2023 OASDI Trustees Report

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2023 Trustees Report
 
The following table presents the plot points for Figure VI.E3 — the OASDI Cost Rates, on a calendar year basis over the long-range projection period (2023-2097), under each of the three alternative sets of assumptions and under the stochastic projection methodology. The column headings for the stochastic methodology represent the percent of the 5,000 simulations with values less than or equal to the cost rate shown in the table.
 
Plot Points
 
OASDI Cost Rates
 
Alternative
Stochastic
Calendar Year
I
II
III
2.50%
50%
97.50%
2023
14.34
14.53
14.91
13.73
14.52
15.25
2024
14.27
14.87
15.61
13.92
14.94
15.98
2025
14.15
15.04
16.04
13.95
15.15
16.43
2026
14.11
15.23
16.30
14.01
15.35
16.83
2027
14.05
15.38
16.58
14.07
15.49
17.10
2028
14.02
15.55
16.94
14.09
15.69
17.44
2029
14.00
15.72
17.31
14.14
15.85
17.75
2030
13.97
15.87
17.69
14.18
16.00
18.00
2031
13.93
16.00
18.05
14.19
16.15
18.34
2032
13.90
16.14
18.43
14.28
16.29
18.57
2033
13.91
16.27
18.72
14.22
16.40
18.81
2034
13.91
16.38
18.99
14.28
16.54
19.01
2035
13.90
16.48
19.24
14.33
16.64
19.28
2036
13.89
16.56
19.47
14.33
16.73
19.42
2037
13.88
16.64
19.69
14.34
16.77
19.56
2038
13.86
16.70
19.89
14.34
16.83
19.77
2039
13.84
16.75
20.07
14.36
16.89
19.95
2040
13.80
16.78
20.24
14.32
16.95
20.05
2041
13.76
16.80
20.39
14.26
16.97
20.15
2042
13.71
16.82
20.53
14.28
16.98
20.20
2043
13.66
16.83
20.68
14.23
17.00
20.28
2044
13.61
16.85
20.84
14.21
17.01
20.34
2045
13.56
16.86
21.00
14.22
17.03
20.50
2046
13.52
16.88
21.16
14.20
17.04
20.58
2047
13.48
16.90
21.32
14.21
17.07
20.70
2048
13.44
16.93
21.48
14.20
17.08
20.77
2049
13.42
16.96
21.64
14.12
17.11
20.91
2050
13.39
16.99
21.81
14.09
17.16
21.01
2051
13.37
17.02
21.97
14.07
17.18
21.08
2052
13.36
17.06
22.14
14.10
17.21
21.10
2053
13.36
17.11
22.32
14.01
17.26
21.37
2054
13.36
17.16
22.50
14.00
17.28
21.50
2055
13.38
17.23
22.69
13.98
17.37
21.77
2056
13.40
17.30
22.89
14.10
17.46
21.97
2057
13.42
17.38
23.08
14.05
17.52
22.02
2058
13.45
17.46
23.28
14.08
17.62
22.20
2059
13.48
17.54
23.48
14.11
17.69
22.36
2060
13.51
17.62
23.68
14.10
17.77
22.68
2061
13.53
17.69
23.87
14.04
17.82
22.99
2062
13.55
17.76
24.06
14.00
17.92
23.29
2063
13.56
17.82
24.24
13.99
18.01
23.58
2064
13.57
17.88
24.42
14.00
18.05
23.68
2065
13.58
17.95
24.60
14.01
18.11
23.77
2066
13.58
18.00
24.78
13.99
18.16
23.92
2067
13.58
18.06
24.96
13.93
18.19
24.27
2068
13.58
18.12
25.14
13.88
18.29
24.49
2069
13.59
18.17
25.33
13.85
18.37
24.81
2070
13.58
18.23
25.52
13.82
18.45
25.06
2071
13.58
18.28
25.70
13.84
18.52
25.25
2072
13.57
18.33
25.88
13.86
18.56
25.36
2073
13.56
18.38
26.07
13.86
18.62
25.48
2074
13.55
18.43
26.25
13.96
18.66
25.80
2075
13.53
18.46
26.43
13.90
18.74
26.01
2076
13.50
18.49
26.59
13.81
18.77
26.23
2077
13.46
18.50
26.74
13.78
18.82
26.25
2078
13.40
18.50
26.89
13.69
18.86
26.55
2079
13.34
18.49
27.01
13.71
18.82
26.62
2080
13.27
18.47
27.12
13.62
18.78
26.71
2081
13.19
18.43
27.23
13.47
18.77
26.88
2082
13.11
18.39
27.32
13.42
18.73
26.99
2083
13.02
18.35
27.40
13.38
18.67
27.27
2084
12.92
18.29
27.46
13.29
18.64
27.39
2085
12.83
18.23
27.51
13.09
18.56
27.56
2086
12.74
18.16
27.54
12.92
18.52
27.68
2087
12.64
18.09
27.56
12.80
18.50
27.56
2088
12.55
18.02
27.57
12.70
18.45
27.63
2089
12.48
17.95
27.57
12.74
18.39
27.63
2090
12.41
17.89
27.56
12.64
18.34
27.75
2091
12.36
17.84
27.55
12.56
18.28
27.70
2092
12.32
17.80
27.53
12.60
18.27
27.70
2093
12.31
17.77
27.52
12.54
18.19
27.76
2094
12.30
17.75
27.51
12.48
18.22
28.01
2095
12.30
17.74
27.50
12.50
18.23
27.89
2096
12.32
17.74
27.49
12.53
18.25
28.04
2097
12.34
17.75
27.48
12.52
18.25
27.93
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