 | 1.34 | .36 | 6.48 | 6.39 | .09 | 75,350 | ||||||||||
2044 | 4.78 | 5.02 | -.24 | 1.70 | 1.32 | .38 | 6.48 | 6.34 | .15 | 79,434 | ||||||||||
2045 | 4.77 | 4.99 | -.22 | 1.71 | 1.30 | .41 | 6.48 | 6.28 | .20 | 83,756 | ||||||||||
2046 | 4.76 | 4.96 | -.20 | 1.71 | 1.27 | .44 | 6.48 | 6.23 | .24 | 88,318 | ||||||||||
2047 | 4.76 | 4.94 | -.18 | 1.72 | 1.25 | .47 | 6.48 | 6.19 | .29 | 93,130 | ||||||||||
2048 | 4.75 | 4.92 | -.17 | 1.72 | 1.22 | .50 | 6.48 | 6.14 | .33 | 98,215 | ||||||||||
2049 | 4.75 | 4.90 | -.15 | 1.73 | 1.20 | .53 | 6.48 | 6.10 | .38 | 103,622 | ||||||||||
2050 | 4.75 | 4.89 | -.14 | 1.73 | 1.18 | .55 | 6.48 | 6.06 | .41 | 109,341 | ||||||||||
2051 | 4.74 | 4.87 | -.13 | 1.74 | 1.16 | .58 | 6.48 | 6.03 | .45 | 115,380 | ||||||||||
2052 | 4.74 | 4.86 | -.12 | 1.74 | 1.14 | .60 | 6.48 | 6.00 | .49 | 121,757 | ||||||||||
2053 | 4.74 | 4.85 | -.11 | 1.75 | 1.12 | .63 | 6.49 | 5.97 | .52 | 128,482 | ||||||||||
2054 | 4.74 | 4.84 | -.11 | 1.75 | 1.10 | .65 | 6.49 | 5.94 | .54 | 135,586 | ||||||||||
2055 | 4.73 | 4.84 | -.10 | 1.76 | 1.09 | .67 | 6.49 | 5.92 | .57 | 143,081 | ||||||||||
2056 | 4.73 | 4.83 | -.10 | 1.76 | 1.07 | .69 | 6.50 | 5.91 | .59 | 150,984 | ||||||||||
2057 | 4.73 | 4.83 | -.10 | 1.77 | 1.06 | .71 | 6.50 | 5.90 | .61 | 159,321 | ||||||||||
2058 | 4.73 | 4.83 | -.10 | 1.78 | 1.05 | .73 | 6.51 | 5.89 | .62 | 168,103 | ||||||||||
2059 | 4.73 | 4.84 | -.11 | 1.78 | 1.04 | .74 | 6.51 | 5.88 | .64 | 177,352 | ||||||||||
2060 | 4.73 | 4.84 | -.11 | 1.79 | 1.03 | .76 | 6.52 | 5.87 | .65 | 187,087 | ||||||||||
2061 | 4.73 | 4.84 | -.11 | 1.79 | 1.02 | .77 | 6.52 | 5.86 | .66 | 197,348 | ||||||||||
2062 | 4.73 | 4.84 | -.11 | 1.80 | 1.02 | .78 | 6.53 | 5.86 | .67 | 208,161 | ||||||||||
2063 | 4.73 | 4.84 | -.11 | 1.80 | 1.01 | .79 | 6.53 | 5.85 | .68 | 219,545 | ||||||||||
2064 | 4.73 | 4.84 | -.11 | 1.81 | 1.01 | .80 | 6.54 | 5.85 | .69 | 231,532 | ||||||||||
2065 | 4.73 | 4.84 | -.11 | 1.81 | 1.01 | .81 | 6.54 | 5.85 | .70 | 244,148 | ||||||||||
2066 | 4.73 | 4.84 | -.11 | 1.82 | 1.01 | .81 | 6.55 | 5.84 | .70 | 257,446 | ||||||||||
2067 | 4.73 | 4.84 | -.11 | 1.82 | 1.00 | .82 | 6.55 | 5.84 | .71 | 271,477 | ||||||||||
2068 | 4.73 | 4.84 | -.11 | 1.83 | 1.00 | .83 | 6.56 | 5.84 | .72 | 286,254 | ||||||||||
2069 | 4.73 | 4.84 | -.11 | 1.83 | 1.01 | .83 | 6.56 | 5.84 | .72 | 301,802 | ||||||||||
2070 | 4.73 | 4.84 | -.11 | 1.84 | 1.01 | .83 | 6.57 | 5.84 | .73 | 318,198 | ||||||||||
2071 | 4.73 | 4.83 | -.11 | 1.84 | 1.01 | .84 | 6.57 | 5.84 | .73 | 335,514 | ||||||||||
2072 | 4.73 | 4.83 | -.10 | 1.85 | 1.01 | .84 | 6.58 | 5.84 | .74 | 353,793 | ||||||||||
2073 | 4.73 | 4.83 | -.10 | 1.85 | 1.01 | .84 | 6.58 | 5.84 | .74 | 373,102 | ||||||||||
2074 | 4.73 | 4.83 | -.10 | 1.86 | 1.01 | .84 | 6.59 | 5.84 | .75 | 393,536 | ||||||||||
2075 | 4.73 | 4.82 | -.09 | 1.86 | 1.01 | .85 | 6.59 | 5.84 | .76 | 415,164 | ||||||||||
2076 | 4.73 | 4.81 | -.08 | 1.87 | 1.02 | .85 | 6.60 | 5.83 | .77 | 438,015 | ||||||||||
2077 | 4.73 | 4.80 | -.07 | 1.87 | 1.02 | .85 | 6.60 | 5.81 | .78 | 462,190 | ||||||||||
2078 | 4.73 | 4.78 | -.05 | 1.87 | 1.02 | .86 | 6.60 | 5.80 | .80 | 487,804 | ||||||||||
2079 | 4.73 | 4.76 | -.03 | 1.87 | 1.02 | .86 | 6.60 | 5.78 | .83 | 514,946 | ||||||||||
2080 | 4.73 | 4.74 | -.01 | 1.88 | 1.01 | .86 | 6.61 | 5.75 | .85 | 543,683 | ||||||||||
2081 | 4.73 | 4.71 | .01 | 1.88 | 1.01 | .87 | 6.61 | 5.73 | .88 | 574,095 | ||||||||||
2082 | 4.73 | 4.69 | .04 | 1.88 | 1.01 | .87 | 6.61 | 5.70 | .91 | 606,313 | ||||||||||
2083 | 4.73 | 4.66 | .07 | 1.88 | 1.01 | .87 | 6.61 | 5.67 | .94 | 640,432 | ||||||||||
2084 | 4.72 | 4.63 | .10 | 1.89 | 1.01 | .88 | 6.61 | 5.64 | .97 | 676,533 | ||||||||||
2085 | 4.72 | 4.60 | .13 | 1.89 | 1.01 | .88 | 6.61 | 5.60 | 1.01 | 714,686 | ||||||||||
2086 | 4.72 | 4.57 | .16 | 1.89 | 1.01 | .88 | 6.61 | 5.57 | 1.04 | 755,008 | ||||||||||
2087 | 4.72 | 4.54 | .18 | 1.89 | 1.00 | .89 | 6.61 | 5.54 | 1.07 | 797,611 | ||||||||||
2088 | 4.72 | 4.51 | .21 | 1.89 | 1.00 | .89 | 6.61 | 5.51 | 1.11 | 842,505 | ||||||||||
2089 | 4.72 | 4.49 | .23 | 1.90 | 1.00 | .90 | 6.61 | 5.48 | 1.13 | 889,828 | ||||||||||
2090 | 4.72 | 4.47 | .25 | 1.90 | .99 | .90 | 6.62 | 5.46 | 1.16 | 939,774 | ||||||||||
2091 | 4.72 | 4.46 | .27 | 1.90 | .99 | .91 | 6.62 | 5.45 | 1.17 | 992,404 | ||||||||||
2092 | 4.72 | 4.45 | .27 | 1.90 | .99 | .92 | 6.63 | 5.44 | 1.19 | 1,047,805 | ||||||||||
2093 | 4.73 | 4.45 | .27 | 1.91 | .99 | .92 | 6.63 | 5.44 | 1.20 | 1,106,104 | ||||||||||
2094 | 4.73 | 4.45 | .27 | 1.91 | .98 | .93 | 6.64 | 5.44 | 1.20 | 1,167,429 | ||||||||||
2095 | 4.73 | 4.46 | .27 | 1.92 | .98 | .94 | 6.65 | 5.44 | 1.21 | 1,231,982 | ||||||||||
High-cost: |
||||||||||||||||||||
2021 | 4.56 | 5.32 | -.77 | 1.59 | 1.76 | -.18 | 6.14 | 7.09 | -.95 | 21,635 | ||||||||||
2022 | 4.75 | 5.61 | -.86 | 1.57 | 1.83 | -.26 | 6.32 | 7.44 | -1.12 | 21,774 | ||||||||||
2023 | 4.73 | 5.71 | -.98 | 1.58 | 1.85 | -.27 | 6.31 | 7.55 | -1.25 | 22,598 | ||||||||||
2024 | 4.73 | 5.82 | -1.09 | 1.59 | 1.91 | -.32 | 6.32 | 7.73 | -1.41 | 23,431 | ||||||||||
2025 | 4.74 | 5.93 | -1.19 | 1.60 | 1.98 | -.38 | 6.34 | 7.92 | -1.58 | 24,278 | ||||||||||
2026 | 4.77 | 6.05 | -1.27 | 1.64 | 2.07 | -.43 | 6.42 | 8.11 | -1.70 | 25,155 | ||||||||||
2027 | 4.78 | 6.17 | -1.39 | 1.66 | 2.15 | -.50 | 6.43 | 8.32 | -1.89 | 26,041 | ||||||||||
2028 | 4.78 | 6.30 | -1.52 | 1.67 | 2.24 | -.57 | 6.45 | 8.54 | -2.09 | 26,905 | ||||||||||
2029 | 4.79 | 6.45 | -1.66 | 1.68 | 2.33 | -.65 | 6.47 | 8.78 | -2.31 | 27,688 | ||||||||||
2030 | 4.79 | 6.59 | -1.80 | 1.69 | 2.40 | -.71 | 6.48 | 8.99 | -2.51 | 28,478 | ||||||||||
2031 | 4.78 | 6.69 | -1.91 | 1.70 | 2.53 | -.83 | 6.48 | 9.22 | -2.74 | 29,281 | ||||||||||
2032 | 4.78 | 6.78 | -2.01 | 1.70 | 2.63 | -.92 | 6.48 | 9.41 | -2.93 | 30,102 | ||||||||||
2033 | 4.77 | 6.86 | -2.09 | 1.71 | 2.71 | -1.00 | 6.48 | 9.57 | -3.09 | 30,949 | ||||||||||
2034 | 4.77 | 6.93 | -2.17 | 1.71 | 2.79 | -1.07 | 6.48 | 9.72 | -3.24 | 31,814 | ||||||||||
2035 | 4.76 | 6.99 | -2.23 | 1.72 | 2.87 | -1.15 | 6.48 | 9.86 | -3.38 | 32,698 | ||||||||||
2036 | 4.75 | 7.05 | -2.29 | 1.72 | 2.95 | -1.23 | 6.48 | 10.00 | -3.52 | 33,595 | ||||||||||
2037 | 4.75 | 7.10 | -2.35 | 1.73 | 3.03 | -1.30 | 6.47 | 10.12 | -3.65 | 34,504 | ||||||||||
2038 | 4.74 | 7.14 | -2.41 | 1.73 | 3.10 | -1.37 | 6.47 | 10.24 | -3.78 | 35,426 | ||||||||||
2039 | 4.73 | 7.18 | -2.45 | 1.73 | 3.18 | -1.45 | 6.46 | 10.36 | -3.90 | 36,364 | ||||||||||
2040 | 4.72 | 7.22 | -2.50 | 1.73 | 3.25 | -1.52 | 6.45 | 10.47 | -4.02 | 37,313 | ||||||||||
2041 | 4.71 | 7.27 | -2.56 | 1.74 | 3.33 | -1.60 | 6.45 | 10.60 | -4.15 | 38,268 | ||||||||||
2042 | 4.70 | 7.31 | -2.61 | 1.74 | 3.41 | -1.67 | 6.44 | 10.72 | -4.28 | 39,247 | ||||||||||
2043 | 4.69 | 7.34 | -2.65 | 1.74 | 3.48 | -1.74 | 6.44 | 10.82 | -4.39 | 40,255 | ||||||||||
2044 | 4.68 | 7.38 | -2.69 | 1.74 | 3.55 | -1.81 | 6.43 | 10.93 | -4.50 | 41,287 | ||||||||||
2045 | 4.68 | 7.41 | -2.73 | 1.75 | 3.62 | -1.88 | 6.42 | 11.03 | -4.61 | 42,342 | ||||||||||
2046 | 4.67 | 7.44 | -2.78 | 1.75 | 3.69 | -1.95 | 6.42 | 11.14 | -4.72 | 43,411 | ||||||||||
2047 | 4.66 | 7.48 | -2.82 | 1.75 | 3.76 | -2.01 | 6.41 | 11.24 | -4.83 | 44,494 | ||||||||||
2048 | 4.65 | 7.52 | -2.87 | 1.75 | 3.81 | -2.06 | 6.40 | 11.33 | -4.93 | 45,604 | ||||||||||
2049 | 4.64 | 7.56 | -2.91 | 1.76 | 3.87 | -2.12 | 6.40 | 11.43 | -5.03 | 46,758 | ||||||||||
2050 | 4.64 | 7.59 | -2.96 | 1.76 | 3.93 | -2.17 | 6.39 | 11.52 | -5.13 | 47,945 | ||||||||||
2051 | 4.63 | 7.63 | -3.00 | 1.76 | 3.98 | -2.22 | 6.39 | 11.61 | -5.22 | 49,160 | ||||||||||
2052 | 4.62 | 7.67 | -3.04 | 1.76 | 4.02 | -2.26 | 6.39 | 11.69 | -5.30 | 50,407 | ||||||||||
2053 | 4.62 | 7.70 | -3.09 | 1.76 | 4.06 | -2.30 | 6.38 | 11.77 | -5.39 | 51,682 | ||||||||||
2054 | 4.61 | 7.74 | -3.13 | 1.77 | 4.10 | -2.33 | 6.38 | 11.84 | -5.46 | 52,996 | ||||||||||
2055 | 4.60 | 7.77 | -3.17 | 1.77 | 4.15 | -2.38 | 6.37 | 11.92 | -5.55 | 54,348 | ||||||||||
2056 | 4.60 | 7.81 | -3.21 | 1.77 | 4.19 | -2.42 | 6.37 | 12.00 | -5.63 | 55,736 | ||||||||||
2057 | 4.59 | 7.85 | -3.26 | 1.78 | 4.23 | -2.45 | 6.37 | 12.08 | -5.71 | 57,162 | ||||||||||
2058 | 4.58 | 7.89 | -3.31 | 1.78 | 4.26 | -2.48 | 6.36 | 12.15 | -5.78 | 58,626 | ||||||||||
2059 | 4.58 | 7.93 | -3.35 | 1.78 | 4.28 | -2.50 | 6.36 | 12.21 | -5.85 | 60,125 | ||||||||||
2060 | 4.57 | 7.97 | -3.40 | 1.78 | 4.31 | -2.53 | 6.36 | 12.28 | -5.92 | 61,654 | ||||||||||
2061 | 4.57 | 8.01 | -3.44 | 1.79 | 4.34 | -2.55 | 6.35 | 12.34 | -5.99 | 63,223 | ||||||||||
2062 | 4.56 | 8.04 | -3.48 | 1.79 | 4.36 | -2.57 | 6.35 | 12.41 | -6.06 | 64,829 | ||||||||||
2063 | 4.56 | 8.08 | -3.53 | 1.79 | 4.38 | -2.59 | 6.35 | 12.46 | -6.12 | 66,468 | ||||||||||
2064 | 4.55 | 8.12 | -3.57 | 1.80 | 4.40 | -2.61 | 6.34 | 12.52 | -6.18 | 68,135 | ||||||||||
2065 | 4.54 | 8.16 | -3.61 | 1.80 | 4.42 | -2.62 | 6.34 | 12.58 | -6.24 | 69,839 | ||||||||||
2066 | 4.54 | 8.20 | -3.66 | 1.80 | 4.44 | -2.63 | 6.34 | 12.63 | -6.29 | 71,579 | ||||||||||
2067 | 4.53 | 8.24 | -3.71 | 1.80 | 4.45 | -2.64 | 6.34 | 12.68 | -6.35 | 73,359 | ||||||||||
2068 | 4.53 | 8.28 | -3.75 | 1.81 | 4.46 | -2.65 | 6.33 | 12.73 | -6.40 | 75,171 | ||||||||||
2069 | 4.52 | 8.32 | -3.80 | 1.81 | 4.46 | -2.65 | 6.33 | 12.78 | -6.45 | 77,013 | ||||||||||
2070 | 4.51 | 8.37 | -3.85 | 1.81 | 4.46 | -2.65 | 6.33 | 12.83 | -6.50 | 78,889 | ||||||||||
2071 | 4.51 | 8.41 | -3.90 | 1.82 | 4.46 | -2.64 | 6.32 | 12.87 | -6.54 | 80,800 | ||||||||||
2072 | 4.50 | 8.46 | -3.95 | 1.82 | 4.45 | -2.63 | 6.32 | 12.91 | -6.59 | 82,753 | ||||||||||
2073 | 4.50 | 8.50 | -4.01 | 1.82 | 4.45 | -2.63 | 6.32 | 12.95 | -6.63 | 84,751 | ||||||||||
2074 | 4.49 | 8.55 | -4.06 | 1.82 | 4.45 | -2.62 | 6.32 | 13.00 | -6.68 | 86,795 | ||||||||||
2075 | 4.49 | 8.59 | -4.10 | 1.83 | 4.44 | -2.62 | 6.31 | 13.03 | -6.72 | 88,890 | ||||||||||
2076 | 4.48 | 8.63 | -4.15 | 1.83 | 4.44 | -2.61 | 6.31 | 13.07 | -6.76 | 91,031 | ||||||||||
2077 | 4.47 | 8.67 | -4.19 | 1.83 | 4.43 | -2.60 | 6.31 | 13.10 | -6.79 | 93,225 | ||||||||||
2078 | 4.47 | 8.70 | -4.23 | 1.83 | 4.42 | -2.58 | 6.30 | 13.12 | -6.81 | 95,483 | ||||||||||
2079 | 4.46 | 8.72 | -4.26 | 1.84 | 4.41 | -2.57 | 6.30 | 13.13 | -6.83 | 97,800 | ||||||||||
2080 | 4.45 | 8.74 | -4.29 | 1.84 | 4.39 | -2.56 | 6.29 | 13.14 | -6.85 | 100,171 | ||||||||||
2081 | 4.45 | 8.76 | -4.31 | 1.84 | 4.38 | -2.54 | 6.29 | 13.14 | -6.85 | 102,602 | ||||||||||
2082 | 4.44 | 8.77 | -4.33 | 1.84 | 4.36 | -2.52 | 6.28 | 13.13 | -6.86 | 105,115 | ||||||||||
2083 | 4.43 | 8.78 | -4.35 | 1.84 | 4.35 | -2.51 | 6.27 | 13.12 | -6.85 | 107,706 | ||||||||||
2084 | 4.42 | 8.78 | -4.35 | 1.84 | 4.33 | -2.49 | 6.26 | 13.11 | -6.84 | 110,370 | ||||||||||
2085 | 4.41 | 8.77 | -4.36 | 1.84 | 4.31 | -2.47 | 6.25 | 13.08 | -6.83 | 113,114 | ||||||||||
2086 | 4.40 | 8.76 | -4.36 | 1.84 | 4.29 | -2.45 | 6.24 | 13.05 | -6.81 | 115,941 | ||||||||||
2087 | 4.39 | 8.75 | -4.35 | 1.84 | 4.27 | -2.43 | 6.23 | 13.01 | -6.78 | 118,850 | ||||||||||
2088 | 4.38 | 8.72 | -4.34 | 1.84 | 4.25 | -2.41 | 6.22 | 12.97 | -6.75 | 121,833 | ||||||||||
2089 | 4.37 | 8.70 | -4.32 | 1.84 | 4.23 | -2.39 | 6.21 | 12.93 | -6.71 | 124,890 | ||||||||||
2090 | 4.37 | 8.67 | -4.31 | 1.84 | 4.21 | -2.37 | 6.20 | 12.88 | -6.68 | 128,029 | ||||||||||
2091 | 4.36 | 8.65 | -4.29 | 1.84 | 4.19 | -2.35 | 6.19 | 12.83 | -6.64 | 131,262 | ||||||||||
2092 | 4.35 | 8.62 | -4.28 | 1.83 | 4.16 | -2.33 | 6.18 | 12.79 | -6.60 | 134,590 | ||||||||||
2093 | 4.34 | 8.60 | -4.26 | 1.83 | 4.14 | -2.31 | 6.17 | 12.74 | -6.57 | 138,005 | ||||||||||
2094 | 4.33 | 8.58 | -4.25 | 1.83 | 4.12 | -2.29 | 6.16 | 12.70 | -6.54 | 141,507 | ||||||||||
2095 | 4.32 | 8.56 | -4.24 | 1.83 | 4.10 | -2.27 | 6.16 | 12.66 | -6.50 | 145,093 |
a
Income for individual years excludes interest on the trust
funds. b OASDI benefit payments which were scheduled to be paid on January 3 for some past and future years were actually paid on December 31 as required by the statutory provision for early delivery of benefit payments when the normal payment delivery date is a Saturday, Sunday, or legal public holiday. For comparability with the values for historical years and the projections in this report, all trust fund operations and asset reserves reflect the 12 months of benefits scheduled for payment each year. c Between -0.005 and 0 percent of GDP. Notes: 1. The Trustees show income and cost estimates generally on a cash basis for the OASDI program and on an incurred basis for the HI program. 2. Components may not sum to totals because of rounding. |