Social Security Area Population on July 1 and Dependency Ratios — 2022 OASDI Trustees Report

Single-Year Tables Historical data Intermediate Assumptions Low-Cost Assumptions High-Cost Assumptions
Table V.A3.—Social Security Area Population on July 1 and Dependency Ratios,
Calendar Years 1941-2100
Calendar year   Population (in thousands)   Dependency ratio
Under 20   20-64   65 and
over		   Total Aged a   Total b

Historical data:
1941   48,419   83,516   9,814   141,749   0.118   0.697
1942   48,410   84,647   10,082   143,140   .119   .691
1943   48,765   85,765   10,336   144,866   .121   .689
1944   48,939   86,853   10,592   146,383   .122   .685
1945   49,107   87,891   10,886   147,883   .124   .683
1946   49,278   88,878   11,216   149,373   .126   .681
1947   50,559   89,824   11,570   151,954   .129   .692
1948   51,599   90,692   11,947   154,238   .132   .701
1949   52,746   91,472   12,356   156,574   .135   .712
1950   53,918   92,190   12,789   158,897   .139   .724
1951   56,470   93,978   13,334   163,782   .142   .743
1952   57,992   94,581   13,784   166,357   .146   .759
1953   59,680   95,048   14,252   168,980   .150   .778
1954   61,523   95,461   14,719   171,703   .154   .799
1955   63,337   96,003   15,161   174,501   .158   .818
1956   65,200   96,498   15,593   177,291   .162   .837
1957   67,346   97,750   16,024   181,121   .164   .853
1958   69,276   98,383   16,456   184,114   .167   .871
1959   71,129   99,051   16,894   187,074   .171   .889
1960   72,915   99,752   17,323   189,990   .174   .905
1961   74,817   100,559   17,739   193,115   .176   .920
1962   76,455   101,475   18,129   196,059   .179   .932
1963   77,638   102,732   18,482   198,853   .180   .936
1964   78,897   103,810   18,822   201,528   .181   .941
1965   80,002   104,864   19,153   204,019   .183   .946
1966   80,933   105,838   19,487   206,258   .184   .949
1967   80,674   107,866   19,851   208,391   .184   .932
1968   80,623   109,595   20,215   210,433   .184   .920
1969   80,656   111,302   20,592   212,550   .185   .910
1970   80,856   112,953   21,007   214,816   .186   .902
1971   80,979   114,698   21,451   217,128   .187   .893
1972   80,687   116,516   21,899   219,102   .188   .880
1973   80,101   118,434   22,352   220,886   .189   .865
1974   79,335   120,478   22,832   222,645   .190   .848
1975   78,574   122,598   23,370   224,542   .191   .832
1976   77,707   124,758   23,949   226,414   .192   .815
1977   76,839   127,101   24,541   228,481   .193   .798
1978   76,015   129,472   25,141   230,627   .194   .781
1979   75,349   131,809   25,739   232,897   .195   .767
1980   74,841   134,029   26,314   235,184   .196   .755
1981   74,269   136,275   26,873   237,417   .197   .742
1982   73,807   138,460   27,461   239,728   .198   .731
1983   73,418   140,594   28,024   242,036   .199   .722
1984   73,011   142,689   28,562   244,262   .200   .712
1985   72,892   144,585   29,131   246,608   .201   .706
1986   73,034   146,227   29,733   248,994   .203   .703
1987   73,284   147,799   30,333   251,416   .205   .701
1988   73,680   149,337   30,873   253,889   .207   .700
1989   74,139   150,975   31,385   256,500   .208   .699
1990   74,791   152,731   31,926   259,449   .209   .699
1991   75,483   154,609   32,488   262,580   .210   .698
1992   76,426   156,235   33,033   265,693   .211   .701
1993   77,455   157,715   33,516   268,686   .213   .704
1994   78,458   159,170   33,931   271,559   .213   .706
1995   79,286   160,737   34,298   274,321   .213   .707
1996   80,085   162,264   34,644   276,992   .214   .707
1997   80,677   164,062   34,914   279,654   .213   .705
1998   81,204   165,962   35,123   282,289   .212   .701
1999   81,615   168,024   35,277   284,916   .210   .696
2000   81,980   170,164   35,501   287,646   .209   .690
2001   82,370   172,413   35,721   290,504   .207   .685
2002   82,674   174,698   35,958   293,329   .206   .679
2003   82,996   176,784   36,299   296,078   .205   .675
2004   83,473   178,764   36,689   298,926   .205   .672
2005   83,942   181,084   37,135   302,161   .205   .669
2006   84,516   183,372   37,685   305,574   .206   .666
2007   85,156   185,024   38,377   308,557   .207   .668
2008   85,597   185,730   39,367   310,694   .212   .673
2009   85,813   186,710   40,202   312,725   .215   .675
2010   85,678   188,270   41,021   314,969   .218   .673
2011   85,296   189,898   41,739   316,933   .220   .669
2012   84,906   190,397   43,421   318,724   .228   .674
2013   84,608   191,129   44,803   320,539   .234   .677
2014   84,486   192,183   46,198   322,867   .240   .680
2015   84,519   193,385   47,604   325,508   .246   .683
2016   84,520   194,081   49,088   327,690   .253   .688
2017   84,394   194,553   50,602   329,550   .260   .694
2018   84,185   195,043   52,182   331,410   .268   .699
2019 c   83,898   195,131   53,815   332,844   .276   .706
2020 d   83,463   194,942   55,304   333,710   .284   .712
2021 d   82,952   194,947   56,615   334,514   .290   .716

Intermediate:
2022   82,770   195,105   58,184   336,059   .298   .722
2023   82,799   195,745   59,930   338,473   .306   .729
2024   82,927   196,685   61,698   341,310   .314   .735
2025   82,961   197,402   63,453   343,816   .321   .742
2026   82,882   197,876   65,216   345,974   .330   .748
2027   82,738   198,557   66,839   348,134   .337   .753
2028   82,627   199,273   68,398   350,298   .343   .758
2029   82,712   199,889   69,866   352,467   .350   .763
2030   82,994   200,496   71,153   354,643   .355   .769
2031   83,393   201,210   72,202   356,804   .359   .773
2032   83,877   201,943   73,112   358,932   .362   .777
2033   84,380   202,732   73,916   361,028   .365   .781
2034   84,889   203,452   74,753   363,094   .367   .785
2035   85,401   204,083   75,644   365,128   .371   .789
2036   85,966   204,609   76,558   367,133   .374   .794
2037   86,642   205,317   77,147   369,106   .376   .798
2038   87,393   206,120   77,533   371,045   .376   .800
2039   88,242   206,922   77,781   372,946   .376   .802
2040   89,130   207,586   78,089   374,805   .376   .806
2041   90,117   208,201   78,301   376,620   .376   .809
2042   91,010   208,761   78,618   378,389   .377   .813
2043   91,838   209,364   78,906   380,108   .377   .816
2044   92,592   209,926   79,269   381,787   .378   .819
2045   93,271   210,406   79,745   383,422   .379   .822
2046   93,874   210,912   80,242   385,028   .380   .826
2047   94,403   211,459   80,718   386,581   .382   .828
2048   94,857   212,058   81,206   388,120   .383   .830
2049   95,236   212,817   81,581   389,634   .383   .831
2050   95,545   213,527   82,062   391,135   .384   .832
2051   95,805   214,259   82,562   392,626   .385   .832
2052   96,039   215,012   83,070   394,122   .386   .833
2053   96,251   215,737   83,638   395,626   .388   .834
2054   96,447   216,389   84,313   397,148   .390   .835
2055   96,630   216,933   85,132   398,696   .392   .838
2056   96,809   217,498   85,969   400,276   .395   .840
2057   96,991   218,110   86,790   401,891   .398   .843
2058   97,184   218,827   87,537   403,548   .400   .844
2059   97,397   219,620   88,231   405,248   .402   .845
2060   97,639   220,448   88,907   406,994   .403   .846
2061   97,918   221,304   89,558   408,780   .405   .847
2062   98,238   222,141   90,230   410,609   .406   .848
2063   98,601   222,951   90,922   412,474   .408   .850
2064   99,008   223,717   91,646   414,370   .410   .852
2065   99,458   224,412   92,425   416,294   .412   .855
2066   99,948   225,103   93,189   418,239   .414   .858
2067   100,475   225,839   93,884   420,198   .416   .861
2068   101,035   226,521   94,614   422,169   .418   .864
2069   101,621   227,134   95,387   424,142   .420   .867
2070   102,228   227,722   96,165   426,115   .422   .871
2071   102,849   228,259   96,971   428,079   .425   .875
2072   103,476   228,681   97,883   430,039   .428   .881
2073   104,100   229,083   98,802   431,986   .431   .886
2074   104,715   229,624   99,581   433,920   .434   .890
2075   105,314   230,304   100,216   435,833   .435   .892
2076   105,889   231,071   100,773   437,733   .436   .894
2077   106,437   231,925   101,249   439,611   .437   .895
2078   106,953   232,804   101,720   441,477   .437   .896
2079   107,435   233,699   102,192   443,325   .437   .897
2080   107,882   234,607   102,671   445,160   .438   .897
2081   108,296   235,576   103,114   446,987   .438   .897
2082   108,679   236,666   103,461   448,806   .437   .896
2083   109,035   237,838   103,749   450,622   .436   .895
2084   109,368   239,125   103,950   452,443   .435   .892
2085   109,683   240,463   104,117   454,263   .433   .889
2086   109,987   241,928   104,178   456,093   .431   .885
2087   110,284   243,328   104,321   457,934   .429   .882
2088   110,581   244,694   104,515   459,790   .427   .879
2089   110,882   246,016   104,764   461,662   .426   .877
2090   111,192   247,291   105,067   463,550   .425   .875
2091   111,516   248,517   105,427   465,460   .424   .873
2092   111,856   249,694   105,840   467,389   .424   .872
2093   112,215   250,817   106,310   469,342   .424   .871
2094   112,595   251,884   106,837   471,316   .424   .871
2095   112,997   252,895   107,421   473,313   .425   .872
2096   113,421   253,863   108,048   475,332   .426   .872
2097   113,866   254,805   108,700   477,371   .427   .873
2098   114,331   255,720   109,380   479,431   .428   .875
2099   114,813   256,608   110,090   481,511   .429   .876
2100   115,310   257,469   110,829   483,608   .430   .878

Low-cost:
2022   83,417   195,930   58,153   337,500   .297   .723
2023   83,854   196,960   59,875   340,689   .304   .730
2024   84,446   198,296   61,609   344,351   .311   .737
2025   84,987   199,402   63,321   347,710   .318   .744
2026   85,452   200,262   65,028   350,742   .325   .751
2027   85,884   201,327   66,586   353,798   .331   .757
2028   86,377   202,428   68,069   356,874   .336   .763
2029   87,091   203,428   69,451   359,970   .341   .770
2030   88,022   204,416   70,642   363,081   .346   .776
2031   89,086   205,510   71,587   366,183   .348   .782
2032   90,250   206,620   72,384   369,254   .350   .787
2033   91,442   207,784   73,067   372,293   .352   .792
2034   92,647   208,876   73,775   375,299   .353   .797
2035   93,861   209,879   74,529   378,269   .355   .802
2036   95,132   210,773   75,300   381,205   .357   .809
2037   96,519   211,845   75,741   384,105   .358   .813
2038   97,978   213,009   75,976   386,963   .357   .817
2039   99,539   214,168   76,071   389,779   .355   .820
2040   101,136   215,187   76,224   392,547   .354   .824
2041   102,786   216,202   76,279   395,267   .353   .828
2042   104,250   217,253   76,438   397,941   .352   .832
2043   105,581   218,416   76,570   400,566   .351   .834
2044   106,784   219,595   76,776   403,155   .350   .836
2045   107,867   220,744   77,098   405,709   .349   .838
2046   108,844   221,958   77,439   408,241   .349   .839
2047   109,721   223,247   77,770   410,738   .348   .840
2048   110,508   224,615   78,113   413,235   .348   .840
2049   111,211   226,166   78,350   415,727   .346   .838
2050   111,843   227,686   78,698   418,227   .346   .837
2051   112,431   229,243   79,071   420,744   .345   .835
2052   113,006   230,831   79,456   423,294   .344   .834
2053   113,580   232,398   79,907   425,885   .344   .833
2054   114,162   233,897   80,469   428,529   .344   .832
2055   114,762   235,291   81,181   431,234   .345   .833
2056   115,390   236,706   81,913   434,009   .346   .834
2057   116,054   238,165   82,638   436,856   .347   .834
2058   116,765   239,723   83,294   439,781   .347   .835
2059   117,530   241,350   83,902   442,782   .348   .835
2060   118,358   243,005   84,497   445,860   .348   .835
2061   119,252   244,685   85,070   449,007   .348   .835
2062   120,212   246,342   85,666   452,220   .348   .836
2063   121,238   247,972   86,282   455,492   .348   .837
2064   122,323   249,561   86,929   458,813   .348   .838
2065   123,462   251,085   87,630   462,178   .349   .841
2066   124,649   252,613   88,313   465,576   .350   .843
2067   125,874   254,197   88,928   468,999   .350   .845
2068   127,130   255,738   89,574   472,442   .350   .847
2069   128,406   257,229   90,260   475,895   .351   .850
2070   129,693   258,716   90,947   479,356   .352   .853
2071   130,979   260,179   91,657   482,816   .352   .856
2072   132,255   261,555   92,468   486,278   .354   .859
2073   133,508   262,945   93,282   489,735   .355   .863
2074   134,730   264,504   93,954   493,188   .355   .865
2075   135,913   266,236   94,485   496,634   .355   .865
2076   137,050   268,088   94,939   500,076   .354   .865
2077   138,137   270,063   95,314   503,514   .353   .864
2078   139,174   272,098   95,682   506,955   .352   .863
2079   140,161   274,185   96,052   510,398   .350   .862
2080   141,102   276,318   96,428   513,849   .349   .860
2081   142,001   278,543   96,768   517,313   .347   .857
2082   142,867   280,914   97,013   520,794   .345   .854
2083   143,707   283,386   97,205   524,298   .343   .850
2084   144,530   285,994   97,308   527,832   .340   .846
2085   145,347   288,663   97,386   531,396   .337   .841
2086   146,165   291,429   97,404   534,998   .334   .836
2087   146,995   294,062   97,584   538,641   .332   .832
2088   147,844   296,609   97,876   542,328   .330   .828
2089   148,718   299,069   98,274   546,061   .329   .826
2090   149,623   301,448   98,770   549,841   .328   .824
2091   150,562   303,751   99,357   553,670   .327   .823
2092   151,539   305,982   100,025   557,546   .327   .822
2093   152,555   308,143   100,773   561,471   .327   .822
2094   153,608   310,238   101,597   565,443   .327   .823
2095   154,699   312,268   102,492   569,459   .328   .824
2096   155,824   314,255   103,440   573,518   .329   .825
2097   156,979   316,218   104,420   577,617   .330   .827
2098   158,159   318,162   105,433   581,754   .331   .828
2099   159,360   320,090   106,476   585,925   .333   .831
2100   160,575   322,006   107,546   590,128   .334   .833

High-cost:
2022   82,101   194,373   58,226   334,700   .300   .722
2023   81,645   194,637   60,005   336,287   .308   .728
2024   81,211   195,199   61,818   338,228   .317   .733
2025   80,623   195,542   63,633   339,798   .325   .738
2026   79,873   195,650   65,470   340,992   .335   .743
2027   79,015   195,964   67,182   342,161   .343   .746
2028   78,158   196,314   68,843   343,315   .351   .749
2029   77,467   196,567   70,427   344,461   .358   .752
2030   76,949   196,812   71,844   345,605   .365   .756
2031   76,528   197,168   73,035   346,730   .370   .759
2032   76,178   197,546   74,098   347,821   .375   .761
2033   75,834   197,982   75,066   348,882   .379   .762
2034   75,486   198,350   76,079   349,915   .384   .764
2035   75,133   198,632   77,156   350,920   .388   .767
2036   74,827   198,810   78,265   351,901   .394   .770
2037   74,628   199,175   79,054   352,857   .397   .772
2038   74,502   199,638   79,644   353,784   .399   .772
2039   74,473   200,106   80,102   354,680   .400   .772
2040   74,482   200,435   80,622   355,539   .402   .774
2041   74,658   200,653   81,047   356,358   .404   .776
2042   74,864   200,690   81,579   357,133   .406   .780
2043   75,103   200,671   82,081   357,855   .409   .783
2044   75,346   200,529   82,658   358,534   .412   .788
2045   75,575   200,239   83,347   359,160   .416   .794
2046   75,775   199,920   84,055   359,750   .420   .799
2047   75,934   199,599   84,731   360,264   .425   .805
2048   76,041   199,294   85,417   360,753   .429   .810
2049   76,088   199,123   85,982   361,193   .432   .814
2050   76,071   198,878   86,646   361,595   .436   .818
2051   76,001   198,637   87,320   361,958   .440   .822
2052   75,895   198,404   87,995   362,294   .444   .826
2053   75,749   198,132   88,722   362,602   .448   .830
2054   75,563   197,777   89,548   362,888   .453   .835
2055   75,338   197,308   90,512   363,158   .459   .841
2056   75,076   196,857   91,485   363,418   .465   .846
2057   74,783   196,454   92,432   363,669   .471   .851
2058   74,466   196,158   93,296   363,921   .476   .855
2059   74,135   195,944   94,096   364,176   .480   .859
2060   73,800   195,769   94,871   364,441   .485   .862
2061   73,471   195,626   95,613   364,710   .489   .864
2062   73,155   195,467   96,371   364,993   .493   .867
2063   72,860   195,279   97,145   365,284   .497   .871
2064   72,593   195,044   97,948   365,585   .502   .874
2065   72,356   194,731   98,805   365,893   .507   .879
2066   72,152   194,407   99,646   366,205   .513   .884
2067   71,983   194,119   100,415   366,517   .517   .888
2068   71,849   193,761   101,220   366,830   .522   .893
2069   71,748   193,319   102,067   367,134   .528   .899
2070   71,678   192,827   102,922   367,428   .534   .905
2071   71,638   192,258   103,803   367,699   .540   .913
2072   71,622   191,542   104,798   367,962   .547   .921
2073   71,628   190,774   105,800   368,202   .555   .930
2074   71,649   190,110   106,661   368,420   .561   .938
2075   71,681   189,550   107,371   368,603   .566   .945
2076   71,717   189,042   108,003   368,762   .571   .951
2077   71,752   188,581   108,549   368,882   .576   .956
2078   71,781   188,107   109,090   368,977   .580   .962
2079   71,797   187,610   109,627   369,034   .584   .967
2080   71,798   187,090   110,170   369,058   .589   .973
2081   71,780   186,598   110,674   369,053   .593   .978
2082   71,740   186,198   111,076   369,014   .597   .982
2083   71,678   185,856   111,413   368,947   .599   .985
2084   71,594   185,608   111,662   368,863   .602   .987
2085   71,488   185,395   111,864   368,747   .603   .989
2086   71,362   185,356   111,894   368,613   .604   .989
2087   71,219   185,358   111,883   368,461   .604   .988
2088   71,062   185,407   111,826   368,295   .603   .986
2089   70,893   185,479   111,744   368,116   .602   .985
2090   70,716   185,557   111,647   367,921   .602   .983
2091   70,536   185,630   111,556   367,722   .601   .981
2092   70,355   185,687   111,472   367,513   .600   .979
2093   70,177   185,715   111,412   367,304   .600   .978
2094   70,005   185,708   111,379   367,092   .600   .977
2095   69,841   185,658   111,379   366,878   .600   .976
2096   69,690   185,574   111,405   366,669   .600   .976
2097   69,551   185,468   111,438   366,457   .601   .976
2098   69,427   185,334   111,489   366,250   .602   .976
2099   69,317   185,168   111,561   366,047   .602   .977
2100   69,223   184,967   111,654   365,844   .604   .978
a Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over to the population at ages 20-64.
b Ratio of the population at ages 65 and over and the population under age 20 to the population at ages 20-64.
c Estimated.
d Estimated, intermediate alternative.

Notes:
1. Historical data are subject to revision.
2. Components may not sum to totals because of rounding.