Detailed Single Year Tables
Description of Proposed Provision:
F2: Starting in 2025, exempt individuals with more than 180 quarters of coverage from the OASDI payroll tax. Earnings exempted from OASDI payroll tax would not be used in computing benefits.
Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of current-law taxable payroll |
|||||||
|
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
| 2024 | 14.71 | 13.03 | -1.68 | 188 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
| 2025 | 15.00 | 12.31 | -2.69 | 171 | 0.00 | -0.58 | -0.58 | ||
| 2026 | 15.20 | 12.46 | -2.74 | 148 | -0.00 | -0.61 | -0.61 | ||
| 2027 | 15.35 | 12.49 | -2.86 | 127 | -0.01 | -0.62 | -0.61 | ||
| 2028 | 15.40 | 12.51 | -2.89 | 106 | -0.01 | -0.62 | -0.61 | ||
| 2029 | 15.45 | 12.53 | -2.92 | 86 | -0.02 | -0.63 | -0.61 | ||
| 2030 | 15.50 | 12.54 | -2.96 | 66 | -0.02 | -0.64 | -0.62 | ||
| 2031 | 15.55 | 12.55 | -2.99 | 47 | -0.03 | -0.65 | -0.62 | ||
| 2032 | 15.57 | 12.56 | -3.01 | 28 | -0.03 | -0.66 | -0.62 | ||
| 2033 | 15.62 | 12.60 | -3.03 | 9 | -0.04 | -0.67 | -0.63 | ||
| 2034 | 15.73 | 12.60 | -3.13 | — | -0.04 | -0.68 | -0.64 | ||
| 2035 | 15.84 | 12.60 | -3.24 | — | -0.05 | -0.69 | -0.64 | ||
| 2036 | 15.94 | 12.59 | -3.34 | — | -0.05 | -0.70 | -0.65 | ||
| 2037 | 16.04 | 12.59 | -3.44 | — | -0.06 | -0.71 | -0.66 | ||
| 2038 | 16.12 | 12.59 | -3.53 | — | -0.06 | -0.72 | -0.66 | ||
| 2039 | 16.19 | 12.58 | -3.60 | — | -0.06 | -0.73 | -0.67 | ||
| 2040 | 16.26 | 12.58 | -3.68 | — | -0.06 | -0.75 | -0.68 | ||
| 2041 | 16.32 | 12.57 | -3.74 | — | -0.07 | -0.76 | -0.69 | ||
| 2042 | 16.37 | 12.57 | -3.80 | — | -0.07 | -0.77 | -0.70 | ||
| 2043 | 16.41 | 12.56 | -3.85 | — | -0.07 | -0.78 | -0.71 | ||
| 2044 | 16.45 | 12.55 | -3.90 | — | -0.07 | -0.79 | -0.72 | ||
| 2045 | 16.48 | 12.54 | -3.94 | — | -0.07 | -0.80 | -0.73 | ||
| 2046 | 16.51 | 12.53 | -3.98 | — | -0.08 | -0.81 | -0.74 | ||
| 2047 | 16.55 | 12.53 | -4.02 | — | -0.08 | -0.83 | -0.75 | ||
| 2048 | 16.59 | 12.52 | -4.07 | — | -0.08 | -0.84 | -0.76 | ||
| 2049 | 16.63 | 12.51 | -4.12 | — | -0.08 | -0.85 | -0.77 | ||
| 2050 | 16.68 | 12.51 | -4.17 | — | -0.08 | -0.86 | -0.78 | ||
| 2051 | 16.73 | 12.50 | -4.23 | — | -0.08 | -0.87 | -0.79 | ||
| 2052 | 16.79 | 12.49 | -4.30 | — | -0.08 | -0.88 | -0.80 | ||
| 2053 | 16.85 | 12.49 | -4.36 | — | -0.08 | -0.89 | -0.81 | ||
| 2054 | 16.92 | 12.48 | -4.44 | — | -0.08 | -0.90 | -0.82 | ||
| 2055 | 17.00 | 12.48 | -4.52 | — | -0.08 | -0.91 | -0.83 | ||
| 2056 | 17.08 | 12.48 | -4.60 | — | -0.08 | -0.92 | -0.84 | ||
| 2057 | 17.16 | 12.48 | -4.69 | — | -0.08 | -0.93 | -0.85 | ||
| 2058 | 17.25 | 12.47 | -4.78 | — | -0.08 | -0.94 | -0.86 | ||
| 2059 | 17.33 | 12.47 | -4.86 | — | -0.08 | -0.95 | -0.86 | ||
| 2060 | 17.42 | 12.47 | -4.95 | — | -0.08 | -0.95 | -0.87 | ||
| 2061 | 17.50 | 12.47 | -5.03 | — | -0.08 | -0.96 | -0.88 | ||
| 2062 | 17.57 | 12.47 | -5.10 | — | -0.08 | -0.97 | -0.89 | ||
| 2063 | 17.64 | 12.46 | -5.17 | — | -0.08 | -0.98 | -0.89 | ||
| 2064 | 17.70 | 12.46 | -5.24 | — | -0.09 | -0.99 | -0.90 | ||
| 2065 | 17.77 | 12.46 | -5.31 | — | -0.09 | -0.99 | -0.91 | ||
| 2066 | 17.83 | 12.46 | -5.37 | — | -0.09 | -1.00 | -0.91 | ||
| 2067 | 17.89 | 12.46 | -5.44 | — | -0.09 | -1.01 | -0.92 | ||
| 2068 | 17.96 | 12.46 | -5.50 | — | -0.09 | -1.01 | -0.93 | ||
| 2069 | 18.03 | 12.45 | -5.57 | — | -0.09 | -1.02 | -0.93 | ||
| 2070 | 18.09 | 12.45 | -5.64 | — | -0.09 | -1.03 | -0.94 | ||
| 2071 | 18.16 | 12.45 | -5.71 | — | -0.09 | -1.03 | -0.94 | ||
| 2072 | 18.22 | 12.45 | -5.77 | — | -0.09 | -1.04 | -0.95 | ||
| 2073 | 18.28 | 12.45 | -5.83 | — | -0.09 | -1.04 | -0.95 | ||
| 2074 | 18.34 | 12.45 | -5.89 | — | -0.09 | -1.05 | -0.95 | ||
| 2075 | 18.39 | 12.45 | -5.94 | — | -0.09 | -1.05 | -0.96 | ||
| 2076 | 18.43 | 12.45 | -5.98 | — | -0.09 | -1.06 | -0.96 | ||
| 2077 | 18.47 | 12.45 | -6.02 | — | -0.09 | -1.06 | -0.97 | ||
| 2078 | 18.49 | 12.45 | -6.04 | — | -0.09 | -1.07 | -0.97 | ||
| 2079 | 18.50 | 12.44 | -6.05 | — | -0.10 | -1.07 | -0.97 | ||
| 2080 | 18.50 | 12.44 | -6.06 | — | -0.10 | -1.07 | -0.98 | ||
| 2081 | 18.49 | 12.44 | -6.05 | — | -0.10 | -1.08 | -0.98 | ||
| 2082 | 18.48 | 12.43 | -6.04 | — | -0.10 | -1.08 | -0.98 | ||
| 2083 | 18.45 | 12.43 | -6.02 | — | -0.10 | -1.08 | -0.99 | ||
| 2084 | 18.42 | 12.43 | -5.99 | — | -0.10 | -1.09 | -0.99 | ||
| 2085 | 18.37 | 12.42 | -5.95 | — | -0.10 | -1.09 | -0.99 | ||
| 2086 | 18.32 | 12.41 | -5.91 | — | -0.10 | -1.09 | -1.00 | ||
| 2087 | 18.27 | 12.41 | -5.86 | — | -0.10 | -1.10 | -1.00 | ||
| 2088 | 18.21 | 12.40 | -5.81 | — | -0.10 | -1.10 | -1.00 | ||
| 2089 | 18.15 | 12.39 | -5.75 | — | -0.10 | -1.10 | -1.00 | ||
| 2090 | 18.09 | 12.39 | -5.70 | — | -0.10 | -1.10 | -1.01 | ||
| 2091 | 18.04 | 12.38 | -5.66 | — | -0.10 | -1.11 | -1.01 | ||
| 2092 | 18.01 | 12.38 | -5.63 | — | -0.10 | -1.11 | -1.01 | ||
| 2093 | 17.98 | 12.37 | -5.61 | — | -0.10 | -1.11 | -1.01 | ||
| 2094 | 17.97 | 12.37 | -5.60 | — | -0.10 | -1.11 | -1.01 | ||
| 2095 | 17.97 | 12.37 | -5.60 | — | -0.10 | -1.11 | -1.02 | ||
| 2096 | 17.98 | 12.37 | -5.61 | — | -0.10 | -1.12 | -1.02 | ||
| 2097 | 18.00 | 12.37 | -5.63 | — | -0.10 | -1.12 | -1.02 | ||
| 2098 | 18.03 | 12.37 | -5.66 | — | -0.10 | -1.12 | -1.02 | ||
| 2099 | 18.06 | 12.37 | -5.69 | — | -0.10 | -1.12 | -1.02 | ||
Summarized Estimates
| Proposal | Change from Current Law | ||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
| 2024-2098 | 17.22% | 12.92% | -4.31% | 2033 | -0.07% | -0.88% | -0.81% | ||
1 Under current law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2035. |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2024 Trustees Report.