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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2010 | 13.09 | 12.33 | -0.76 | 355 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2011 | 13.04 | 12.91 | -0.12 | 353 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2012 | 12.84 | 12.87 | 0.03 | 350 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 12.82 | 12.90 | 0.08 | 346 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2014 | 12.86 | 12.92 | 0.06 | 341 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2015 | 12.98 | 12.94 | -0.04 | 335 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.10 | 12.96 | -0.14 | 330 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.30 | 12.99 | -0.31 | 324 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2018 | 13.53 | 13.01 | -0.51 | 317 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2019 | 13.80 | 13.03 | -0.77 | 310 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2020 | 14.09 | 13.04 | -1.04 | 301 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2021 | 14.37 | 13.06 | -1.30 | 291 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2022 | 14.63 | 13.08 | -1.55 | 281 | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2023 | 14.87 | 13.09 | -1.77 | 269 | -0.16 | -0.01 | 0.15 | ||
2024 | 15.09 | 13.11 | -1.98 | 257 | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.19 | ||
2025 | 15.29 | 13.12 | -2.17 | 245 | -0.25 | -0.01 | 0.24 | ||
2026 | 15.46 | 13.13 | -2.33 | 231 | -0.30 | -0.01 | 0.28 | ||
2027 | 15.61 | 13.14 | -2.46 | 218 | -0.35 | -0.02 | 0.33 | ||
2028 | 15.73 | 13.15 | -2.58 | 203 | -0.40 | -0.02 | 0.38 | ||
2029 | 15.82 | 13.16 | -2.66 | 189 | -0.46 | -0.02 | 0.44 | ||
2030 | 15.89 | 13.17 | -2.72 | 174 | -0.52 | -0.03 | 0.49 | ||
2031 | 15.93 | 13.17 | -2.76 | 159 | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2032 | 15.95 | 13.18 | -2.77 | 144 | -0.64 | -0.03 | 0.61 | ||
2033 | 15.95 | 13.18 | -2.77 | 128 | -0.71 | -0.04 | 0.67 | ||
2034 | 15.93 | 13.18 | -2.75 | 113 | -0.77 | -0.04 | 0.73 | ||
2035 | 15.89 | 13.18 | -2.71 | 98 | -0.84 | -0.04 | 0.79 | ||
2036 | 15.83 | 13.18 | -2.65 | 82 | -0.90 | -0.05 | 0.86 | ||
2037 | 15.76 | 13.18 | -2.58 | 67 | -0.97 | -0.05 | 0.92 | ||
2038 | 15.67 | 13.18 | -2.50 | 52 | -1.04 | -0.05 | 0.99 | ||
2039 | 15.57 | 13.17 | -2.40 | 37 | -1.11 | -0.06 | 1.05 | ||
2040 | 15.46 | 13.17 | -2.29 | 23 | -1.18 | -0.06 | 1.12 | ||
2041 | 15.34 | 13.16 | -2.18 | 9 | -1.25 | -0.07 | 1.19 | ||
2042 | 15.23 | 13.16 | -2.07 | ---- | -1.33 | -0.07 | 1.26 | ||
2043 | 15.11 | 13.15 | -1.96 | ---- | -1.40 | -0.07 | 1.33 | ||
2044 | 15.00 | 13.15 | -1.85 | ---- | -1.47 | -0.08 | 1.40 | ||
2045 | 14.89 | 13.14 | -1.75 | ---- | -1.55 | -0.08 | 1.47 | ||
2046 | 14.79 | 13.14 | -1.65 | ---- | -1.62 | -0.09 | 1.54 | ||
2047 | 14.70 | 13.14 | -1.56 | ---- | -1.70 | -0.09 | 1.61 | ||
2048 | 14.60 | 13.13 | -1.47 | ---- | -1.78 | -0.09 | 1.68 | ||
2049 | 14.50 | 13.13 | -1.37 | ---- | -1.85 | -0.10 | 1.75 | ||
2050 | 14.41 | 13.12 | -1.29 | ---- | -1.93 | -0.10 | 1.82 | ||
2051 | 14.32 | 13.12 | -1.21 | ---- | -2.00 | -0.11 | 1.89 | ||
2052 | 14.25 | 13.12 | -1.13 | ---- | -2.08 | -0.11 | 1.96 | ||
2053 | 14.18 | 13.11 | -1.07 | ---- | -2.15 | -0.11 | 2.04 | ||
2054 | 14.12 | 13.11 | -1.01 | ---- | -2.23 | -0.12 | 2.11 | ||
2055 | 14.06 | 13.11 | -0.95 | ---- | -2.30 | -0.12 | 2.18 | ||
2056 | 14.01 | 13.11 | -0.90 | ---- | -2.38 | -0.13 | 2.25 | ||
2057 | 13.96 | 13.10 | -0.86 | ---- | -2.46 | -0.13 | 2.32 | ||
2058 | 13.91 | 13.10 | -0.81 | ---- | -2.53 | -0.14 | 2.40 | ||
2059 | 13.86 | 13.10 | -0.76 | ---- | -2.60 | -0.14 | 2.46 | ||
2060 | 13.81 | 13.10 | -0.71 | ---- | -2.68 | -0.14 | 2.53 | ||
2061 | 13.76 | 13.10 | -0.66 | ---- | -2.75 | -0.15 | 2.60 | ||
2062 | 13.71 | 13.09 | -0.62 | ---- | -2.82 | -0.15 | 2.67 | ||
2063 | 13.67 | 13.09 | -0.57 | ---- | -2.89 | -0.16 | 2.74 | ||
2064 | 13.62 | 13.09 | -0.53 | ---- | -2.96 | -0.16 | 2.80 | ||
2065 | 13.58 | 13.09 | -0.49 | ---- | -3.03 | -0.16 | 2.87 | ||
2066 | 13.55 | 13.09 | -0.46 | ---- | -3.10 | -0.17 | 2.94 | ||
2067 | 13.51 | 13.09 | -0.43 | ---- | -3.17 | -0.17 | 3.00 | ||
2068 | 13.48 | 13.09 | -0.39 | ---- | -3.24 | -0.18 | 3.07 | ||
2069 | 13.45 | 13.08 | -0.37 | ---- | -3.32 | -0.18 | 3.13 | ||
2070 | 13.42 | 13.08 | -0.34 | ---- | -3.39 | -0.18 | 3.20 | ||
2071 | 13.39 | 13.08 | -0.31 | ---- | -3.46 | -0.19 | 3.27 | ||
2072 | 13.37 | 13.08 | -0.29 | ---- | -3.53 | -0.19 | 3.33 | ||
2073 | 13.34 | 13.08 | -0.26 | ---- | -3.60 | -0.20 | 3.40 | ||
2074 | 13.32 | 13.08 | -0.24 | ---- | -3.67 | -0.20 | 3.47 | ||
2075 | 13.29 | 13.08 | -0.21 | ---- | -3.74 | -0.20 | 3.53 | ||
2076 | 13.27 | 13.08 | -0.19 | ---- | -3.81 | -0.21 | 3.60 | ||
2077 | 13.24 | 13.08 | -0.17 | ---- | -3.87 | -0.21 | 3.66 | ||
2078 | 13.22 | 13.08 | -0.14 | ---- | -3.94 | -0.22 | 3.73 | ||
2079 | 13.19 | 13.07 | -0.12 | ---- | -4.01 | -0.22 | 3.79 | ||
2080 | 13.17 | 13.07 | -0.10 | ---- | -4.08 | -0.22 | 3.86 | ||
2081 | 13.15 | 13.07 | -0.07 | ---- | -4.15 | -0.23 | 3.92 | ||
2082 | 13.12 | 13.07 | -0.05 | ---- | -4.22 | -0.23 | 3.98 | ||
2083 | 13.10 | 13.07 | -0.03 | ---- | -4.28 | -0.23 | 4.05 | ||
2084 | 13.08 | 13.07 | -0.01 | ---- | -4.35 | -0.24 | 4.11 | ||
2085 | 13.05 | 13.07 | 0.01 | ---- | -4.41 | -0.24 | 4.17 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of exhaustion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2010 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2010-2084 | 14.42% | 13.93% | -0.49% | 2041 | -1.51% | -0.08% | 1.43% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of exhaustion
is 2037. |
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