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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2010 | 13.09 | 12.35 | -0.74 | 355 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 | ||
2011 | 13.04 | 12.95 | -0.09 | 353 | 0.00 | 0.03 | 0.03 | ||
2012 | 12.84 | 12.92 | 0.07 | 351 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.04 | ||
2013 | 12.82 | 12.96 | 0.13 | 346 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.05 | ||
2014 | 12.87 | 12.98 | 0.11 | 342 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.06 | ||
2015 | 12.98 | 13.00 | 0.02 | 337 | 0.01 | 0.06 | 0.06 | ||
2016 | 13.11 | 13.03 | -0.08 | 332 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 0.06 | ||
2017 | 13.32 | 13.06 | -0.26 | 326 | 0.01 | 0.07 | 0.06 | ||
2018 | 13.56 | 13.17 | -0.39 | 319 | 0.02 | 0.16 | 0.14 | ||
2019 | 13.86 | 13.32 | -0.53 | 312 | 0.02 | 0.30 | 0.28 | ||
2020 | 14.17 | 13.50 | -0.67 | 304 | 0.02 | 0.45 | 0.43 | ||
2021 | 14.48 | 13.66 | -0.82 | 297 | 0.03 | 0.60 | 0.57 | ||
2022 | 14.78 | 13.83 | -0.95 | 289 | 0.03 | 0.74 | 0.71 | ||
2023 | 15.06 | 14.00 | -1.07 | 281 | 0.04 | 0.89 | 0.86 | ||
2024 | 15.33 | 14.16 | -1.16 | 272 | 0.04 | 1.05 | 1.01 | ||
2025 | 15.58 | 14.33 | -1.25 | 264 | 0.05 | 1.20 | 1.15 | ||
2026 | 15.81 | 14.50 | -1.31 | 256 | 0.05 | 1.36 | 1.30 | ||
2027 | 16.01 | 14.67 | -1.34 | 248 | 0.06 | 1.51 | 1.46 | ||
2028 | 16.20 | 14.69 | -1.51 | 240 | 0.07 | 1.52 | 1.45 | ||
2029 | 16.36 | 14.70 | -1.66 | 232 | 0.08 | 1.52 | 1.44 | ||
2030 | 16.49 | 14.70 | -1.79 | 223 | 0.09 | 1.51 | 1.42 | ||
2031 | 16.60 | 14.71 | -1.90 | 214 | 0.10 | 1.50 | 1.41 | ||
2032 | 16.70 | 14.71 | -1.99 | 204 | 0.11 | 1.50 | 1.39 | ||
2033 | 16.78 | 14.70 | -2.08 | 194 | 0.12 | 1.49 | 1.37 | ||
2034 | 16.84 | 14.70 | -2.14 | 184 | 0.14 | 1.48 | 1.35 | ||
2035 | 16.88 | 14.70 | -2.18 | 173 | 0.15 | 1.47 | 1.32 | ||
2036 | 16.90 | 14.69 | -2.21 | 162 | 0.16 | 1.47 | 1.30 | ||
2037 | 16.92 | 14.69 | -2.23 | 151 | 0.18 | 1.46 | 1.28 | ||
2038 | 16.91 | 14.69 | -2.22 | 140 | 0.20 | 1.46 | 1.26 | ||
2039 | 16.89 | 14.69 | -2.21 | 129 | 0.21 | 1.46 | 1.24 | ||
2040 | 16.87 | 14.69 | -2.19 | 118 | 0.23 | 1.46 | 1.23 | ||
2041 | 16.84 | 14.69 | -2.16 | 107 | 0.25 | 1.46 | 1.21 | ||
2042 | 16.82 | 14.69 | -2.13 | 96 | 0.26 | 1.46 | 1.20 | ||
2043 | 16.79 | 14.69 | -2.10 | 85 | 0.28 | 1.47 | 1.19 | ||
2044 | 16.77 | 14.70 | -2.07 | 74 | 0.30 | 1.48 | 1.18 | ||
2045 | 16.76 | 14.71 | -2.05 | 62 | 0.32 | 1.48 | 1.17 | ||
2046 | 16.75 | 14.72 | -2.03 | 51 | 0.33 | 1.49 | 1.16 | ||
2047 | 16.75 | 14.73 | -2.02 | 40 | 0.35 | 1.51 | 1.15 | ||
2048 | 16.75 | 14.74 | -2.00 | 29 | 0.37 | 1.52 | 1.15 | ||
2049 | 16.74 | 14.76 | -1.98 | 18 | 0.39 | 1.53 | 1.14 | ||
2050 | 16.74 | 14.77 | -1.97 | 6 | 0.41 | 1.55 | 1.14 | ||
2051 | 16.75 | 14.79 | -1.96 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.56 | 1.14 | ||
2052 | 16.77 | 14.81 | -1.96 | ---- | 0.45 | 1.58 | 1.13 | ||
2053 | 16.80 | 14.83 | -1.98 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.60 | 1.13 | ||
2054 | 16.84 | 14.85 | -1.99 | ---- | 0.49 | 1.62 | 1.12 | ||
2055 | 16.89 | 14.87 | -2.02 | ---- | 0.52 | 1.63 | 1.12 | ||
2056 | 16.94 | 14.89 | -2.05 | ---- | 0.54 | 1.65 | 1.11 | ||
2057 | 16.99 | 14.91 | -2.08 | ---- | 0.57 | 1.67 | 1.10 | ||
2058 | 17.04 | 14.93 | -2.11 | ---- | 0.60 | 1.69 | 1.09 | ||
2059 | 17.08 | 14.95 | -2.13 | ---- | 0.62 | 1.71 | 1.09 | ||
2060 | 17.14 | 14.97 | -2.16 | ---- | 0.65 | 1.73 | 1.08 | ||
2061 | 17.19 | 14.99 | -2.19 | ---- | 0.68 | 1.75 | 1.07 | ||
2062 | 17.24 | 15.02 | -2.22 | ---- | 0.71 | 1.77 | 1.06 | ||
2063 | 17.29 | 15.04 | -2.26 | ---- | 0.73 | 1.79 | 1.05 | ||
2064 | 17.35 | 15.06 | -2.29 | ---- | 0.76 | 1.81 | 1.05 | ||
2065 | 17.40 | 15.08 | -2.32 | ---- | 0.79 | 1.83 | 1.04 | ||
2066 | 17.46 | 15.10 | -2.36 | ---- | 0.81 | 1.85 | 1.03 | ||
2067 | 17.53 | 15.13 | -2.40 | ---- | 0.84 | 1.87 | 1.03 | ||
2068 | 17.59 | 15.15 | -2.44 | ---- | 0.86 | 1.89 | 1.02 | ||
2069 | 17.65 | 15.17 | -2.48 | ---- | 0.89 | 1.91 | 1.02 | ||
2070 | 17.72 | 15.19 | -2.52 | ---- | 0.91 | 1.93 | 1.02 | ||
2071 | 17.78 | 15.22 | -2.57 | ---- | 0.94 | 1.95 | 1.01 | ||
2072 | 17.85 | 15.24 | -2.61 | ---- | 0.96 | 1.97 | 1.01 | ||
2073 | 17.92 | 15.26 | -2.65 | ---- | 0.98 | 1.99 | 1.01 | ||
2074 | 17.98 | 15.29 | -2.69 | ---- | 1.00 | 2.01 | 1.01 | ||
2075 | 18.04 | 15.31 | -2.73 | ---- | 1.02 | 2.03 | 1.01 | ||
2076 | 18.11 | 15.34 | -2.77 | ---- | 1.04 | 2.05 | 1.02 | ||
2077 | 18.17 | 15.36 | -2.81 | ---- | 1.05 | 2.07 | 1.02 | ||
2078 | 18.23 | 15.38 | -2.85 | ---- | 1.07 | 2.09 | 1.02 | ||
2079 | 18.29 | 15.41 | -2.88 | ---- | 1.09 | 2.12 | 1.03 | ||
2080 | 18.35 | 15.43 | -2.92 | ---- | 1.10 | 2.14 | 1.03 | ||
2081 | 18.41 | 15.46 | -2.95 | ---- | 1.12 | 2.16 | 1.04 | ||
2082 | 18.47 | 15.48 | -2.99 | ---- | 1.14 | 2.18 | 1.05 | ||
2083 | 18.54 | 15.51 | -3.03 | ---- | 1.15 | 2.20 | 1.05 | ||
2084 | 18.60 | 15.53 | -3.06 | ---- | 1.17 | 2.23 | 1.06 | ||
2085 | 18.66 | 15.56 | -3.09 | ---- | 1.19 | 2.25 | 1.06 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of exhaustion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2010 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2010-2084 | 16.29% | 15.30% | -0.99% | 2050 | 0.36% | 1.29% | 0.93% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of exhaustion
is 2037. |
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